Following another fairly predictable week, there isn’t too much shakeup in the Power Rankings. But anything can happen from here on out as we eclipse the halfway point of the season.
Cover photo taken from Daily Norseman.
1 – Eagles (8-0)
I really don’t want to hear anything about this team’s schedule or their performance on Thursday, which is somehow being considered “subpar”. Just stop it. They were double digit favorites and covered easily. Nobody thought they were going to lose that game for a second. They were the superior team all game long outside of just two Texans drives that actually went somewhere. The defense stepped up big time, Jalen Hurts continued to throw the ball sharply, and the run game did its thing. This is still the best team in the NFL, and it’s still not very close.
2 – Chiefs (6-2) 1
Kansas City has plenty to feel good about after Sunday night’s tough win, but they also have a good deal to feel bad about. The main thing is their offensive line being awful, which I suppose we should just be used to by now. Going up against one of the best defensive fronts in the NFL, they got absolutely manhandled, and the Chiefs’ run game was nonexistent. However, when you have Patrick Mahomes, you don’t need a run game. He threw a whopping 68 passes and put the entire offense on his back. That’s what it took to win, considering KC’s defense did its thing against a very one-dimensional Tennessee offense, especially in the second half. Hard fought wins like that are the sign of a great team, and #15 continues to show everyone why he’s the best in the world.
3 – Cowboys (6-2) 1
The Cowboys had their bye this week, and it was fairly uneventful. They do get bumped up due to the actions of the team below them, but that’s about it. There’s rumblings of Odell Beckham Jr. signing with the team, which would be quite a sight to see, but I don’t know how much I buy it happening.
4 – Bills (6-2) 2
Losing to Zach Wilson? Really? After how much I slandered him and propped you guys up? After being nearly two-touchdown favorites? That’s bad. I know the Jets have a great defense, but this is a team that got smothered the previous week. There was no excuse to lose this game. Josh Allen has played pretty poorly in his last six quarters of football with 4 bad interceptions and zero (0!) touchdowns. We might be entering that part of the year where the Bills mess around for a few weeks before getting their stride back before the playoffs, but I thought we were past that. This team is far too talented to suffer that same fate. I expect a much better performance next week back at home.
5 – Vikings (7-1)
Minnesota just keeps on finding ways to win. You can talk about it being unconvincing and deny their success all you’d like, but what you can’t deny is them being six games over .500 and 4.5 games ahead in the division. Their defense played very well on Sunday except for one drive and one ridiculously lucky touchdown from Washington. The offense stifled for a little, and nearly gave the game away if it wasn’t for a pick six that got called back, but they made the plays necessary to win the game late. That has been the story of this team all year long. They just execute when it matters most, and that’s what makes them so successful.
6 – 49ers (4-4)
San Francisco had the week off as they continue to get healthy and prepare for a second half push to the playoffs. While they currently sit 1.5 games back in the division, I feel pretty good about their chances of making a run and getting a home playoff game. Even if they don’t, I know they’re good enough to win games in January.
7 – Ravens (6-3)
Congrats to the Ravens for finally winning a game convincingly after getting off to a great start. They completely shut down the Saints all game long thanks to their incredible defensive performance. The offense didn’t look great, but it didn’t matter. All they needed was a few scoring drives to ensure that the game was out of reach by the third quarter. It’s easy to give the offense a pass for the lackluster showing considering the injuries, and it was very promising to see their defensive dominance. I think the trade for Roquan Smith might just pay off for them.
8 – Seahawks (6-3) 1
Seattle has now won 4 games in a row, and most of them have essentially been in the same fashion. They force feed Kenneth Walker to wear you down and then let it fly or feed him some more to score on you. Then their defense does the rest. The Seahawks have shown us their formula week in and week out, and it continues to work with flying colors. As I’ve said in weeks past, I love this team’s personnel and their identity, and they play some of my favorite football of any team in football. They have a tough test coming up against a stingy Buccaneers defense on Sunday in Munich, but I think they’ll be up for it.
9 – Dolphins (6-3) 1
While I don’t love the way this defense is playing right now, there is no denying that the Dolphins are arguably the most stacked offensive team in the league. Tua Tagovailoa is playing great ball, leading the league in passer rating. The addition of Jeff Wilson is already paying dividends for the running game, and he is proving to be a pass-catching threat as well. They don’t need that though, considering Tyreek Hill is off to the best start to a season in the history of the league and Jaylen Waddle keeps on torching defenses. Miami is simply one of the must-watch teams in the NFL because of how fun they are on that side of the ball. They need to sure up their defense for this playoff push, but it might not matter. They’ll just outscore you instead.
10 – Titans (5-3) 2
That was about as impressive of a loss as you’ll ever see in this league. To go into Arrowhead with a rookie QB in his first road start and second career start to play one of the best teams in the league and control most of the game just to lose in OT is a sign that this Titans team is pretty good. You’d think they win that game if Ryan Tannehill is their QB. This defensive front continues to play like one of the best in the league, and Derrick Henry is making another OPOY surge. However, there are two areas that I didn’t like very much on Sunday night. The obvious one is the fact that this team has no wide receiver talent at all, and you simply can’t win in this league without WRs. Trading away AJ Brown looks like a worse move by the day. The other is that Malik Willis is obviously still very raw and needs a lot more time to sit and develop, but we honestly already knew that. Nobody was expecting him to light up the world in a situation like that.
11 – Bengals (5-4)
I won’t take too much stock in blowing out arguably the worst team in the NFL. We know the Bengals are a great home team, and we all saw that blowout coming. While Joe Mixon’s 5 touchdowns were fun to watch, Sunday’s game didn’t show me too much. This team still feels like it has a distinct ceiling while Ja’Marr Chase is out. Until he gets back, it’ll be really hard for me to feel great about where they stand.
12 – Jets (6-3) 1
Never in a million years would I have seen the Jets winning that game. I thought they’d get crushed, in large part thanks to Zach Wilson going up against a great defense. But Wilson barely had to do anything, as New York was able to use their identity of running the ball and playing great defense to pull off the upset. They get great contributions from their backup RBs Michael Carter and James Robinson, and their defense did the rest, led once again by Sauce Gardner. It was an absolutely massive win for this team to stay alive in the playoff race, and it proves to me that they can actually be great if their style of football works.
13 – Giants (6-2) 1
The Giants somehow lost to the bye week with DB Xavier McKinney hurting his hand on an ATV in Cabo. He’ll now be out for a few weeks, and the secondary will likely suffer for it. We’ll see how the defense responds, and we’ll see if the offense can keep up their unlikely success. This second half is going to tell us a lot about who the Giants truly are.
14 – Chargers (5-3)
The Chargers once again escaped by the skin of their teeth in another unconvincing performance against an average team. Nothing about this team moves the needle. I will say that Justin Herbert looked very solid, and the bye week probably helped him a ton. I also think the defense played a better game, although it wasn’t perfect by any means. Sunday’s game was a battle of who wanted to lose more, and of course the Falcons did. LA won’t get away with many more performances like that.
15 – Patriots (5-4) 3
The Patriots are somehow above .500. It’s largely thanks to playing one of the most embarrassing teams in the NFL who is clearly actively tanking. Again, nothing about New England really stands out, regardless of who plays QB for them. This is a very run-of-the-mill team that benefitted greatly this week from their opponent and the rest of the teams in this range falling apart around them. I still don’t like them.
16 – Falcons (4-5) 1
Sunday’s loss was pretty embarrassing for the Falcons. They simply did not want to win at all, repeatedly giving the game away in ridiculous fashion. Their style of football is only taking them so far, as they refuse to throw the ball. When they do, it’s hardly effective. I do like their defense, but they haven’t played great in recent weeks. I think the rest of the league is starting to figure Atlanta out, and for that reason, their winning ways might not continue much longer in 2022.
17 – Browns (3-5) 2
The Browns are coming out of their bye in a weird spot. They played their best game of the season heading into it, and now have just 3 weeks left before Deshaun Watson returns. But those three games are against Miami, Buffalo, and Tampa Bay. So, while we feel good about this team right now, this is about to be a potentially brutal stretch for them. Let’s find out what they’re made of.
18 – Buccaneers (4-5) 5
The Bucs are finally back in the win column in extremely unconvincing fashion. I’m sure that notching another win has to feel great for them, but they’re still an average to below average team that doesn’t move me much. Their defense did finally show back up and play one of their best games of the year, which is good to see. Perhaps they can use the momentum of Tom Brady orchestrating a perfect game winning drive on the day where he eclipsed 100,000 career passing yards and turn it into something productive. I’ll have to see it to believe it.
19 – Rams (3-5) 3
Snooze. This team is boring. They’re not good at anything. I’m starting to sound like a broken record at this point. They can’t get anything going on either side of the ball and it’s just so stale. I hate watching the Rams more than nearly every other team in the league just because there’s literally nothing to watch at this point. I know exactly what I’m going to get out of them every single week: nothing.
20 – Cardinals (3-6) 3
Speaking of boring NFC West teams that do nothing well, the Cardinals lost yet again on Sunday. That’s now a sweep completed by the Seahawks as Arizona didn’t do a single thing worth a damn for sixty minutes other than get a lucky pick six. They couldn’t even get DeAndre Hopkins going, which is typically the only thing they actually excel at. Nothing about this team is working, and relying on their talent to win them games has gotten them nowhere. They need to blow this thing up.
21 – Commanders (4-5)
Once again, we played exactly as I expected us to on Sunday. We were competitive throughout. We played good defense. And at the end of the day, we beat ourselves. I could have told you before the game that we’d be in a perfect position to win only to piss it away thanks to Taylor Heinicke’s inability to play QB and boneheaded plays and penalties. Oh wait, I did! It is just so predictable. The best news surrounding this team is the potential sale of it. In all fairness, that’s about the best news we’ve received in decades.
22 – Bears (3-6) 4
How can you not love what the Bears are doing? They’re losing games while developing Justin Fields by playing to his strengths and allowing him to flourish by playing his game. And boy, is he flourishing or what? Justin has been sensational for three weeks in a row, with the latest performance being the best yet with over 300 total yards and 4 total touchdowns. The highlight of the season came on Sunday with a 61 yard sprint to the endzone to punctuate a 178 yard rushing day, setting the record for most rushing yards by a QB in history. Fields how has 9 touchdowns and just 1 interception in his last 3 games, and while the Bears are just 1-2 in those games, it doesn’t matter. They’re blowing it up because they know they suck. They now have full confidence in their franchise QB, and so does the rest of the league. Now they can move forward and continue this rebuild around Justin Fields. It is so awesome to see.
23 – Broncos (3-5) 4
I suppose the Broncos won the bye week thanks to the utter incompetence of so many other teams in this range. They did trade away Bradley Chubb, but that was a necessary move to get a first rounder back, so I’d say they won the deal. Let’s see how it affects their defense in the back half of the year as they try to figure out this mess.
24 – Saints (3-6) 4
Just when you think the Saints have a good thing going, they go out and there and lay a complete dud. A week after shutting down a solid Raiders offense and putting together a great offensive performance, they played their worst game of the year thanks to being incapable of moving the ball or stopping backup WRs, RBs, and TEs. It was just embarrassing to watch unfold. I really think this team should go back to Jameis Winston at QB, but even if they do, it won’t make that much of a difference. They’re simply not good enough to be consistently competitive.
25 – Packers (3-6) 3
The Packers just keep on reaching new lows. I picked them to lose on Sunday, but I didn’t realize it would be that bad. Three redzone turnovers? Aaron Rodgers continuing to play like a shade of his past self? The defense still playing like garbage while dropping like flies? It is a complete, unmitigated disaster in Green Bay right now, and it’s likely only going to get worse. I can’t imagine what the future of this team looks like.
26 – Jaguars (3-6) 3
The Jags should feel good about themselves after finally being able to overcome their own incompetence to win a game. It helps when you’re playing a team that’s somehow more incompetent than you are. Travis Etienne continues to look like an absolute stud at RB, the receivers looked like their September selves, and the defense stepped up in the second half after getting absolutely torched to start the game. But this still isn’t a good team by any means. Jacksonville won between two bad teams because the other team is worse. It’s that simple.
27 – Lions (2-6) 5
The Lions finally got that elusive second win just as I predicted they would. It wasn’t exactly in the fashion that I expected, but it still worked. I was actually shocked to see Detroit win a game thanks to their defense. This is a unit that has been the absolute worst of any on either side of the ball in the NFL this year, and they put together their best game of the year. For once, it wasn’t on the offense. That’s a good thing, because those guys weren’t great, but they didn’t have to be. Good for the Lions.
28 – Raiders (2-6) 4
I can’t talk about this team anymore. It’s so exhausting. I’ll just leave you guys with this stat. In their first 61 years of existence, the Raiders blew a 17+ point lead just five times. In their first 8 games of their 62nd year of existence, they’ve done it three times. What a disaster.
29 – Colts (3-5-1) 4
The 2022 Indianapolis Colts are slowly becoming one of the most embarrassing teams I’ve ever seen. First they traded for the corpse of Matt Ryan, then benched him within the first two months of the year because he was un-shockingly awful. Their star player Jonathan Taylor has been a ghost all year long. Their defense can’t stay healthy. They hand the reins to Sam Ehlinger, who has also been unsurprisingly terrible. And now they fire HC Frank Reich, who has a winning record in his time in Indy despite the revolving door at QB. To top it all off, they bring in former center Jeff Saturday as the interim HC, whose highest level of coaching is a high school team that he led to a 3-7 record. It’s like this is Ted Lasso or something. Jim Irsay is absolutely unhinged right now, and while it makes for tremendous comedy, I feel really bad for the Colts. This was a great franchise that is now suffering an awful fall from grace.
30 – Panthers (2-7) 2
The Panthers predictably got blown out on Sunday. There’s nothing shocking about it. I still feel the same way I did before about this team. They’re clearly in rebuild/tank mode, and it’s going pretty well. I do feel bad for PJ Walker, who was looking really solid before playing horribly and being benched for Baker Mayfield. I hope he keeps his job, because he’s actually fun to watch and is probably a better option at this point than Baker is.
31 – Steelers (2-6) 1
I really, really wanted to put the Steelers at the bottom this week. But I’m giving them one last chance to prove themselves. Off their bye, they get a reeling Saints team at home and have a real chance to get back in the win column. I don’t feel confident in their chances to do so, but it doesn’t feel impossible. If they lose, you can bet I drop them to that #32 spot next week.
32 – Texans (1-6-1) 1
The Texans don’t feel like the worst team in football, but they’re just allergic to winning. They played a solid first half against the best team in the league, but the second half was just abhorrent. Davis Mills continues to look like anything but the answer at QB, Dameon Pierce was stifled for the most part, the WR group is generationally bad, and the defense is starting to show some cracks. The Texans are likely content with continuing to lose, so I suppose this is all good for them. But I feel like they’re better than this.
Last week was my best of the season. Hopefully the winning ways continue this week with the shortest slate of the year thus far waiting.
Cover photo taken from NFL.com.
Last Week: 12-3
Season Total: 70-51-1
Eagles 29-14 Texans
Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video
It doesn’t get much simpler than this. This is the best team in the NFL facing off against one of the worst teams in the NFL. Even on the road, this should be an absolute wash for Philadelphia. The Texans have had a competitive edge to them all year long, especially at home, but this is their toughest test yet, and they haven’t looked the part in the last two weeks. They better hope they show up defensively and keep the Eagles offense at bay. In the off chance that they do, their offense has to go through that tremendous Birds defense. It’s just not going to happen. This should be another field day for Jalen Hurts and company. At least one of your teams will win on Thursday night, Philly!
Chargers 27-24 Falcons
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
Every time these two teams meet up, it’s absolute comedy. I’ve said it so many times before: they are the exact same franchise in two different conferences. So, at the very least, this should be close, especially with the Chargers coming off a bye. But they’re also coming all the way out east against a team that’s probably better than they are, and is certainly playing at a better level. Still, I feel like LA should come out on top here. I just don’t like how they’ve played all year long. I think the key for them is to get Austin Ekeler all the touches in the world, seeing how D’Onta Foreman dismantled the Atlanta defense last week. I don’t trust the Falcons to contain him, and with AJ Terrell likely still out, I don’t know if they can contain the passing game either. Their own offense can and will put points on the board and has shown us that they can win shootouts, but this feels like a bad matchup for them. It’s a total coinflip, so I’d avoid betting this one like the plague.
Dolphins 23-19 Bears
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
This is another wonky matchup for me. One one hand, the Dolphins have looked great since Tua’s return and boast the best, most productive WR duo in the NFL. They also just added Jeff Wilson and Bradley Chubb to boost the run game and the pass rush at the trade deadline. But, this is a tough road test against a Bears team that’s improving every week. Justin Fields had himself a very nice game last week against an elite defense, so who’s to say it won’t happen again? I don’t see there being a ton of points on the board here; it should be hard-fought throughout and dominated by each defense. In a game like that, I have to trust the better, more talented offense in Miami. It’s just too hard to pick against them with how scorching hot they can get offensively. I don’t see Chicago’s defense being able to stop them.
Bengals 28-17 Panthers
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
The Bengals are a solid team that went on the road and got embarrassed on national television by a division rival. I feel extremely confident that they’re going to come home and play infinitely better against a worse opponent after being smashed like that. Even without Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Burrow is capable of putting up numbers against a defense as bad as Carolina’s. Moreover, Cincy’s defense should be fired up and ready to make amends for how poorly they played on Monday night. This just feels like the perfect bounce-back game for Cincinnati. They’re one of my most confident plays ATS (-7) this week.
Lions 30-27 Packers
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
Yes, you are reading this correctly. No, I am not joking. The Lions are an actually serviceable team at home, and they very nearly beat the Dolphins last week. Their offense just finds another gear at Ford Field, and the Packers defense isn’t nearly good enough to stop them. Dan Campbell will once again be coaching for his life in this game, and Detroit is just so desperate for a win. I think they’re going to be as fired up as ever against their bitter rival and muster up enough to get their first win in 7 weeks. Moreover, I don’t like anything the Packers are doing other than finally running the ball effectively, but they’ll need to rely on Aaron Rodgers to win this game for them, which I just do not have confidence in right now. I absolutely love the Lions +3.5. What a world.
Patriots 17-13 Colts
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
There is simply no way that the Patriots are going to lose at home to a team led by Sam Ehlinger. It’s a simple calculus. Bill Belichick owns young QBs, the Patriots are a better team at home, and the Colts don’t pose a threat. It’s very likely that Jonathan Taylor will once again be out for Indianapolis (as if that means anything at this point), and after seeing how he played last week against a similar defense to New England’s, I don’t trust Ehlinger to put up enough points with his arm to win this game. The Patriots might use last week’s dominant win over the Jets to slingshot them back into playing like a real team, and an easy matchup like this should help them tremendously.
Bills 24-10 Jets
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
This would not be a blowout if the Jets of 2 weeks ago were playing in it. Alas, they are without Breece Hall and still need to depend on Zach Wilson to win them football games. That’s a disaster waiting to happen, as we saw last week. He is embarrassingly bad and will be awful once again this week against a great Bills defense. While I think New York’s own defense is good enough to contain Josh Allen and company for a bit (Stefon Diggs vs. Sauce Gardner is appointment television), it’s only a matter of time before they explode. The Bills will win this game in dominant fashion on the backs of their defense, and their offense will do enough to just cover the spread.
Vikings 23-20 Commanders
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
I was very close to picking us in this game. My philosophy is simple: I have to see it to believe it. I can’t pick us to beat one of the league’s elite teams just because we’ve strung together wins against some bums. I need to be proven wrong before changing my mind. The Vikings aren’t exactly the scariest, most convincing 6-1 team ever, but there is no denying how good they can be. Their offense is as dynamic and scary as any in football, and while their secondary is pretty poor, their front seven is stacked and ferocious. It’s a pretty solid matchup for Washington, who might just be able to take advantage of a bad secondary. But do we really think Taylor Heinicke can beat a great team with his arm? I think the key for us is stopping Minnesota’s offense, especially containing Justin Jefferson. If you force the Vikings to beat you on the ground, then it plays right into our defensive strength up front. If they gash us through the air, then it’s over. I think that’s the more likely scenario. That would be one hell of a way to lose to Kirk Cousins in his proverbial homecoming.
Raiders 23-20 Jaguars
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
Like the Bengals, I don’t think the Raiders are as bad as they showed us last week. It was pretty embarrassing, but they’re simply too talented to be that awful again. It doesn’t help that they’re back on the road for an east coast trip and a 1pm kick, but it does help that they’re facing one of the worst teams in the league. The Jaguars are only doing one thing well right now, and that’s letting Travis Etienne cook. But last week was indicative that they can’t just ride him to victory. I don’t think the Raiders defense is nearly as good as Denver’s, but I don’t think the Jags can win solely on the back of #1. They’ll have to rely on Trevor Lawrence to make plays, which I can’t bet on. In a game with two pretty bad teams, you have to side with the superior talent, which lies in silver and black.
Seahawks 27-21 Cardinals
Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX
This is a very tough pick to make. I feel very confident in Seattle and how they’ve played in recent weeks, including shutting down the Cardinals offense at home a few games ago. I simultaneously think that Arizona is better right now than they were in that game solely because of DeAndre Hopkins and his productivity since his return. However, I still like the Seahawks here purely based off their consistency. I know that Geno Smith is going to sling it and Kenneth Walker is going to run all over people. While I know that Kyler Murray and Hopkins will get their numbers, I don’t trust Arizona’s defense or their run game at all. They can’t win the game with only two players. Seattle’s defense will put up another solid game and the Seahawks will find a way to notch yet another win.
Buccaneers 20-17 Rams
Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS
Both of these teams have had quite the fall from grace since their classic in last year’s Divisional Round. The Rams boast one of the least productive offenses in the league including the second worst run game and a defense that continues to falter. The Buccaneers meanwhile have the worst run game, a QB who gets no favors from anyone, and a defense that is also struggling despite its talent. So, there will either be a lot of defense in this game or none at all. And there will be a lot of passes thrown. For that reason, picking the Bucs is fairly easy. They have the better QB, the better weapons, and the better defense. Oh, and they’re also at home off a mini-bye after playing last Thursday. I can’t put any faith in the Rams right now, especially with Cooper Kupp dealing with some ankle issues. He is their entire offense (hell, he’s their entire team), and if he can’t go or is less effective than usual, then they don’t stand a semblance of a chance. Tampa needs this win badly, and I think they’ll step up and make enough plays to finally snap their skid.
Chiefs 30-20 Titans
Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC
The Chiefs are virtually unbeatable off a bye. At home against a Titans team that nobody really feels great about in primetime, they should waltz to a win. For one, we still don’t know if Ryan Tannehill will return for Tennessee. If he does, then he’ll likely be limited. If he doesn’t, then Malik Willis gets the keys to the car for a second straight week after completing just six passes last week in an unconvincing win over Houston. I trust Derrick Henry to make this offense at least slightly productive, but on the road against a great Chiefs defense that’s starting to get healthy, it will be in vain. Patrick Mahomes and company should put up their usual fireworks. Look out for trade deadline acquisition WR Kadarius Toney to get involved and make some plays in his first game as a Chief.
Saints 26-23 Ravens
Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN
I feel like last week could have been the performance to get the Saints back on track, especially defensively. Stopping Lamar Jackson off a mini-bye isn’t an easy task, but I think at home in a primetime environment, they can muster up just enough to put up another solid performance. New Orleans’ offense is seemingly finding its groove as well now that Alvin Kamara is back to his dominant ways. I don’t think Baltimore’s defense can stop #41, and for what it’s worth, Andy Dalton has been solid for the Saints. He’s the inferior QB in this matchup, but Lamar’s weapons around him are dropping like flies and it’s hard to project who if anyone is going to contribute on a weekly basis. I just think this is a good matchup for the Saints, and it’s hard to pick against them at home in primetime. That’s going to be a raucous scene that could prove to be the difference.
The Titans used a dominant defensive performance to pull off one of the season’s most impressive victories on Sunday night against the Rams in LA. (h/t AP Photo, Ashley Landis)
1 – Cardinals (8-1) 1
The Cardinals are back on top, dethroning the Packers by proving they have something that Green Bay apparently does not: depth. And the Cards have it in bunches. Without Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Green, and J.J. Watt, in addition to losing Chase Edmonds on the first drive of the game, all Arizona did was waltz into the Bay and throw the 49ers all over the place. It was domination from start to finish, even with the fossil that is Colt McCoy leading the way under center. The offense got another huge hand from James Conner, who now has 11 touchdowns from scrimmage (all in his last 7 games) to take the league lead in that category. The defense continues to be dominant as well, forcing 3 turnovers. This is quickly becoming the deepest and potentially best roster in football. They deserve to be back at #1.
2 – Packers (7-2) 1
If you think the Packers deserved to be dropped significantly for their performance on Sunday, you either didn’t watch the game or you just don’t get this league. The worst part about their game was Jordan Love, who was a major disappointment. But… he’s the backup QB. And the man he backs up is the defending MVP. I didn’t think he’d struggle that much, but it was the kid’s first start in lieu of all of the off-the-field drama surrounding the franchise’s COVID policies (or lack thereof). In my opinion, the story of the game was the Packers defense, which was extremely impressive once again. This is a unit filled with studs, and they have more coming once they all get healthy. In my opinion, this is still the team to beat in the NFL, and once Aaron Rodgers is back, you’ll forget this week even happened, from an on-the-field standpoint, at least.
3 – Buccaneers (6-2) 2
Tampa won their bye week by watching some teams above them collapse, but also by getting much healthier. Both Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski should be back this week, giving the offense a huge boost. Not like they’ll need that against Washington of all teams.
4 – Titans (7-2) 3
I don’t know how this team does it. Through anything and everything, all the Titans do is win, win, win. Without their best player, Derrick Henry, on the road, facing one of the best teams in football on Sunday Night Football, Tennessee slammed their fist on the table and put together one of the most impressive wins of the season. The story of the game was their defense, which is suddenly an elite unit. Remember how I’ve been knocking this team for 2 years now for not having a pass rush? Yeah, throw that out of the window. This defensive front had their way with the Rams offensive line, namely Jeffrey Simmons, who had 3 sacks of his own. The secondary also continues to be lockdown, as Kevin Byard had a pick six, which was the second of two consecutive interceptions for the defense. The offense struggled as much as I thought they would, but it didn’t matter. They did what they had to do to get the job done. It’s a winning formula that can clearly work against some of the league’s elite. Even without Henry, this is just a winning football team. It’s honestly incredible to watch.
5 – Rams (7-2) 2
I did not see that coming. This team got a very harsh reality check on Sunday night for the entire country to see. It wasn’t pretty. I’m not entirely sure what happened to this offense, but they got stifled every time they had an opportunity to get something going. The defense didn’t do a terrible job, in fact they had a great game, holding the Titans to under 200 yards of offense. But the early turnovers were simply too much to overcome. They were facing a good defense themselves, but I’m so used to seeing the Rams be so great offensively that this was a disappointment. I still have plenty of faith in this team, and there’s no shame in losing to another great team like Tennessee, but they better get buttoned up to old form quickly in the hyper-competitive NFC.
6 – Ravens (6-2) 3
The Ravens are a team that I don’t know what to make of, but I have to love the way they play. They just find ways to win, and it all comes back to Lamar Jackson. He’s putting together a serious MVP campaign, and his ability to lead this team to victory in so many different ways is truly something to behold. He continues to have a great season through the air and on the ground, but he has also been able to bring this team back time after time, and Sunday was another brilliant example of that. This is a resilient bunch led by one of the most resilient QBs we have in this league, and their next man up mentality is working like a charm so far this season. The defense is still a major issue, but as long as Lamar keeps bailing them out, this team will continue to win games. I’d love to see more balance across the board, but this is working, so I can’t complain too much.
7 – Cowboys (6-2) 3
Everyone is allowed to lay a complete dud. This was the first dud of the Cowboys’ season. I think the biggest problem for this team on Sunday was Dak Prescott, who, in hindsight, probably shouldn’t have played in this game. He was terrible, as was the rest of the offense, which had no reason to get shut down by a Broncos team that just traded way its best defender. Dallas’ defensive woes also caught up to them in this game, as they were picked apart by Teddy Bridgewater of all QBs, and were also gashed on the ground to the tune of almost 200 rushing yards given up. I doubt we’ll see the Cowboys look this bad again, especially because Dak will only get healthier, but I think their defense might be their achilles heel once again moving forward. I can only sit back and laugh at those who crowned Trevon Diggs as their DPOY through 6 weeks because he was a pick magnet.
8 – Bills (5-3) 2
I have no idea what is going on with this team. Something is wrong with this offense. If I’m being honest… I think it’s Josh Allen. In recent weeks, he has been nothing short of terrible. The Josh Allen we got on Sunday was the version of him we were used to seeing before last year. Between terrible reads, awful throws, bone-headed decisions, a plethora of bad QB traits that Allen once had are beginning to rear their ugly heads once again. Buffalo’s defense is just fine, but Allen can’t continue to hold back this offense. With the Patriots catching up in the division and the wild card race looking as tight as ever, this team can’t afford for Allen to regress into his old self.
9 – Chargers (5-3) 2
That was a really nice win for the Chargers. It was a bit closer than I would’ve liked, but they got back on track with a much-needed W. I think the story of this team thus far is that they’re eliminating a lot of Charger-isms. They’ve been going on game-winning drives, milking clock late in games, kicking game-winning field goals, etc. Even if it doesn’t translate into immense success this season, you can tell things are trending upwards in LA. It helps when Justin Herbert is your QB. Herbert had one of the best QB games of the season, and he continues to be a complete treat to watch. The defense still needs to tighten up if this team wants to pull away in a conference littered with 5-win teams.
10 – Patriots (5-4) 3
I’d argue that no team in football is trending up more than the Patriots. We knew this team was good; that was evident in their fight in so many close losses. But now, they’re turning those close losses into impressive wins. The defense is still playing spectacularly, forcing turnovers and even getting in the endzone themselves. But, the story continues to be Mac Jones and this offense getting better and better as the season progresses. You can tell it’s getting easier and easier for this offense to do its thing with each game, and I don’t think they’ve even scratched the surface of their potential yet. Their schedule is extremely tough, but this New England team is going to make things extremely interesting in the back half of the season. I am incredibly intrigued to watch it play out.
11 – Steelers (5-3) 3
Pittsburgh is yet another team that is looking very, very good as of late. Yes, Monday night’s win was a little too close for comfort, but they were in cruise control for most of that game. The Bears deserve some credit for fighting back. This offense is playing good, efficient football, and the two star rookies Najee Harris and Pat Friermuth are a big reason for that. This defense is also still incredible, despite some slip-ups late in that game. This is just a solid team all around, and they have a good, winning formula. As long as they follow it, they should find themselves playing football in January.
12 – Browns (5-4) 5
The Browns are back. Or so I hope. Sunday’s victory was everything I’ve been looking for out of this team in 2021. We knew OBJ was a problem, but man, I have never seen a team change so much in the absence of a single player. Everyone on this team was on fire in Cincy on both sides of the ball. It was a complete and utter clinic. Donovan Peoples-Jones is emerging as a bonafide WR1, Nick Chubb is still one of the best backs in football, and Baker Mayfield is back to his late 2020 ways. Seriously, there aren’t a lot of offenses more fun to watch than this one when they play the way they did on Sunday. If the Browns can continue to play like this in the back half of the season, they can make a serious push in this division. I think they have what it takes.
13 – Bengals (5-4) 5
Sigh. Everything was so good just a few weeks ago. Back-to-back bad losses for this team have them falling in the standings, as the once-first-seeded Bengals now sit in dead last in the AFC North. Still, I have a lot of faith in this team. Joe Burrow is as resilient as they come, and this upcoming bye week should help them refocus and get back on track in the second half. I am concerned with Cincy’s defense, which seems to be regressing into its old self. This is an explosive offense, but they cannot afford to be weighed down by a defense that gives up big play after big play. The second half schedule is absolutely killer. The Bengals need to figure it out this week if they want to remain afloat in this wild playoff race.
14 – Colts (4-5) 1
I won’t go crazy over the Colts blowing out Josh Johnson and the Jets, but I was still impressed with what I saw on Thursday night. The story continues to be Jonathan Taylor and his awesome play as he continues quickly emerging into one of the NFL’s best backs. This defense also found themselves getting back on track, but again, it was Josh Johnson. I still think this is a very solid team all around, and as long as Carson Wentz is playing with his head on his shoulders, they will find themselves winning games. They can only hope that he doesn’t throw the season away.
15 – Saints (5-3) 3
Ok, I am being a bit harsh to the Saints. They showed a ton of fight and resilience to be able to come back and take a late lead on Sunday. But, I have two problems with what I saw in that game. For one, they should never have even been in that position against a team like the Falcons. Secondly, they should not have given up that game-winning drive. You guys know how much I love this defense. Where were they on Sunday? They stifled the run game to just 23 yards, but Matt Ryan threw for 343 yards and had his way with the secondary all game long. I know that’s the weaker link of the defense, but come on now. I do think this team will be fine, but it’s still so hard to get a read on them.
16 – Raiders (5-3) 6
The Raiders are like Groundhog Day. It’s just the same thing over and over and over again with this team. It’s unbelievably tiring, and I’m not even a fan of this team. They started out the season red hot? Oh, that just means they’ll fall off and return to mediocrity. Their former first rounders are emerging into stars? Nope, they have off the field issues and are no longer on the team. Derek Carr is playing like an MVP candidate? Nah, he’ll flutter against the Giants. It happens every single season. This is a 9 win team at best and that’s all I can say about them. I refuse to continue to be fooled. I’m done taking the Raiders seriously.
17 – Chiefs (5-4) 1
Was I supposed to be impressed with the Chiefs’ win on Sunday? For the second straight week, KC put together an uninspiring win that makes us feel worse about the team. Only scoring 13 points with all of that offensive talent is just inexcusable, even against a defense as good as Green Bay’s. I will say that I was impressed with Kansas City’s own defensive performance, but they were facing Jordan Love, not Aaron Rodgers. Had Rodgers been playing, this game would have been a wash. This team is still bad and has no redeeming qualities, and I will not be fooled by a couple of unimpressive wins.
18 – Seahawks (3-5) 3
Seattle is another team that won their bye week by likely getting Russell Wilson back from injury ahead of a pivotal matchup against the Packers. With Russ back, perhaps the Seahawks can turn their season around. I doubt it’ll happen, but at least we don’t have to watch Geno Smith play anymore.
19 – Broncos (5-4) 3
I genuinely have no idea where any of that game from. None. For the first time since Week 3, the Broncos looked impressive. Their defense was spectacular against a seemingly unstoppable Cowboys offense, and their own offense had their way in both the passing and running game all day long. They were severely underestimated by everyone, which was for a good reason, but came out and proved us all wrong. I’m not expecting to see Denver do this again this season, but good for them to shut us all up for a week.
20 – Vikings (3-5) 1
Ok. This is getting really tiring. I still believe this team is better than their record, but I’m waving the white flag with them. If they were truly better than their record, perhaps they’d actually be winning all of these games that they manage to lose. Good teams don’t fumble games away, miss game-winning kicks, lose to Cooper Rush, or throw away double digit leads. It’s as simple as that. This team just isn’t good enough to get over the hill that they have constructed in front of themselves. There are plenty of people to blame, and pointing fingers is a waste of time. Sometimes, you just gotta look inward.
21 – Eagles (3-6) 2
I’d say the Eagles are in the midst of a best case scenario season. They’re showing flashes and their young pieces are playing well, yet they’re still losing and heading towards multiple top draft selections. Great success! I like what I’m seeing from this team on both sides of the ball, and I think this rebuild is going well. That’s more than can be said about some of their division counterparts. This is honestly a decent team that can give anyone a fight and win games on any given Sunday.
22 – Falcons (4-4) 2
Yes, the Falcons picked up a very nice division win on Sunday. No, I don’t really care. I still have plenty of problems with this team, and a couple of wins isn’t going to magically erase them. This isn’t a playoff team despite currently being in the playoff picture. That’s why theres 9 more games left to be played. I will admit that the Falcons are playing a lot better than I though they would be, but I still don’t see it with this team, despite being at .500. Beat a bonafide good team at full strength and then we’ll talk.
23 – 49ers (3-5) 5
Like their once-fellow Bay Area residents, I am done with this team. How do you get blown out at home by the Cardinals B team offense? Yes, that is still a solid B team, but there’s no excuse for the 49ers to have played as poorly as they did on Sunday. Just none. Both sides of the ball are falling apart and this season is going nowhere fast. Even when Trey Lance is ready to play, it won’t magically solve all the other issues with this team. It’s just going to be another lost season in the Bay. They better hope Lance is as good as they think.
24 – Bears (3-6) 2
Like the Eagles, the Bears are in a good spot right now. They clearly have their franchise QB in Justin Fields, who played what was easily his best game as a pro on Monday night. He delivered throw after throw with extreme accuracy, took several hits and got back up, and led a clutch go-ahead drive that their defense subsequently threw away. But, as long as Fields continues to grow and impress and this team continues to lose, I’d say they’re doing well. I’m not some sort of tanking advocate, but I do recognize when losing has its advantages. Good losses are perhaps the best thing a team like the Bears can ask for.
25 – Giants (3-6)
I’ll admit, I was impressed with the Giants this week. I knew they’d play the Raiders close, but to beat them outright was something I didn’t see coming. It was largely thanks to another great defensive performance, as that side of the ball continues to prove its worth. The offense doesn’t have anything going for it, but the other side of the ball is playing extremely well. Good for them. They should look into fixing the offense, though. Just a suggestion.
26 – Panthers (4-5) 6
I could be overreacting here, but things are definitely cooked in Carolina. Remember that great defense they had a month ago? They’re still falling apart each and every week? Remember the 3 weeks that Sam Darnold was good? Now he’s playing like the worst starting QB in football. And to make matters worse, he’ll miss at least a month with a shoulder issue. So, even with Christian McCaffrey back, this offense is doomed. P.J. Walker is a solid backup, but he can’t salvage this absolute mess. I don’t know if anyone can.
27 – Jaguars (2-6) 2
How can you not feel good for this team? That was an awesome win for a franchise that needs as many as they can come by. You can tell this team has an energy that so many other bottom-of-the-barrel teams don’t, and Urban Meyer might just be proving that he can really do this in the NFL. I’m happy for him and the rest of this team. I enjoy watching them all succeed. Just don’t throw away a top 5 pick.
28 – Washington (2-6) 1
Last week was my favorite in the season because I didn’t have to subject myself to the torture of watching this team play. Unfortunately, they return to action this Sunday for an inevitable blowout at the hands of Tom Brady. At least it’ll be fun to watch him play.
29 – Jets (2-6) 1
Life’s too short to kick the Jets while they’re down. I have relished in that a lot over the years, but I won’t do that this week. Getting stomped by a good team after your starting QB gets hurt is nothing to be ashamed of. I hope Mike White gets healthy soon, because he actually makes this team somewhat watchable.
30 – Dolphins (2-7)
Congrats to the Dolphins on winning the worst game of the season on paper. Maybe if they had left any sort of impression on the field other than the fact that they’re still terrible, they’d get moved up a bit this week. But that’s not happening. A 17-9 win over the Texans is disgusting. At least they can say that they won.
31 – Lions (0-8)
For the first week this season, the Lions didn’t lose a game! Good for them. We’ll see how many similar weeks they have in 2021.
Former Packers 1st round pick Jordan Love is being thrown into the fire in his first career start on Sunday, taking on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. (h/t Getty Images)
We are officially at the midway point of the season. With 18 weeks, Week 9 is a definitive median, and with almost half the season behind us, there’s still plenty of questions that need to answer themselves. This season is only getting wilder and more confusing, and the second half should be a ton of fun. I had my worst week ever last week, going 6-9; I can’t remember ever having a week with a losing record (thanks, backup QBs). My season total now sits at 76-45. Hopefully this week brings better results. Let’s get into the picks:
Colts 30-20 Jets
Thursday, 8:20 PM EST, FOX
This isn’t exactly the best primetime game ever, but if the Jets play like they did last week, then this could be fun. Mike White looked awesome as the starting QB, throwing for over 400 yards, and he’ll get another chance to prove himself on national TV. Unfortunately, I don’t see him replicating that performance. The Colts have been solid lately, and although they lost a heartbreaker last week, I think they’ll be fired up to get back on track. Carson Wentz, despite last week’s mistakes, has been very good, and this defense isn’t going to play that poorly again, especially against an anemic offense like New York has.
Bengals 24-20 Browns
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
The Browns are back to being one of the biggest messes in the NFL thanks to some off the field drama involving Odell Beckham Jr. (and his dad apparently). The former star WR didn’t get traded before the deadline, but it surely looks like his time in Cleveland is up. Moreover, this team looked like a mess on the field last week, and I’m not sure what it’ll take to get them back on track. The Bengals are hoping to avoid losing back to back games and fall further back in the division race, and I think that fire under them will push them over the top in a game like this. I just don’t see the Browns fixing their problems before Sunday.
Cowboys 28-13 Broncos
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
No matter who starts at QB for Dallas on Sunday (it will likely be Dak Prescott), it should be smooth sailing all game long. The Broncos have been terrible on both sides of the ball since the calendar flipped to September. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have been playing like one of the NFL’s best teams, even when Cooper Rush is under center. There’s no need to overthink this one. If Dak plays, then this one could get really ugly. I expect to see another huge day out of the Dallas offense, and their defense should make some more big plays as well.
Dolphins 17-10 Texans
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
Is this going to be the worst game of the year? It certainly has the potential. These are arguably the two worst teams in football, but someone has to win. I’ll take the less horrible team, which has to be the Dolphins. They may be terrible, but they haven’t looked as lifeless as the Texans have. They’re certainly capable of winning a game like this simply because they have talent on the field, which is more than Houston can say. All I know about this one is that I have no interest in watching a single second of it.
Saints 26-17 Falcons
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
This could be fun. The Saints are 5-2 and on fire coming off 3 straight wins including last week’s upset of the Buccaneers. Even after losing Jameis Winston to an ACL tear, I have confidence in this team to win with backup QB Trevor Siemian. The Saints have shown us time and time again that they can win plenty of games with backup QBs. This will be much less of a challenge than last week for him. The Falcons looked like they were picking up some sort of steam, but they laid one of their biggest duds of the season last week against Carolina. While I don’t think they’ll look that lifeless again this week against their biggest rival, I certainly don’t trust them a whole lot against a defense as great as New Orleans’ is. As long as Siemian remains efficient and this offense does its job, this should be smooth sailing for the Saints.
Raiders 28-19 Giants
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
The Raiders continue to deal with more insanity off the field than any other team on Earth, but I don’t think that will affect them too much in a game this easy. The Giants have been a scrappy team this season, but they never seem to be able to actually pull any upsets (barring their Week 4 win in NOLA). The Raiders are coming off a bye and even without Henry Ruggs III, their offense should be able to do just fine against this stout New York defense. Even if they’re stifled a bit, we all know the Giants offense isn’t good enough to win them any games.
Patriots 24-14 Panthers
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
These two teams couldn’t be heading in more different directions. The Patriots are playing some great football lately and finally figuring themselves out offensively, leading to some efficient performances backed by a great defense. The Panthers meanwhile, are falling apart at the seams on both sides of the ball. They don’t have a pulse offensively without Christian McCaffrey, who might be coming back this week, but even if he does, I don’t think they have what it takes to beat a defense this solid. New England is shutting down the likes of Justin Herbert. I don’t think they’ll have many problems with Sam Darnold.
Bills 40-6 Jaguars
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS
I know, I know. Every time I predict one of these massive blowouts it always comes back to bite me. But I am so sure of this one. I promise you guys. The Jaguars couldn’t even move the ball on the Seahawks. The Seahawks! Why should I even have them scoring points against the best statistical defense in football? I’ve never been more confident in a blowout in my life. In fact, I genuinely believe this will be a shutout. I just don’t have the cajones to pick it.
Ravens 28-27 Vikings
Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX
I honestly think this will be the most fun game of the week. I don’t want to keep propping up the Vikings, but against a Ravens defense this bad, I have to. I don’t think the bye week magically fixed this porous Baltimore secondary, so the Vikes’ offensive weapons should be able to put up their usual numbers in this one. However, I don’t think it’ll be enough to overcome Lamar Jackson on the other side of the football. I think the Ravens realize how important every game is becoming with the Ravens and Bengals right on their heels in the division, and I don’t think they’ll drop this one. Their offense should do enough to carry them to victory. If their defense plays even a smidge above their usual par, then this shouldn’t be too much trouble.
Chargers 26-19 Eagles
Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS
The Chargers have no business playing a team like the Eagles close. That’s exactly why I think this will be a close game. LA has been fairly disappointing in recent weeks, and against a Philly team coming off a blowout win, albeit against the Lions, I think this one could be tight. Even if it isn’t close throughout the course of the game, you know the Eagles will do enough late to make thins interesting. I don’t see any way the Chargers end up losing this game, sheerly based off their superior talent on both sides of the ball, but they better hope that talent plays like they were earlier this season. They need to pick things up ASAP, and this should be a great opportunity for them to do so.
Packers 27-24 Chiefs
Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX
Man. We’re really never getting a State Farm Bowl are we? Once again, the Packers and Chiefs are playing each other, but Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes are not. Rodgers, thanks to either lying about his vaccination status or just sheer bad luck, will miss this game with COVID-19, so it’ll be the former first rounder Jordan Love under center for his first start and meaningful snaps of his professional career. And still, the Packers will win this game. I’m taking two factors into account here. The first one is that the Chiefs aren’t very good. They’re not good at all to be honest. Their defense has been arguably the worst in football, which is well documented at this point, and their offense is a fraction of what it once was. The second is that this seems to be the year of the backup QB. The Packers drafted Love in the first round for a reason. He surely has what it takes to play in this league, right? And in a year that backup QBs have looked like world beaters, what’s to stop him from tearing up a terrible defense? Unlike last week, Green Bay will have all of their offensive weapons at their disposal. So, all Love has to do is feed Davante Adams and Aaron Jones, and the defense should do the rest, shutting down a sorry KC offense.
Cardinals 23-20 49ers
Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX
The first time these teams met, it was Trey Lance’s first start for the 49ers, and it was honestly a lot closer than I expected. With Jimmy Garoppolo under center, I think it’ll be even closer. Sometimes in these division matchups, teams just play you really close and you can’t explain it. That’s what San Francisco does to Arizona, apparently. That being said, I see the same outcome as last time. The Cardinals are just the better team, and I don’t think they’ll be too keen on dropping back-to-back games after starting the season 7-0. Kyler and company should do enough to get the job done against a solid Niners team.
Rams 31-20 Titans
Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC
This game had so much promise. Up until this past Monday, I was looking forward to this one more than almost any other game this season. But, without Derrick Henry on the field for the Titans, I don’t see it being very close. The Rams are arguably the best team in the league, and they just got better with the acquisition of Von Miller. A Titans team without their best player (by a longshot) shouldn’t be too much of a challenge. Their defense still isn’t all that, so it should be another field day for Matt Stafford and the Rams offense. I think this game will teach us a lot about what the Titans are going to be without Henry. It’s going to be their toughest test of the season, so how will they overcome? I think Mike Vrabel is a great coach that has what it takes to keep his team on a winning path, but only time will tell how the next couple of months go in Tennessee.
Steelers 24-10 Bears
Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN
This looks like another Monday night snoozefest on paper, and to be fair, it probably will be. But, I don’t think it’ll be completely unwatchable. The Steelers are playing some good football as of late, and this Bears team shouldn’t be too much of a challenge for them. I’m honestly dreading seeing this Chicago offensive line deal with the Pittsburgh defensive front for 60 minutes. It’s going to be another ugly showing for Justin Fields and the Bears offense simply because the Steelers defense is going to be all over them. So, Big Ben and the offense won’t have to do too much to get what should be a seamless win in primetime.