Post-Week 4 Power Rankings

With a month of the NFL season in the books, the picture couldn’t be muddier. There are clear-cut teams at the top and bottom, but everything in between is one big beautiful mess.

Cover photo taken from Imagn Images.

1 – Bills (4-0)

Simply the NFL’s most well-oiled machine.

They can sleepwalk to any win against an inferior opponent. And while they’re going to get a test from the Patriots on Sunday, it’s hard to see the Bills dropping any game in the month of October. The offense is first in dropback and rush EPA for crying out loud!

2 – Eagles (4-0) 3

The Eagles have proven that they can win in any which way in just four short weeks, and it’s infuriating.

One week Jalen Hurts lights up the second half of a game, and the next, he doesn’t complete a pass in the third and fourth quarters. And the Eagles still win comfortably. And that’s going to continue to be the case until it’s not.

Just to put things in perspective: Philadelphia has the fourth-worst yardage margin in the league, being outgained by nearly 400 yards in 2025. And they’re 4-0 anyways.

3 – Lions (3-1) 1

The Lions are probably the hottest team in the league right now in the sense that there’s no one I want to play less.

They are absolutely humming on both sides of the ball; the offense is self-explanatory, but they’re getting healthy on defense with Alim McNeil on his way back while Aidan Hutchinson continues to play out of his mind. They should wax Cincy this week before a fascinating SNF showdown in Kansas City.

4 – Rams (3-1) 3

We’re transparently seeing the high-level Rams that we were promised in the offseason.

While Matt Stafford, Puka Nacua and Davante Adams have this offense playing at a blistering level, the defense is finally starting to come into its own as the young bucks up front get after it — plus, the secondary has been a pleasant surprise.

The NFC West is pretty solid, but it’s still really hard to give the top spot to anyone but LA as long as they get MVP production out of Stafford and OPOY — if not record-setting — production out of Nacua.

5 – Packers (2-1-1) 1

So, what’s going on exactly? The defense that looked like world beaters for three weeks just turned into a bunch of traffic cones. Is that an aberration or a sign of things to come? Packer fans better hope it’s the former.

At least the offense is fine, but there are two areas that I still have concerns about: Jordan Love’s decision-making and Matt LaFleur’s playcalling. I guess they go hand-in-hand, because LaFleur is being way too conservative on first and second down. Is that to keep the training wheels on Love and stop him from doing stupid things? Maybe. If so, it’s working, but it’s also limiting this offense against defenses worth a damn.

6 – Chiefs (2-2) 5

Rumors of the demise of the Chiefs were greatly exaggerated. Turns out when a team gets their best offensive players back, they return to form. Who would’ve thunk it?

I do recognize that the Ravens defense would give up 30 to your high school’s JV team, but the performance that Kansas City put forth on offense on Sunday is the kind that can galvanize them moving forward, particularly when Rashee Rice gets back in two weeks. The run game still might be a concern, but I don’t care as long as Patrick Mahomes is back there doing that.

7 – Chargers (3-1) 5

The offensive line is not just a concern, it’s a massive one — the kind that can eventually derail this season.

We rarely see teams overcome such incompetence up front, especially when you lose each elite tackle. Joe Alt will return at some point, but while he’s out, I have serious doubts that the Chargers can keep Justin Herbert protected enough to continue the MVP trajectory that we saw in the first few weeks, nor can we continue to see the emergence of Omarion Hampton, though the defense should keep them in most games.

8 – Buccaneers (3-1) 2

Sunday’s loss to Philly pretty much reaffirmed how I feel about the Bucs: they’re a very good team who needs to get healthy and avoid the odd mistake by their QB.

I really like Baker Mayfield, as we all do, but his propensity to make mistakes in an effort to be Superman — when he really doesn’t need to be — can come back and bite like they did on that endzone interception. On the flip side, he made play after play to try and come back in that game. You gotta take the good with the bad, I suppose. A more calculated Baker and a sharper defense will go a long way.

9 – Colts (3-1) 1

Like Tampa, Sunday really strengthened how I feel about the Colts. I think this offense is legit, and I think this defense is good enough to compete with the league’s best offenses.

Hell, if Adonai Mitchell doesn’t drop the ball out of the endzone on what would’ve been one of the best plays of the season or doesn’t commit a hold on an incredible Jonathan Taylor touchdown run, the Colts would be 4-0 and maybe in the top-5.

We may all be waiting for the other shoe to drop with Daniel Jones, who did throw two picks on Sunday. But maybe it just… won’t?

10 – Seahawks (3-1) 5

An elite defense, a wildly efficient quarterback, a hyper-productive wide receiver and a consistent rushing attack makes for a real contender. That’s what we’re looking at with Seattle.

Sam Darnold has been brilliant, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is an early contender for OPOY, and like I’ve been saying, that defense is blowing me away. Thursday night’s game was only close because of the end-of-game shenanigans, and the Seahawks still pulled it out due to their elite QB-WR duo. If they can continue this form, Seattle is going to be a force in the NFC.

11 – Broncos (2-2) 1

Nice to know you guys can dispatch of Jake Browning and the Bengals. Just had to make sure.

The Broncos have been about what I’ve expected: the defense is playing well, the rushing game has been extremely consistent and Bo Nix has been… fine. Monday night was probably his best game of the season, but for some reason, I still feel like we need to see some more juice out of him. Maybe that’s asking for too much.

12 – Commanders (2-2) 2

This defense is officially a problem. That’s not something I expected to say after Week 1, but we’ve now seen three consecutive lackluster performances out of that unit, particularly on the backend.

Sunday was the first time I saw the defensive line get pushed around, but I’m hoping that doesn’t become a trend. But the secondary getting torched? That’s the new norm. Marshon Lattimore is absolute BBQ chicken, Mike Sainristil is having a dreadful season — though he had a nice interception — and the losses of guys like Will Harris are very much felt.

The good news? The best defender on the team is Jayden Daniels. And he’s coming back this week. That will help the defense tremendously. For as good as Marcus Mariota has been in relief — and he’s been outstanding — he doesn’t make the difference that No. 5 does. With Daniels back, the Commanders should be able to string together drives for longer and give their defense more rest, all while putting more points on the board.

This offense clearly isn’t the problem, and Kliff Kingsbury is really earning his money this season. Daniels being back gives them the ability to win shootouts, which Washington will apparently have to do in bunches to succeed.

13 – Jaguars (3-1) 6

Two main things: this defense is playing at an incredible level, but it’s not sustainable. That being said, it doesn’t have to be! The offense has been meticulously crafted to run the ball at will and let Trevor Lawrence do the rest without being too reckless. That’s a winning formula.

How long will it continue? Who knows. This defense has the talent to continue playing at an elite level, even if they don’t force four turnovers a game. Devin Lloyd is playing at an All-Pro caliber, and the tandem of him and Foye Oluokun is the best LB duo in football right now. If the offense keeps doing its thing, this is a clear-cut playoff contender.

14 – Ravens (1-3) 5

It’s far too early to declare that it’s over. But man, we are dangerously approaching that territory.

Defense can’t stop a scarecrow in an open field? Check. Derrick Henry is being completely ignored in the offense? Check. And now, an injury to Lamar Jackson that could sideline him for close to a month? Boy, it might get late early in Baltimore.

This was apparently never a championship team with this defense. But losing Lamar could put them even further behind the 8-ball with the Texans and Rams coming up. I don’t doubt that a late push with Jackson can get them back in the thick of things, but the Ravens have dug themselves a hole that’s going to be very, very difficult to get out of.

15 – 49ers (3-1) 2

It has been a month and I still have no clue what the 49ers are. It doesn’t matter who starts at QB, who’s on the injury list or who’s out on the field. I just don’t know.

I guess we know that Christian McCaffrey is still a beast and that Ricky Pearsall has truly emerged as a WR1. But any given week, we don’t know who’s going to line up under center or what version of this young defense we’re going to get. This team just isn’t trustworthy right now, even with a great record.

16 – Falcons (2-2) 1

It was a predictable bounce-back, but an emphatic one. Good for Michael Penix Jr. and this offense to get back on track with that performance, which was by far the best of his career thus far.

Getting lost in the equation here is the defense putting up arguably their worst game of the young season, but they were sharp on third down and tightened up when they needed to. That’s worth a lot, even if they gave up 27 points.

If Atlanta can get the best out of both sides of the ball, they’ll look much closer to the team we saw in Week 1, for example, rather than Week 3.

17 – Cardinals (2-2) 1

I would like to believe that the Cardinals we saw in the fourth quarter on Thursday night could be the Cardinals we see more consistently. But I just don’t think that’s going to happen. I’d love to be proven wrong, though!

With all the injuries in the backfield, a lot of the responsibility will be on Kyler Murray and the passing game. If Marvin Harrison Jr. can carry some positive momentum into the future, it’ll make a world of difference.

18 – Steelers (3-1) 2

Yeah, I just don’t care. The Steelers are the most nothing team in the NFL to me right now; I’m not moved by a 3-1 record when they are so damn unwatchable.

Aaron Rodgers has been… fine, I guess? The defense is playing better in the last two weeks, but that could be more due to the incompetence of the offenses they’ve faced. But, most importantly, this team is now in the driver’s seat in the AFC North, which is just gross. I don’t want to watch this team in January, but we just might have to… again.

19 – Vikings (2-2) 5

This is a good team just about everywhere but quarterback. And we’re seeing firsthand how much that can hold a team back. Missing Sam Darnold yet, are we?

Minnesota’s defense is good enough to keep them in every game, but this level of QB play is going to stunt them all year long. We’ll see if JJ McCarthy can take a leap when he returns from injury. I won’t get my hopes up on that front.

20 – Texans (1-3)

NFL teams playing the Tennessee Titans is the equivalent of when SEC teams play Chattanooga and Mercer in September before conference play. It serves as nothing more than a tune-up. Sunday’s shutout win showed me nothing I didn’t already know about the Texans: their defense is great, and their offense is not, largely due to their offensive line.

That being said, the emergence of Woody Marks is extremely promising. If they can unlock their rookie RB, it will go a very long way to take some pressure off CJ Stroud and the passing game. But, there are no promises behind that OL.

21 – Cowboys (1-2-1) 1

Dak Prescott is legitimately playing at an MVP caliber right now. I’m not convinced there’s a better QB in football at the moment, and this is probably the highest level he’s played at in at least two years, if not his entire career.

And yet, it doesn’t matter. This is a historically bad defense, particularly against the pass, and it negates any chance the Cowboys have of being a threat. And that’s honestly a damn shame.

22 – Bears (2-2) 1

Caleb Williams was not very good on Sunday, but he made some very nice plays, and those proved to be the difference in the game. Well, that and the game-winning field goal being blocked. Comme ci, comme ça.

In any case, this defense stinks. The offense is seemingly finding a groove, but it’s been against two horrendous defenses. So, I still don’t have a lot of faith in this squad moving forward. I’ll be at their first game on the other side of the bye, so I really, really hope this doesn’t come back to bite.

23 – Patriots (2-2)

Credit where credit is due: Drake Maye is playing at a very high level right now. But, the training wheels are clearly still on, and his best performances have come against some of the worst teams in the league.

Sunday Night Football in Buffalo is going to tell us all we need to know about this team. I’m actually really interested to see if they’re up to the task.

24 – Giants (1-3) 2

Jaxson Dart being inserted into the lineup brought exactly what I thought it would to the Giants: life. This team played and coached with a sense of juice that has been lacking in New York for a while. So, good for them.

Losing Malik Nabers for the season is brutal beyond description, though. I feel terrible for him. He is completely irreplaceable, and I hope he recovers swiftly. I don’t have a lot of faith in the Giants offense moving forward without him.

25 – Raiders (1-3)

Yeah, I’m ready to stick a fork in this experiment. Geno Smith is as erratic as ever, Pete Carroll has been a shell of the coach we once knew, and this defense is a joke.

Yes, they finally seem to have unlocked Ashton Jeanty despite his alleged lack of an “it-factor.” Cough, cough. But I don’t think that’s enough to save this trainwreck.

26 – Bengals (2-2) 2

Okay, this one is definitely over. Throw in the towel. Jake Browning is so far from the answer that he shouldn’t even be an option anymore. I don’t know what other choice the Bengals have, though. And that sucks.

Gotta feel bad for Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. At least they got those contracts in.

27 – Browns (1-3)

What will handing the keys over to Dillon Gabriel do to elevate this offense? My money’s on absolutely freakin’ nothing.

28 – Dolphins (1-3) 2

Finally, a win! All it took was… Tyreek Hill suffering a gruesome leg injury that could derail his entire career. I hate it.

Maybe the Fins have found something in post-retirement Darren Waller. Who knows. De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle and even Malik Washington comprise a solid set of weapons, too. But I still don’t expect much out of this squad.

29 – Panthers (1-3) 1

I think we’re approaching the tail end of the Bryce Young experiment. I don’t know that it’s anyone’s fault but his own, but I don’t think that Carolina can continue to trot him out in confidence for much longer. They should be squarely in the conversation to bring in a quarterback this offseason.

30 – Jets (0-4) 1

The Jets feel simultaneously better than their winless record and deserving of it. Their offense simply has a low ceiling with Justin Fields at the helm, and the defense clearly isn’t good enough to make up for it.

I know this was never going to be a season worth a damn in New York. I just hope it’s not a complete disaster. We’ll see what this Aaron Glenn experiment spits out.

31 – Saints (0-4) 1

Full marks for competitiveness. That’s about it. That first win will come eventually, I promise!

32 – Titans (0-4) 1

I can’t say the same about you. That first win feels like it’s on Mars right now.

But hey, don’t take my word for it. Take Cam Ward’s.

Week 4 Picks

Star-studded rivalries, revenge games, new uniform debuts and an international game make Week 4’s slate arguably the most fascinating one of the young NFL season. Here’s how I see it playing out.

Cover photo taken from NBC4.

Last Week: 8-8

Season Total: 29-19

Seahawks 23-20 Cardinals

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

The Cardinals might be the better-dressed team in this game, but the Seahawks are the better football team.

The way Seattle is humming on both sides of the ball gives me plenty of faith that they’ll get this done on the road. I just feel more comfortable with them than Arizona, whose identity-less offense might be in for a long night against a defense that’s punching above its weight and only getting healthier.

Vikings 16-13 Steelers

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Network

Ah yes, I love waking up to Aaron Rodgers and Carson Wentz hoops in Dublin, Ireland. Nothing like it!

Simply put, in an international game where anything goes, I’ll take the team with the defense that I trust. That’s Minnesota; low bar against the Steelers unit, but Brian Flores is coaching his tail off right now, and Wentz will make it work on the other side of the ball. I don’t really like what Pittsburgh has on across the board.

Falcons 20-17 Commanders

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

This is subject to change, but I’m writing this with the assumption that neither Jayden Daniels nor Terry McLaurin will play in this game for the Commanders. Even with the polar opposite performances these squads had a week ago, that’s a pretty big deal for Washington.

Marcus Mariota is obviously a tremendous backup, but playing without your top two WRs, your best blocking tight end and your starting right guard against a very talented defense is not a recipe for success. Yes, we have some guys on offense that can step up and make plays, and they’ll have to for us to pull this out. And yes, our defense is hooping. But this really feels like a spot where the Falcons get right after last week’s debacle in a lower-scoring affair.

Bills 31-13 Saints

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Next!

Lions 24-10 Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Let’s hope this week’s survivor pick (Detroit) winds up being less stressful than last week’s (Tampa Bay).

The Browns defense is awesome, but the Lions are on a crazy roll right now. No one should want to be in their way.

Patriots 26-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Realistically, the Patriots should win this game comfortably. They’ve been more consistent, they have better QB play and they should be getting Christian Gonzalez back on defense. But, New England hasn’t been able to stay out of its own way this season, which will always leave the door open for any team to beat them.

Luckily for the Pats, I don’t think the Panthers pose too much of a threat. Last week was more of an aberration than anything else, and the score doesn’t totally reflect the way things went for their offense. Maybe this will be the game Bryce Young looks legit. But I doubt it.

Chargers 23-13 Giants

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

This is a suboptimal spot for Jaxson Dart to make his NFL debut under center for the Giants. Not only are the Chargers a damn good team, but New York might be without Malik Nabers after he got rocked on SNF.

I don’t think this is the time that Brian Daboll wanted to trot out his first-round QB, but they didn’t have a choice. Unfortunately, I don’t think Dart has what it takes to do this in his first game. The Chargers defense likely sees food right now.

Eagles 27-24 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

The universe couldn’t have chosen a funnier time for these teams to face off. Each of them has gotten to 3-0 by the skin of their teeth and we have questions about both, but it sets up for a hell of a contest on Sunday.

More than anything, I’m expecting points in this game. These offenses are crazy good even with Tampa Bay dealing with injury upon injury on that side of the ball. I actually trust the Bucs defense more than the Eagles’ at this point, but we know what Philly’s is capable of at any given moment.

In any case, I’m going to continue to pick the Eagles until they lose because they’re simply going to keep on pulling these out for as long as they can. That’s the story of this team through the first three weeks, and while I can’t wait for it to end, I’m going to ride the coattails for as long as they’re there.

Texans 23-17 Titans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Someone’s gotta win. Something’s gotta give.

If the Titans won this game, I wouldn’t be remotely surprised. The Texans offense is so dreadful that anyone can beat them simply by putting enough points on the board. But, that Houston defense is still legit, and I think that’s going to make things even more difficult on Cam Ward and this Tennessee offense. They’ll put up a fight, but I don’t know that they have what it takes to get it done in the end.

Rams 23-20 Colts

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

A month ago, I did not expect this game to be appointment television, but here are. Dare I say: it’s the best game of the late window! Because at least both of these teams are playing at a high level and not relying on their brands and reputations for respect.

More than anything, I’m interested to see if the Rams are capable of doing something that nobody has through three weeks: slow down Daniel Jones and the Colts offense. If we see the LA defense that showed up for two quarters and change in Philadelphia last week, then they should be able to contain Jones, Jonathan Taylor and company. If not, this could turn into a shootout very quickly, because the Rams secondary could be susceptible to a big play or two from this incandescent Indianapolis offense.

I think it’ll be a blend of both. Each offense will get their game off, each defense will make a play or two. It boils down to me simply trusting the Rams a little more in this situation. I feel like we’re all waiting for the Colts to return to Earth. Maybe that won’t happen at all, but this does feel like the spot where they get their first loss.

49ers 19-16 Jaguars

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

It’s so hard to get a read on this game with the state of the 49ers roster. Injuries everywhere have us doubting whether they could be without their starting QB and top three WRs. That’s just insane.

I do think Brock Purdy will return to action here, but I don’t know about Ricky Pearsall or Jauan Jennings. But still, I trust the Niners more at home, even against a Jags D that’s playing some good ball right now. I think Purdy and Christian McCaffrey will do just enough on offense, and the young San Francisco defense will continue to make some plays to eke out a win that looks eerily similar to the one last week.

And if the 49ers sit at 4-0 after everything they’ve had to deal with, it’ll be astounding.

Chiefs 24-20 Ravens

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

I just don’t know, man. What’s the read on this game?

The Ravens are the better team. But the Chiefs are the Chiefs. Though, Kansas City isn’t really their usual self right now. However, they’re getting Xavier Worthy back, which will drastically change their offensive outlook against a so-so Baltimore defense. And Derrick Henry has a fumbling issue. But surely that can’t continue. And Lamar Jackson is amazing, but the Ravens haven’t been able to win these games. But the Chiefs haven’t been able to run the ball. Although, Baltimore can’t really stop the run. But they can’t be 1-3, right? But the Chiefs can’t either, right?!

I’m literally being pulled in a million different directions. So, I’m just going with the gut feel and taking the Chiefs because I have no other ideas.

Bears 26-23 Raiders

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

This could feasibly be the highest-scoring game of Week 4 considering how neither of these pass defenses inspire a lot of confidence. If anything, it’ll be a passing extravaganza with both of these rushing offenses being complete non-factors through three weeks.

I’m begrudgingly leaning Chicago here because momentum is on their side. For what it’s worth, they’ve been a more consistent offense than Vegas, and Caleb Williams is coming off his best game as a pro. I think he and his buddy Rome Odunze can parlay that into another big game here against a Raiders team that’s a bit lost and confused at the moment.

Packers 31-14 Cowboys

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Micah Parsons revenge game storyline completely shrouds the fact that this game should not be remotely close. The Cowboys defense is a complete disaster, they just lost their best player on offense in CeeDee Lamb and the Packers are going to play pissed off after their loss last week.

Don’t get me wrong, Dak Prescott is playing good ball right now, and Dallas’ run game is really good. But will that offense be able to keep up with Green Bay, who could score every time they touch the ball, without Cedarian? I like George Pickens and Jalen Tolbert, but come on now. Not against that Packers defense.

Jets 22-19 Dolphins

Monday, 7:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Someone’s gotta win. No one’s gonna watch.

I originally picked the Jets, but then I thought about it. And I just don’t know if the Dolphins are going to get the requisite QB play to get this one done. Tua played well against New England, but that’s sandwiched in between two really bad games. If the solid Tua shows up, Miami should win. If not… we know what happens. And I’m just banking on the latter since it unfortunately feels like the new norm for him. And if Mike McDaniel gets fired on Tuesday because of it, I’m going to feel awful.

Broncos 23-18 Bengals

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC

I probably would have picked the Broncos to win this game even if Joe Burrow were playing for the Bengals. It has nothing to do with Bo Nix and everything to do with the state of both of these defenses.

Honestly, I think it’ll be the run games that make the difference in this one. I think Denver should be able to run it all over Cincy with JK Dobbins and RJ Harvey while Chase Brown continues to get completely smothered in the backfield on the other side. That’ll open things up enough for the Broncos offense to do what they’ve got to do. And while I don’t think Jake Browning will put up the disasterclass he did last week, I still don’t believe it’ll be pretty against another elite defense.

Post-Week 4 Power Rankings

A wacky week has caused major shakeups as the first month of the season comes to a crazy close.

Cover photo taken from The Boston Globe.

1 – 49ers (4-0) 1

There’s nothing I can say about the Niners that I haven’t been saying for a month now.

This is the most complete, most dominant team in the NFL and it’s not remotely close. They’re just leagues above everyone else right now. The offense is unstoppable with 30+ points scored in each game, and the defense continues to be one of the best in the league.

As it currently stands, they’re just going to mow down their opponents all year long. It’s hard to see them slowing down any time soon. 

2 – Bills (3-1) 4

I may have picked the Bills to win on Sunday, but I never imagined it’d look like that. That might have been the best game of the Josh Allen era and was probably Allen’s finest performance to date.

The star QB let the world know the AFC East is still his division with a 21-of-25, 320 yard, 4 touchdown, perfect passer rating outing with a rushing score to boot. Buffalo dominated the NFL’s hottest team on both sides of the ball with an inspired performance that had me considering putting them atop the Power Rankings.

I’m not going to do that just yet, but I’m officially sold on this team moving forward. They have proven themselves as the current class of the AFC, although we should all be wary of the Chiefs, who always end up proving that title belongs to them.

3 – Chiefs (3-1)

I don’t have much to say about Kansas City’s relative dud on Sunday night other than the fact that I’ve never seen Patrick Mahomes make some of the very strange mistakes he did throwing the ball. He lofted several interceptions right to defenders, which he never even comes close to doing 99 percent of the time. He was outplayed by Zach Wilson for crying out loud.

It was extremely strange, but I don’t think we’re going to see something like that again anytime soon. It was likely a product of the Jets playing great, sticky defense. But it should be monitored as a potential cause for concern moving forward. 

4 – Eagles (4-0)

I don’t really want to talk about this team, but I’m not going to be petty.

The Eagles continue to prove how great they can be offensively, with an ability to hurt you in a million different ways. On Sunday, it was the AJ Brown show for the first time this year as the star receiver went absolutely nuclear, torching rookie corner Emmanuel Forbes Jr. in a “welcome to the f—— show” type of performance. Jalen Hurts did his thing, D’Andre Swift continued to flash out of the backfield, and the offensive line dominated in every aspect against a very good Commanders front.

I still have plenty of problems with this Philly defense, especially in the secondary, but it hasn’t lost them a game yet. It’s only a matter of time before it does. 

5 – Dolphins (3-1) 4

Again, I did not think the Dolphins would win on Sunday. But I didn’t expect their trip back to Earth to be a crash landing.

Despite some highlights and good numbers, Miami was throrougly dominated in every aspect on a very humbling day upstate. You could make the argument that perhaps the team needed this reality check after being in la la land for the last several weeks, but there’s never an excuse for a team that talented to get thumped the way they did. They went from being the talk of the league to the third best team in their conference and second best in their division.

They’ll be fine, and they’ll get back to their flashy ways immediately considering they play the Giants next week. But their stay at the top is over, and it was far more brief than they would have liked. 

6 – Cowboys (3-1) 1

The Cowboys did exactly what they were supposed to do on Sunday: they thoroughly dominated a lifeless, anemic Patriots at home. I’ll give them credit — it’s hard to win any NFL game by that margin with that level of a performance, especially defensively. But it’s what I expected from Dallas in that game, so I’m not going to sing too many of their praises.

As I’ve been saying, this week’s primetime matchup in San Francisco will tell us what the Cowboys are made of. 

7 – Ravens (3-1) 2

Lamar Jackson is a bad man. That’s really all that needs to be said.

The star quarterback was simply sensational on Sunday with four total touchdowns — a pair on the ground and through the air. The Ravens offense was nearly infallible and the defense was even better, limiting the Browns to just 3 points at home.

I have to take it with a grain of salt considering Cleveland was starting backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who clearly was not ready for an NFL game. But I don’t want to take anything away from Baltimore, who put together what might have been the most dominant performance of the week to establish themselves as the powerhouse of the AFC North.  

8 – Seahawks (3-1) 1

Seattle might have put together the best defensive performance I’ve ever seen on Monday night with 11 sacks, two turnovers — including a 97-yard pick six — and a fumble recovery. Regardless of how bad the opposing offense was, those are otherworldly numbers.

The Seahawks offense was thoroughly underwhelming, but that doesn’t matter at this point. The defense has been the question mark for much of the season, and they just put together the type of game that will fuel them for weeks. First round selection Devon Witherspoon has officially made his mark, and dudes are hooping all over the field.

The offense still has a bit to figure out, especially what they’re doing (or not doing) with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but I feel as confident as ever in the Seahawks. This team is flat out dangerous. 

9 – Lions (3-1) 1

I owe the Lions a bit of an apology. I have continued to undermine them, and they have continued to prove me wrong. Consider me fully sold on this team now.

This is as complete of a team as there is in the NFL, and they are completely dominant in the trenches. They play physical defense and they completely beat you up on offense. They can hurt you in a plethora of ways, and now they get their vertical threat back in Jameson Williams.

The Lions are only getting better, and the NFC North is now theirs to lose. I think they can only go up from here. 

10 – Chargers (2-2) 4

I think the Chargers are physically incapable of playing a normal football game. Even when it looks like they’re completely dominating a vastly inferior opponent who is starting a rookie quarterback who looks completely overwhelmed by the moment, they find ways to completely mess it up and nearly lose. On Sunday, it was a flurry of untimely turnovers and extremely strange mismanagement of Justin Herbert after he fractured his damn finger. But, some key takeaways of their own, a whopping six Khalil Mack sacks, and common Herbert late-game heroics got LA to .500 on the year and trending upwards.

I still don’t really know what to make of this team right now, but I know that as long as #10 is slinging the rock around the yard, they should be in every game they play.

11 – Rams (2-2) 7

The Rams continue to impress me in a multitude of ways. This week, it was getting off to a torrid start and shoring up when the going got tough to come away with a clutch, hard-fought overtime win on the road, which is never easy in this league. Puka Nacua was obviously the star of the show once again, who continues to play like not just one of the best rookies, but best receivers in the league with his nose for the football and playmaking ability. This offense might look very spooky once Cooper Kupp returns, which might just be this week (at least this is his first eligible week to return from IR).

I obviously would’ve liked to see LA close the game out in regulation, but on all other fronts, I was very pleased with their performance. It’s time for me to start putting some respect on them. 

12 – Jaguars (2-2) 1

The Jags got back on track in Andy’s Room with a nice win, but it still wasn’t exactly what I had been hoping to see out of them. The defense balled out, but they were practically spoon-fed turnovers by Desmond Ridder. The offense was fine thanks to the efficiency of Trevor Lawrence, but the running game remains invisible. That’s a concern.

Jacksonville simply still is yet to put together a complete performance this year. I need to see one out of them if they want to be considered with the elites of the league. 

13 – Packers (2-2) 3

The Packers played a pretty terrible half of football before staging a mini-comeback and then going flat again to close things out on Thursday night. As a guy who has been singing this team’s praises since the summer, that was a pretty bad look for me.

The offense was completely invisible in the first half as Jordan Love repeatedly handed the ball to the Lions and the running game was nonexistent. Love had a better second half, but it was far too little too late. There’s only so much you can do when you bury yourself in a 20-point hole so early in the game. I’m more concerned with Green Bay’s defense, which straight up looked slow, like it didn’t even want to be there. It’s a talented unit that should never play a game that poor, and could definitely be a cause for concern. 

14 – Buccaneers (3-1) 7

It’s still very early, but it might be time for me to start eating crow with Baker and the Bucs. I had no hopes for them this year. I discredited their first two wins because of how poor the opposition was. But for them to go into New Orleans and beat the Saints while snapping their streak of not allowing 20 points all while Tampa’s own defense completely dominated? That’s something to be impressed with.

Baker once again cooked with his first three touchdown performance since the 2020 Wild Card in Pittsburgh, making light work of the best secondary he has faced this year by a huge margin. It’s getting to the point where I’m starting to believe this is sustainable. And with the defense playing like it is, combined with how horrible the rest of this division is, who knows how far that can take Tampa in 2023? 

15 – Titans (2-2) 7

Can the Titans please be consistent? This is getting exhausting.

This week, it was back to the top of the roller coaster as the defense completely decimated a lifeless Bengals team while Derrick Henry made minced meat of a stout Cincy defense to the tune of a completely dominant victory. It was essentially the exact opposite of Tennessee’s last game.

It’s so hard to get a read on this team at this point. Are they the anemic, boring team we saw in Weeks 1 and 3 or the inspired bunch we saw in Weeks 2 and 4? I have no earthly idea. 

16 – Browns (2-2)

I’m essentially striking this Browns performance from the record. They got one of the absolute worst performances I’ve ever seen out of a backup quarterback in Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who was clearly not ready to play. The moment was simply too big for him. Yes, the defense struggled as well, but there was only so much they could do when the offense was as bad as it was. Cleveland gets a very big pass this week. 

17 – Commanders (2-2)

I’m tired. I’m really, really tired. Exhausted, if you will. There’s so many things I want to say about Sunday’s loss in Philadelphia, but I’m still just too emotionally and mentally drained to do it. So I’ll try to keep this brief.

For starters, I was thoroughly impressed with Sam Howell from start to finish. For him to bounce back from his awful performance against Buffalo with probably his best game as a pro, including an insanely clutch drive to tie the game at the buzzer in regulation, tells me all I need to know about him. The kid is simply a gamer. He has more heart than any Washington quarterback since Kirk Cousins combined. And I know he has the skills to do great things if we just stay patient. Him and Terry McLaurin were truly robbed in overtime, but that’s neither here nor there. I’m not going to sit here and complain about refereeing. I’m above that.

We beat ourselves on Sunday. We’re the ones who didn’t get key third down stops. We’re the ones who didn’t make any adjustments on A.J. Brown as he was torching Emmanuel Forbes Jr. all game long. We’re the ones who picked a great time to stop being able to defend the run. We’re the ones who gave up 30 points for the third game in a row. It wasn’t a missed false start or a bad call on a catch being out of bounds. It was us. It’s always us.  

18 – Texans (2-2) 8

C.J. Stroud is him. Need I say more?

The rookie quarterback has absolutely electrified this franchise, along with the rest of the NFL, continuing to set records while lighting up the scoreboard with his dominant, efficient, and clean play. Over 1200 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions in four games is remarkable. He continues to throw the ball with pinpoint accuracy and anticipation beyond his years. There are a lot of people involved with this rebuild in Houston, but Stroud is single-handedly reviving this franchise.

But I thought they couldn’t develop quarterbacks at Ohio State?

19 – Falcons (2-2) 7

It’s good to know that I have been completely vindicated on my take that Desmond Ridder is the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. At this point, it might not be particularly close. Zach Wilson and Daniel Jones give him a run for his money, but at least those two have flashed in 2023. Ridder has shown nothing of remote value, and the sooner Atlanta moves on from him, the sooner they can get back to winning football games.

I understand that they’re essentially stuck for the year, so it might be time to shift the focus to next year. Because that nice start to the season means nothing when that pumpkin is back there “throwing” the ball and spoon-feeding turnovers to the opposing defense. 

20 – Steelers (2-2) 5

Like the Dolphins, I predicted the Steelers to lose on Sunday, but I never could have seen it being as embarrassing as it was. That’s probably the only comparison I’ll ever make between Miami and Pittsburgh this season.

The Steelers are simply going nowhere, and it’s for the exact same reasons that I have been saying all season long. The offense is horrible and inexcusably elementary thanks to the ineptitude of Matt Canada, whose job security is mind-numbingly still not in question. The secondary is comprised of a bunch of guys who have no idea what they’re doing. Kenny Pickett is straight up not good, even with the scheme weighing him down, and now he has to deal with a knee problem for the foreseeable future. Even if he doesn’t miss any playing time, the injury is still going to affect him, making this atrocious offense somehow even worse.

Buckle up, Steelers fans. If you thought Sunday was bad, it’s about to get a lot worse. 

21 – Saints (2-2) 2

I can’t fathom for the life of me why Derek Carr decided to rush back from an apparently serious shoulder injury to sabotage his own team and lead them right into the dirt with their worst offensive performance of the year to lose a key divisional home game. It makes no damn sense, and it honestly makes me more angry than anything else.

I just hate this idea that quarterbacks should tough it out and play through clearly serious injuries that obviously limit them and make them largely ineffective, and we’re seeing exactly how stupid it is with performances like this one from Carr and the last four from Joe Burrow. It’s just dumb. 

22 – Bengals (1-3) 11

The Bengals are quite easily this week’s Team of Shame, and they might be the saddest one yet. The season is absolutely cooked in Cincinnati, and they have no one to blame for themselves. They have completely mishandled Joe Burrow’s injury (shocking, I know) and now the entire team is unraveling. It’s such a shame for a team that had real championship aspirations and chances just a month ago. 

23 – Vikings (1-3)

In the most Vikings and least convincing way possible, Minnesota is finally off the schneid in 2023.

Other than finally having a 1 in the win column, there’s not much to feel great about here, especially considering the offense had its worst performance of the year by a huge margin. The defense had a nice outing, but it was against what might just be the NFL’s worst offense, so we should take it with a very big grain of salt. I just don’t think this is a very good team.

There’s a lot to like offensively, but that’s it. And if they put together more offensive performances like that, then there will be nothing positive at all in Minnesota. 

24 – Cardinals (1-3)

There’s not much I can say about the Cardinals this week. They held their own against the best team in football and were just as competitive as I expected them to be. They continue to be a very stingy group, and I continue to like what I see out of them.

More than anything, Josh Dobbs keeps on looking great. Against all odds, he has the 10th best passer rating in football. That’s awesome to see.

25 – Colts (2-2)

I’ve said all season long that the main goal for the Colts this season should be developing Anthony Richardson and seeing what he’s made of. Through essentially two games, I can say that Richardson is the real deal, and if he can continue to hone his skills, he can be one of the best quarterbacks in this league. His talent jumps off the screen, and his leadership abilities clearly have a massive impact on this team, as Indy nearly pulled off an all-time comeback on Sunday against the Rams before falling short in overtime.

But I don’t really care about wins and losses for this team. In fact, losses feel like wins. All that matters is that AR15 is looking like a franchise guy, already proving me very, very wrong. 

26 – Patriots (1-3) 6

I wanted to make the Patriots this week’s Team of Shame, but the more I thought about it, the more it didn’t make sense to me. Because I already knew that this team was absolutely dreadful.

Sunday’s embarrassment against the Cowboys was just further proof of everything I already knew. New England is an abhorrent football team with a starting quarterback that doesn’t belong in the NFL and an offense with no playmakers whatsoever. The only good thing about this team was its defense, which just lost its best player by far in Matthew Judon and its rising star in rookie corner Christian Gonzalez.

It’s just all falling apart for Bill Belichick and company. This feels like the right time to stick a fork in them. 

27 – Jets (1-3) 3

There are no moral victories. But everyone felt good about what they saw out of Zach Wilson on Sunday night. He chose a hell of a time to play the best game of his career, and it was nice to see both his team and everyone else rally around him. Maybe, just maybe, he can figure this out. I severely doubt it, but it would be nice to see.

Oh, and stop complaining about the refs. It makes you look foolish. 

28 – Raiders (1-3) 1

I don’t want to be too rude to the Raiders considering they nearly fell ass backwards into a road win against a divisional opponent despite starting a quarterback who looked like he didn’t belong on an NFL field.

At the same time, there’s not much I can say about them this week for that very reason. It’s difficult to assess them after such a nothing performance. It just confirmed much of what we already knew about this team: the offensive line is atrocious, the running game is nonexistent, and the defense is pretty bad too. But at least Davante Adams is here… for now.

29 – Broncos (1-3) 2

They finally did it. The Sean Payton-Russell Wilson Broncos won a football game. It took a 21-point second half comeback against the worst team in football, but it happened. And it was honestly a pretty impressive comeback.

Enjoy it, Denver. That’s probably going to be the peak of your season. 

30 – Panthers (0-4) 1

I don’t think we’re paying enough attention to how disastrous the Panthers have been to start the season.

Frank Reich’s offense has been miserable and Bryce Young has been terrible — although any rookie quarterback behind that bad of an offensive line in a unit completely devoid of playmakers is going to look that bad. Yes, the defense is solid, and they made huge plays on Sunday. But it doesn’t matter when the offense is that dreadful.

This is a team that is squarely in the race for the No. 1 pick in the draft, but it doesn’t matter because they gave away their pick for a quarterback who looks awful right now. Bryce will be fine, but you just get the feeling that Carolina is going to be in the dumps for a while. 

31 – Giants (1-3) 3

It’s embarrassing. It’s shameful. And it’s hilarious.

I can’t get enough of how absolutely dreadful the Giants are. For them and their fans to have victory lapped after an overachieving season and an inexplicable $160 million extension for Daniel Jones just for the season to crash and burn with three primetime embarrassments is just too funny.

I’m going to continue to cherish these moments for as long as I can. 

32 – Bears (0-4)

Making the Bears the Team of Shame every week would just be too easy. It’s low-hanging fruit. And they certainly deserved it this week. But again, I won’t do it.

I’ll just say that this is getting really sad on all fronts. Matt Eberflus needs to be fired yesterday, and this trainwreck of a team needs to start the hell over.


All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 4 Picks

This week’s slate of games isn’t the greatest, but should provide plenty more entertainment and drama as we wrap up the first month of the season.

Cover photo taken from NFL.com.

Last Week: 10-6

Season Total: 28-20

Packers 23-20 Lions

Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video

The Lions are back on Thursday night for the second time in four weeks. Like last time, I don’t see them winning this one on the road. But they’re certainly capable of proving me wrong again.

I just think beating the Packers at home in a divisional primetime setting is always a tall task. It could get even harder if Green Bay gets Aaron Jones and Christian Watson back. But the Packers have proven that they can win even without those two offensive stars. Everyone else is pulling their weight, and the defense is playing great. This is certainly the best offense they’ve faced so far, but the Lions haven’t looked as explosive on that side of the ball as we expected. Unless they get a crazy performance out of Jahmyr Gibbs or Amon-Ra St. Brown, they could see some more struggles.

I think the Packers will keep this one close, and their offense will do just enough to get them the victory. 

Falcons 21-20 Jaguars

Sunday, 9:30 AM EST, ESPN+

This is a pretty solid game on paper, but considering both teams’ momentum coming into it, this could be an early-morning dud to kick off the 2023 International slate. 

I like both of these teams, but neither of them are necessarily giving me much to like lately, with each team coming off what was likely their worst game of the year thus far. So this is a good opportunity to get back on track. It’s just really difficult to tell who is going to do that, and who is going to keep spiraling downwards.

I’m leaning with the Falcons because I believe their defense has been much better across the first few weeks of the year, and I typically know what I’m going to get out of their offense. Jacksonville’s defense has been very suspect and I never know which offense is going to show up for them. I think these even matchups typically favor the more consistent team, and to me, that’s the Falcons. 

Bills 27-24 Dolphins

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

In a week littered with pretty terrible matchups, this stands out as the crystal clear best game of the week. How could it not? These are two of the best teams in the NFL, each coming off monster performances, and this is an early opportunity to establish dominance in the division and conference as a whole. 

It felt really easy to lean Miami after their record-setting performance a week ago, but I’m going to take the home team here. Buffalo’s defense has been playing like one of the best in the league all season long, albeit against two subpar offenses with horrible offensive lines and one team led by Zach Wilson. But more importantly, Josh Allen is playing lights out after a very poor opening game. I think Buffalo’s offense has what it takes to keep up with Miami’s offense, but it’s going to be tough. The defense will really need to show up if they want to slow down Tua and company, who have barely shown any signs of slowing down this year. But the times they did were on the road in a divisional matchup against New England. Why can’t the Bills do the same at home? I think they’ll make just enough defensive plays to let Josh and the offense win the game in the end. 

Bears 20-17 Broncos

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Here it is. An incredibly rare matchup between the two worst teams in the NFL that is bound to be one of the worst things you’ve ever seen. The Caleb Williams Bowl, if you will.

God bless anyone who willingly watches this game.

Browns 17-13 Ravens

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

In an AFC North slugfest featuring two of the best defenses in the NFL with two beat-up offenses, who do you take? The better defense? The home team? How about all of the above.

The Browns seem to be figuring things out with their league-leading defense and steady improvements from Deshaun Watson. Baltimore will be their toughest test yet, especially defensively, but I don’t see why they can’t keep it going. Cleveland has won this matchup in back-to-back years when they’re at home. I say they make it a threepeat. 

Bengals 19-16 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Like the game above, this figures to be a defensive slog from start to finish. It helps that the Titans offense — which is only above the Jets in total yards — might as well not exist at this point. The same can arguably be said about Cincinnati while Joe Burrow remains dinged up. 

While Tennessee’s defense is coming off a disasterclass against Cleveland, the Bengals defense just played one of its best games in recent memory, exploiting a terrible offensive line and a distinct lack of weapons on the opposing offense. I say they’ll do the exact same thing on Sunday, and even win by the exact same score. 

Colts 23-17 Rams

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

I wasn’t sure which way to lean here, considering both of these teams have shown me plenty to like and plenty to dislike through three games. But I’ve honestly liked what I’ve seen from the Colts a lot more. They’ve flashed on both sides of the ball, regardless of who starts at quarterback. They should be getting Anthony Richardson back in this game, which will provide the offense with a big lift against a stout LA defense. The Rams obviously have the offensive ability to throw the ball all over a bottom-tier Colts secondary, but my gut is just telling me that they’re going to struggle once again.

We just saw Indy go on the road and beat the Ravens. I think they’re more than capable of coming back home and beating a much worse Rams team. 

Saints 22-19 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is tricky. Saints-Bucs always feels like a coinflip, and with Jameis Winston starting under center for New Orleans, it’s even harder to see how this is going to play out.

I wanted to pick Tampa considering the fact that they just got shellacked on national television and will probably want to prove themselves again. But they’ve always had trouble winning this game at the Superdome — they’ve only done so once since 2018, which was last season. And Tom Brady is not walking through that door.

I think Baker Mayfield is going to struggle mightily against the Saints defense — which will continue its incredible streak of holding opponents to under 20 points — while Jameis and NOLA’s offense does its job and puts up enough points with Alvin Kamara back in the lineup to beat their rivals for the first time since 2021. 

Eagles 31-17 Commanders

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The Birds should absolutely decimate us in the trenches from start to finish in this one. I don’t see a world where the game is remotely close for that reason. I’d be shocked if it ever feels like a contest.

I am not going to have fun. That’s a guarantee. 

Vikings 30-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Our second 0-3 matchup of the slate figures to be a lot more straightforward.

The Vikings have a fantastic offense and the Panthers have a defense that just got sliced and diced by Seattle. I think Minnesota has the playmaking ability to replicate that performance. I certainly don’t trust their defense, but I don’t think I really need to when they’re going up against a Carolina offense that hasn’t shown signs of life in any game this season. Yes, they accrued some nice stats last week, but they were never truly in that game. I feel like this is going to go in a very similar direction, regardless of who starts under center.  

Texans 24-17 Steelers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Why not a cheeky upset pick?

I love everything the Texans are doing right now, especially offensively as C.J. Stroud continues to look like anything but a rookie and light up opposing secondaries. Why shouldn’t I believe that he won’t decimate a Steelers pass defense that’s bottom-12 in the league? I understand it might be a bit more of a struggle as Pittsburgh’s defense as a whole has been dominant this year, but I just saw Jimmy Garoppolo dice them up. I think C.J. can follow suit.

It’s also easy to pick against the Steelers when their offense refuses to show me anything to like. I know the Texans defense isn’t great, but I don’t think they’ll have to be to limit the scoring. And that’ll let the offense do their thing to the tune of another upset victory. 

Chargers 28-20 Raiders

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

Regardless of circumstance, we can always count on Chargers-Raiders to be an entertaining contest. There should be plenty of points on the scoreboard and in fantasy leagues on Sunday afternoon.

No matter what, the Chargers have no excuse to lose this game. They finally notched their first win and now likely get Austin Ekeler back in addition to coming back home to play a rather awful Raiders team. It won’t be a blowout by any means, and LA’s defense is bound to struggle against an admittedly elite Las Vegas passing attack, but Justin Herbert and company will do more than enough to win comfortably. 

Cowboys 23-17 Patriots

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

I don’t know what to expect out of the Dallas defense after last week’s catastrophe, but I have to imagine they’ll put together a better performance. They’ve had a full week of practice with their new-look defense without Trevon Diggs, and they’re playing an arguably worse offense. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Cowboys offense struggles again, especially in the redzone, especially against a very tough Patriots defense.

This just figures to be a close, defensive game which is won by the better offense in the clutch. That’s very clearly the Cowboys. 

49ers 27-17 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

The Cardinals have been frisky all year long, so I think they can certainly hang around for a while in this game. But nobody can really stick with the 49ers for a full 60 minutes. They have been the most dominant team in the league by a wide margin, and I don’t think a team like Arizona is going to slow them down, especially in a tough road environment with the Niners coming off a mini-bye.

When it’s all said and done, San Francisco should cruise to a 4-0 start. 

Chiefs 28-10 Jets

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

You’ve got to feel bad for Taylor Swift. For her first two NFL games, she’s had to watch the Bears and now the Jets. At least she gets to watch the Chiefs completely decimate both teams.

Like last week, this one should be over before halftime.

Seahawks 24-16 Giants

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

It’s not anyone’s fault, but we have to do something about all these terrible primetime matchups. It’s getting annoying. Whose idea was it for the Giants to play three of their first four games in primetime? Jeez. 

Anyways, the Seahawks should win this one comfortably. New York hasn’t shown any signs of life other than their second half against Arizona, and against a solid Seattle defense, I don’t think they will on Monday night. I don’t think it’ll be as ugly as their first two standalone games, but it doesn’t figure to be pretty either. 


All stats taken from ESPN.

Post-Week 4 Power Rankings

After a month of football, NFL teams are slowly starting to categorize themselves into distinctive tiers as we get a better idea of who the contenders and pretenders are. Here’s how I stack things up 1-32 after Week 4.

Cover photo taken from Bleacher Report.

1 – Eagles (4-0)

Despite the incredible showing from the team below them, the Eagles retain the top spot this week. After all, they are the NFL’s lone undefeated team now. Even in a downpour, they showed so much of what makes them truly special. They were in an early 14-point hole and erased it with ease on the backs of their balanced offense and dominant defense. They continue to get tremendous contributions from all of their newcomers on both sides of the ball, especially on defense. They forced turnover after turnover and ran the ball down Jacksonville’s throat, and the game was really never in question after they erased the deficit. Not many teams would be able to bounce back like that. Great teams do.

2 – Chiefs (3-1) 2

I had more than half a mind to put Kansas City at 1, but I had to respect the balance and undefeated record of the Eagles. Still, the Chiefs had the most impressive performance of the season on Sunday night, and are likely the NFL’s best team as of right now. I said their offense would get shut down by arguably the best defense in the league, and all they did was rip them apart in every conceivable way. Just to put things in perspective, the Chiefs scored more points in the first half than the Buccaneers had allowed in their first three games… combined. So, yeah, Patrick Mahomes and the rest of this offense are still the scariest sight in the sport. I do think the defense still needs some work, especially in the secondary, but I give them a pass since they’re largely just keeping the offense in front of them after the team goes up by multiple scores. It remains to be seen if that will be an issue in close games.

3 – Bills (3-1)

The Bills had absolutely no business winning on Sunday, but the manner in which they did so speaks to their identity and toughness. Not many teams can go down 17 points to an elite team on the road in a torrential downpour and come all the way back to win it. They rode the arm and legs of Josh Allen all game long and forced a huge turnover late in the game to win it at the buzzer with a walkoff FG. I’ve said I don’t like how much they rely on their QB, but he can clearly handle it (at least early in the season), and he’s good enough to carry them to victory. Their defense is still elite and did just enough against Lamar Jackson to let their offense go down and win the game. It’s a formula that I’m not all too fond of, but it’s working for Buffalo.

4 – Packers (3-1) 2

I do think the Packers still have a ton of room to improve, especially offensively. But, they’re doing exactly what I wanted them to do on that side of the ball, and it’s working. So, I’m giving them plenty of credit. They are clearly getting more cohesive on offense, especially with the emergence of rookie WR Romeo Doubs in the passing game. They are getting fellow rookie WR Christian Watson involved a lot more, which is great to see considering his incredible physical skillset. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been the flashy MVP we’re accustomed to seeing, but he doesn’t have to be. He has the supporting cast around him to lead his team to victory. It helps that his defense is just ridiculously good at every position. If the offense ever lags behind, you can count on this unit, which might be the best in the league, to make up for any and all shortcomings.

5 – Dolphins (3-1) 3

The Dolphins horribly mismanaged Tua Tagovailoa’s injury situation. That is well-documented by now, and I’m not here to beat a dead horse. I’m here to say that, despite Thursday’s loss, I still think Miami is in a great spot moving forward. For starters, they easily could have won the game despite what happened to Tua. Teddy Bridgewater is a capable QB and as good of a backup as you could possibly ask for. The supporting cast around him is going to make his life easy, and when that was the case for him in New Orleans, it translated to wins. The defense didn’t have their finest game, which was a bit of a concern, but they were going up against a good offense in a tough environment. They’ll be just fine. Regardless of when Tua comes back (if he does at all), I have plenty of faith in this team to still be very good. They may not be the contenders we thought, but they’re still better than most other teams in this league.

6 – Ravens (2-2) 1

The Ravens now have two inexplicable losses. The first one they could blame on their defense, but this one has to be the fault of the coaching staff. I cannot fathom the decision to go for it on 4th and goal from the 1 in a tie game instead of taking the free 3 points. Throwing a pick in that situation is the worst possible outcome, so when that happens and ends up being your last offensive play because the other team takes that and cashes it in with a last second game-winning field goal of their own, it’s quite embarrassing. Despite all of this, I really do think this is an elite team. I don’t think that’s the question. The question is whether or not they have it in them to not lose games in such embarrassing fashion. There’s no excuse for this to continue happening if you’re Baltimore. The team is far too good and the coaching staff is far too experienced to lose games in Cleveland-like fashion. I guess it is still in their DNA.

7 – Buccaneers (2-2)

Let’s pump the brakes with the overreactions please. The Bucs will be fine. Their defense will be okay. They ran into the buzzsaw that is the Chiefs offense, and while nobody saw that poor of a performance coming, we can be rest assured that they won’t look that bad again. If it makes them feel any better, the offense did their thing in the passing game. The only thing is that the run game was completely invisible and any and all efforts were in vain thanks to being way too behind all game long to compete. Sunday night was just a disaster from the start for Tampa, but they are way too good across the board to be that awful in any games moving forward.

8 – Chargers (2-2) 1

The Chargers are still yet to put together a performance that wows us this year, and I don’t know when they will. If you can’t do it against the Texans, then can you do it at all? It’s hard with this team still being as injured as they are, and I don’t know how much faith I have in them to overcome all the injuries. Justin Herbert looks pretty solid as he continues to heal, and Austin Ekeler finally decided to show up this season. They’ll need continued contributions from both if they hope to keep up in this breakneck conference.

9 – Vikings (3-1) 1

The Vikings are coming off back to back wins that took everything they had. They might not be two of the most impressive wins in the world, but I think they’re indicative of what this team is made of. The Vikings always lose these types of games, but they’re finally coming out on top. Maybe it’s a sign that this team is built to win huge games and not suffer the heartbreaking losses they’re so accustomed to. It helps that Justin Jefferson finally got back involved in the offense with a mammoth game and the defense made enough plays to win the game. It was too close for comfort, but it never comes easy in Minnesota.

10 – 49ers (2-2) 5

Something about the Rams brings out the best in the 49ers. Those two games every year are the ones where San Francisco looks the best. Monday night was an incredible showing, especially from the defense and the ultimate weapon known as Deebo Samuel. They made the defending champions look lost and confused on both sides of the ball from start to finish in an impressively dominant win. I knew they’d come out on top, but I wasn’t anticipating them looking so great in doing so. This team still has a clear ceiling with Jimmy Garoppolo under center, but that ceiling is pretty high when his teammates play like this.

11 – Cowboys (3-1) 2

Another week of Dallas beating up on inferior NFC East opponents has them slowly but surely rising. I’m not going to discredit them or say that this is a bad team; their defense is still playing lights out and Cooper Rush deserves his flowers for leading a competent offense. This is a solid team that is making the most of their early cupcake schedule. It’s about to get much tougher, so buckle up.

12 – Bengals (2-2) 2

The Bengals have done what they had to do, getting back to .500 after a nightmare 0-2 start. Thursday’s win was a great one, beating an undefeated Dolphins team with a great defensive performance and doing just enough offensively to win. I still think this team is lacking the juice that made them so special a year ago, but there’s no doubt that they still have the talent to compete at a high level. They need to prove it more consistently against good teams.

13 – Browns (2-2) 3

There’s no excuse to lose to a team that completes 7 passes all game long. The Browns were undoubtedly the better team on Sunday, but their offensive woes bit them a few too many times to come out on top. They simply weren’t getting enough production from their WRs or Kareem Hunt. Jacoby Brissett wasn’t awful by any means, but I expected him and everyone else other than Nick Chubb to be better against the Falcons of all teams. The defense also didn’t have their best day. It was just a slog for a team that’s way better than they appeared. They should be able to button up those mistakes and look much better moving forward.

14 – Jaguars (2-2) 3

The Jags were plagued by the downpour in Philly to the tune of countless fumbles and ruined possessions that eliminated their chances to win. If that game was played on a clear day, they probably could have won. They did get out to a nice lead thanks to great contributions from the offense and defense, but once the rain picked up, it was very rough sailing. Poor ball security is an issue, but you’d have to think this team won’t be in those conditions again anytime soon. I still liked what the Jags flashed against my #1 team on Sunday and I still have high hopes for them moving forward. Luckily for them, they get a great bounce-back game this week against Houston.

15 – Rams (2-2) 7

What even is this team at this point? What is their identity? What do they do well other than force feed Cooper Kupp? They look lifeless, unmotivated, uninspired. They look… bad. They just don’t look like a team that can compete with the best of the best in this league. They look like a shadow of the team that won the Super Bowl. I’m not sticking a fork in them, but man. This is pretty bad.

16 – Cardinals (2-2) 1

This team is the definition of mid, but at least they’re a fun mid team. This is a team with a solid offense that puts up numbers, which is exactly what we expected out of them. I still think their defense needs a ton of work, but that’s not really going to hold them back against the likes of the Panthers. It will hold them back against the better teams on their schedule, however. But that’s fine. The Cards are what we thought they’d be, and while that’s nothing impressive, they’re good enough to compete, which is a lot more than can be said about the teams below them.

17 – Titans (2-2) 6

I’d like to think the Titans are slowly getting themselves figured out again, but I can’t be too sure at this point. For all of the good things they’ve shown us in the last two weeks, they’ve shown us an equal amount to dislike. The most important thing is that Derrick Henry is finally back to being his usual self, which was imperative if this team was to get back on track. The defensive front also continues to dominate, which is necessary against inferior competition. The Titans still need to put together a complete performance, but what’s clear is that they’re trending in the right direction, which is more than I could have asked for after their first two games.

18 – Lions (1-3) 2

At the end of the day, the Lions’ biggest obstacle remains themselves. In each of their losses, they couldn’t get out of their own way and suffered narrow defeats because of it; this was especially the case in the last two weeks. This offense is doing plenty with the highest yardage and points per game in the league, even with injuries across the board, but the defense has just been abhorrent. They are giving up an incomprehensible 444 yards and 35 points per game, both of which are the worst in the NFL by a mile. This was a unit that looked much improved, but is quite frankly just as awful if not worse than years prior. Until that gets buttoned up, the Lions are going nowhere, despite their offensive fireworks. At this rate, it’s not getting fixed anytime soon.

19 – Saints (1-3)

The Saints really did everything they could on Sunday in London. They had to deal with absolutely awful calls going against them and some extremely tough luck. It’s not a good thing to join the exclusive Double Doink club. I still think there’s so much to like with this team, but it’s just not translating on the field. The defense hasn’t been as good as I imagined, Alvin Kamara has been invisible in every game he has played in, Michael Thomas is hurt again, and the QB situation isn’t ideal in any regard. Chris Olave has been a bright spot, but that’s about it. Maybe if they get healthy they can put it together, but it’s hard to have any faith in that happening at this point.

20 – Falcons (2-2) 4

I’ll give some credit to the Falcons. They’ve been pretty solid in the last two weeks. They’ve been solid all year long actually. With some better luck, they could be 4-0. As it stands, they’re at .500 and good enough to stick around there for a while. The offense is solid with their plethora of young pieces, and the defense has played surprisingly well. This isn’t a great team, but they might not be as awful as I projected them to be. They’ll probably be able to beat the bottom feeders on their schedule and give the great teams fits. For a team like this, that’s trending in the right direction.

21 – Patriots (1-3) 1

Nobody really has any idea what’s going on with the Patriots right now. I do want to give them credit for hanging in there against the Packers with their third string QB in a game where they were a near double digit underdog. Still, this team just doesn’t show anyone enough to feel great about. They can run the ball pretty well and their defense played much better than they had before. There’s something to be said about pushing an elite team like Green Bay to the edge on the road, but based on this team’s performances in their first three games, it was probably just a one time thing.

22 – Colts (1-2-1)

The Colts aren’t really a team worth talking about. They are just so painfully average at everything, which almost feels impossible. They have the supposed best running back in football in their backfield, yet he has been a complete ghost in their last three games. Their allegedly elite offensive line is struggling mightily to protect their 37 year old statue of a QB. They have solid pass-catchers, but it doesn’t matter when they can’t get the ball. And their defense has just been poor. It’s so strange to see and I have no idea how they’re going. to fix it. Perhaps they won’t fix it at all.

23 – Raiders (1-3) 3

The Raiders finally got off the schneid on Sunday, just as I expected them to. It was a solid day on both sides of the ball, using a solid offensive output and a huge defensive touchdown to propel them to a comfortable win over their division rival. The Broncos are awful, so I’m not buying too much Raiders stock right now, but it was nice to finally see them put together a performance good enough to win. Sadly for them, next up is a trip to Arrowhead. Good luck with that.

24 – Seahawks (2-2) 6

Did the Seahawks win the Russell Wilson trade? Did the Seahawks upgrade at QB? Are the Seahawks better than the Broncos? All of these are valid questions, and at least one of them can be answered with a “yes”. Geno Smith has been one of the best QBs this year from a statistical standpoint, and the offense looks competent. The defense is a different story, but they got away with it this week. I don’t think the Seahawks are a good team that will win many games, but I have to respect how they’ve looked so far, especially at QB.

25 – Broncos (2-2) 7

No, this isn’t being too harsh. Anyone who has watched any Broncos football knows that this team is horrible. They are an eye sore that fails to do anything well. Their offense is stagnant and incompetent, and that’s now made worse by the season-ending knee injury to star RB Javonte Williams. The defense did not play up to their standards this week against a winless Raiders team. Russell Wilson hasn’t played even close to the level that they expected after giving up a king’s ransom for him. And don’t even get me started on the coaching. A very bad situation is getting worse. It’s slowly but surely spiraling out of control.

26 – Jets (2-2) 3

I don’t even think the Jets know how they got their two wins, but they’re not complaining. They took the gifts given to them by the Browns and Steelers and have run with them. Good for Zach Wilson and this team to do their thing and pick up a hard fought W against a team that has owned them for so long. They have to savor the very few wins they get.

27 – Giants (3-1) 2

I really don’t want to sound like a broken record here. The Giants are just an unimpressive, boring, and straight up bad team that has no business being 3-1. It looks great on paper now, but it’s not going to last whatsoever now that they’ll be playing real teams. No other teams are going to be fooled by Daniel Jones naked bootlegs. Saquon Barkley is playing the best football of any RB in the league right now, but he can only take an offense this bad so far. It is a good thing that nobody outside of this fanbase cares about their record. It deserves no attention whatsoever.

28 – Steelers (1-3) 7

I really didn’t think it could get this bad in Pittsburgh. But, here we are. The reins were finally handed to Kenny Pickett, and all he did was throw 3 interceptions in a half against the Jets en route to a blown lead and a loss. The defense continues to drop like flies and let offenses have their way. Najee Harris is still a complete non-factor. This team is just a disaster across the board with no hopes of getting better. At least Pickett will be getting his reps in.

29 – Panthers (1-3) 1

Can you imagine being the Panthers? The QB you traded for is having one of the worst statistical starts to a season in NFL history, and you’ll have to turn to the other QB you wanted to replace who is probably even worse to try and turn it around. I will say this: Christian McCaffrey is still as dynamic as ever and is putting this offense on his back, and the defense actually isn’t awful. Frankie Luvu is playing like a DPOY candidate right now. None of this is making up for how terrible this team is everywhere else, but a team like this could use every bright spot they can get.

30 – Commanders (1-3) 3

Nope.

31 – Bears (2-2)

The Bears are incompetence and ignorance personified. They do not care. They actively don’t want any of their young players to develop, especially their first-round QB that they traded up for. They don’t want to improve anywhere. They don’t want to do anything well. And they aren’t. They seemingly never will. This might just be the most embarrassing, pathetic team and franchise in the league.

32 – Texans (0-3-1)

The Texans are now the NFL’s lone winless team. Who could have seen that coming? They were competitive down the stretch on Sunday, but it was simply too little too late. This team will be feisty at times, but it will never be enough. The only questions now are when that first win will come and who this team is taking with the first pick in the draft.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 4 Picks

My picks have been freezing cold, but the 2022 season is off to a blazing start through three weeks, and this one promises to keep that fire burning. Here’s how I see Week 4 playing out.

Cover photo taken from People.

October is somehow already upon us as we approach the end of the first quarter of the NFL season. The 2022 campaign has been off to a blazing start through three weeks, and this one promises to keep that going. Last week was perhaps my worst of all time, going a putrid 7-9 to bring my season total to 24-23-1. Surely this is the week it gets better. Surely.

Dolphins 21-20 Bengals

Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video

Week 4 kicks off with a banger on TNF: a great game with even better uniforms. These are two of the brightest young teams in football, although they’ve had nearly polar opposite starts to their seasons. Miami is the AFC’s lone unbeaten team coming off two mammoth wins over the Bills and Ravens. Meanwhile, the Bengals sit at a measly 1-2, waiting until last week to get their first win over the lowly Jets. Regardless of that, I think this will be a tight game throughout and should be great. Vegas seems to like the Bengals by virtue of being at home, and it’s hard to picture Cincy losing in that white-out environment. But I’ve seen them struggle so hard against great defenses in their first two games. The Dolphins have a defense that just kept Josh Allen and the Bills at bay. While I think the matchup between Miami’s offense and Cincy’s defense is fairly even, I think the flip side will prove to be the difference. I see the Fins defense making enough plays to close things out late in this one.

Vikings 26-21 Saints

Sunday, 9:30 AM EST, NFL Network

Our first London game of the year is one that looks great on paper, but might not be as good as we thought. These are two teams I’ve been pretty confident in, but haven’t given me much to like since their respective opening wins. They are both beat up and now have to deal with the long trip across the pond. So, I have to give the slight edge to the better team, which is clearly Minnesota. They didn’t play their best game last week, but they showed me infinitely more than New Orleans, who was absolutely dead from start to finish in an embarrassing loss. I just trust the Vikings more on both sides of the ball to make the plays necessary to win the game. It would help them (and my fantasy team) quite a lot if Justin Jefferson can get going again, especially with Dalvin Cook nursing an injury.

Browns 23-17 Falcons

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

I actually think this game has some potential to be good. On paper it looks dreadful, but these are fun teams. The Browns are actually good and the Falcons are always feisty. At home, I don’t think it’s impossible for the Falcons to pull an upset. Their offense is competent enough to put points on the board. But I think Cleveland’s defense is too stout, even though they’ll likely be without Myles Garrett. In any case, I think the Browns are too solid offensively to be stopped by Atlanta, whose defense has been gashed all year long.

Cowboys 28-16 Commanders

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

We’re unveiling the all-black alternates in this game. That’s cool. Perhaps it’ll make this somewhat easier to watch (spoiler alert: it won’t). I don’t care who plays or doesn’t play for Dallas because our guys won’t be able to do a thing against them. They can’t do anything against anyone. I just want to get this blowout out of the way so I can enjoy the rest of my Sunday.

Lions 30-20 Seahawks

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

You can bank on there being a good amount of points scored in this game. The Lions are one of three teams in the league averaging over 30 points per game, with the other two being Baltimore and Buffalo. They could easily be 3-0 on the back of their offense. Seattle’s defense is pretty porous, so Detroit should be able to do their usual damage. I don’t think it will be enough for a Geno Smith-led offense to overcome, but the Lions defense has been very hit or miss. I think this is a great opportunity for them to get their feet under them, but it remains to be seen whether or not they’re capable of it.

Colts 23-20 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Why does every Colts-Titans game feel exactly the same? It’s always so even, almost as if they’re the exact same team. In a situation like this, I’m busting out ol’ reliable and taking Indy by virtue of being the home team. Yes, I’m unoriginal and boring and basic. They also had a much more impressive win last week than Tennessee, so that helps. Moreover, the Colts should be getting a huge boost with Shaq Leonard returning to the lineup on defense. When they’re fully healthy, they’re a competent team. The Titans have yet to show me that.

Giants 17-14 Bears

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Nobody wants to watch this game. Nobody is going to watch this game. Alas, it must be picked. By some grace of the football gods, both of these teams are 2-1, which means someone is going to inexplicably be 3-1 by Sunday evening. I’ll take the Giants thanks to Chicago not knowing how to play offense in any capacity. They’re too heavily reliant on their run game, and with David Montgomery potentially being out against a solid Giants front, I don’t know if they’ll be able to ride it to victory. I somehow trust New York to make more plays on offense. That might be the first and last time I say that this year.

Eagles 26-23 Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Do people realize how awesome this game is going to be? Not only is it the Doug Pederson revenge game, but these teams are playing some of the most fun football of anyone in the league right now. This might be my most anticipated game of the week. I think it’ll be much closer than Vegas expects, and if Jacksonville was at home, I’d probably pick them to win it. But on the road, an upset seems a bit too out of reach for such a young squad. Philadelphia is just too great on both sides of the ball to lose a game like this. But, I think it’s going to be highly competitive, and an upset wouldn’t shock me at all.

Steelers 19-17 Jets

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Steelers don’t feel like a team worth talking about until Kenny Pickett starts for them. Unfortunately for them, that likely won’t happen this week. You’d have to imagine Mitch Trubisky can get the job done at home against the Jets who will be fielding Zach Wilson on one leg at QB. Their defense is still a question mark with injuries across the board, but I’m putting enough faith in them to stop a team like the Jets.

Ravens 27-24 Bills

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

What a blessing it is to have such a heavyweight fight this early in the season. These are two teams with very real championship aspirations that should give us one of the best games of the week, and perhaps the whole year. While I believe the Bills are the better team, something in my gut is telling me that this will be the week that the Ravens finally put together a complete performance. I’m riding the hot hand of Lamar Jackson and trusting their defense to somehow stop Buffalo’s offense, who is coming off an incredibly exhausting game. On paper, you’d expect the Bills offense to tear Baltimore to shreds. The Ravens are giving up the most total and passing yards per game in all of football with 458 and 353 yards respectively. Moreover, Buffalo has the best total defense (214), second best total offense (441), and the best passing offense (329) in the league. So, the stats all favor Josh Allen and company. But like I said, sometimes you just have to trust your gut.

Chargers 24-19 Texans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Chargers better hope they come out and win this game amidst all their injuries. With them being as beat up as they are, it doesn’t get much easier for them than this. Yes, it’s a road trip, but it’s one against the worst team in the league. If they lose, they’ll be in a 1-3 hole with injuries across the board, and they will be in a whole heap of trouble. I don’t see that happening, but they can’t let it happen under any circumstances. All their offense has to do is score a few touchdowns and they’ll be fine.

Cardinals 27-21 Panthers

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

These are two teams that I haven’t been able to read all season long. So, what gives in this matchup? Well, I still don’t really know. The Panthers are favored at home, but I have no doubts that the Cardinals are the better team from top to bottom. Even with Carolina coming off an impressive win, I somehow feel better about Arizona, who hasn’t scored a touchdown in two weeks. I just like their offense too much to pick against them in a game against an inferior opponent.

Packers 28-10 Patriots

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

This game was never going to be close. With Brian Hoyer being under center for the Patriots for the foreseeable future, that might be the case more often than not for them. In this game, it just makes the scoring margin even wider. Green Bay boasts one of the NFL’s best defense that will make scoring impossible for New England. Their offense should also be able to have their way against a Pats D that got sliced and diced last week. This is a perfect opportunity for the Packers’ new offensive pieces to continue coalescing and getting better.

Raiders 21-17 Broncos

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

This game is an unmitigated disaster on paper. The Broncos have been a mess all year long, and the Raiders have somehow been an even bigger one. This is the NFL’s lone 0-3 team going up against a Denver squad that hasn’t scored more than 16 points in a game this year. So, avert your eyes when this one is on TV. Still, we must pick a winner, so once again, give me the home team. The Raiders have to get off the schneid eventually, and although the Broncos defense is very sharp, this seems like a great opportunity for them to do so.

Buccaneers 24-20 Chiefs

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

This fantastic Super Bowl LV rematch on SNF isn’t even close to the biggest story in Tampa this weekend. We can only hope that it will be safe and that the city is ok. I thought the game would be moved, but the NFL is toughing it out amidst the hurricane. They say it should be out of town by Sunday night, but it still feels a bit weird. I don’t know how much the conditions are going to affect this game, but it wasn’t going to change my pick anyways. The Buccaneers defense is simply incredible, giving up an NFL-best 9 (nine!) points per game through three weeks. Against a Chiefs offense, whose number they clearly have dating back to February 2021, that doesn’t have much big play potential, I think they can limit Patrick Mahomes enough to let their offense win the game. Tom Brady gets his WR1 back as Mike Evans returns from suspension, and Chris Godwin and Julio Jones might be on their way back as well. With enough weapons on offense, I trust the Bucs to put up enough points to win any game that their defense dominates. I’m not saying it’ll be a shutdown performance like the Super Bowl was, but it’ll be enough to win.

49ers 24-17 Rams

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers simply have Sean McVay and the Rams’ number. They always have, and they probably always will. Yes, LA got the best of San Francisco in their last matchup in the NFC Championship Game, but we all know the Niners should have won. So, at home in primetime in a massive divisional showdown coming off a tough primetime loss, I think the 49ers are going to bring it. I think they’ll give the defending champs everything they have and win this game. More than anything, I believe their defense, which is 2nd in total yards (227) and third in points (12.3) is going to continue playing excellent football and shut down a Rams offense that is lacking in the juice they had a year ago. Even with Jimmy Garoppolo under center on offense, that’s just how this rivalry game always goes (in the regular season, at least).

All stats taken from ESPN.

Post-Week 4 Power Rankings

Things are just as confusing as ever in the NFL, as plenty of shuffling continues amongst the good and bad teams alike. Let’s see how it all stacks up after 4 weeks of play.

Kyler Murray, the current MVP frontrunner, helped the Cardinals knock off the Rams, last week’s #1 team, to propel them to the top of this week’s Power Rankings. (h/t Jae C. Hong, AP)

This week in the NFL proved to be just as confusing as any other week thus far. There is an insane amount of shuffling all across the board between the elite and poor teams alike. Just when you think things are starting to take shape, the Jenga blocks get knocked right down the ground. After a wild first month of the season, let’s stack up the teams 1-32:

1 – Cardinals (4-0) 3

For the third consecutive week, we have a new #1. I’ve seen other people saying that Arizona doesn’t deserve to leapfrog all the way to the top just because they beat the Rams, and that’s fair, but in my opinion, they are currently the best team in football. They’ve been trending in that direction all year long. Kyler Murray is playing like the MVP favorite he is, the rest of the offense is stacked and everyone is eating, and the defense is returning to form, especially in the secondary. I thought the formula to beating this team was to play elite defense, but even LA couldn’t slow these guys down. If not them, then who will? I’m not sure many teams have what it takes. This top spot is now theirs to lose.

2 – Bills (3-1) 4

If Week 1 didn’t exist, this team would easily be atop the list. They’re on top of a lot of lists I’ve seen. I, like most people, still don’t understand how they lost to the Steelers. But, that was then, and this is now. And in the last 3 weeks, this team is playing lights out football. Granted, they haven’t exactly played the best teams, but they are pulling no punches and looking as good as they ever have under Josh Allen. The QB is back to his old ways, diming and spreading the ball all over the place, and this secondary is starting to reach elite status. This week’s primetime showdown with the Chiefs will be their toughest test, but I truly think they’ll be up to it. Let’s see how I get proven wrong this time.

3 – Rams (3-1) 2

Yes, the Rams laid an absolute dud on Sunday. But, as I said yesterday, we should have seen it coming. They were obviously still riding the high of their victory over Tampa, and I doubt they’ll look that flat again anytime soon. This roster is still stacked, Matt Stafford is still putting up huge numbers, and the defense is far too talented to be that porous. From personnel to coaching, there are very few teams I feel better about than LA, and I’m sticking with them. But they better get back on track quick ahead of a Thursday night showdown with Seattle. I think they’ll do just that.

4 – Buccaneers (3-1) 1

You don’t always need to be flashy and exciting to win football games. Sometimes, you just need to be solid on both sides of the ball and make plays when necessary. That’s all the Bucs needed to do on Sunday. I still think they deserved to lose, but I also recognize that they did what they had to do to get the win and move to 3-1. All the problems I had with this team are still there, and they’re honestly amplified with how thin they are in the secondary, but the defensive line seems deep enough to make up for some of that lack in the defensive backfield. The offense has seen better days, but again, they’re simply too good to not put up their numbers. Even while they’re not healthy, this is still a more than formidable squad.

5 – Chargers (3-1) 3

I’ve been waiting for this for so long. The Chargers are finally starting to realize their potential, and I honestly think they haven’t even reached it yet. They’re only getting better and better, and it has been awesome to watch unfold. Justin Herbert is playing smart, sharp football, delivering the football perfectly all over the field, the ground game is gashing defensive fronts, and this D is suffocating even the best of offenses. Once their deep passing game gets going, this team will have every way to beat you, and you’ll have no way to beat them. I really think the sky is the limit for this team, but this is still the Chargers, so I wouldn’t be surprised if something derails that. I’m keeping my hopes up.

6 – Packers (3-1) 1

The Packers were exactly what I expected them to be this week. The only thing that I’m not liking with this team right now is that the passing offense isn’t as explosive as it has been in the past, but that doesn’t seem to be a problem at all. This defense is playing really well, and it means their offense can take their time with a lot of running and short quick throws to go on long touchdown drives. It’s a good formula for success, and Green Bay is executing it better than almost anyone else in football right now.

7 – Cowboys (3-1) 6

I have seen enough to decree the Dallas Cowboys as legit. The offense is extremely balanced; in fact, it’s a run-first offense at this point. This team continues to run more than pass, and it’s not because Dak is hurt or still in recovery. He’s clearly just fine, launching the ball with pinpoint accuracy and dissecting defenses week after week. This run game is simply back and being as productive as ever. Both the resurgence of Ezekiel Elliott and the emergence of Tony Pollard gives the Cowboys one of the best 1-2 punches out of the backfield in football. And this defense is simply awesome. The star of the show is obviously Trevon Diggs with his 5 picks in 4 games, but everyone else is doing their part too. The only thing that concerns me with this team is HC Mike McCarthy and his very questionable in-game decisions, but perhaps this team is talented enough to overcome that. I certainly think that’s the case.

8 – Browns (3-1) 6

Don’t overreact to this massive drop. This was simply a reality check for the Browns. I know they won by more than I even predicted them to, but Sunday’s game left a sour taste in my mouth. Baker Mayfield was flat out bad, completing less than 50% of his passes, missing wide open receivers, and not doing enough to help his team win. The playcalling was also questionable, as the Browns often refused to run the ball when it was clearly working, especially in goal-line opportunities. Thankfully for them, the unit on other side of the ball showed up to play, and they dominated from start to finish to the tune of only 7 points allowed. The defensive line is continuing to dominate, and the secondary is only getting better. If that trend continues, then I suppose it doesn’t matter how lethargic the passing offense is.

9 – Chiefs (2-2)

Sunday’s performance was a vintage Chiefs offensive explosion, and while it was awesome to watch, I still can’t get over what this team is doing on defense. KC’s secondary has never been this bad, and they’re allowing even the weakest of offenses to rip them apart. They simply aren’t as sharp on that side of the ball. It doesn’t help that their front 7 personnel is lacking. With the red hot Bills coming into town on Sunday night, anyone who isn’t aware of these issues will see them on full display. I think it could be the ugliest game of the Mahomes era, and I can’t help but feel bad for him. His career cannot be reduced to shootouts and catch-up football.

10 – Raiders (3-1) 3

Vegas’ biggest hole was gaping on Monday night, as I expected. Against offenses that know what they’re doing, this team is probably screwed. They had the benefit of playing some not-so good offenses, and when they played the Ravens, they were in their first game after all of those injuries, so don’t give me that as an example. Moreover, this offense was completely suffocated by the best such unit they’ve faced this season. I think the Raiders are going to show you that they are a middle-of-the-road team this year. They can certainly feast on teams that are less talented than they are, but against the elite squads of the NFL? Not so much. But, they’ve earned their spot in the top 10 for the moment, so here they stay. We’ll see how long it lasts.

11 – Ravens (3-1) 1

I hope the “Lamar can’t throw” crowd never speaks up again. Jackson and the Baltimore offense ripped apart a very good Broncos secondary from start to finish on Sunday, and it was glorious to watch. They didn’t put up as many points as maybe they should have, but that’s more of a testament to the aforementioned Denver D. Still, I really liked what I saw from the Ravens. They still have to do some work to breach the top 10, but I know for a fact that they’re trending in the right direction, and with their lackluster schedule, they’ll be just fine.

12 – 49ers (2-2) 2

It could be the start of an exciting time in San Francisco, but I think it’s too soon. Rookie QB Trey Lance got his first real snaps under center on Sunday thanks to a calf injury sustained by Jimmy Garoppolo, and he definitely held his own, despite the loss. Now, Lance might see some starts as Jimmy recovers. A lot of people have been waiting for us, but Lance was the most raw prospect in the draft, and I still think he needs more time to develop. This team is still talented enough to be just fine no matter who’s at QB, but we’ll see how different they look with the rook. They could either be elevated to a new level, or it could be a ticket on the struggle bus.

13 – Seahawks (2-2) 4

I’m still not really feeling it with this team. They just happen to be the beneficiary of a couple of other teams falling off. Their offense didn’t look as good as the scoreboard would indicate on Sunday, and the defense is still a big, big problem. All of the problems I have with the Seahawks are still very apparent, and it will catch up to them. I wouldn’t look too much into a win against a team that had to turn to an extremely raw rookie QB for half the game. Don’t get your hopes up with this team.

14 – Broncos (3-1) 3

I’d put this team higher, but I still don’t know about Teddy Bridgewater’s health. Drew Lock makes this team significantly worse, and as it stands, he’s the QB. I don’t think they really stand much of a chance with him under center. He is too erratic and too careless with the ball to put the Broncos in a position to win, even with their great defense. I’m really worried that if Teddy misses significant time, it could derail this season as the schedule starts to get harder. I’m hoping he comes back soon, because this team needs him badly.

15 – Bengals (3-1) 4

Well, well, well. The surprise team of 2021 just keeps on surprising. No one is surprised that they beat the Jaguars, but everything is going right with the Bengals. Sitting at 3-1 with the best QB play in a long, long time with a plethora of playmakers on offense and a defense that can suddenly defend, Cincy is sitting pretty atop the division. Joe Burrow has been simply incredible to watch, and his offensive line is actually protecting him, allowing for this offense to thrive. I’m really hoping this team can stay healthy, because not only have they been a ton of fun to watch, but they deserve to finally have some success. Let’s see how long they can keep this up.

16 – Vikings (1-3) 1

I still truly believe the Vikings are a lot better than their record would suggest, but Sunday’s performance was an ugly one. For the first time this season, Minnesota’s offense was stifled, and it clearly rattled them. Kirk Cousins threw his first INT of the season and simply wasn’t on the same page as his receivers all game long. The run game also never got going, as Dalvin Cook was a nonfactor in his return from injury. The defense did its job, and did it much better than I expected, but it simply wasn’t enough. Cleveland was undoubtedly going to be a tough test, but if this is the Vikings offense we get against any elite teams, then perhaps their record will never reflect how good they are.

17 – Panthers (3-1) 1

So, this team having the #1 defense in football through 3 weeks was clearly a product of the opponents they played. That unit got absolutely shredded by the Cowboys on Sunday, both on the ground and through the air. The talent of this defense is nothing to scoff at, but they cannot afford to play like that at all in the future. I still have my doubts. Offensively, it wasn’t the worst game in the world, but I still think this team misses Christian McCaffrey a ton. The level of dynamic playmaking and simply the threat he provides is being sorely missed, and although Sam Darnold and DJ Moore have been putting up good numbers, it’s just not enough. Maybe the additions of C.J. Henderson and Stefon Gilmore will help out the defense, but there is nothing and no one this team needs more than CMC.

18 – Saints (2-2) 4

I guess I’ll just never understand this team. I’m giving up even trying to. It’s simply too difficult. The Saints played a pretty good game through 50 or so minutes on Sunday, but that makes the blown lead even more confusing. Isn’t this defense supposed to be the pride and soul of the team? How you give up nearly 500 yards of offense and blow a double digit 4th quarter lead to the Giants is beyond me. I’m just done trying to make sense of what’s going on in New Orleans and taking things as they come. Right now, losing that game in the manner that they did, they deserve this drop.

19 – Patriots (1-3) 1

As I’ve said repeatedly, the Patriots were the better team on Sunday night and they deserved to win that game. Mac Jones played his best game of his young career, the passing offense looked very solid, and the defense was stifling Tom Brady all night long. But, the complete lack of a run game, some untimely turnovers, and a questionable FG decision sealed this team’s fate. I still think this is a solid football team, but I do think they don’t have what it takes to make up for their shortcomings. You can’t run for negative yardage in a game and expect to win. That’s just now how it works. There isn’t enough talent in this offense to compensate for that. And I think that’s what will hold this team back this season. They’ve got their QB, but they need to work even harder on making his life easier.

20 – Washington (2-2) 3

To call this team a rollercoaster would be undermining how crazy this team is. Every other week is a 60-minute heart attack. This can’t be good for my health. Washington’s defense is still dreadful, as they refuse to get off the field on 3rd down, no matter what the distance is. This secondary is getting torched by RBs and WRs alike, and they still refuse to get pressure on the QB. Oh, and they haven’t forced a turnover since Week 1. The offense is making up for these shortcomings, as Antonio Gibson is finally getting more involved out of the backfield and Terry McLaurin continues to be one of the most unguardable WRs in football. Taylor Heinicke has also been a pleasant surprise on offense and gives the unit an extra gear that hasn’t been there before. But, they won’t be playing the Falcons every week. As long as this defense refuses to improve, this team is screwed. Unless that side of the ball tightens up in a huge way, many of Washington’s games won’t even be competitive.

21 – Titans (2-2) 5

What? I mean seriously, what? You lost to the Jets? The New York Jets? In the year of our lord 2021? Why should I even waste my time talking about this team? They don’t deserve it. Tennessee, you’re going on timeout for a week. Think long and hard about what you’ve done.

22 – Steelers (1-3)

The same old Steelers came to play in Lambeau on Sunday, and what I saw on the field was exactly what I expected. This offense is still as one-dimensional as ever, and that single dimension is remarkably ineffective. This team’s undying dedication to short throws over the middle is pretty hilarious, but also just sad to watch. The fact that Ben Roethlisberger connected on a deep shot early in this game is genuinely one of the most shocking things I’ve seen this season. The defense looked better, but is clearly still not at full strength. T.J. Watt’s groin injury is definitely holding him back, as Pittsburgh only got pressure on 18% of snaps on Sunday. There just isn’t a lot, if anything, going right with this team. It’s all downhill from here.

23 – Colts (1-3) 1

It was about time for Indy to get in the win column in 2021, although it wasn’t the most impressive win against a not-so-impressive opponent. But, a win is a win, and they deserve some love this week. Jonathan Taylor was the star of the show on Sunday, and his emergence has been long overdue this season. Carson Wentz also did his part, taking care of the football and helping his team cash in on turnovers. Winning the TO battle and converting those free possessions into points is a tried and true formula in this league, and maybe it’s just what the Colts need to do to try and get this season back on track.

24 – Bears (2-2) 3

It wasn’t the prettiest win we’ve ever seen, but the Bears did their job on Sunday and Justin Fields got his first W as an NFL QB. Good for him, and good for them. Granted, playing the Lions can make any team get back on track. Now, Fields will be the full-time starter moving forward, and while I have confidence in him, he’s still not in the greatest situation. This offense is severely lacking in talent, and it’s only getting worse now that RB David Montgomery is dealing with a knee injury. Oh, and this offensive line is still horrible. I’m sure Chicago is feeling good about themselves right now, but this won’t be a lasting feeling. I just hope they can keep Fields upright and get him valuable experience heading into what should be a bright future.

25 – Giants (1-3) 4

Somehow the Giants won themselves a game, and did so in… explosive fashion? Almost 500 yards of offense including over 400 passing yards from Daniel Jones fueled a comeback OT victory in the Superdome on Sunday. These are a lot of words that feel like they don’t belong in the same sentence. Still, good for New York to get the W that was seemingly evading them for weeks. I doubt we’ll see them put up these types of offensive numbers again, but it’s good that they finally put them up. It could create some good momentum moving forward, which they’ll certainly need, as the schedule is just brutal.

26 – Dolphins (1-3) 5

Yikes. In one of the more surprising developments through 4 weeks, the Dolphins are just… bad. I don’t even think the QB situation matters in Miami. Both guys are not serviceable starters in this league, and neither one of them can elevate this weak offense into something better. But the biggest surprise to me is the struggles of this defense. This was supposed to be an elite unit, but they’ve been anything but so far in 2021. I have no idea how this team can turn things around. It’s just a sad sight.

27 – Eagles (1-3) 2

Once again, the Philly defense got shredded and put in a blender. Perhaps this is a product of playing some of the NFL’s best offenses, but these guys aren’t even remotely competitive on D. The offense did their thing yet again, but I still think it’s the product of playing catch-up in the midst of blowouts. But, perhaps the Eagles feel good about their empty stats. It’s about the only thing they can feel good about right now.

28 – Falcons (1-3)

This team is absurd. The offense was moving all game long, they got all the calls in the world, everything was going right for them, and they still found a way to blow it in the 4th quarter. It truly is just in their DNA. This defense is as abysmal as ever, so it doesn’t even matter if their offense plays as well as they did on Sunday. Unless Cordarralle Patterson continues playing like the greatest Swiss army knife we’ve ever seen, there is just nothing to like here. At least they get the Jets this week.

29 – Lions (0-4) 3

Alright, I’ll never put my faith in this team again. The Lions didn’t play their worst game in Chicago on Sunday, but they simply could not get out of their own way, and that ended up being their demise. I’m not sure why I expected anything different. I still like this team’s offensive pieces, but man, that defense is just dreadful. Jared Goff isn’t exactly the guy to overcome that. At least the offensive line is still decent!

30 – Jets (1-3) 2

I really have to praise the Jets this week. What a cruel world. Well, congrats on your first and perhaps only win of the season. Zach Wilson looked like a real QB for once, and the utter incompetence of the Titans allowed you to notch that ever-evasive W. I hope you feel good about it, because you won’t see many more this season. This team is still a complete trainwreck, and I don’t see it getting any better. But, if Wilson continues to improve, then it inspires the slightest bit of confidence. I just don’t have much faith in that.

31 – Texans (1-3) 1

Oh brother. Once again, the Texans we got on Sunday were the Texans we expected in 2021. How the heck did this team beat Jacksonville in Week 1? Well, I guess they’re as much of a mess. Houston gets the slightest of passes due to having to start the 3rd QB on their depth chart, but it doesn’t even matter. This is just a horrible roster and their play on the field is starting to reflect that more and more each week. At least they’re not the Jaguars.

32 – Jaguars (0-4) 1

That didn’t take long. Welcome back to the bottom, Jags. This is not just an indictment on the on-the-field product, but what’s happening externally as well. I mean what the hell is Urban Meyer doing? Losing a game in which you had a 2 touchdown lead, then going to get danced on in your own bar?! And getting caught in 4K doing so? Just unreal. I told you guys this experiment might fail before it even gets started, and we are on the fast track to that being the case. What an unmitigated disaster.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 4 in Review

Week 4 fit the bill and matched the precedent set by the young NFL season. Let’s recap what happened.

Tom Brady returned to New England and led the Buccaneers to a hard-fought victory over the Patriots in an emotional homecoming on Sunday night. (h/t Adam Glanzman, Getty Images)

This week in the NFL was no different than the other so far in 2021. Week 4 was filled with plenty of fireworks, exciting finishes, surprising outcomes, and just great football. I’m so happy that this season is continuing to deliver on all fronts, especially with the return to normalcy with fans back and all. It’s been great to see. Let’s recap what happened this week:

Bengals 24-21 Jaguars

I told you this game had the potential to be good. And honestly, it was great. Who didn’t enjoy themselves watching this game? You must hate exciting football. These were two young teams with some of the best, most exciting young QBs in the NFL duking it out on primetime television. I wasn’t expecting the Jags to come out the way they did, jumping out to a 14-0 halftime lead, and I was honestly impressed. Trevor Lawrence was slinging the ball with confidence, and the running game looked very solid. I was also vastly disappointed in the Bengals offense, but they obviously picked it up in the second half. Coming out of the locker room, it was the Joe Burrow show, and I must say, I’ve never been more impressed with him at the pro level. From the methodical opening drive of the half, which included a gorgeous sideline throw to rookie WR Jamarr Chase, to the clutch factor and amazing leadership shown in the 4th quarter when they went down 7, Burrow was everything you could possibly want out of a franchise QB on Thursday night. He took all the hits, made all the right audibles at the line, and delivered every throw on the money to not only tie the game in the 4th, but also lead the game-winning drive, capped off by a 35-yard field goal as time expired. Lawrence looked solid with 204 yards on 71% completion, but it was Burrow’s night. He was sensational with 348 yards and 2 touchdowns on 78% completion, and he looked better than I believe he ever has. Now, Cincinnati is sitting atop the division at 3-1, and they might not be a fraudulent 3-1. I’ll get into that more tomorrow.

Washington 34-30 Falcons

Good lord. I don’t even know where to begin with this one. You could write a book about this game and it would be thicker than a bowl of oatmeal. I suppose we can start at the top. Atlanta dominated this one early thanks to more dreadful incompetence from Washington’s vastly overrated defense. After an opening drive FG and a busted coverage deep shot to Cordarrelle Patterson, it was a quick 10-0 lead for the team in black. Washington responded very well, however, thanks to some really great play from QB Taylor Heinicke, which was the story of the game. He delivered a gorgeous 33-yard touchdown pass to WR Terry McLaurin: a perfectly placed ball in between 2 defenders in the endzone. Another TD drive later, and the WFT led. That would be short-lived sadly, as Patterson victimized the secondary once again for a touchdown with 14 seconds left before the break. The second half started with a bang as DeAndre Carter returned the opening kick 101 yards for a touchdown for yet another lead change. Something important to note is that on this touchdown and the previous one, K Dustin Hopkins missed both extra points. Keep that in mind. This would be yet another short Washington lead as Patterson caught yet another touchdown to go up 4. A WFT FG cut the deficit to 1 thanks to the aforementioned missed extra points. Then, the madness truly began. On the most ridiculous 4th down plays you’ll ever see, Matt Ryan threw an interception, but the referees missed his knee touching the ground, which would have gone down as a sack and gave Washington much better field position. What the refs did see apparently was an egregious “roughing the passer” call on DE Chase Young, who made slight contact with Ryan’s shoulder pads while he hadn’t even thrown the football yet. I don’t even want to talk about the call because of how bad it was, and I still cannot wrap my head around it. This made everything that happened on the play irrelevant as it resulted in a first down, and Atlanta drove the ball for another touchdown to go up 8. By this point, everything seemed to be out of reach. But Heinicke simply doesn’t say die. He connected with McLaurin once again on a ridiculous deep touchdown, but a failed 2-point try left the game at 30-28 with 4 minutes left. After a defensive stop, the ball was in #4’s hands with a chance to create magic once again. Only needing a field goal to take the lead, Washington got chunk play after play to get all the way down to the Atlanta 30-yard line. With 33 seconds left, Heinicke found himself with all day to throw, came back across the field to find RB J.D. McKissic who then maneuvered all the way down the sideline and made an incredible leap for the pylon for what proved to be the game-winning touchdown. It was an incredible play that was truly a microcosm of what this team is. Give them a chance, and they won’t waste it. Granted, this game wasn’t without its plethora of issues, but I’ll get into that more tomorrow. On the bright side, Heinicke was the star of the show with 290 yards and 3 touchdowns on 70% completion, and his favorite target McLaurin feasted with 123 yards and the 2 aforementioned scores on 6 catches. This is an offense that can do damage, but if the defense doesn’t tighten up, then problems will obviously persist. I pray to God that I never have to sit through a game like this again this season.

Bills 40-0 Texans

What was uglier in Buffalo on Sunday, the weather or the Texans’ performance? I’d easily go with the latter. Which is saying something if you saw the conditions during this game. There really isn’t much to say here aside from the obvious. The Bills have continued to impress me in the weeks since their opening upset. This offense is still firing on all cylinders, and the defense is playing some great football as well. I’ll let the numbers speak on this one. Buffalo outgained Houston 450 yards to 109, had 26 first downs compared to 6, and held the ball for 17 more minutes, all while forcing 5 turnovers. Josh Allen continued to shine, WR Stefon Diggs had a classic Diggs game, and TE Dawson Knox put on another great performance with 2 TDs as he continues to emerge into a legit redzone weapon. The Texans were the Texans we expected to see all year long, thanks to the play of 3rd string QB Davis Mills, who had 4 INTs on the game. This was just ugly from start to finish, and everyone knew it would be.

Bears 24-14 Lions

What a strange game. It feels like a lot but also not much happened in this one. There are some definitive takeaways, though. First of all, the Lions are still a trainwreck. I picked them to win this game because they certainly looked like the better team, but they simply could not get out of their way on Sunday. Two turnovers in huge moments derailed them greatly. Those turnovers let the Bears do exactly what they needed to get this win. They ran the ball right down the throat of Detroit’s defense all game long, and that was the key to victory. RB David Montgomery had a very solid showing with 106 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 carries, but unfortunately he seemed to have suffered a serious knee injury that could derail his season. It was also the first solid outing for rookie QB Justin Fields, who had 209 yards on just 11 completions thanks to some good-looking deep shots. The Lions didn’t play a poor game by any means, as they led time of possession and were only outgained by 25 yards, but again, they continued shooting themselves in the foot. Now, they sit at 0-4 with no real success in sight. Things are somehow sadder than expected.

Cowboys 36-28 Panthers

This was easily the most eye-opening performance of the week. Maybe the biggest one of the season. The Dallas Cowboys are legit, ladies and gents. This is one of the best teams in football. I never thought I’d be saying that, but here we are. This was a compelling game for the first half, as both teams traded blows headlined by the balanced offensive attack of Dallas vs. the surprising brilliance on the ground from Panthers QB Sam Darnold, who had 2 rushing touchdowns in the first 2 quarters. From there on out, however, it was all Cowboys. A 20-0 3rd quarter with 3 passing touchdowns set the tone emphatically, as Dallas carved up Carolina’s #1 statistical defense on the ground and Dak Prescott made them pay through the air. The Panthers got some garbage time scores to make this game look close, but that wasn’t the story at all. The Cowboys dominated and left their mark. Prescott threw for 188 yards and 4 touchdowns on just 14 completions, while the ground game dominated for 245 rushing yards, with 145 coming from Ezekiel Elliott, who also added a score of his own. Dallas’ defense also did their thing, as they kept the dynamic Panthers offense in check for the entire game (outside of garbage time) and CB Trevon Diggs yoinked his 4th and 5th interceptions of the season. If this team can stay this balanced on offense and this aggressive defensively, they will make things very interesting in an already stacked NFC.

Colts 27-17 Dolphins

What a mess of a game. From the play on the field to the fact that I couldn’t see what was happening half of the time because of the awful camera work, this game was just a headache. Simply put, this was another offensive disasterclass from the Dolphins. 203 total yards, 2 turnovers, and some very poor QB play held this team back for the entire game. Indy didn’t play lights out or anything close to it, but they were the better football team by default. They stayed relatively mistake-free, Carson Wentz wasn’t too erratic with the football, and RB Jonathan Taylor finally decided to show up with his best performance of the young season thus far. That was all that was necessary to win this game. Neither of these teams left anything on the field to inspire any confidence or change my opinions on them. It was just so uneventful.

Browns 14-7 Vikings

Whatever I expected to happen in this game did not happen. At all. I never would have predicted this to be the slugfest that it was, but I’ve been wrong before. This was just ugly, run-centric, defensive football from start to finish. The passing attacks that I thought would thrive were remarkably limited, and this game came down to whoever’s defense would step up more. That was Cleveland’s, and it’s reflected on the scoreboard. This is a unit that has had a lot of questions, but was playing great ball coming into this game. In the clutch, it was their strength that allowed them to win. Cleveland’s offense didn’t play great by any means, although the ground game was its usual self. Baker Mayfield only threw for 155 yards on a lousy 15/33 passing. But the constant pressure of Kirk Cousins on the other side of the ball, alongside the surprisingly great play of the secondary is what made the difference. That really meant something to me. The Vikes had every opportunity late, but they refused to cash in, and now sit at an unfortunate 1-3. I still feel pretty bad for them, but a little less so after this one.

Giants 27-21 Saints

I mean what the heck. I can’t remember the last team as confusing as this Saints team. I genuinely have no idea what’s going on down there. How do you blow an 11-point 4th quarter lead to the Giants? The Daniel Jones-led Giants! Explain it to me! The offense wasn’t anything flashy, but they still put together several nice scoring drives to go up 21-10 with 12 minutes left. Jameis Winston was efficient throwing the ball, and Alvin Kamara had a great day on the ground. But as soon as they got that lead, the defense forgot how to play football. With 7 minutes to play, they let Saquon Barkley get free on a wheel route down the sideline, and he proved that he can still be as explosive as anyone in football as he took it the distance to cut the lead to 3 after a 2-point conversion. The Giants then marched down the field once again to tie the game and send it to overtime. And fittingly, on the first drive of the extra period, Barkley punched in a 6-yard score to cap a 9 play, 75-yard drive to win the game and put the Giants in the win column for the first time this season. It was the cherry on top for an inexplicably bad defensive performance in which New Orleans gave up 485 total yards including 402 passing yards. I thought defense was this team’s strong suit? Nothing makes sense right now in the Big Easy.

Jets 27-24 Titans

Pigs are flying. Mountains are crumbling. Oceans are drying up. Deserts are flooding. The impossible has happened. Against all odds, the New York Jets won a football game. I don’t even know how it happened. This was a very uneventful game through 3 quarters, but the 4th was anything but. These teams somehow traded blow after blow, and the Jets were able to take a 7 point lead thanks to an admittedly awesome touchdown throw from rookie Zach Wilson to WR Corey Davis. New York actually got the 4th down stop they needed to win the game, but a pass interference call allowed the Titans to stay alive, and they ended up tying the game on a touchdown with just 16 seconds left. Overtime was a war of attrition, as both teams went on 13 play drives that ate up almost the entire 10 minute period. The Jets were first and got a field goal to go up by 3, and the Titans were unable to match as Randy Bullock missed a 49-yarder that would have made this one end in a tie. I’m thankful that didn’t happen. Thus, the Jets earned their first win of the year, and they honestly deserved it. I couldn’t believe it, but they were the better team. Wilson had the best game of his young career with 297 yards and 2 touchdowns with just 1 interception. The Titans offense amassed 430 yards of offense with over 40 minutes of possession, but they simply refused to put enough points on the board, which is shocking considering they were playing the Jets of all teams. This game told me more about Tennessee than New York, but they have one thing in common. Both teams suck.

Chiefs 42-30 Eagles

That was honestly really fun. What was there not to love about this game? The Eagles got destroyed all while Patrick Mahomes had a field day to pad his stats and help fantasy owners worldwide. America wins! Mahomes and the Chiefs offense were brilliant, as he threw for 5 touchdowns and the team amassed 471 total yards. Tyreek Hill returned to his explosive ways with 186 yards and 3 touchdowns on 11 catches. However, the defense was still extremely questionable. They gave up 461 yards of their own, and even before garbage time, they were playing fairly porous football. They allowed Jalen Hurts to throw for 387 yards on them, which isn’t very… ideal. Their secondary is just nonexistent right now, and they aren’t generating a consistent enough pass rush to make an impact. Week 5’s SNF contest against the Bills is another national TV exposé waiting to happen.

Cardinals 37-20 Rams

What a statement. This was the most impressive win of the week, no doubt, but we might need to cool off a bit. I think the Rams were a bit high coming off of their win against the Buccaneers, and they needed this reality check. That being said, the Cardinals deserve their flowers. They were just awesome from start to finish. From the jump, you could tell that this was their game. Kyler Murray was dishing it out with ease to a plethora of offensive weapons, and Arizona surprisingly had whatever they wanted against a very stout Rams D. A couple of first half turnovers from LA didn’t help their cause, and it helped things get away from them early. After falling behind 10-7 in the 1st quarter, the Cards ripped off a 30-3 run to absolutely sledgehammer their way to victory and a 4-0 record, making them the lone unbeaten team in football. Murray continued his scorching hot MVP campaign with 268 yards and 2 touchdowns on 75% passing, spreading the ball all over the joint. Again, I think the Rams will be fine, and they honestly needed this wakeup call. Now, they’ll come back down to earth, and resemble the team we saw in the first 3 weeks.

Seahawks 28-21 49ers

Kudos to Seattle for bouncing back like this, but I’m taking things with a massive grain of salt here. For one, they were drastically outplayed. They put up points when they were presented with opportunities to, especially after some untimely 49ers turnovers, but I look at 2 big things in this one. Firstly, Jimmy Garoppolo went down with an injury, meaning rookie QB Trey Lance had to come in. Lance didn’t necessarily struggle, but he was never going to do anything special in his first real game action. Secondly, Seattle allowed 457 yards of total offense and was outgained by 223 yards. They might have been efficient, but they didn’t look good as a whole. The defense still got carved up, and I just didn’t see enough to truly impress me. I think they got away with one here.

Ravens 23-7 Broncos

I am so underwhelmed. But more than that, I feel really bad for the Broncos. They looked so good and Teddy Bridgewater was playing so well, and now it’s all falling down. It was rough sledding already for Denver in this game, as a monster 2nd quarter from the Ravens put them behind multiple possessions. But Teddy got walloped on a hit to the helmet and had to leave this game with a concussion, and he’s still in the protocol right now. Naturally, the Broncos stood no chance in this one with Drew Lock under center, but the Ravens still put up their stats against a great defense. Lamar Jackson had a prolific day through the air with 316 yards passing, and WR Hollywood Brown redeemed himself with 91 catches on 4 catches with an incredible diving touchdown. They were also able to continue their 100-yard rushing game streak, although it took them until the final play to do so. Thus, the Broncos are unbeaten no more, and as long as Teddy is out, I’m not very confident in them. I’m hoping for him to have a speedy recovery.

Packers 27-17 Steelers

This game essentially went exactly how I predicted it would. None of Sunday’s events at Lambeau shocked me or moved me at all. I’d say the two things that moved me the most were Ben Roethlisberger actually connecting on a deep shot, a 45-yard touchdown to Diontae Johnson in the 1st quarter, and Packers WR Randall Cobb grabbing 2 touchdowns out of nowhere. I always felt Cobb coming back was more of a formality to please Aaron Rodgers, but if he can actually be productive for this offense, it will do wonders for the Packers. Rodgers was pretty good in this game, and his offensive line was a big reason why. He was only pressured on 18% of snaps against a ferocious front 7, and although he didn’t have his most accurate day at the office, he did more than enough to help his team win. The Steelers were their same old selves on the offensive side outside of the one aforementioned deep ball, and it’s still as ugly as ever. There’s nothing more I can say about that I haven’t been saying for almost a year now.

Buccaneers 19-17 Patriots

What a game. Tom Brady’s return home did not disappoint on any emotional or game-related notes. This really could have gone either way, and if we’re being honest, the Patriots probably should have won this one. But, it doesn’t always roll that way. It felt like they were ahead for a large majority of this game, and that was in large part thanks to the very good play of Mac Jones. The rookie QB played perhaps his best game yet, at one point completing 19 consecutive passes, and I think he was the only reason this game was close. The Patriots’ run game was nonexistent, as you ran for more than they did on Sunday night. Yes, you did. New England finished with -1 rushing yard(s). Thus, it was all on Mac, and he delivered. He had 275 yards and 2 touchdowns on 78% completion, and he spread the ball around the offense nicely. But sometimes, Tom Brady is just too much to overcome. The GOAT didn’t have his best stuff on Sunday night, but when it came down to it, he did what it took to win, setting up 2 late field goal drives to take the lead. On the game’s final possession, the Patriots were moving the ball efficiently and looked as though they were in a position to win the game, but a crucial 3rd down stop left them faced with 4th and 3 on their 40-yard line. For some reason, despite the rainy conditions all night, Bill Belichick opted to kick a 56-yard FG, which Nick Folk pushed and doinked off the upright to seal a Bucs win. It was a questionable decision, and you’ve gotta wonder if the gravity of the moment got to the man in the hoodie, but even if Folk were to have made that kick, they would leave just under a minute for Brady to try and win it himself. It seemed as though no matter what, #12 was leaving Foxboro with a W.

Chargers 28-14 Raiders

The Chargers keep on making statement after statement, and I’m loving every second of it. This team just keeps proving me right and then some, and they have now established themselves as one of the premier teams in football. This was all powder blue all game long, and it was an offensive firework show. The Chargers got it done all night long through the air and on the ground, as both QB Justin Herbert and RB Austin Ekeler had sensational outings. Herbert had 222 yards and 3 touchdowns, all of which coming in a 21-0 first half for LA, and Ekeler had 117 yards on just 15 carries as well as a rushing score and a receiving touchdown. Everyone on offense was getting involved, as Herbert completed passes to 8 different targets. LA’s defense also continued its stellar play, shutting down the NFL’s most prolific statistic passing offense, holding Derek Carr to just 196 yards and making every stop necessary to put a cork in any potential comeback efforts. The Raiders may have been undefeated, but I told you they weren’t flawless. This defense scared me, and it showed big time on Monday night. This is going to be the story of their season, especially against teams as solid and well-rounded as the Chargers are. Meanwhile, the Bolts look like one of the league’s best teams, and my inclination is that they’re only getting better. How much harder can lightning strike?

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 4 Picks

Week 4 promises to continue to bring the scorching heat of the 2021 season. Let’s pick this week’s games, including some absolute doozies.

Tom Brady returns to New England to take on his former team and head coach in one of the most anticipated matchups of the season this Sunday night. (h/t NFL.com)

The 2021 NFL season is continuing to chug along at a rapid pace, and we’re already almost a quarter of a way done with the regular season. Even in the longest season in league history, things seem like they’re moving too fast. In any case, this week is no different than those that have come before it, because we’ve got some more great games on tap in Week 4, and I can’t wait for them to get going. I went 10-6 in Week 3, bringing my season total to 29-19. I would like to be doing much better, and luckily I have a very long season ahead of me to improve. Let’s get into this week’s picks:

Bengals 27-16 Jaguars

Thursday, 8:20 PM EST, NFL Network

Thursday night’s jungle cat fight might not seem like much on paper, but I think this game has some potential to be somewhat good. It will at least be interesting. The #1 storyline is obviously the battle between the last two first overall picks: Joe Burrow vs. Trevor Lawrence. There is a difference, as Burrow seems to be doing very well coming off of last year’s injury whereas Lawrence has been struggling mightily to start his young career. These teams are also in very different positions, as the Jaguars are still trying to find their identity under Urban Meyer, while the Bengals look surprisingly good. This one should be easy for the team wearing orange. I’m hoping to see a good game, but you rarely get that with Jacksonville.

Washington 24-23 Falcons

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

How am I supposed to pick this game? Both of these teams have had identical seasons up until now: 1-2 to start the year with each team getting their lone win on a game-winning field goal against the Giants. It’s almost eerie. Neither team is doing anything particularly well to start the year either. So, what gives in a matchup like this? I honestly don’t know. I’m sticking with Washington because I like their talent across the board more, especially defensively, but that defense better start playing up to that talent level. I’m holding out hope that it happens, but I’m not counting on anything. If they do, this should be a fairly easy one. If not, it will easily be another loss.

Bills 34-13 Texans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This one might be the ugliest game of the week. The Bills are playing red hot football, and the Texans are… the Texans. I will always give the NFL credit for its parity, but at a time like this, this is as big of a mismatch as there can be. Vegas seems to agree with me considering the 16-17 point spread. It will be the rookie QB Davis Mills once again for Houston, and against a team playing its best ball, it will be a rough, rough day. I expect another huge performance from Josh Allen and the Bills offense. Anything less will honestly be a disappointment.

Lions 23-20 Bears

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Against all odds, someone has to win this game (yes, I know I used that line last week). At this point, the Lions deserve a win much, much more than the Bears do. Chicago’s dreadful, almost nonexistent gameplan last week nearly got Justin Fields killed in Cleveland, and the coaching staff doesn’t deserve anything good because of it. The Bears haven’t even named their starting QB for this game yet, so it could be Fields, Andy Dalton, or even Nick Foles. So, at this point, I simply cannot pick them. Moreover, the Lions have been a very scrappy team that is seemingly never out of a game, and for all of their heartbreak and struggle, they deserve a W. I hope they get it in this game.

Cowboys 28-23 Panthers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is one of the more fun matchups of the week on paper. One of the NFL’s surprising undefeated teams heading to Arlington to take on the red hot Cowboys. As I said yesterday, Carolina’s injury problems are a definite cause for concern. Being without RB Christian McCaffrey is going to limit this offense, as Chuba Hubbard isn’t exactly at that level. While I love their defensive front, the Cowboys offensive line has been playing good football so far, and I think Dallas will still be able to run the ball effectively. Even if that aspect of the game is taken away, I still trust Dak Prescott and that stacked WR core to get the job done airing out the football. The Panthers don’t exactly have the same talent at that position, especially with D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson dealing with injuries. I’m not sure why I think this game will be close, but in any case, I’m confident in the Cowboys emerging victorious.

Dolphins 20-17 Colts

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Both of these teams are in pretty crummy positions, but at least they have the benefit of being able to play one another on Sunday. Someone has to pick up a win and get their season back on track, even if that track isn’t a lasting one. Simply put, the Dolphins have shown me a lot more than the Colts have in order to give me confidence to pick them. They came all the way back last week against the Raiders and were very close to at least coming away with a tie. The Colts haven’t been competitive in any of their games this season, and against a pretty good Miami defense, this isn’t a situation that seems like it’ll get any better. Neither of these teams can afford a loss, and Miami seems much more situated to come away with a big win. Plus, Jacoby Brissett might be looking for a little personal revenge going up against his old team. I think he’ll have a nice game, and the Dolphins will get back to .500.

Browns 30-28 Vikings

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This is honestly my most anticipated game of Week 4. These are two teams that I am higher on than anyone else I know, and I cannot wait to see them duke it out. On paper, the Browns seem like the much better team, but as I said yesterday, the Vikings could easily be 3-0, and people would be viewing them a lot differently. These are two red hot offenses, and it comes down to which defense can step up when it matters most. Both of these defenses are better up front than they are in the second level, but at the same time, both of these run games are so diverse and hard to stop that it’s almost impossible to predict who comes out on top. Minnesota likely has the more explosive passing offense, so why not them? My answer lies in what I saw out of the Browns defensive line last week. This is a unit that is hungry for the football, and if they can get after Kirk Cousins like they did last week with Justin Fields, then that will be the difference in this game. I don’t want to put all of my eggs in that basket, but that’s why I’m sticking with Cleveland.

Saints 24-16 Giants

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This game will likely be a complete snoozefest, but I have no doubts about the outcome of it. The Giants are a tire fire that has nothing going for them on either side of the ball. The Saints might be inconsistent, but they have shown great promise on offense and even greater promise on defense. If the defense plays just as good as they did last week in Foxboro, then it should be an easy day at the office for the offense to simply hold onto the football and put together a few scoring drives and come out on top. This New York team is far too incompetent on both sides of the ball to do anything about that.

Titans 31-10 Jets

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Titans are playing some pretty good football right now, and even if they have some problems, this is nothing short of a bye week. The Jets are in the midst of one of the worst stretches of football I have ever seen, and I fully expect them to get ran over once again. Derrick Henry could run for 200 yards in this game with his eyes closed and his arms tied behind his back. If you have any Titans on your fantasy team, start them. It is going to be a field day for the team in navy. And it is going to somehow get even uglier for the Jets.

Chiefs 31-20 Eagles

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Chiefs are visibly struggling right now, so it’s good that they get an easy bounce back game against a team like the Eagles. Philly can’t stop a nosebleed on defense, and against a KC offense itching for its next massive play, we could see some fireworks from Patrick Mahomes and company. While I have no faith in the Chiefs defense, the Eagles don’t exactly pose much of an offensive threat. All of their best work last week came in garbage time when they were playing catch-up. I expect a repeat performance of that this week. It might not be as much of a struggle early for Jalen Hurts and the Birds, but it will certainly be another uphill battle late.

Rams 27-24 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

This is easily the best game of the week on paper. Two 3-0 division rivals playing some of the hottest football in the league battling in the City of Angels for the right to sit atop the NFC West and keep their unbeaten streak going. It almost feels like Hollywood. This is the toughest test thus far for Arizona, and it’s not very close. On the other hand, the Rams just passed the test of all tests, and I think that’s the defining factor in picking this game. The Rams have nothing left to prove. They’ve just proven that they’re the NFL’s best team. The only thing they have to lose in this game is that crown. I’m not sure if the Cardinals have it in them to do what LA was able to do last week. Yes, their offense is a fireworks machine, but the Rams defense has done a great job of limiting big plays and keeping things in front of them. I think they will keep Kyler Murray and company in check, and their offense will do the rest. It will be a great game, but it’s hard to see the Rams losing.

49ers 30-20 Seahawks

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

The Seahawks clearly have a lot of problems that they’re trying to figure out. Unfortunately for them, this isn’t a game that they’ll get to do much of that in. Even in a loss last week, the 49ers finished the game looking very strong. They can’t afford to start as slow as they did again, but I doubt that will happen against a Seahawks offense that had a very hard time putting up points last week. Moreover, San Francisco’s defense is still the best unit in any game they play, and those Seattle struggles on offense will only continue in this one. The Seahawks just seem like a mess right now, and this is too difficult of a matchup for them to get back on track. I think this will be easy for the Niners, and I think the questions will only get louder and more frequent in Seattle.

Broncos 24-22 Ravens

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

This is one of the better games of the week as the undefeated Broncos host a Ravens team coming off a couple of emotional victories. All the makings are here for a very good football game. To me, this game comes down to one major matchup: the Broncos secondary vs. the Ravens WRs. Denver’s DBs have been sensational to start the season, albeit against rather weak opposition. Receivers have never been the Ravens’ specialty in the Lamar Jackson era, and last week proved that you can never count on them to help you win. So, this game will likely come down to Lamar having to beat the Broncos’ great defense on his own. Against most teams, I’d have faith in him to carry Baltimore to victory, but this Broncos defense is just too solid. Moreover, their offense is efficient and very careful with the football, and I think they will make the most of their opportunities and put Denver in a perfect position to win. Although I wouldn’t put it past Justin Tucker to nail another ridiculously long game-winning field goal in the high altitude.

Packers 31-16 Steelers

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

Like so many matchups we’ve seen this season, this game simply doesn’t hold the same weight it once did. These are two of the most iconic franchises in all of sports led by two legendary QBs. It was just over a decade ago that these teams played in a very entertaining Super Bowl, and their matchups since have always delivered. However, in 2021, this is a blowout waiting to happen. I honestly might be giving the Steelers too much credit here. Will they really score 16 points? That might be punching above their weight class. In any case, the rejuvenated Packers are playing with their tails on fire, and Aaron Rodgers is lighting teams up left and right. A Steelers defense dealing with some rough injuries will be his latest victim. Don’t be surprised if this one gets ugly early.

Buccaneers 26-17 Patriots

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

The prodigal son is coming home. You know the story by now. Tom Brady, the GOAT, the man who has shattered all of his expectations and storylines is returning to Foxboro to take on the team that he led to unprecedented success. And, for the first time, he’ll be going against his old coach, Bill Belichick, the man who was the Palpatine to his Vader for 20 years and 6 championships. Yet, for some reason, this game feels like it’s falling flat. And it’s because the Patriots aren’t very good. Their games this year have felt so… boring. That’s the best way to describe it. They are simply a boring football team that is frankly incapable of beating teams that are as good as them or better. And the Bucs are much, much better. Their offense has been scorching hot through 3 games, and Brady looks as good as he ever has throwing the football. They are definitely having some defensive issues, but they are sure to look good against an anemic offense like New England’s. I honestly don’t think this one should be close at all. The only reason it might be is if Belichick busts out the secret formula to stopping Tom that only he knows. And at this point, I doubt that exists. The whole world will be watching, but I don’t anticipate a very good football game on Sunday night.

Chargers 30-27 Raiders

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

This is such a fascinating game. The 3-0 Raiders traveling up to LA to take on a resurgent Chargers team coming off a massive win against the Chiefs last week. Derek Carr and his MVP-level play vs. Justin Herbert and his innate ability to rack up yards. Two prolific passing offenses with exciting, young defenses. I love this rivalry. And I think this is going to be another awesome installment. As I said yesterday, the Raiders’ inability to close out games is a big concern to me. The Chargers showed us last week that they will grab any and all opportunities to win football games, and I feel like Vegas’ defense isn’t strong enough to stop them from doing so once again. Not only do I feel like LA’s offense will have a generally good day, but in the clutch, I just don’t see them being stopped. Granted, the Raiders have arguably been the most clutch offensive team in the NFL so far this season, but they haven’t shown it to me on the other side of the ball like the Chargers have. It will be a fireworks show for both teams, and I expect big numbers from both Justin Herbert and Derek Carr, but I definitely trust one team more than the other when it matters most. And somehow, that team is the Chargers.

All stats taken from ESPN.