Post-Week 15 Power Rankings

Cover photo taken from Syracuse.com.

1 – 49ers (11-3)

“Buzzsaw” is starting to look like an understatement. Brock Purdy isn’t about to win MVP, is he?

2 – Ravens (11-3) 1

Never thought I’d be looking forward to Christmas because the Baltimore Ravens are playing, but here we are. Monday night’s contest in the Bay is my most-anticipated regular season tilt in… God knows how long.

3 – Chiefs (9-5) 2

I mean… that’s fine, I guess. Still need to see some real improvement against some real competition.

4 – Lions (10-4) 2

Consider me re-convinced. That was amazing.

5 – Cowboys (10-4) 3

Felt like a return to Earth was inevitable, but man… it wasn’t supposed to look like that.

6 – Eagles (10-4) 2

I’m loving absolutely every single second of this.

7 – Bills (8-6) 2

It’s true that nobody wants to see the Bills right now. It’s not true that nobody wants to see the Bills in the playoffs, considering they are incapable of winning at that time. Let’s stop that narrative, please.

8 – Dolphins (10-4) 1

Didn’t really want to bump Miami down this week, but there was literally nothing else I could have done.

9 – Browns (9-5) 1

Didn’t really want to up Cleveland down this week, but there was literally nothing else I could have done. Sigh.

10 – Rams (7-7) 3

The Rams are the Bills of the NFC, but the media will never give them that. I, however, will. Largely because my preseason take about this team will haunt me forever.

11 – Seahawks (7-7) 6

That was as much-needed of a win as they come in this league. What once looked like a team crashing out of the playoffs suddenly has a sharp upward trajectory. Should be a fascinating final few weeks.

12 – Broncos (7-7) 4

Literally the exact opposite of the Seahawks. We’re back to the September weirdness in Denver.

13 – Jaguars (8-6) 2

Just so… meh.

14 – Texans (8-6) 2

Moving the Texans down this week felt criminal, but I still don’t know what to expect out of them while C.J. Stroud continues to miss time, especially now that they have to face Cleveland.

15 – Bengals (8-6)

The legend of Jake Browning is truly something to behold. Cincinnati really had no business winning that game on Saturday, but here we are. And a playoff spot is theirs to lose.

16 – Colts (8-6)

I’ve been singing this team’s praises for a while now, and for good reason. They’re just so solid and extremely deserving of a playoff spot. I hope they get it.

17 – Buccaneers (7-7) 3

I’ll be damned, this team is actually going to win the division, and it might actually be because Baker Mayfield is an above average quarterback. These are truly the end times.

18 – Vikings (7-7) 1

I was wrong. It doesn’t really matter who lines up under center for the Vikings. They’re going to be competitive no matter what. They literally don’t know what it’s like to be uncompetitive.

19 – Saints (7-7) 3

Real strong possibility this team loses out, and I wouldn’t mind that at all.

20 – Packers (6-8) 6

I victory lapped far too soon. Consider this a lesson learned. Also, it’s nice to know that Joe Barry will likely never have another NFL job.

21 – Falcons (6-8)

Should I have moved the Falcons down this week? Probably. But I’ve been lower on them than most for the entirety of the season, and no team below them deserves to jump them. So they stay put.

22 – Titans (5-9) 1

Where is Derrick Henry? Has anyone seen him? Isn’t he supposed to be a key to this team’s success? No? I guess not.

23 – Bears (5-9) 1

We’re approaching the “Bears drafting a QB at No. 1 is a mistake” territory. No, seriously.

24 – Raiders (6-8) 4

Hahahahaha that was incredible. Thank you for that.

25 – Chargers (5-9) 7

Brandon Staley fired three games too late… maybe a couple of seasons too late.

26 – Giants (5-9) 1

Did you guys know Tommy Devito is Italian?

27 – Jets (4-10) 1

I have zero interest in watching this team play a single second of football for the remainder of the season. Which is fantastic, because they host us this weekend.

28 – Steelers (7-7) 1

While I might still be acting too harsh towards the Steelers, I’d like to think that no team quarterbacked by Mason Rudolph deserves a spot anywhere but the bottom five.

29 – Cardinals (3-11)

The Cardinals’ jig is up. Being kind of competitive isn’t competitive enough.

30 – Commanders (4-10)

What a roller coaster it has been. From “wow Sam Howell is kind of good” to “Sam Howell is the future” to Sam Howell being benched and likely losing the keys to the franchise is the epitome of this team’s quarterback situation in my lifetime. One day, the pain will end. Today is not that day.

31 – Patriots (3-11)

Congratulations, you were just competitive enough to remain at 31 this week. Barely.

32 – Panthers (2-12)

Carolina winning on Sunday felt inevitable. Good for the team, and all four fans who stuck around in the deluge to watch it.


Week 15 Picks

Cover photo taken from NFL.com.

Last Week: 7-8

Season Total: 123-75

Raiders 20-17 Chargers

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

No Justin Herbert, no Chargers victories.

Bengals 24-10 Vikings

Saturday, 1 p.m. ET, NFL Network

Hard to imagine Cincinnati losing this game regardless of who starts at QB for Minnesota.

Colts 16-13 Steelers

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network

Has the makings of an ugly Steelers win, but it’s hard to put any faith in them to win a game these days.

Broncos 21-20 Lions

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET, NFL Network

Two teams trending in two different directions.

Browns 22-13 Bears

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Should be an easy one for Joe Flacco and company.

Packers 23-17 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Hard to believe this was the NFC Championship Game three years ago. Regardless, this should be a different outcome.

Titans 23-20 Texans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Texans have too many injuries piling up. Plus, the Titans can’t lose in those Oilers throwbacks.

Dolphins 20-10 Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

No thanks.

Chiefs 23-9 Patriots

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Great bounce-back spot for Kansas City.

Saints 23-22 Giants

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Hard to pick against the Giants right now, but this might be where the fun stops.

Falcons 17-16 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

I was this close to picking Carolina. I just can’t bring myself to do it.

Rams 27-17 Commanders

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Should be a blowout by any and all means.

49ers 30-14 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Will certainly be a blowout.

Cowboys 26-20 Bills

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

Game of the week. Hard to pick against the Bills at home, but the Cowboys are simply too good to bet against right now.

Ravens 23-20 Jaguars

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Real chance for Jacksonville to make a statement. I just don’t believe they will.

Eagles 20-17 Seahawks

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Philadelphia hasn’t beaten Seattle in its last 15 tries. Have to imagine the streak snaps here.


Post-Week 15 Power Rankings

One of the most fun, action-packed weeks in recent memory has caused a ton of shuffling in the Rankings as the regular season continues winding down and the playoff picture starts to take shape.

Cover photo taken from The San Diego Union-Tribune.

1 – Eagles (13-1)

Sunday’s win in Chicago wasn’t nearly as clean as the Eagles would have liked. Jalen Hurts threw two picks, but it never held the offense back, and they still controlled the game for the most part. They ran the ball effectively and their defense made all the plays when they were called upon. Hurts still ended the game with a great statline especially by pounding the ball on the ground, but that cost him and the team as he now has a sprained shoulder and might miss this week’s pivotal divisional clash in Dallas. I hope Hurts can go, but if it’s Gardner Minshew under center, I still feel like the Birds have a good shot with their run game and defense. With the 1 seed on the line, I feel like they’ll step up and get it done.

2 – Bengals (10-4)

Sunday’s comeback win in Tampa emphasized everything I love about the Bengals. They were definitely struggling in the first half, getting stifled offensively and looking lost on defense. But they turned it up in the second half, forcing turnover after turnover and gifting Joe Burrow a bunch of short fields which were easily converted into points to eventually win by double digits after going down 17-0. Burrow was masterful with the ball in his hands outside of a tipped INT, and the offense was firing on all cylinders with four different touchdown scorers. The defense lost Sam Hubbard who could miss the rest of the regular season with a calf issue, which could prove to be extremely detrimental, but the rest of the unit stepped up on Sunday, so perhaps they have it in them to keep it going against some stiff competition as the season winds down.

3 – Chiefs (11-3)

The Chiefs are the latest team to learn to not overlook the Houston Texans. They did not play their sharpest ball across the board, which could be seen as a cause for concern. But I am never concerned with this team as long as they have Patrick Mahomes. He was marvelous once again, boasting the highest completion percentage in a game with 40+ attempts in history to go along with 3 total touchdowns to carry his team to victory. The overtime win clinched the AFC West for KC, but it may have also clinched Mahomes the MVP. I still have a lot of reservations about this defense, especially in the secondary, but they have a few weeks to get it figured out before the postseason.

4 – 49ers (10-4)

The Brock Purdy show keeps on keeping on in the Bay. The rookie keeps on playing some very good ball, and while the 49ers aren’t necessarily winning because of him, he’s definitely a reason why. The offense hasn’t lost a step (in fact, they might be even better), and the defense continues playing at a level that I have rarely seen. If that unit can carry this team to a potential title, they might go down in history as one of the best we’ve ever witnessed. The Niners close out the year with a couple tough matchups, but I simply don’t see them losing any more games with the way they’re clicking across the board. They have no reason to.

5 – Bills (11-3) 1

The Bills are playing some of their best ball as of late, and they’re finally starting to assert themselves as one of the elite contenders in the league. While I don’t think Saturday’s win was one of their best, I really like the way they won. They faced adversity, didn’t back down, made plays on both sides of the ball, and pulled it out late. Josh Allen keeps on carrying this team on his back, and while I still don’t know how long he can keep it up for, it just keeps working. The defense is playing much better than I’ve expected, and it’s paying dividends. The return of Tre White to the secondary has proven to be massive. Buffalo still controls their own destiny in the pursuit of the 1 seed, and while the Bengals might play spoiler in two weeks, these guys have everything they need to get the job done.

6 – Cowboys (10-4) 1

Last week, I said that the Cowboys’ struggles likely weren’t a sign of things to come. I might have been wrong. Dallas got extremely unlucky on Sunday en route to a loss, but they have themselves to blame for a lot of their issues. There’s no excuse to blow a 17-point second half lead. This defense is far too good to allow over 500 yards of offense to any team. Dak Prescott has played well for the most part, and the game-losing pick six was not his fault, but he hasn’t elevated the offense to where they need to be. When the run game struggles like it did on Sunday, the offense lacks that next level to put them over the top. They’re bound to play some great defenses in the playoffs, so I certainly have my reservations about where this team is headed.

7 – Vikings (11-3) 1

Major props to the Vikings for making history with their record-setting 33-point comeback win on Saturday. It was awesome to watch unfold. It really epitomized what this team has been all year long. They have the exact opposite luck of the Vikings teams of old, as I’ve been saying for months. That has propelled them to this record and this division title. A lot of people would give them flak for getting down 33-0 in the first place, but it was a disastrous first half with defensive and special teams touchdowns allowed amidst turnovers and complete chaos. When the gameplan called for the Vikes offense to be at their best, they completely turned it up and showed us what they’re capable of. I understand the narrative that this team isn’t all that and won’t be a threat in the playoffs, but perhaps they’re not quite yet out of miracles.

8 – Chargers (8-6) 1

No one is benefitting more from the AFC Wild Card race falling apart than the Chargers, who continue to rise to the occasion and now sit as the 6 seed. Since their offense has gotten fully healthy, they’ve played some of their best ball of the year, and with Joey Bosa returning to the defense soon, LA is a team that nobody is going to want to face in the playoffs. Justin Herbert is simply playing lights out, and the shorthanded defense is playing much better than anticipated. The remaining schedule is a relative cakewalk, so a playoff berth is imminent. It’s just a matter of where the Chargers sit as we head into the postseason.

9 – Dolphins (8-6) 2

The Dolphins have gotten some tough breaks over the last few weeks, but that’s the nature of this league. You have to win close games, and Miami hasn’t done that. They’ve lost three in a row against three teams in this top 8, which would happen to most teams in the league, and they simply haven’t looked as good as they did earlier in the year. I loved the fight they put up in the frigid conditions on Saturday, but this is a team that needs to win games like that to inspire confidence in them. When they lose, it really hurts that confidence level. Their final three games are going to be tough, so while the Dolphins are almost certainly going to make the playoffs, it might be a rougher road than they could have traveled to get there.

10 – Lions (7-7) 2

Look at the Lions man. So inspirational. This team keeps on winning in a plethora of ways to miraculously find their way back at .500 and in the top 10 for the first time ever. On Sunday, it was the late game execution of their offense and their overall defensive performance that got the job done. They were definitely susceptible to a few huge plays by the Jets offense, but they never broke despite being bent, and they made every play they had to in the end to pull out the win. This team just plays inspiring football and I can’t wait to see them continue this playoff push. I hope they get in over the likes of some other NFC Wild Card teams that I won’t mention.

11 – Jets (7-7)

I feel bad for the Jets. I really do. Being in a perfect spot to make a playoff push just to have to revert back to starting Zach Wilson is brutal. I wouldn’t wish that on my worst enemies. They’re now spiraling out of the playoffs and on the outside looking in, and their final three games are certainly going to be lost if Wilson remains the starter. Even with the defense playing how it is and the skill position players on offense doing their thing, nothing will be accomplished with the worst QB in the league under center.

12 – Jaguars (6-8) 7

The Jaguars are developing into one of the best stories of the back half of the season. They’ve won back to back massive games and now control their own destiny to win the division and make the playoffs. It’s truly a great story for such a fun, energetic, and genuinely good young team. The receiving corps is finally putting up numbers, the run game is solid, and the defense is a ton of fun. But the story here is obviously Trevor Lawrence, who has been one of the best QBs in the league this year. It took him a year outside of the dysfunction of 2021 to develop into the star we all knew he could be, and now that he’s playing at such a high level, the Jags are a force. I know he has what it takes to carry this team to wins, and perhaps a division title in a few weeks. I can’t wait to see what else this team has in store.

13 – Giants (8-5-1) 4

With no due respect, I refuse to talk about this fraudulent, disgusting, and corrupt team for the rest of the season. I will simply place them in the Power Rankings and pick their games with no explanation or further commentary from here on out.

14 – Commanders (7-6-1) 4

It was supposed to be different this time. It wasn’t. They were supposed to change the narrative. They didn’t. I don’t know why I ever got my hopes up. It’s utterly embarrassing to go out there and put up that performance at home in primetime in front of one of the best crowds we’ve had in years after two weeks prep against the same team you just played to separate yourself in the Wild Card race. I understand that the officiating is grabbing all the headlines; it was completely inexcusable and those officials need to be held accountable. But the real story of the loss is the fact that this is the same old team that cannot win the big game. They can’t even get prepared for it. Taylor Heinicke is an absolute bum and a complete joke of a player and I cannot wait for the day he no longer plays for this team. The playcalling is just abhorrent. Brian Robinson just gets ignored for no reason. The defense once again could not stop Daniel Jones. It’s just a sad joke. It was one of the most devastating losses I’ve ever seen, and it’s going to be a while before I recover from it considering it practically ended our season. I wouldn’t be surprised if we lost out.

15 – Ravens (9-5) 2

Thank goodness the Ravens finally lost. I’ve been waiting for this for way too long now. Thank you for opening the door for the Bengals to take this division. The NFL and its fans thank the Browns for their services. This team is so boring and so incompetent offensively that I don’t even want to see them in a playoff game. The defense is still fine, but no one wants to see this 1950s offense in January. Maybe things will change with Lamar gets back, but I seriously doubt it.

16 – Raiders (6-8) 2

The never-ending roller coaster that is the Raiders franchise just went for some more drops and loops on Sunday evening. This team almost certainly did not deserve to win that game, being gifted a touchdown to tie the game when Keelan Cole was clearly out of bounds, then being gifted the most ridiculous touchdown at the end of the game to win it. But I won’t rain on the parade. It was hilarious and one of the best game-winning plays I’ve ever seen. It was the type of finish that the Raiders needed if they want to find it in them to make a push for the postseason at this point. They should be .500 or better by all means, and if they play their best ball down the stretch, they might just sneak in. The problem is that their last two games (vs. SF and KC) are as brutal as it gets.

17 – Seahawks (7-7) 2

The wheels are officially falling off the Seahawks. It’s kind of sad to watch happen in real time. They just don’t play with the same juice they did in the first half of the season. Geno Smith is losing his precise touch, the defense is becoming very susceptible to big plays, and the run game is disappearing. They’re playing the exact opposite brand of football of the one they excelled at just a few weeks ago. It’s now an uphill climb for Seattle to get back in the playoff picture, and at this point, I just don’t see it happening.

18 – Titans (7-7) 1

Speaking of the wheels falling off teams, the Titans look like Lightning McQueen on the last lap of the Piston Cup right now. There are no more wheels. It’s simply over. I have no more faith in the Titans to accomplish anything, and I’m fully committed to the idea that the Jaguars are going to run the table and steal this division from underneath them. I recognize that the defense had themselves a heck of a game on Sunday, but nothing else on this team is working. I have faith in their coaching to steer them in the right direction, but it is simply too late for that.

19 – Browns (6-8) 1

The Browns are one of my BFFs this week for beating the Ravens, even though it wasn’t exactly the most convincing win in the world. It was ugly, sloppy, and old-school AFC North football that got the job done. They still don’t look great offensively with Deshaun Watson, but the defense is balling, and I still feel like it won’t be long before the other side of the ball figures it out. It’s too late for this team to make a playoff push, but I have to think they can carry some of this momentum into next season.

20 – Packers (6-8) 1

I’ve seen a lot of commotion about the Packers making a potential playoff push. Let’s stop that right now please. They’ve had a few nice games here and there, but anyone can look good against the Rams and Bears. This team still doesn’t have what they once did on either side of the ball, and it wouldn’t shock me in the slightest if they don’t win another game this season. It is nice to see them play well; good football at Lambeau at this stage in the year is simply football heritage. But this isn’t a playoff team. Be real with yourselves.

21 – Patriots (7-7) 7

I really just don’t know what to say. I’ve seen an infinite amount of awful plays at every level of football. I’ve seen some ridiculous ways to lose games. That might have been the worst one in the history of the sport. But this is more than the way the Patriots lost on Sunday. It’s the fact that the loss took them out of a playoff spot and likely ended their season. The fact that it may be the reason the team cleans house next year. It’s a season-defining low for a franchise that has never stooped to this point in this century. It feels like a fever dream. And it’s absolutely hilarious.

22 – Buccaneers (6-8)

Sunday’s game was a microcosm of this entire season for Tampa Bay. In the first half, the offense was absolutely clicking and the defense was suffocating. In the second half, the offense could not hold onto the football and the defense couldn’t stop a nosebleed (albeit in their own half over and over again). From up 17-0 to down 34-17. It epitomized the 2022 Buccaneers. Somehow this team still leads the pitiful NFC South, but who knows what could happen in the next three weeks. Perhaps this is still a team that no one wants to see in the playoffs. But I’m just not scared by these guys anymore. There is nothing to be afraid of.

23 – Steelers (6-8) 1

Remind me to never bet a Steelers game ever again. I just can’t a read on these guys. I never have any idea what to make of them. Their defense played very well on Sunday, but it comes one week after being gashed by the Ravens. Their offense had a solid showing as well, which comes after a season’s worth of awful performances. They are consistently inconsistent, and it puts them in no man’s land in my brain. But they deserve this spot considering the teams that are below them.

24 – Panthers (5-9) 1

In a completely shocking turn of events, Sam Darnold sucks at football. Who would have thought? Why would I ever bet on that guy? Despite their pitiful QB play and their nonexistent run game, the Panthers somehow sit a game out of first place in this God awful division. I don’t like their chances with a guy like Darnold under center, but anything can happen in this league. Against all odds, they still control their own destiny. If they make something happen, I’ll be shocked.

25 – Falcons (5-9)

Desmond Ridder lost his first start with Atlanta in essentially the exact way I expected him to. There’s not much else to it. The Falcons aren’t showing me anything to like, but like all the other teams in this division, they can still somehow win it. It’s truly embarrassing to see the NFC South in a spot like this, but at least it gives me a reason to be invested in these games as the season winds down. I think this team probably has the worst chance of any to sneak up and win the division, but like I said with Carolina, anything can happen in this league.

26 – Broncos (4-10) 4

Does anyone think it’s a stretch to say the Broncos are better with Brett Rypien than they are with Russell Wilson? Or was Sunday’s great win a product of playing the Cardinals? Either way, Denver should feel good about themselves with this win. It was nice to see Mile High so alive after a year’s worth of struggles. I honestly don’t see a reason to play Russ again this season, but maybe that’s wishful thinking and me wanting to be averted of seeing his awful play again.

27 – Saints (5-9) 4

Are the Saints back? No. Probably not. But Sunday’s win was a nice one that was fairly obvious to predict. They didn’t look great offensively, but they were good enough on a select few plays to put them over the top while the defense held it down for the rest of the game. This team is somehow one game behind in the division, but it’s hard to see them making any sort of “run” for the title with their remaining schedule. But as I said above, at least it gives me a reason to care about their final few games.

28 – Cardinals (4-10) 2

QB injuries continue to plague the Cardinals as backup Colt McCoy got hurt on Sunday, leaving Trace McSorley as the guy moving forward in Arizona. What a disaster. The kid from Briarwoods was about as bad as you’d expect in relief of McCoy, throwing no dimes whatsoever, unless they were to the Broncos defensive backs. You’d think having DeAndre Hopkins and Hollywood Brown to throw to would help a backup QB, but it simply doesn’t. Things have gone from bad to worse to simply atrocious in the desert, but at least this team has a future to look forward to once they clean house this offseason and move forward with some sense of direction.

29 – Colts (4-9-1) 2

New rule: if you go up 33-0 in the first half just to blow the biggest lead in the history of the league in the second half and overtime, I’m not talking about you for that week.

30 – Rams (4-10) 2

I tried to tell you guys about Baker. The media was so happy that their beloved QB pulled off an incredible win two weeks ago to get another starting job. He had you all fooled. Anyone with a semblance of knowledge about this game knows how awful he is, and it was on full display in an absolutely shambolic performance on Monday night in Lambeau. Is Bryce Perkins really that worse of an option? It’s honestly crazy to me. I really hope this team doesn’t subject us to watching more of this guy play QB this season. If they do, I certainly will be spending my Christmas elsewhere.

31 – Bears (3-11) 2

I’m a broken record when it comes to the Bears at this point, but they keep on doing exactly what they need to do. Justin Fields continues to cook while they continue to cook and inch closer to a top 2 pick. It’s really a beautiful sight.

32 – Texans (1-12-1)

Like I said last week, the Texans are back to being the frisky team they were in the first half of the season, pushing great teams like Dallas and Kansas City to the brink. That’s a solid sign for the worst team in the NFL, and it’s definitely a good thing that they continue to lose these games. They’re essentially locked in for a top 2 pick, so a franchise QB is heading to H-Town. We can only hope that they don’t mess it up.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 15 Picks

The final month of the regular season begins with an action-packed slate on paper featuring some pivotal playoff scenarios. Here’s how I see it playing out.

Cover photo taken from Flipboard.

Last Week: 8-5

Season Total: 128-77-2

49ers 23-14 Seahawks

Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video

These two teams are simply going in two completely different directions. The Seahawks have been trending downwards for a month now, and the 49ers are still flying high, even with Brock Purdy at QB. The rookie has been battling illness all week, but should be good to go in this game. But it frankly doesn’t matter. The Niners defense is the difference in every single game they play, and that will prove to be the case again on Thursday night. They’re going to suffocate the Seahawks offense that simply hasn’t been itself in recent weeks. Even in a tough road environment in primetime between division rivals, I don’t see a scenario where this game is even close.

Vikings 26-23 Colts

Saturday, 1:00 PM EST, NFL Network

This is perhaps the weirdest game of the week to analyze and preview. I never have any idea what to make of either of these teams. With the Colts coming off a bye, I think they can certainly compete and hang around for a while in this game. But the Vikings coming home after their tough loss last week should give them the juice they need to come out on top. I don’t have faith in them to win any game super convincingly, so I’d probably take the Colts to cover here, but I think the superior offensive talent of Minnesota will put them over the top.

Browns 19-16 Ravens

Saturday, 4:30 PM EST, NFL Network

I’m probably a fool for this, but it’s simply what my gut is telling me. I picked (and bet) against the Ravens last week in this exact same scenario and it came back to bite me. They’re once again short underdogs on the road against a rival with Tyler Huntley starting at QB. This time, I actually feel slightly better about picking against them. The Browns are simply better than the Steelers, and this will likely be a tougher environment for Huntley and the offense to play in. They’re not facing the world’s toughest run defense, which is good news for them, but I just have a feeling that this is the game where Cleveland finally puts it together with Deshaun Watson in the lineup. Baltimore’s defense is not invincible by any means, and while I don’t think the Browns are going to light up the scoreboard, I think they’re going to play their most complete game with Watson so far to pull out a late win.

Bills 24-17 Dolphins

Saturday, 8:15 PM EST, NFL Network

This is another game that just feels weird. I feel like the Bills should absolutely dominate this game, and I’m expecting next to nothing out of Tua and the Dolphins offense. But no one else is either. So maybe they’ll come out and play the Bills close, or even lead for the majority of this game. People are jumping ship on Miami after last week’s loss, so they’re motivated to show out. This is a perfect opportunity to do so and suddenly jump back into the race for the division. That being said, I just don’t see them winning this game. Buffalo is far too solid, especially at home, and their defense is playing much better. I think they should control this game for the most part, and Josh Allen will make enough plays to put them over the top. Think a repeat of last week’s game against New York with just a little bit more scoring.

Eagles 31-13 Bears

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The Eagles might have their backups in this game by the third quarter. I’m pretty sure they could play the entire game and Philly would still win by multiple scores. As long as Justin Fields gets his stats in, I’m good.

Saints 23-20 Falcons

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is another strange game on paper. Desmond Ridder is making his first start at QB for the Falcons, which has been long overdue, and I actually feel good about the rookie’s chances. I just think going on the road to the Superdome makes for one of the toughest environments for a rookie QB to make his first start. At the same time, I feel nothing remotely positive about the Saints. Yes, they’re coming off a bye and yes they’re coming off a tough primetime loss before that, but this team hasn’t shown us any indication that they can play a complete 60 minute game and come out with a win, especially against a frisky team like Atlanta. I really want to pick the Falcons, but something’s just telling me not to. Maybe the Saints defense puts together a great game against a rookie QB. Maybe Andy Dalton takes advantage of a porous secondary. Somehow, someway, I just see the Saints coming out on top.

Lions 27-24 Jets

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This is by far the most fascinating game of the week. It’s one of the most fascinating games of the year. Which is really crazy considering it’s Lions-Jets. Neither of these teams can afford a loss if they want to stay afloat in their respective Wild Card races, and for that reason, this game is going to be played at an extremely high level. It’s going to be very physical, but I think it’s also going to be pretty high-scoring. These two offenses can let it fly, and while the Jets boast a solid secondary, they can definitely get pieced up by a WR room as deep as Detroit’s. Moreover, the Lions have proven me wrong about being able to play on the road. They no longer back down from the challenge of playing in the great outdoors, and I think they have what it takes to beat a great defense on the road. I know the Lions passing defense is atrocious, and for that reason, I think Mike White and the Jets offense will let it fly as well, but if this becomes a shootout, I trust the Lions ever so slightly more. This team is playing some of the best football in the league, and with the Jets limping after last week’s beatdown by the Bills, I think Detroit is going to take the game over with their offense and pull away another impressive win to get to .500 and right in the thick of the playoff picture.

Panthers 22-19 Steelers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Does a 3-point win for the Panthers not seem like the most obvious possible outcome for this game? They’re coming home after a huge win last week in Seattle, and they know they have to keep on winning in order to stay alive in the NFC South. The Steelers, meanwhile, have absolutely nothing to play for, and might have to start Mitch Trubisky again as Kenny Pickett is still in concussion protocol. That’s never a good sign, especially against this stout Panthers defense. I just love the way Carolina is playing lately, and I think the crowd in Charlotte is going to be electric as their team continues this improbable playoff push.

Cowboys 26-17 Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

A lot of people, including Vegas, think the Jaguars are going to play the Cowboys very close in this game. I think that argument has a lot of merit considering the play the team has been playing lately and how stellar Trevor Lawrence has been in the last couple of months. But Jacksonville is simply too up and down to trust to put together back to back great performances. Moreover, they tend to struggle against elite defenses, which is just what Dallas has. The Cowboys are probably eager to show the country that they’re not the team that just struggled to beat the worst team in football, so I expect a typical performance out of them on both sides of the ball, utilizing their run game and suffocating defense to come away with a comfortable road win.

Chiefs 30-13 Texans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

I know the Texans were very competitive on the road last week against a great team, but let’s be real. The Chiefs are much better than the Cowboys are. Last week was cute and all, but there’s no way Houston puts together a similar game against a vastly better team. Their defense actually plays solid ball at home, but I expect Patrick Mahomes and company to piece them up all game long and make them look like the typical Texans we’re used to seeing.

Broncos 20-17 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

This might turn out to be the Backup QB Bowl as Colt McCoy will be under center for the rest of the season in Arizona after Kyler Murray’s injury and Brett Rypien might have to fill in for the concussed Russell Wilson. Regardless of who starts for Denver, they’re easily my pick in this game. They put together their best offensive game of the season last week, and I think they can keep that going against another bad defense this week, especially at home. It won’t take much to score on this Arizona team. As long as their defense bounces back from last week’s embarrassment, I think Denver should be able to hold off the Cards and pull it out in the end.

Raiders 27-23 Patriots

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

This feels like such a great spot to buy low on the Raiders and sell high on the Patriots. These are two teams coming off polar opposite primetime performances; Vegas got shocked last Thursday night and New England looked very solid on Monday night. So, I’m fading the Pats. It just makes sense. I don’t think they’re as good as the team we saw on Monday night. Their offensive injuries are starting to stack up, and I simply don’t trust them to win another road game on the west coast, even if they stayed out there this week. I can’t believe I’m continuing to put faith in the Raiders, but I still like their offense and I think they can move the ball against this Patriots defense. Davante Adams needs to step up and bounce back from going ghost last week, and I think he can do just that. Combine that with a vintage Josh Jacobs performance, and the Raiders will simply outscore the Patriots to win.

Chargers 24-20 Titans

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

I honestly don’t know if this game will be this close. I’m putting some respect on the Titans, but there’s really no reason to do that. They have looked awful in the last month, and they inspire no confidence on either side of the ball. Their only bright spot is Derrick Henry, but I don’t think he can make up for this team’s shortcomings on his own. The Chargers, meanwhile, are coming off a massive win on Sunday night and are trending in a completely different direction than Tennessee is. If their defense can put together another solid performance, then the offense will simply do the rest. This lowkey feels like a great place to fade the Chargers, but I’m not going to do it. I’m going to stick with my gut and the fact that they’re playing better football right now.

Bengals 23-20 Buccaneers

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

Like so many other scenarios this week, this feels like a great place to buy low on the Buccaneers. They got absolutely humiliated last week and have a great chance to come home and make amends. I’d take them to cover for that reason. But I just cannot pick them to win this game outright. Even at home, the Bengals are simply too tough of a test. Their defense is playing too well to lose to this anemic Bucs offense. The potential loss of Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd might hinder Cincy’s offense in this game, but if Joe Burrow has to force feed Ja’Marr Chase for sixty minutes, I think they’ll still be just fine. I think this will come down to whoever plays better defense, and at this point, it’s much easier to trust the Bengals.

Commanders 24-13 Giants

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

Here it is. One of our biggest games in years. Our first home Sunday nighter in five years. They flexed us in here for a reason. It’s a real chance to separate ourselves in the Wild Card race. A shot at revenge for the vaunted tie from two weeks ago. This might as well be a playoff game. FedEx is going to be electric, and this team is going to play their best game of the year. I just know it. The defense is going to show up and show out against a Giants offense that got smothered last week. The offense is going to put together some nice drives and do what they have to do to win. Terry McLaurin is going to light up the box score. Brian Robinson Jr. is going to run through people. I can’t wait to see it. I haven’t been this confident in the fact that we’re going win in a very long time. So, this will probably end with me in shambles.

Packers 27-17 Rams

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

When the schedule was first released, this looked like it would be one of the best games of the year. A potential playoff preview on Monday night at iconic Lambeau Field. Now, it’s a game that absolutely nobody wants to watch. Baker Mayfield will get the start for the Rams (imagine telling that to someone in April), which is not a good thing despite the feel-good nature of last Thursday’s win. He’s going to look like the typical Baker in a very tough environment. Don’t be surprised if he winds up with three picks. The Packers aren’t great and don’t inspire much confidence on either side of the ball, but they’re at home off a bye against a team that’s absolutely dreadful on both sides of the ball. I think they’re going to look just fine and win easily.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 15 Picks

Jonathan Taylor and the Colts host Mac Jones and the Patriots in one of the biggest games of the season on Saturday night. (h/t NFL.com)

We have reached the home stretch. Byes are over, and we have 4 weeks left to determine the playoffs. It’s gonna be a blast, starting with this week, which has some incredible games on tap. I had a very good Week 14, going 11-3 to bring my 2021 total to 129-77-1. Let’s have another great one, and let’s get into this week’s picks:

Chiefs 27-24 Chargers

Thursday, 8:20 PM, FOX

Week 15 kicks off with an absolute banger on TNF. The first matchup between these two teams earlier this season was a thrilling matchup that came down to the wire, and I expect similar fireworks tonight. Not to mention that these teams have been on a tear, and the winner sits atop the division. In my opinion, this game comes down to a key matchup of strength: LA’s offense against Kansas City’s defense. If the Chiefs continue their stellar play on that side of the ball, they should win this game with ease. Justin Herbert is very good, but when he goes up against difficult defenses, he tends to struggle. I think the Chargers defense isn’t bad, but it remains to be seen how they’ll perform against someone like Patrick Mahomes. I think KC’s defense will do just enough to put Mahomes and the offense in a position to win, and that will be the key difference in the game.

Raiders 20-17 Browns

Saturday, 4:30 PM EST, NFL Network

This game is a mess on all fronts. COVID has run rampant on the Browns, leaving them without their first and second string QBs, as Nick Mullens is now in line to start this game. On the other hand, the Raiders are just a mess 24/7. So, expect a mess of a football game in Cleveland. I just don’t know how I’m supposed to pick the Browns with all of their COVID problems, but I also don’t know how I’m supposed to pick the Raiders in any given circumstance. I’m putting my faith in Vegas to win this game against a team as depleted as any, but I will not be remotely shocked if they manage to mess up this easiest of wins.

Patriots 21-17 Colts

Saturday, 8:15 PM EST, NFL Network

This is it. Arguably the biggest game of the season in the AFC, if not the entire NFL. It’s not just because of how important this game is in the grand scheme of things, but these two teams are both fantastic, and it should make for a great game on Saturday night. Both teams are coming off byes, so the playing field is as leveled as it can be. There isn’t a single matchup that stands out here because both teams are so good on both sides of the ball. So, what gives? Well, the Patriots still have what I consider as a top 2 defense in the league, and I think that makes the difference. Indy’s defense is also fantastic, but if Jonathan Taylor and that offense are stifled, they won’t have a chance. I trust Bill Belichick and that Pats defense to get the job done, and I also trust Mac Jones and the offense to put up enough points to win the game.

Bills 30-10 Panthers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is the type of bounce-back game that the Bills need desperately. They not only need a win to get back into the playoff picture, but also just to feel good about themselves. They should get that on Sunday. The Panthers are just dreadful, and Sam Darnold coming back doesn’t change that. In fact, it might make things worse. If Josh Allen and the Bills lose this one, they’ll only have themselves to blame.

Cardinals 34-14 Lions

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Well, this is the team with the best record in the NFL going up against the team with the worst record in the NFL. Does any more need to be said? The loss of DeAndre Hopkins certainly hurts the Cardinals, but they’re talented enough to come back and still thrive offensively. This is a perfect opportunity for them to bounce back after Monday night, and they should do so with swiftness.

Dolphins 20-13 Jets

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Look here, another easy win for the Dolphins to keep their win streak alive. Coming off a bye and getting the Jets is quite the treat. I don’t even know why I think this game will be within a possession, but oh well. All I know is that Miami will win and inexplicably get to .500. What a league.

Cowboys 24-14 Giants

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

You know it’s a great week when the entire NFC East plays each other. This game isn’t exactly an intrigue, but I think we’ll learn a lot more about the Cowboys. If their defense thrives against Mike Glennon, then so be it. That’s to be expected. But their offense has been lethargic as of late, and the Giants defense isn’t terrible. They should win, but, if Dallas struggles in this game, then it’s even more cause for concern. And if they lose, just imagine the headlines.

Eagles 26-13 Washington

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

In a week where COVID has run through the NFL, no team has been hit harder than Washington. As of right now, 21 players will miss this game on the COVID list, and that number will likely rise by kickoff. Many of those are key contributors like Jonathan Allen, Kendall Fuller, Kam Curl, and more. So, you can just chalk this one up as a loss. I didn’t think Washington would win this game anyways, but it’s all but set in stone now. Coming off a bye, Jalen Hurts and this Eagles offense will have a field day against a ravaged WFT defense. And I will be miserable watching it.

Steelers 22-21 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

What a strange matchup. It’s well-documented by now that I don’t feel very strongly about either of these teams. Neither have been very impressive as of late, and now they match up with one another. So, what gives? I honestly don’t know. I just don’t have the confidence to pick the Titans without Derrick Henry, even though we just saw the Steelers defense get carved up last Thursday. I’m still picking Pittsburgh because I thought they showed good fight in their comeback attempt last week, whereas the Titans didn’t look like world-beaters against the Jaguars. It’s just a weird game all around.

Texans 23-17 Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Yet another entry in the series of games that nobody wants or deserves to watch. The Urban Meyer era is finally over in Jacksonville, and I usually like teams the week that they fire their coach. But, I don’t trust the Jaguars. Not anymore. Every time I pick them, they let me down, so I’m not doing it again. It’s as simple as that.

Broncos 24-23 Bengals

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

This is one of the most interesting matchups of the week, and I don’t think enough people are talking about it. This is a pivotal matchup in the AFC wild card race, as the loser could drop out entirely. The Broncos looked great last week whereas the Bengals came up just short in a potential comeback victory. Both of these teams have shown us so much at times and so little at others. I’m not sure what to expect in this game, but I have to pick the Broncos. I just like the brand of football they’ve been playing in the last few weeks, whereas the Bengals don’t look like themselves right now. Denver’s running game led by Javonte Williams has been deadly, and their defense is playing lights out. I think they’ll do enough to stifle Joe Burrow and Cincy’s offense and win this game.

49ers 28-23 Falcons

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

I’m not entirely sure what to make of this game. I think the Falcons can give the Niners a bit of a run on Sunday, but at the same time, it feels impossible to pick a close game. I just don’t have enough faith in Atlanta. But, I’ll pick it anyways because I can. I don’t think the Falcons will win this game, but they have the offensive talent to keep up with San Francisco’s slow burn of an offense. I like the 49ers defense a lot, but their secondary is ravaged and I saw them get carved up by the Seahawks, so anything is possible. San Francisco is the far better team and will win this game, but I just have this lingering feeling that it’s bound to be close.

Rams 30-20 Seahawks

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

The Seahawks are playing like a real football team as of late, so I don’t think this game will be a complete snoozer. But, it shouldn’t be close. The Rams have found their stride and aren’t showing any signs of slowing down, however, COVID has gone to work on their roster, and they’ll be short-handed in this game. But, so will Seattle. So, it’s still fairly even, and that still gives LA the advantage. I expect another huge day out of Matt Stafford and the Rams offense as they inch closer to potentially snatching away the division title.

Packers 27-16 Ravens

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

The main factor in play for this game is the status of Lamar Jackson. At the moment, it remains to be seen whether or not he will play. But, even if he does, I just don’t see how the Ravens win this game. The Packers are the best team in the NFL, and they match up very well with this Baltimore team. The defense should have another field day no matter which QB they face, and their offense will take apart a bad Ravens defense. This game has all the star power you can ask for, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to be a good game. Sounds like something else I saw this weekend.

Buccaneers 26-20 Saints

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

The 8th wonder of the world is why Tom Brady struggles so much against the Saints. I don’t see the Bucs losing to New Orleans once again, but I know for a fact that this will be close. The Saints just have their number, and I can’t explain it. But, Tampa has been playing very good football in the last month or so, and they have vastly improved since the last time these teams played. It might not be the flashiest game in the world, but the Bucs don’t have to win with flash. They should be able to slug this one out in a close game that should be more fun than a lot of people expect.

Vikings 24-21 Bears

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

Every year, we can’t escape the Vikings-Bears primetime game in Chicago. Please stop doing this to us, NFL. While I’m not very excited for this game, I think there’s some potential for a fun one on MNF. The Bears showed some promise for abut 30 minutes last Sunday night, and the Vikings put on a fireworks show for nearly 3 quarters last Thursday. I’m not sure what we’ll see on Monday night, but I do think that the Vikings have no excuse to not win this game. They’re the better team with more talent and they’re playing better football right now. Not to mention they have infinitely more to play for as a win could put them into a playoff spot. This is typically a moment where a franchise like Minnesota folds, but I have to trust them to get this done.

All stats taken from ESPN.