Post-Week 12 Power Rankings

An action-packed Thanksgiving weekend left the Power Rankings in a wild state.

Cover photo taken from CBS Sports.

1 – Eagles (10-1)

They can’t keep getting away with it.

2 – 49ers (8-3) 1

They’re healthy. They’re back. Sunday determines the season.

3 – Chiefs (8-3) 1

They’re healthy. They’re kind of back. Need to keep stacking wins.

4 – Ravens (9-3) 1

Defense is elite. Offense is clearly missing Mark Andrews. How long can they keep it up?

5 – Cowboys (8-3) 1

Keep on crushing your cupcakes. We’ll see what happens against Philly.

6 – Lions (8-3) 2

Divisional games are tough. You get a pass… for now.

7 – Dolphins (8-3) 1

Honestly? Still yet to be really impressed.

8 – Jaguars (8-3) 2

Massive win on Sunday. The division is theirs to lose.

9 – Broncos (6-5) 4

I owe you an apology.

10 – Browns (7-4) 3

You fooled me.

11 – Bills (6-6)

Welp.

12 – Seahawks (6-5)

It’s a brutal stretch of the schedule, but that’s no excuse to lay down and die.

13 – Texans (6-5) 4

Tough loss, but one that proves they might not be ready for primetime just yet.

14 – Steelers (7-4) 1

Crazy what happens to your offense when you fire the coordinator that had you stuck in the 1920s!

15 – Colts (6-5) 4

Awesome story. Wish they weren’t so beat up.

16 – Vikings (6-6) 2

Regression to the mean. Both for the one score games and for Josh Dobbs.

17 – Packers (5-6) 4

“The masculine urge to say ‘we’re back’ after saying ‘it’s over.'”

18 – Chargers (4-7) 2

Feels like one more straw will break the camel’s back in terms of Brandon Staley.

19 – Saints (5-6) 2

Really?

20 – Rams (5-6) 4

Not bad. Keep it up, and we’ll see what happens.

21 – Bengals (5-6) 3

At least the draft pick will be good.

22 – Raiders (5-7) 2

That was a fun month, wasn’t it? Back to reality.

23 – Falcons (5-6) 5

Please don’t end up winning this division. I can’t do it.

24 – Titans (4-7) 1

Meh.

25 – Buccaneers (4-7) 3

Even more meh.

26 – Bears (4-8) 3

“How are you not dead yet?”

“I have no idea!”

27 – Giants (4-8) 3

I’ll admit it. The Tommy Devito story rocks. Rooting for the kid.

28 – Commanders (4-8) 3

One bad man gone, one to go.

29 – Jets (4-7) 3

Perhaps the most unwatchable product in the league.

30 – Cardinals (2-10) 3

Don’t know why I was respecting this team so much.

31 – Patriots (2-9)

Congrats on landing Caleb Williams or Drake Maye!

32 – Panthers (1-10)

The franchise should be embarrassed.


Week 12 Picks

A solid Thanksgiving slate and some fantastic Sunday matchups ensure that Week 12 will continue to bring the heat.

Cover photo taken from NBC5 Dallas-Fort Worth.

Last Week: 10-4

Season Total: 98-56

Lions 31-16 Packers

Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET, FOX

Cowboys 38-24 Commanders

Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS

49ers 27-17 Seahawks

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Dolphins 26-13 Jets

Friday, 3 p.m. ET, Prime Video

Saints 20-17 Falcons

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Steelers 16-13 Bengals

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Titans 22-19 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Colts 23-20 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Giants 13-10 Patriots

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Jaguars 31-28 Texans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Browns 12-9 Broncos

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

Cardinals 27-24 Rams

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

Chiefs 24-10 Raiders

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

Eagles 26-20 Bills

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

Ravens 24-17 Chargers

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Vikings 20-10 Bears

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN


Post-Week 12 Power Rankings

Thanksgiving weekend provided some great football and shook up the Power Rankings from top to bottom.

Cover photo taken from Yahoo News.

1 – Chiefs (9-2)

The Chiefs didn’t play their best game on Sunday, settling for a lot of field goals on long drives that died close to the goal line. Despite that, they still won very convincingly, albeit against one of the worst teams in the league. They still got their numbers in and are vastly improving in the run game due to the emergence of Isiah Pacheco. They have one of their toughest tests of the year this week in a banger matchup against the Bengals, so we’ll see just how effective their new and improved run game and secondary is in that one.

2 – 49ers (7-4)

Like the team above them, the 49ers didn’t put together the flashiest performance in their win on Sunday, but they continued to show just how dominant they can be defensively. Shutting out the team who had gone the longest without being shut out is a pretty impressive feat. San Francisco is now first in every defensive statistical category other than passing defense. The offense didn’t look great, and Elijah Mitchell is out again with injury, but I think that will allow them to use Christian McCaffrey a lot more, which can help them in the end. After a few weeks of beating up on poor opposition, this week’s potential Super Bowl preview against the Dolphins will tell us whether or not the Niners deserve to be this high.

3 – Eagles (10-1)

I wanted to move the Eagles up just a bit this week, but I simply hated what I saw from their defense on Sunday night. Giving up 33 points at home to an offense that has struggled all year long isn’t a great sign. What is a great sign is seeing their own offense finally look like themselves again, rushing for a franchise record 363 yards amidst another tremendous outing from Jalen Hurts. I would like to see them throw the ball more effectively, but at this point, it doesn’t matter. They can run it down your throat all game long, and there’s nothing you can do to stop it.

4 – Cowboys (8-3)

Dallas looked just about as good as I expected them to on Thanksgiving. Their defense got off to a slow start, but they eventually suffocated the Giants offense while Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb did the rest on the other side of the ball. It’s difficult to assess the meaning of moving the ball on the Giants at this point in the season, but I liked what the Cowboys offense showed on Thursday. They don’t have many tough defenses on the schedule for the next few weeks, so this theme should continue for a bit.

5 – Dolphins (8-3)

The Dolphins did exactly what we all knew they would do on Sunday, if not less than expected. They thrashed the Texans on both sides of the ball, although it wasn’t as flashy or explosive as I may have anticipated. Still, they were up 30-0 at halftime, so taking the rest of the game off doesn’t bother me. Tua Tagovailoa still looks incredible, the offense continues to fire on all cylinders, and the defense is still clicking as well. The last couple of weeks have been gimmes for Miami, so this week’s mammoth matchup with the 49ers will be a great benchmark for where this team stands.

6 – Bengals (7-4) 3

The Bengals just put together one of the most impressive wins of the year. I thought they would lose when we were still under the impression that Ja’Marr Chase would be playing. When he was ruled out, I figured there was no way they could pull it out. And they controlled the Titans from start to finish in another remarkable performance by their star QB Joe Burrow and their great defense. Burrow just keeps on slinging it even without his favorite target, Tee Higgins has been incredibly dominant as a WR1, and Semaje Perine has proven himself as a very capable backup with back to back spectacular performances. Meanwhile, the defense keeps on doing its thing, despite being susceptible to the occasional big play. But they don’t give up many touchdowns, and they are one of the best in the league after halftime. They’ll have their hands full with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs coming into town on Sunday, but I just keep on loving what the Bengals show me, and I have no reason to believe that they won’t be up for the test.

7 – Vikings (9-2) 1

My biggest takeaway from Thanksgiving is that Kirk Cousins put together a great performance in primetime. I was pleasantly surprised to see the Vikings pull it out late, and their offense looked fantastic all game long with Justin Jefferson putting together another spectacular performance. Their defense made the plays they had to in the end despite struggling all game long, and now Minnesota is in a position to become the first division-clincher of the season. I feel like I’m not as low on this team as so many others, but I’m still not as high as I once was. I think they have a ton of potential, but I still need to see more before concluding that they can reach that potential on a weekly basis.

8 – Bills (8-3) 1

I’m not going to sit here and say that struggling with the Lions is a bad thing. That’s a solid team and that’s an environment that’s fine to struggle in. I’m also not going to sit here and say I wasn’t impressed with the Bills on Thanksgiving. I would have liked to see them play better on both sides of the ball, especially offensively. I don’t know why they keep getting off to such slow starts, but it doesn’t matter if Josh Allen keeps putting the team on his back late in games. I do think the injury to Von Miller is going to set this team back a great deal, and their defense could struggle mightily in the coming weeks. Buffalo now has three straight tough divisional games that will show us what they’re made of.

9 – Titans (7-4) 1

I had a great deal of faith in the Titans. Unfortunately that faith was misplaced. I do think that this team has a ton of great things going on, and they just happened to lose to a better team. I think the thing I like the most about what Tennessee is showing me is that Treylon Burks is finally emerging as a viable WR in this offense. They are going to need that down the stretch. They still look plenty good on both sides of the ball, and they will be fine. But Sunday’s loss makes me skeptical that this team can do anything in the playoffs.

10 – Jets (7-4) 5

All the Jets needed to become a great team again was a quarterback change. Who would’ve thought? The legend of Mike White returned and grew tenfold on Sunday as the backup came in and produced another incredible performance. It helps that the best player on the offense finally got the ball consistently as rookie WR Garrett Wilson put together one of the best games of his young career. When #17 gets the ball, good things happen. The RB room continues to get thinner, but backups Zonovan Knight and Ty Johnson did their thing when they were called upon. The defense looked like themselves again, but I’ll wait until they play a QB not named Trevor Siemian to decide whether or not they’re fully back. The good news is that the Jets have their mojo again and finally look like a competent team once more. The remaining schedule is brutal, so we’ll see how long they can keep it up.

11 – Seahawks (6-5)

What happened to the Seahawks defense? I can’t make heads or tails of it, but all of a sudden, they can’t stop anything anymore. I thought the Bucs game was a product of a huge international trip, but getting gashed at home by the Raiders leaves me scratching my head. Moreover, Geno Smith has started committing some errant turnovers that don’t inspire a lot of confidence. He was able to bounce back and string together a nice performance, but it means nothing when the defense doesn’t show up. It also doesn’t help that Kenneth Walker was running into a wall all game long. Seattle is now outside of the playoff picture, and they need to fix their issues at the earliest convenience if they want to get back in.

12 – Ravens (7-4) 2

I don’t want to talk about this team. They annoy me to no end. Every game goes exactly the same: get off to a huge lead and then blow it in hilarious and ridiculous fashion. Each of the Ravens’ losses have come with multi-possession second half leads. For a team as supposedly well-coached as Baltimore is, that is both inexcusable and incomprehensible. Continuing to lose in this fashion again and again is what can cause a team and a locker room to fall apart. It’s going to cause this team to lose their grip on the division.

13 – Commanders (7-5)

Hey. Look at us. Who would’ve thought. Not me! The Commanders have now won six of seven and sit in the playoffs as the 7 seed. The winning formula continues to be executed perfectly week in and week out. Brian Robinson Jr. has emerged as the RB1 we all knew he could be, notching his first 100-yard game and boasting a reasonably-sized hat afterwards. The defense continues to play at an elite level, doing everything necessary to win games on their own. They bent for a while on Sunday, but never broke, and eventually came up with the game-winning turnover. Chase Young should actually return next week, which will help the pass rush (I am tired of saying this every week, please come back Chase!), but we don’t even need that at this point. Montez Sweat is playing out of his mind, as is Jonathan Allen, as always. Taylor Heinicke is still… Taylor Heinicke, but it doesn’t matter at this point. As long as the team arounds him continues to thrive, his mistakes can be avenged. But I still don’t like seeing them. There’s room to improve, but I have a ton of faith in this team to keep on doing their thing. Next up is two straight games against the Giants with a bye sandwiched in the middle. This is a fantastic opportunity to prove ourselves, and I hope we can get the job done.

14 – Patriots (6-5)

The Patriots showed me a lot to like on Thursday night. Mac Jones played another surprisingly great game and several members of the offense contributed in huge ways. The defense could have played better, but they also flashed at times. You can talk about the refs all you want, but the Patriots probably deserved to lose anyways. Still, I feel pretty solid about this team, and think they have what it takes to make a playoff push. Next up is another Thursday nighter, this time in a massive divisional showdown against the Bills. Don’t be surprised if it looks similar to last week’s game.

15 – Chargers (6-5) 2

I’m not going to overreact to the Chargers eking out a win over a bad Cardinals team, but it was nice to see them put together a win like that after last week’s tough loss. Justin Herbert looked great once again and put together a masterclass of a game-winning drive. I still don’t feel great about this team on either side of the ball, but I know that #10 gives them a fighting shot in any of their games. That’s more than I can say about most teams in this league.

16 – Giants (7-4)

The Giants are continuing to get exposed week in and week out and I am continuing to love it. There’s not much I can say about Thursday’s game that I haven’t been saying about this team for months. They cannot beat teams that are better than they are, and they cannot rely on their passing game to carry them offensively. Their defense continues to struggle against any offense with a pulse, although they are getting healthier, which could help them in the upcoming weeks. Their next four games are against current playoff teams, so New York could either prove me completely wrong or continue to fall apart like I knew they would.

17 – Browns (4-7) 4

The Browns did what I expected them to do in beating the Buccaneers this week. It wasn’t necessarily how I expected it to happen, but they got it done. However, none of that really matters now. All eyes are on Cleveland this week as Deshaun Watson returns from his suspension. There’s no doubt that he will elevate this offense tremendously, but it still feels so wrong that he’ll even be playing at all. It’ll be interesting to assess this team after seeing him play, but there’s no doubt that it will be sullied by just how poorly this franchise has handled everything in the last year or so.

18 – Buccaneers (5-6) 6

Why should we have any faith in the Buccaneers to do anything worth a damn? Yes, they are going to win this atrocious division and host a playoff game, but why should I believe that will amount to anything? They aren’t playing as poorly as they once were, but they are now bordering on incompetent when it comes to coaching, and that will hold them back. Todd Bowles just isn’t meant to be a head coach in this league. We’ll see if their newfound running game can carry them.

19 – Lions (4-7) 3

Simply put, the Lions just keep on showing me things to like. Their passing offense continues to play at a prolific level at home, and Jamaal Williams is proving to be way more effective than any of us expected. He’s practically RB1 in this offense at this point. Now, they could be adding first round pick WR Jameson Williams to the fold, which will give them another level of explosiveness as the season winds down. I wish this defense was playing ever so slightly better, but even they looked solid on Thanksgiving, making some nice plays in key spots. But, they folded when it mattered most, and that’s all anyone is going to remember. Still, I thoroughly enjoy watching this team, and I think that’s going to continue for the rest of the year.

20 – Packers (4-8) 1

The Packers are in a very precarious spot that I don’t believe they ever wanted to be in. The season is a completely cooked product, but now, so is Aaron Rodgers. So, the reins are likely being handed to Jordan Love, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. The third-year man looked great in his relief appearance on Sunday night, and I think he could really flash if given the opportunity to start the rest of the year. I see no reason for Rodgers to come back this year, and I think it would benefit the Packers tremendously to let Love do his thing for the next few weeks. They have nothing to lose, and plenty of draft position to gain.

21 – Raiders (4-7) 6

Josh Jacobs. That’s it. That’s all that needs to be said about the Raiders. Jacobs is continuing to play like an OPOY frontrunner, putting together the best game of his life on Sunday, putting together over 300 all purpose yards and two touchdowns, including the game-winning sprint in overtime. Vegas keeps on feeding him non-stop, and it keeps on working. It’s honestly really nice to see him flourish. Davante Adams also continues to pour in good contributions offensively, which helps complement Jacobs’ running attack. Yeah the defense still sucks, but I don’t even think this team cares as long as #28 keeps on doing what he’s doing.

22 – Falcons (5-7) 2

It has been pretty apparent for a while now that the Marcus Mariota experiment in Atlanta has been a complete failure. Yes, the Falcons are still very much in position to perhaps win this division, but I don’t think Mariota should continue being the signal caller. I don’t think Atlanta loses anything from letting Desmond Ridder get some reps. This team can’t get anything going offensively with Mariota under center, so why not see what the rookie has to offer? The defense is actually playing pretty well, so a change at the QB position could provide this team the lift they need to get back on track.

23 – Jaguars (4-7) 3

Sunday’s win was absolutely awesome to see thanks to the best game of Trevor Lawrence’s career by a longshot. The young star QB went 29/37 for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns, and no picks. He orchestrated a beautiful game-winning drive with barely any time on the clock and looked the part of the generational QB he has been promised to be. It felt really nice to see the kid do his thing on a big stage against a good team. It inspires a lot of confidence in what the Jaguars are building moving forward.

24 – Cardinals (4-8) 6

You can’t force me to talk about this team. I won’t do it! The only thing I’ll say is that they need to fire Kliff Kingsbury yesterday. Just swallow your pride and do it.

25 – Steelers (4-7) 3

The Steelers are starting to figure things out with their young offense. Kenny Pickett looks more comfortable by the week, George Pickens continues to break out as one of the best rookie WRs of his class, and the run game is actually working. Benny Snell was the workhorse after Najee Harris’ injury, but both poured in good contributions all game long. The defense is clearly amplified by the presence of TJ Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick, who made the plays to win the game, as they so often do. I think Pittsburg his a team that could have a strong finish to the year now that the pieces are finally starting to fit together.

26 – Colts (4-7-1) 3

Jeff Saturday had his first bad coaching moment on Monday night. I’m surprised it took three weeks for it to happen. Remarkably poor clock management and surprisingly poor defense what lost the Colts the game on Monday night. They were able to orchestrate a nice comeback, but it just wasn’t enough. It’s clear that Indy has some pretty nice offensive pieces, and with an actual QB, they could do some nice things in the future. But the weak links simply continue to weigh them down.

27 – Bears (3-9) 3

The Bears played a good team on the road without their star QB and were forced to start a journeyman backup with painkilling injections in his leg and subsequently got thrashed. And none of us are surprised. Chicago will look like that more often than not when they’re missing their best player. It’s a pretty simple calculus.

28 – Panthers (4-8) 3

The Panthers have quietly been pretty solid over the last month or so. Yeah this team is pretty bad, but they were always competitive, and that competitiveness is now translating into wins over bad teams. That’s about as much as you could ask for with a team in a state like this. The run game got back on track, Sam Darnold wasn’t awful, and the defense didn’t have to do much against the worst offense in football. It was just a solid game from a team that’s probably better than they seem.

29 – Saints (4-8) 4

Stop making me watch Andy Dalton. I’m begging you.

30 – Rams (3-8)

The Rams are a sad sight that is only getting sadder by the week. While I think they played better than we expected on Sunday, they still weren’t good by any means and never stood a chance. They don’t really stand a chance in any of their games at this point. This is just an awful team that’s only getting worse.

31 – Broncos (3-8) 2

No thanks.

32 – Texans (1-9-1)

Making a QB change meant absolutely nothing and predictably didn’t help at all. What a shocker! I never liked the decision to bench Davis Mills. The team’s struggles were never his fault. I hope they give him another shot.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 12 Picks

Thanksgiving is upon us with an absolute feast of a schedule of games throughout the holiday weekend. Here are my picks for one of the most stacked slates of the season.

Cover photo taken from NFL.com.

Last Week: 9-5

Season Total: 95-67-1

Bills 27-20 Lions

Thursday, 12:30 PM EST, CBS

Thanksgiving kicks off with what should be a very entertaining game in Detroit. The Bills are playing their second straight game at Ford Field after the blizzard moved their game there last week. They’re going to be much more comfortable in this game than they were on Sunday against Cleveland, and I think their offense is going to look much better. Josh Allen should be able to string together a solid performance, and he has a penchant for tearing it up on Thanksgiving. I do think the Lions will be competitive though. They’re on a three-game win streak and have looked very good on both sides of the ball in recent weeks. They won’t back down from this challenge at all. But I think this is a bit too tall of a mountain for them to climb.

Cowboys 26-13 Giants

Thursday, 4:30 PM EST, FOX

If last week was any indication, then this game shouldn’t be close. The Cowboys are 9.5-point favorites for a reason. They looked unstoppable on both sides of the ball last week in Minnesota, while the Giants lost to a Lions team that hasn’t been anything special this season. Now, the Cowboys come home and should be able to handle this Giants team with ease. They already beat them this year on the road, and that was when Cooper Rush was starting. With Dak back and playing great ball, and with that defense being as dominant as they are, I think this one could be a blowout.

Patriots 20-17 Vikings

Thursday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

Everyone is jumping ship on the Vikings after their embarrassment/exposé last week. While I’m not ready to give up on them, I do think this is going to be another brutal matchup for them. New England’s defense has been great, and Kirk Cousins is bound to struggle in primetime against another stout defensive front. New England’s offense isn’t anything special, but they should look much better than they did last week amidst the elements in Foxboro. I just think this matchup plays right into the strengths of the Patriots with their defense and run game, and they should be able to escape with a close win.

Browns 21-18 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is one of the more even matchups of the week for me. I think the Bucs are a better team than the Browns, but this feels like a very winnable game for Cleveland. Tampa is coming off a bye and had some good momentum going into it, but this is a tough road test for them. The Browns have been losing, but they’ve been competitive. Amari Cooper has been playing fantastic, and if they can get Nick Chubb going, then they can win any game. The key to this one is how the Buccaneers offense looks coming out of their bye. I’d like to think that they won’t be completely lethargic, but they have been lacking something all year long. This is a great opportunity to prove their worth as they try to get back over .500.

Titans 23-20 Bengals

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This rematch of last year’s divisional playoff matchup should be a blast. This is the best game of the week in my opinion, as well as the hardest to pick. It’s easy to lean the Bengals way with how hot Joe Burrow and their offense have been, especially since Ja’Marr Chase is returning to the lineup after missing the last month or so with injury. Perhaps the result of that playoff game also lingers in people’s minds. But I just can’t bring myself to side with Cincy here. I just think this is a great matchup for the Titans. Being at home helps, but they are simply going to take advantage of all of the Bengals’ weaknesses. Their defensive front should feast on Cincinnati’s horrible offensive line, just like the Steelers did a week ago. Plus, Joe Mixon might not even play for Cincy, so Burrow will be dropping back time after time and will likely get hit over and over again. Derrick Henry has been unstoppable, and considering the Bengals couldn’t stop Najee Harris last week, I think the King could have another huge game. As long as Ryan Tannehill limits his mistakes and the defense keeps Burrow and company in check, the Titans should be able to out-execute the Bengals down the stretch and come away with this win. Or, Burrow and Chase could explode like they always do and carry Cincy to a win. Neither result would shock me.

Dolphins 38-10 Texans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Dolphins are one of the best teams in the NFL with perhaps the best, most explosive, most dynamic offense in the NFL. The Texans are the worst team in the league by a solid margin. This will be a complete wash. Next!

Jets 20-17 Bears

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The Jets are finally doing the right thing and benching Zach Wilson. It’s about damn time. I’m glad they’re owning up to their mistakes. The reins are now being handed to Mike White, who was a bit up and down last year, but is definitely an upgrade over Wilson. If all else fails, they can always turn to Joe Flacco again, who wasn’t awful in his few starts this year. Regardless, I think the Jets are simply the better team in this game, and I expect their defense to do the heavy lifting on Sunday. The Bears will likely be able to play Justin Fields, but his shoulder injury will limit him. If they can ride David Montgomery all game long, then they could win. But that just doesn’t seem feasible.

Commanders 23-13 Falcons

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

There is not a universe where this game should be remotely close. The Falcons are a team that is incapable of throwing the football, boasting the second worst passing offense in the league with a measly 154.5 yards/game. They just lost one of their only viable pass-catchers with Kyle Pitts’ knee injury. While they’re a good running team, they’re going up against one of the most stout run defenses in the league on the road. The Commanders have give up the sixth least rushing yards per game in the NFL, and the defense is only getting hotter. With Chase Young finally returning to the lineup, they’ll have even more juice on that side of the ball. Like last week, the Commanders offense won’t have to do too much for them to come away with a win. All they have to do is rely on the run game and let their defense do the rest.

Panthers 13-10 Broncos

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Similar to the Broncos game a week ago, I don’t want anything to do with this, and I know you don’t either. I can’t believe I’m trusting Sam Darnold of all people to win a game, but like last week, I’m just going to drop this here and move on.

Ravens 24-20 Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This is a weird matchup. No matter what my pick would have been, I know I would feel weird about it. On one hand, I feel like the Jaguars could be competitive and maybe even win this game coming out of their bye. The Ravens looked dreadful last week and didn’t inspire a lot of confidence in their offense. On the other hand, this is another Florida homecoming for Lamar Jackson, and the first one went swimmingly. So, who’s to say it won’t happen again? I feel like Baltimore is going to look much better offensively in this game than they did last Sunday, but I also think the Jaguars are going to give them fits for a bit. It will probably be close for a while, but the Ravens pulling away late makes sense to me.

Chargers 27-24 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

Both of these teams suffered pretty tough primetime losses to division rivals last week. That makes this pick extremely difficult. The Chargers showed me infinitely more to like than the Cardinals did, especially offensively. Justin Herbert looked great now that he has all of his weapons available. We still don’t really know what’s going on at QB for Arizona, so it’s hard to put any faith in them to win. I do like both of their options, but, neither are better than Herbert. Moreover, the Cards defense got absolutely smacked on Monday, and I think that LA can take advantage of their weaknesses in the secondary. I just think the Chargers are ever so slightly better on both sides of the ball, so they’re my pick, even in a tough road setting.

Seahawks 24-16 Raiders

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

I don’t see a world where the Seahawks lose at home off a bye to a team as bad as the Raiders. The last time we saw Seattle was in Munich, where they suffered a tough loss to the Bucs. Now, they’re well rested off the international break, and should be ready to come home and smack a bad team. I’m honestly pretty excited to see how their offense plays. They can either lay a dud like they did in Germany, or they can get back to their dominant ways from the first half of the season. The latter seems much more likely, especially in a matchup like this.

Chiefs 31-10 Rams

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

A lot has changed for both of these teams since their absolute classic of a meeting four years ago in LA. The Rams have changed infinitely more than the Chiefs have, specifically in the department of being a good team. Kansas City is easily the best team in football, while the Rams have become a laughingstock that sold their soul for a ring. By all means, this should be a complete blowout for the Chiefs. They are hot and are showing no signs of slowing down. The Rams might not even have Matthew Stafford for this game, so that makes it even easier to project a total wash for KC.

49ers 24-13 Saints

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

The Saints got their mojo back last week, but they’re about to run into a complete wall in San Francisco. The 49ers are far and away the best defensive team in the league, and New Orleans doesn’t pose enough of an offensive threat to make me believe that this one will be close. Moreover, the Niners offense was clicking better than ever before on Monday night in Mexico. At home against an arguably worse defense, I see no reason for them to slow down.

Eagles 27-19 Packers

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

The Eagles need a game to get back on track and return to their dominant form from the first half of the season. I think this is their opportunity. Coming back home for another primetime game against a struggling Packers team seems like a promising chance to find themselves again. I think Jalen Hurts is going to have a huge game, and more importantly, I think Philly’s defense is going to bounce back in a massive way and put together a dominant performance. If the Eagles can limit Green Bay’s offense similar to how Tennessee did last Thursday, then they’ll control this one from start to finish.

Colts 16-13 Steelers

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

This is going to be low-scoring, smash mouth football from end to end. Both of these teams like playing defense and at least trying to run the ball, and both teams have done well at doing both of those things in recent weeks. The Colts have found their run game again since Jeff Saturday became coach, and the Steelers have seemingly unlocked Najee Harris again. So, that will be the name of this game, especially considering that both QBs aren’t exactly world-beaters. With this game being in Indianapolis where the Colts nearly just beat the Eagles, it’s pretty easy to pick Indy to win, but I think it’s going to be close and honestly pretty entertaining.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 12 Picks

The stars will be out and about all day long on Thanksgiving, the premier football holiday of the season. (h/t NFL.com)

Happy Thanksgiving! This fantastic holiday of food, family, and football is finally upon us, and it should be a blast. This promises to be a great weekend of celebration, but of football as well. I hope you enjoy. I went 10-5 in Week 11, bringing my season total to 101-62-1. Looks like I’m getting back on track. Let’s get into this week’s picks:

Lions 20-17 Bears

Thursday, 12:30 PM EST, FOX

I’m feeling the holiday spirit here. Why not pick the Lions to win their first game on their annual Thanksgiving afternoon with America? There’s no better time for them to get that elusive first W. It helps that Tim Boyle won’t be their QB in this game. Meanwhile, the Bears will be starting their backup QB in Andy Dalton, and while I think he’s plenty capable of leading this team to victory, I’m feeling generous today. This Detroit team is long overdue for a win, and it just feels right to get it on a day like today.

Cowboys 27-16 Raiders

Thursday, 4:30 PM EST, CBS

This game looked a lot better a few weeks ago, but there is still a bit of hope that the football gods finally give us a good Cowboys thanksgiving game. However, I’m not hoping too hard. The wheels have completely come off the Raiders, and the Cowboys have been struggling in recent weeks. But, Dallas is still a far better team as of right now, and they should be able to win this game with ease. They need a game like this against a lifeless opponent to help them get back on track after being stifled last week. They’ll still be without some offensive pieces, but Vegas doesn’t pose much of a threat anyways. This game is your perfect opportunity to take that nap before eating. Or after. I don’t judge.

Saints 24-23 Bills

Thursday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

The Thanksgiving nightcap is a battle of two teams that are really lost right now. The Saints have an excuse, at least. The Bills, on the other hand, have no excuse to be playing this poorly. Coming off another very tough loss, it’s just hard to put any faith in them. I think the Saints still have the will and the fight to win games, but it will be hard without Alvin Kamara once again. I don’t really know why I’m picking the Saints here, but it feels like the right pick. Being at home in front of those fans on Thanksgiving night, I just feel like them winning makes too much sense. My only hope is that this game can make up for whatever conversations we all have around the dinner table.

Bengals 23-20 Steelers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This is as pivotal as it gets, not just in the AFC North, but in the conference as a whole. Both of these teams cannot afford a loss at this point in the season, and the winner will be sitting a lot more comfortably in the playoff picture. The first meeting between these teams wasn’t very close, but I think the Steelers are playing much better now than they were then. I also think the Bengals aren’t playing with the same level of offensive explosiveness as that early season game. This will be a much closer game, but I still think Cincy has what it takes to pull this one out. I like the way their defense has been playing, and with Pittsburgh still dealing with a plethora of defensive injuries, I think Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense will do just enough to pull out a massive victory.

Colts 27-21 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

As far as inter-conference matchups go, this is about as interesting as it gets. In my opinion, these are two of the best teams in football, and if last week’s games were any indication, both of these teams are playing extremely well and finding their stride. Not a lot separates these teams on paper, as both use a killer offense and suffocating defense to win their games. But, the Colts have one aspect to them that nobody else has. And his name is Jonathan Taylor. JT has been playing like an MVP candidate, and while the Bucs are usually stout against RBs, they haven’t seen this guy yet. Even if they slow him down, I truly think Carson Wentz has what it takes to win this game with his arm considering all of Tampa’s injuries in the secondary. I always have a hard time picking against Tom Brady, but the inconsistencies of the Bucs makes it hard to pick them against a team that has been much more consistent as of late.

Dolphins 24-21 Panthers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is the kind of game where you throw your hands in the air and say “what the heck” when you pick it. The Dolphins have been playing very well this month, winning 3 straight games, albeit against rather weak opposition (and the Ravens). The highlight of that win streak has been their resurgent defense, which makes it a bit easier to pick them to upset a Panthers team that is clearly still figuring themselves out offensively. Carolina puts up their numbers on that side of the ball, but it still feels like there’s too many moving parts, and their offensive line has been a struggle bus all year long. I don’t have much faith in Miami’s offense, but with the way the team has been playing lately, I can easily see them picking up another win against a Panthers team that is simply treading water right now.

Patriots 21-13 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

A lot of people would tell you that these are probably the two best teams in the AFC. So, why am I not feeling it with this game? Oh yeah, that’s right, it’s because the Titans are an unwatchable mess without Derrick Henry. Still, this game has plenty of intrigue across the board. Belichick vs. Vrabel and both of their great defenses facing off is enough to get me to watch this one. In a defensive battle, you either take the better defense or the better offense on the other side to win. Luckily for me, both reside with the Patriots. Their offense is easily better with the Titans lacking the best RB in football, and their defense has been playing like the best in football over the last month or so. I just don’t see Tennessee getting anything going offensively in this game, and that’ll be more than enough for the Patriots to get the job done.

Eagles 29-15 Giants

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The trope is that divisional games are usually close. That will not be the case in this game. These two teams couldn’t be going in any more different directions. The Eagles are starting to piece things together and are playing their best football in a very long time, whereas the Giants can’t find a semblance of an offensive identity and are a constant eyesore. Assuming these trends continue, I don’t see this game being very close. There’s always the chance that the Giants decide to show up for once, and considering the way this season has gone, it wouldn’t surprise me. I just can’t predict it.

Falcons 27-24 Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

No. Just… no. I don’t want to watch this game. You don’t want to watch this game. I don’t even want to talk about it. I was honestly very close to picking the Jags here considering the Falcons haven’t scored a point in 7 quarters, but I’m just saying screw it and picking Atlanta for no rhyme or reason. They’re the better team, and they should win. It would not shock me at all if that doesn’t end up being the case.

Texans 20-14 Jets

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Well folks, here you have it. This is likely the worst matchup of the entire 2021 NFL season. Bask in its glory. At least we’re getting this out of the way. Better late than never. The Texans have shown significantly more fight with Tyrod Taylor as their QB this season, and I don’t even know who’ll be starting at QB for the Jets. So, this is an easy pick for me. And that’s the last thing I ever want to say about this game.

Chargers 28-24 Broncos

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

Now this is a divisional game that could both be close and rather entertaining. The Broncos are coming off a bye and should come into this game very well-rested and well-prepared. Meanwhile, the Chargers are coming off a huge, high-octane win over the Steelers on primetime last week. This is a very even matchup that could very easily go either way. I’d love to pick the Broncos here, as playing at Mile High is never easy for a road team, but the Chargers just appear to be too solid to lose a game this important for them. I think they know what’s on the line, and they’ll find a way to pull this off. It wouldn’t shock me if their trend of laying duds after huge wins continues here. I’m just hoping it doesn’t.

Packers 27-20 Rams

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

This could very well be the biggest game of the NFL season, not just on paper, but in terms of impact on the league as well. The playoff picture, division races, MVP race; everything is in the balance in Green Bay on Sunday. A game of this magnitude should feel harder to pick, but I have absolutely no reservations whatsoever in picking the Packers. This is a team that is playing better than almost anyone else in football, even despite last week’s loss. The Rams are coming off a bye, and their performance in this game is the story I can’t wait to watch. The last time we saw them, they were getting pushed around by the Titans and 49ers. How do they fare against another physical team in the Packers? I think it will be more of the same. They should be able to keep this closer, sheerly based on rest and preparation, but I have no doubt that the better team will come out on top in this massive NFC showdown.

49ers 29-26 Vikings

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

This is yet another remarkably intriguing matchup to me. These are two teams that have essentially had the exact same seasons. They both refused to realize their potential, but now, they’re starting to figure things out, and both teams are primed to make second half playoff pushes. Not a lot differentiates these teams, but I’m rocking with the 49ers for a couple reasons. The biggest one is the resurgence of their defense, which has allowed just 10 points in back to back games. But, their offensive identity of running the ball physically and passing it efficiently seems like a very solid winning formula for any home games that they know they can control. If they can keep Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense on the sideline, then the 49ers shouldn’t have too much trouble in this game. We’ll see what version of their offense we get.

Ravens 24-19 Browns

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

This game looked a whole lot better just a few weeks ago, but there is still some promise here. These AFC North games are always fun, and the Ravens are getting Lamar Jackson back, so they won’t be unwatchable like last week. The Browns, on the other hand, have been quite unwatchable over the last 2 weeks, as neither side of the ball has any sort of life or momentum. It’s hard to pick them in a game this big in a situation like that. At least I know what I’m going to get out of the Ravens, especially offensively. The Browns give me no confidence, and that makes it impossible to pick them here.

Washington 26-17 Seahawks

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

This is the ultimate Raza trap pick here. Monday Night Football against the Seahawks when we’re playing well and they’re playing horribly? You already know Seattle is going to win this game simply based on the parameters. Still, I will have faith in my team to continue this win streak and finally break, or at least start to break the MNF curse. I know we’re going to lose, but it won’t stop me from picking them. This team has inspired a level of confidence in me that I didn’t think they had in them over the last 2 weeks through extremely resilient play that honestly inspires me. A combination of that and the lifeless, flopping around nature of the Seahawks make this pick seemingly easy. But, again, a loss here makes all the sense in the world. I am praying to the football gods that, for once, they are on our side.

All stats taken from ESPN.