Post-Week 4 Power Rankings

A wacky week has caused major shakeups as the first month of the season comes to a crazy close.

Cover photo taken from The Boston Globe.

1 – 49ers (4-0) 1

There’s nothing I can say about the Niners that I haven’t been saying for a month now.

This is the most complete, most dominant team in the NFL and it’s not remotely close. They’re just leagues above everyone else right now. The offense is unstoppable with 30+ points scored in each game, and the defense continues to be one of the best in the league.

As it currently stands, they’re just going to mow down their opponents all year long. It’s hard to see them slowing down any time soon. 

2 – Bills (3-1) 4

I may have picked the Bills to win on Sunday, but I never imagined it’d look like that. That might have been the best game of the Josh Allen era and was probably Allen’s finest performance to date.

The star QB let the world know the AFC East is still his division with a 21-of-25, 320 yard, 4 touchdown, perfect passer rating outing with a rushing score to boot. Buffalo dominated the NFL’s hottest team on both sides of the ball with an inspired performance that had me considering putting them atop the Power Rankings.

I’m not going to do that just yet, but I’m officially sold on this team moving forward. They have proven themselves as the current class of the AFC, although we should all be wary of the Chiefs, who always end up proving that title belongs to them.

3 – Chiefs (3-1)

I don’t have much to say about Kansas City’s relative dud on Sunday night other than the fact that I’ve never seen Patrick Mahomes make some of the very strange mistakes he did throwing the ball. He lofted several interceptions right to defenders, which he never even comes close to doing 99 percent of the time. He was outplayed by Zach Wilson for crying out loud.

It was extremely strange, but I don’t think we’re going to see something like that again anytime soon. It was likely a product of the Jets playing great, sticky defense. But it should be monitored as a potential cause for concern moving forward. 

4 – Eagles (4-0)

I don’t really want to talk about this team, but I’m not going to be petty.

The Eagles continue to prove how great they can be offensively, with an ability to hurt you in a million different ways. On Sunday, it was the AJ Brown show for the first time this year as the star receiver went absolutely nuclear, torching rookie corner Emmanuel Forbes Jr. in a “welcome to the f—— show” type of performance. Jalen Hurts did his thing, D’Andre Swift continued to flash out of the backfield, and the offensive line dominated in every aspect against a very good Commanders front.

I still have plenty of problems with this Philly defense, especially in the secondary, but it hasn’t lost them a game yet. It’s only a matter of time before it does. 

5 – Dolphins (3-1) 4

Again, I did not think the Dolphins would win on Sunday. But I didn’t expect their trip back to Earth to be a crash landing.

Despite some highlights and good numbers, Miami was throrougly dominated in every aspect on a very humbling day upstate. You could make the argument that perhaps the team needed this reality check after being in la la land for the last several weeks, but there’s never an excuse for a team that talented to get thumped the way they did. They went from being the talk of the league to the third best team in their conference and second best in their division.

They’ll be fine, and they’ll get back to their flashy ways immediately considering they play the Giants next week. But their stay at the top is over, and it was far more brief than they would have liked. 

6 – Cowboys (3-1) 1

The Cowboys did exactly what they were supposed to do on Sunday: they thoroughly dominated a lifeless, anemic Patriots at home. I’ll give them credit — it’s hard to win any NFL game by that margin with that level of a performance, especially defensively. But it’s what I expected from Dallas in that game, so I’m not going to sing too many of their praises.

As I’ve been saying, this week’s primetime matchup in San Francisco will tell us what the Cowboys are made of. 

7 – Ravens (3-1) 2

Lamar Jackson is a bad man. That’s really all that needs to be said.

The star quarterback was simply sensational on Sunday with four total touchdowns — a pair on the ground and through the air. The Ravens offense was nearly infallible and the defense was even better, limiting the Browns to just 3 points at home.

I have to take it with a grain of salt considering Cleveland was starting backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who clearly was not ready for an NFL game. But I don’t want to take anything away from Baltimore, who put together what might have been the most dominant performance of the week to establish themselves as the powerhouse of the AFC North.  

8 – Seahawks (3-1) 1

Seattle might have put together the best defensive performance I’ve ever seen on Monday night with 11 sacks, two turnovers — including a 97-yard pick six — and a fumble recovery. Regardless of how bad the opposing offense was, those are otherworldly numbers.

The Seahawks offense was thoroughly underwhelming, but that doesn’t matter at this point. The defense has been the question mark for much of the season, and they just put together the type of game that will fuel them for weeks. First round selection Devon Witherspoon has officially made his mark, and dudes are hooping all over the field.

The offense still has a bit to figure out, especially what they’re doing (or not doing) with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but I feel as confident as ever in the Seahawks. This team is flat out dangerous. 

9 – Lions (3-1) 1

I owe the Lions a bit of an apology. I have continued to undermine them, and they have continued to prove me wrong. Consider me fully sold on this team now.

This is as complete of a team as there is in the NFL, and they are completely dominant in the trenches. They play physical defense and they completely beat you up on offense. They can hurt you in a plethora of ways, and now they get their vertical threat back in Jameson Williams.

The Lions are only getting better, and the NFC North is now theirs to lose. I think they can only go up from here. 

10 – Chargers (2-2) 4

I think the Chargers are physically incapable of playing a normal football game. Even when it looks like they’re completely dominating a vastly inferior opponent who is starting a rookie quarterback who looks completely overwhelmed by the moment, they find ways to completely mess it up and nearly lose. On Sunday, it was a flurry of untimely turnovers and extremely strange mismanagement of Justin Herbert after he fractured his damn finger. But, some key takeaways of their own, a whopping six Khalil Mack sacks, and common Herbert late-game heroics got LA to .500 on the year and trending upwards.

I still don’t really know what to make of this team right now, but I know that as long as #10 is slinging the rock around the yard, they should be in every game they play.

11 – Rams (2-2) 7

The Rams continue to impress me in a multitude of ways. This week, it was getting off to a torrid start and shoring up when the going got tough to come away with a clutch, hard-fought overtime win on the road, which is never easy in this league. Puka Nacua was obviously the star of the show once again, who continues to play like not just one of the best rookies, but best receivers in the league with his nose for the football and playmaking ability. This offense might look very spooky once Cooper Kupp returns, which might just be this week (at least this is his first eligible week to return from IR).

I obviously would’ve liked to see LA close the game out in regulation, but on all other fronts, I was very pleased with their performance. It’s time for me to start putting some respect on them. 

12 – Jaguars (2-2) 1

The Jags got back on track in Andy’s Room with a nice win, but it still wasn’t exactly what I had been hoping to see out of them. The defense balled out, but they were practically spoon-fed turnovers by Desmond Ridder. The offense was fine thanks to the efficiency of Trevor Lawrence, but the running game remains invisible. That’s a concern.

Jacksonville simply still is yet to put together a complete performance this year. I need to see one out of them if they want to be considered with the elites of the league. 

13 – Packers (2-2) 3

The Packers played a pretty terrible half of football before staging a mini-comeback and then going flat again to close things out on Thursday night. As a guy who has been singing this team’s praises since the summer, that was a pretty bad look for me.

The offense was completely invisible in the first half as Jordan Love repeatedly handed the ball to the Lions and the running game was nonexistent. Love had a better second half, but it was far too little too late. There’s only so much you can do when you bury yourself in a 20-point hole so early in the game. I’m more concerned with Green Bay’s defense, which straight up looked slow, like it didn’t even want to be there. It’s a talented unit that should never play a game that poor, and could definitely be a cause for concern. 

14 – Buccaneers (3-1) 7

It’s still very early, but it might be time for me to start eating crow with Baker and the Bucs. I had no hopes for them this year. I discredited their first two wins because of how poor the opposition was. But for them to go into New Orleans and beat the Saints while snapping their streak of not allowing 20 points all while Tampa’s own defense completely dominated? That’s something to be impressed with.

Baker once again cooked with his first three touchdown performance since the 2020 Wild Card in Pittsburgh, making light work of the best secondary he has faced this year by a huge margin. It’s getting to the point where I’m starting to believe this is sustainable. And with the defense playing like it is, combined with how horrible the rest of this division is, who knows how far that can take Tampa in 2023? 

15 – Titans (2-2) 7

Can the Titans please be consistent? This is getting exhausting.

This week, it was back to the top of the roller coaster as the defense completely decimated a lifeless Bengals team while Derrick Henry made minced meat of a stout Cincy defense to the tune of a completely dominant victory. It was essentially the exact opposite of Tennessee’s last game.

It’s so hard to get a read on this team at this point. Are they the anemic, boring team we saw in Weeks 1 and 3 or the inspired bunch we saw in Weeks 2 and 4? I have no earthly idea. 

16 – Browns (2-2)

I’m essentially striking this Browns performance from the record. They got one of the absolute worst performances I’ve ever seen out of a backup quarterback in Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who was clearly not ready to play. The moment was simply too big for him. Yes, the defense struggled as well, but there was only so much they could do when the offense was as bad as it was. Cleveland gets a very big pass this week. 

17 – Commanders (2-2)

I’m tired. I’m really, really tired. Exhausted, if you will. There’s so many things I want to say about Sunday’s loss in Philadelphia, but I’m still just too emotionally and mentally drained to do it. So I’ll try to keep this brief.

For starters, I was thoroughly impressed with Sam Howell from start to finish. For him to bounce back from his awful performance against Buffalo with probably his best game as a pro, including an insanely clutch drive to tie the game at the buzzer in regulation, tells me all I need to know about him. The kid is simply a gamer. He has more heart than any Washington quarterback since Kirk Cousins combined. And I know he has the skills to do great things if we just stay patient. Him and Terry McLaurin were truly robbed in overtime, but that’s neither here nor there. I’m not going to sit here and complain about refereeing. I’m above that.

We beat ourselves on Sunday. We’re the ones who didn’t get key third down stops. We’re the ones who didn’t make any adjustments on A.J. Brown as he was torching Emmanuel Forbes Jr. all game long. We’re the ones who picked a great time to stop being able to defend the run. We’re the ones who gave up 30 points for the third game in a row. It wasn’t a missed false start or a bad call on a catch being out of bounds. It was us. It’s always us.  

18 – Texans (2-2) 8

C.J. Stroud is him. Need I say more?

The rookie quarterback has absolutely electrified this franchise, along with the rest of the NFL, continuing to set records while lighting up the scoreboard with his dominant, efficient, and clean play. Over 1200 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions in four games is remarkable. He continues to throw the ball with pinpoint accuracy and anticipation beyond his years. There are a lot of people involved with this rebuild in Houston, but Stroud is single-handedly reviving this franchise.

But I thought they couldn’t develop quarterbacks at Ohio State?

19 – Falcons (2-2) 7

It’s good to know that I have been completely vindicated on my take that Desmond Ridder is the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. At this point, it might not be particularly close. Zach Wilson and Daniel Jones give him a run for his money, but at least those two have flashed in 2023. Ridder has shown nothing of remote value, and the sooner Atlanta moves on from him, the sooner they can get back to winning football games.

I understand that they’re essentially stuck for the year, so it might be time to shift the focus to next year. Because that nice start to the season means nothing when that pumpkin is back there “throwing” the ball and spoon-feeding turnovers to the opposing defense. 

20 – Steelers (2-2) 5

Like the Dolphins, I predicted the Steelers to lose on Sunday, but I never could have seen it being as embarrassing as it was. That’s probably the only comparison I’ll ever make between Miami and Pittsburgh this season.

The Steelers are simply going nowhere, and it’s for the exact same reasons that I have been saying all season long. The offense is horrible and inexcusably elementary thanks to the ineptitude of Matt Canada, whose job security is mind-numbingly still not in question. The secondary is comprised of a bunch of guys who have no idea what they’re doing. Kenny Pickett is straight up not good, even with the scheme weighing him down, and now he has to deal with a knee problem for the foreseeable future. Even if he doesn’t miss any playing time, the injury is still going to affect him, making this atrocious offense somehow even worse.

Buckle up, Steelers fans. If you thought Sunday was bad, it’s about to get a lot worse. 

21 – Saints (2-2) 2

I can’t fathom for the life of me why Derek Carr decided to rush back from an apparently serious shoulder injury to sabotage his own team and lead them right into the dirt with their worst offensive performance of the year to lose a key divisional home game. It makes no damn sense, and it honestly makes me more angry than anything else.

I just hate this idea that quarterbacks should tough it out and play through clearly serious injuries that obviously limit them and make them largely ineffective, and we’re seeing exactly how stupid it is with performances like this one from Carr and the last four from Joe Burrow. It’s just dumb. 

22 – Bengals (1-3) 11

The Bengals are quite easily this week’s Team of Shame, and they might be the saddest one yet. The season is absolutely cooked in Cincinnati, and they have no one to blame for themselves. They have completely mishandled Joe Burrow’s injury (shocking, I know) and now the entire team is unraveling. It’s such a shame for a team that had real championship aspirations and chances just a month ago. 

23 – Vikings (1-3)

In the most Vikings and least convincing way possible, Minnesota is finally off the schneid in 2023.

Other than finally having a 1 in the win column, there’s not much to feel great about here, especially considering the offense had its worst performance of the year by a huge margin. The defense had a nice outing, but it was against what might just be the NFL’s worst offense, so we should take it with a very big grain of salt. I just don’t think this is a very good team.

There’s a lot to like offensively, but that’s it. And if they put together more offensive performances like that, then there will be nothing positive at all in Minnesota. 

24 – Cardinals (1-3)

There’s not much I can say about the Cardinals this week. They held their own against the best team in football and were just as competitive as I expected them to be. They continue to be a very stingy group, and I continue to like what I see out of them.

More than anything, Josh Dobbs keeps on looking great. Against all odds, he has the 10th best passer rating in football. That’s awesome to see.

25 – Colts (2-2)

I’ve said all season long that the main goal for the Colts this season should be developing Anthony Richardson and seeing what he’s made of. Through essentially two games, I can say that Richardson is the real deal, and if he can continue to hone his skills, he can be one of the best quarterbacks in this league. His talent jumps off the screen, and his leadership abilities clearly have a massive impact on this team, as Indy nearly pulled off an all-time comeback on Sunday against the Rams before falling short in overtime.

But I don’t really care about wins and losses for this team. In fact, losses feel like wins. All that matters is that AR15 is looking like a franchise guy, already proving me very, very wrong. 

26 – Patriots (1-3) 6

I wanted to make the Patriots this week’s Team of Shame, but the more I thought about it, the more it didn’t make sense to me. Because I already knew that this team was absolutely dreadful.

Sunday’s embarrassment against the Cowboys was just further proof of everything I already knew. New England is an abhorrent football team with a starting quarterback that doesn’t belong in the NFL and an offense with no playmakers whatsoever. The only good thing about this team was its defense, which just lost its best player by far in Matthew Judon and its rising star in rookie corner Christian Gonzalez.

It’s just all falling apart for Bill Belichick and company. This feels like the right time to stick a fork in them. 

27 – Jets (1-3) 3

There are no moral victories. But everyone felt good about what they saw out of Zach Wilson on Sunday night. He chose a hell of a time to play the best game of his career, and it was nice to see both his team and everyone else rally around him. Maybe, just maybe, he can figure this out. I severely doubt it, but it would be nice to see.

Oh, and stop complaining about the refs. It makes you look foolish. 

28 – Raiders (1-3) 1

I don’t want to be too rude to the Raiders considering they nearly fell ass backwards into a road win against a divisional opponent despite starting a quarterback who looked like he didn’t belong on an NFL field.

At the same time, there’s not much I can say about them this week for that very reason. It’s difficult to assess them after such a nothing performance. It just confirmed much of what we already knew about this team: the offensive line is atrocious, the running game is nonexistent, and the defense is pretty bad too. But at least Davante Adams is here… for now.

29 – Broncos (1-3) 2

They finally did it. The Sean Payton-Russell Wilson Broncos won a football game. It took a 21-point second half comeback against the worst team in football, but it happened. And it was honestly a pretty impressive comeback.

Enjoy it, Denver. That’s probably going to be the peak of your season. 

30 – Panthers (0-4) 1

I don’t think we’re paying enough attention to how disastrous the Panthers have been to start the season.

Frank Reich’s offense has been miserable and Bryce Young has been terrible — although any rookie quarterback behind that bad of an offensive line in a unit completely devoid of playmakers is going to look that bad. Yes, the defense is solid, and they made huge plays on Sunday. But it doesn’t matter when the offense is that dreadful.

This is a team that is squarely in the race for the No. 1 pick in the draft, but it doesn’t matter because they gave away their pick for a quarterback who looks awful right now. Bryce will be fine, but you just get the feeling that Carolina is going to be in the dumps for a while. 

31 – Giants (1-3) 3

It’s embarrassing. It’s shameful. And it’s hilarious.

I can’t get enough of how absolutely dreadful the Giants are. For them and their fans to have victory lapped after an overachieving season and an inexplicable $160 million extension for Daniel Jones just for the season to crash and burn with three primetime embarrassments is just too funny.

I’m going to continue to cherish these moments for as long as I can. 

32 – Bears (0-4)

Making the Bears the Team of Shame every week would just be too easy. It’s low-hanging fruit. And they certainly deserved it this week. But again, I won’t do it.

I’ll just say that this is getting really sad on all fronts. Matt Eberflus needs to be fired yesterday, and this trainwreck of a team needs to start the hell over.


All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 4 Picks

This week’s slate of games isn’t the greatest, but should provide plenty more entertainment and drama as we wrap up the first month of the season.

Cover photo taken from NFL.com.

Last Week: 10-6

Season Total: 28-20

Packers 23-20 Lions

Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video

The Lions are back on Thursday night for the second time in four weeks. Like last time, I don’t see them winning this one on the road. But they’re certainly capable of proving me wrong again.

I just think beating the Packers at home in a divisional primetime setting is always a tall task. It could get even harder if Green Bay gets Aaron Jones and Christian Watson back. But the Packers have proven that they can win even without those two offensive stars. Everyone else is pulling their weight, and the defense is playing great. This is certainly the best offense they’ve faced so far, but the Lions haven’t looked as explosive on that side of the ball as we expected. Unless they get a crazy performance out of Jahmyr Gibbs or Amon-Ra St. Brown, they could see some more struggles.

I think the Packers will keep this one close, and their offense will do just enough to get them the victory. 

Falcons 21-20 Jaguars

Sunday, 9:30 AM EST, ESPN+

This is a pretty solid game on paper, but considering both teams’ momentum coming into it, this could be an early-morning dud to kick off the 2023 International slate. 

I like both of these teams, but neither of them are necessarily giving me much to like lately, with each team coming off what was likely their worst game of the year thus far. So this is a good opportunity to get back on track. It’s just really difficult to tell who is going to do that, and who is going to keep spiraling downwards.

I’m leaning with the Falcons because I believe their defense has been much better across the first few weeks of the year, and I typically know what I’m going to get out of their offense. Jacksonville’s defense has been very suspect and I never know which offense is going to show up for them. I think these even matchups typically favor the more consistent team, and to me, that’s the Falcons. 

Bills 27-24 Dolphins

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

In a week littered with pretty terrible matchups, this stands out as the crystal clear best game of the week. How could it not? These are two of the best teams in the NFL, each coming off monster performances, and this is an early opportunity to establish dominance in the division and conference as a whole. 

It felt really easy to lean Miami after their record-setting performance a week ago, but I’m going to take the home team here. Buffalo’s defense has been playing like one of the best in the league all season long, albeit against two subpar offenses with horrible offensive lines and one team led by Zach Wilson. But more importantly, Josh Allen is playing lights out after a very poor opening game. I think Buffalo’s offense has what it takes to keep up with Miami’s offense, but it’s going to be tough. The defense will really need to show up if they want to slow down Tua and company, who have barely shown any signs of slowing down this year. But the times they did were on the road in a divisional matchup against New England. Why can’t the Bills do the same at home? I think they’ll make just enough defensive plays to let Josh and the offense win the game in the end. 

Bears 20-17 Broncos

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Here it is. An incredibly rare matchup between the two worst teams in the NFL that is bound to be one of the worst things you’ve ever seen. The Caleb Williams Bowl, if you will.

God bless anyone who willingly watches this game.

Browns 17-13 Ravens

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

In an AFC North slugfest featuring two of the best defenses in the NFL with two beat-up offenses, who do you take? The better defense? The home team? How about all of the above.

The Browns seem to be figuring things out with their league-leading defense and steady improvements from Deshaun Watson. Baltimore will be their toughest test yet, especially defensively, but I don’t see why they can’t keep it going. Cleveland has won this matchup in back-to-back years when they’re at home. I say they make it a threepeat. 

Bengals 19-16 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Like the game above, this figures to be a defensive slog from start to finish. It helps that the Titans offense — which is only above the Jets in total yards — might as well not exist at this point. The same can arguably be said about Cincinnati while Joe Burrow remains dinged up. 

While Tennessee’s defense is coming off a disasterclass against Cleveland, the Bengals defense just played one of its best games in recent memory, exploiting a terrible offensive line and a distinct lack of weapons on the opposing offense. I say they’ll do the exact same thing on Sunday, and even win by the exact same score. 

Colts 23-17 Rams

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

I wasn’t sure which way to lean here, considering both of these teams have shown me plenty to like and plenty to dislike through three games. But I’ve honestly liked what I’ve seen from the Colts a lot more. They’ve flashed on both sides of the ball, regardless of who starts at quarterback. They should be getting Anthony Richardson back in this game, which will provide the offense with a big lift against a stout LA defense. The Rams obviously have the offensive ability to throw the ball all over a bottom-tier Colts secondary, but my gut is just telling me that they’re going to struggle once again.

We just saw Indy go on the road and beat the Ravens. I think they’re more than capable of coming back home and beating a much worse Rams team. 

Saints 22-19 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is tricky. Saints-Bucs always feels like a coinflip, and with Jameis Winston starting under center for New Orleans, it’s even harder to see how this is going to play out.

I wanted to pick Tampa considering the fact that they just got shellacked on national television and will probably want to prove themselves again. But they’ve always had trouble winning this game at the Superdome — they’ve only done so once since 2018, which was last season. And Tom Brady is not walking through that door.

I think Baker Mayfield is going to struggle mightily against the Saints defense — which will continue its incredible streak of holding opponents to under 20 points — while Jameis and NOLA’s offense does its job and puts up enough points with Alvin Kamara back in the lineup to beat their rivals for the first time since 2021. 

Eagles 31-17 Commanders

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The Birds should absolutely decimate us in the trenches from start to finish in this one. I don’t see a world where the game is remotely close for that reason. I’d be shocked if it ever feels like a contest.

I am not going to have fun. That’s a guarantee. 

Vikings 30-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Our second 0-3 matchup of the slate figures to be a lot more straightforward.

The Vikings have a fantastic offense and the Panthers have a defense that just got sliced and diced by Seattle. I think Minnesota has the playmaking ability to replicate that performance. I certainly don’t trust their defense, but I don’t think I really need to when they’re going up against a Carolina offense that hasn’t shown signs of life in any game this season. Yes, they accrued some nice stats last week, but they were never truly in that game. I feel like this is going to go in a very similar direction, regardless of who starts under center.  

Texans 24-17 Steelers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Why not a cheeky upset pick?

I love everything the Texans are doing right now, especially offensively as C.J. Stroud continues to look like anything but a rookie and light up opposing secondaries. Why shouldn’t I believe that he won’t decimate a Steelers pass defense that’s bottom-12 in the league? I understand it might be a bit more of a struggle as Pittsburgh’s defense as a whole has been dominant this year, but I just saw Jimmy Garoppolo dice them up. I think C.J. can follow suit.

It’s also easy to pick against the Steelers when their offense refuses to show me anything to like. I know the Texans defense isn’t great, but I don’t think they’ll have to be to limit the scoring. And that’ll let the offense do their thing to the tune of another upset victory. 

Chargers 28-20 Raiders

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

Regardless of circumstance, we can always count on Chargers-Raiders to be an entertaining contest. There should be plenty of points on the scoreboard and in fantasy leagues on Sunday afternoon.

No matter what, the Chargers have no excuse to lose this game. They finally notched their first win and now likely get Austin Ekeler back in addition to coming back home to play a rather awful Raiders team. It won’t be a blowout by any means, and LA’s defense is bound to struggle against an admittedly elite Las Vegas passing attack, but Justin Herbert and company will do more than enough to win comfortably. 

Cowboys 23-17 Patriots

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

I don’t know what to expect out of the Dallas defense after last week’s catastrophe, but I have to imagine they’ll put together a better performance. They’ve had a full week of practice with their new-look defense without Trevon Diggs, and they’re playing an arguably worse offense. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Cowboys offense struggles again, especially in the redzone, especially against a very tough Patriots defense.

This just figures to be a close, defensive game which is won by the better offense in the clutch. That’s very clearly the Cowboys. 

49ers 27-17 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

The Cardinals have been frisky all year long, so I think they can certainly hang around for a while in this game. But nobody can really stick with the 49ers for a full 60 minutes. They have been the most dominant team in the league by a wide margin, and I don’t think a team like Arizona is going to slow them down, especially in a tough road environment with the Niners coming off a mini-bye.

When it’s all said and done, San Francisco should cruise to a 4-0 start. 

Chiefs 28-10 Jets

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

You’ve got to feel bad for Taylor Swift. For her first two NFL games, she’s had to watch the Bears and now the Jets. At least she gets to watch the Chiefs completely decimate both teams.

Like last week, this one should be over before halftime.

Seahawks 24-16 Giants

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

It’s not anyone’s fault, but we have to do something about all these terrible primetime matchups. It’s getting annoying. Whose idea was it for the Giants to play three of their first four games in primetime? Jeez. 

Anyways, the Seahawks should win this one comfortably. New York hasn’t shown any signs of life other than their second half against Arizona, and against a solid Seattle defense, I don’t think they will on Monday night. I don’t think it’ll be as ugly as their first two standalone games, but it doesn’t figure to be pretty either. 


All stats taken from ESPN.

Post-Week 3 Power Rankings

A historic weekend of football has brought plenty of shuffling to the Power Rankings, including the first change at the top of the season.

Cover photo taken from Sports Illustrated.

1 – Dolphins (3-0) 4

70 points in an NFL game. That’s all that needs to be said.

Miami already boasted the NFL’s best offense, but Sunday’s historic performance catapults them to the top of this week’s list sheerly out of respect. I still like San Francisco more from top to bottom, but it felt wrong not putting the Dolphins at #1. What they’ve been able to do through three games is astounding. They lead the NFL in total yards, passing yards, rushing yards, and scoring. Even though we’re still in September, that’s virtually unheard of. It’s obviously not sustainable over 17 games, and we’ll see how long they can keep this up. But I feel very, very good about the Phins moving forward. 

2 – 49ers (3-0) 1

Like I said above, I still think the 49ers are the NFL’s best team across the board. Another team just happened to score 70 points this week.

But I love absolutely everything San Francisco is doing right now. The offense is moving the ball at will and seamlessly putting up 30 points per game. Brock Purdy still doesn’t look amazing, but he’s doing everything he needs to do to lead his team to victory, especially protecting the ball. Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel are unstoppable. And the defense continues to do its thing. It’s a formula that the Niners should be able to ride all year long. Until someone proves that they can stop it, they’ll be up here indefinitely. 

3 – Chiefs (2-1)

Once again, the Chiefs looked like the team we always expect them to look like on Sunday. It helped that they were playing the worst team in the NFL. 

It was good to see them score more than 22 points for the first time this season. I’m interested to see how things play out for them this week as they’re Welcomed to New York by a very stout Jets defense. We’ll see how Delicate they handle Patrick Mahomes’ ankle after he was rolled up on late in the first half against Chicago. Between that play and a ton of pre-snap penalties, you just have to hope there’s no Bad Blood between him and Jawaan Taylor. Regardless, we can always count on the Love Story of Mahomes and Travis Kelce to find Blank Spaces in opposing defenses and allow the KC offense to make Sparks Fly.

Don’t Blame Me for all these puns. I’m neither sorry nor will I apologize. 

4 – Eagles (3-0)

The Eagles continue to confuse me. They’re 3-0 with three solid wins, but they’re still yet to put their best football on the field.

However, I think Monday night’s win was by far their best performance yet, especially defensively. They forced timely turnovers, notched a safety, and the secondary barely let anything get past them. The offense didn’t have the best game in the world as Jalen Hurts wound up throwing two interceptions, but the running game dominated once again, which is all this team really needs to succeed.

They feel bound to put it all together and play their most complete game of the year on Sunday against Washington, because I know how these things always play out. It makes too much sense. 

5 – Cowboys (2-1) 3

Dallas was bound to be brought back to earth at some point. I just didn’t expect it to look like that.

The loss of Trevon Diggs is clearly taking its toll on this defense. The question is whether or not that will be a short-term thing or a long-term one. Because if this defense — which was off to a historically great start in 2023 — plays like this as the season continues, they’re in trouble. You don’t just give up 222 yards on the ground in this league. It certainly doesn’t help when Dak Prescott turns back into a pumpkin who throws interceptions into triple coverage in the endzone while the offense stumbles in the redzone time and time again. 

Maybe the Cowboys were drinking too much of their own Kool-Aid, and maybe they needed a game like this to snap back to reality. But it’s safe to say that — for now — I’m a bit concerned. 

6 – Bills (2-1) 1

While Buffalo hasn’t exactly played the highest level of competition over the last two weeks, it’s safe to say that Josh Allen and company are having the type of start to the season that we’ve all come to expect out of them. The QB lights up the box score while making flashy play after flashy play and the defense completely shuts down its opposition by wreaking havoc and racking up sacks and turnovers.

This is how each of the last four Septembers have gone for the Bills. So I won’t overreact to anything just yet. This week’s matchup with the Dolphins will be a much better indicator of where they’re at.

7 – Seahawks (2-1) 1

After a weird opener, the Seahawks have put together consecutive performances that are much more reminiscent of what we’ve come to expect out of them last year and this year. They’re running the ball well, imposing their will physically, and allowing Geno Smith to make plays with his arm to put the offense in a position to score.

Still, Seattle feels a bit underwhelming. I don’t think we’ve seen them put together a game that’s even close to their best yet. Sunday’s win over Carolina felt like the best one yet, but there was still plenty to be desired as the defense could have played better and Geno didn’t have his finest showing.

But I still feel far better about this team than most others in this proverbial tier of the Power Rankings.

8 – Lions (2-1) 4

In a week filled with impressive performances, the Lions stood out to me as one of the best teams of the week. I predicted them to lose, and all they did was thoroughly dominate a Falcons team that had been one of the most solid in the league through the first two weeks.

What I was by far most impressed with was Detroit’s defensive effort, giving up just 183 yards and not allowing a touchdown. That’s a massive improvement, albeit against the worst offense they’ve played this year. If that side of the ball continues to play at that level, the Lions could absolutely soar. 

9 – Ravens (2-1) 3

Everyone is allowed a weird, borderline inexplicable loss to a bad team, especially early in the season. But I still have some concerns with this Ravens team.

I understand that injuries are out of their control, but their supposedly elite defense was absolutely carved up by Gardner Minshew and Zack Moss. That’s not great. And I understand that weather was a factor and they probably should have won in overtime if they rightfully got a DPI call in their favor, but again, these things are out of their control. Maybe they should have been more focused on trying to stop an offense full of backups.

10 – Packers (2-1) 1

The last two weeks haven’t been the prettiest for the Packers, but it’s hard not to like what you see, especially with Jordan Love. At the very least, the young QB is an absolute gamer, and Green Bay is going to be in plenty of games with him being as tough and clutch as he has been. For them to come back from 17 down in the fourth quarter after showing absolutely no signs of life on offense really says something.

I understand that they were playing a Saints team that turned anemic once Derek Carr went down, but it’s not like that caused New Orleans’ defense to lay down and die. Love still had to rally the troops and bring the Packers all the way back, and the way they did so was inspiring.

I still feel plenty good about this team moving forward, and I’m very interested to see how they look on Thursday night against Detroit. 

11 – Bengals (1-2) 6

The Bengals are finally off the scheid in 2023, which is almost entirely thanks to their defensive effort and that of Ja’Marr Chase, who put the offense on his back on Monday night.

Joe Burrow still doesn’t look like himself, which continues to be a major concern, but he did what he had to do. I’m not sure why the Bengals made him drop back 53 times on a bad calf, but that’s neither here nor there. His quick passes and the playmaking ability of Chase put the team in enough positions to kick enough field goals to win. Is that a sustainable winning formula? Absolutely not. But it’s working… for now.

I was far more impressed with Cincy’s defense, especially up front as they racked up six sacks and forced two turnovers. That side of the ball will need to do the heavy lifting while Burrow continues to recover from a calf issue, and although they put together that performance against a horrible Rams offensive line, it’s hard not to like what I’ve seen. Hopefully for their sake, they can channel this into some better performances than they had in their first two games. 

12 – Falcons (2-1) 2

No single team disappointed me as much last week as the Falcons. For me to pick them to win only for them to not even amass 200 total yards while refusing to score a touchdown is a bad look. It was the type of poor offensive performance that I’m always weary of with Atlanta.

It’s certainly a problem, but I feel good about their ability to bounce back given what they’ve showed in their first two games. I’m giving them the benefit of the doubt for now. They’ll need to reconvince me this week in London. 

13 – Jaguars (1-2) 5

It certainly appears that the Jaguars were drinking too much of their own Kool-Aid, perhaps so much so that they’ve completely drowned in it. They’ve yet to put together a remotely solid performance this season, and there are concerns aplenty with this team that was supposed to be one of the best in football.

The offense is a total mess with drops galore, the secondary is one of the worst in football, and Trevor Lawrence doesn’t look like the quarterback we saw late last year. I feel good about their ability to turn this thing around, but they need to prove themselves as soon as possible. The good news is that the schedule is pretty easy, but the Jags haven’t made anything look easy so far in 2023.  

14 – Chargers (1-2) 2

I could write a book about the Chargers at this point, but I’ll try and keep this brief for both of our sakes.

Sunday’s win was the absolute epitome of what this team is — a stellar offense led by one of the best quarterbacks in football with a dreadful defense that gets gashed all game long but is capable of making enough timely turnovers to win some games. That does not feel like a long-term winning formula.

There’s only so much Justin Herbert can do, and his job just got much harder with Mike Williams suffering a season-ending ACL injury. I don’t think Keenan Allen can put together 15-catch, 200-yard performances every week. The good news is that Austin Ekeler should be returning soon. But unless this defense shores up, it’s hard to feel good about LA’s chances in any game against an offense with a pulse. 

15 – Steelers (2-1) 5

Despite a solid showing on Sunday night, I still have plenty of reservations about Pittsburgh’s offense. I’m not going to be convinced by a good performance against a Raiders defense that can’t stop a nosebleed.

My bigger takeaway from the win in Vegas was how poor the secondary looked. That’s becoming a concerning trend. Against teams that aren’t turnover machines like the Browns and Raiders were — like the 49ers in Week 1 — that’s going to lose the Steelers plenty of games. The offense simply isn’t good enough to make up for any and all defensive shortcomings. 

16 – Browns (2-1) 5

I’ve seen a lot of lists with the Browns in or just outside of the top 10, which is a sentiment I can understand. But I just don’t know what to make of this team at this point. Their inconsistency perplexes me, and until I see some more steady play over the course of several games, I think they’re just going to be a middle of the pack team.

Still, there’s plenty to like with Cleveland. The defense has been nothing short of elite as they rank first in total yards, passing yards, and scoring while ranking second in rushing yards. It’s easy to win games with a unit as dominant as this one. It also helps that Deshaun Watson played perhaps his best game as a Brown on Sunday against the Titans. But again, I’m going to need to see that more consistently to bump this team up higher. 

17 – Commanders (2-1) 4

I don’t wanna talk about it. All I can say is I told you so. I told you not to get your hopes up with this young, raw quarterback and this horrendous offensive line.

The fanbase desperately needed this reality check. Maybe I did too. 

18 – Rams (1-2)

The Rams really confuse me. The only thing I know for certain with them is that their offensive line is terrible and their defense is pretty solid. Other than that, everything else they do is completely up to chance.

We saw how anemic their offense looked when Kyren Williams and Puka Nacua were neutralized — which is something that will probably change once Cooper Kupp re-enters the picture. But ever since their opening win, LA hasn’t shown us much to like. We’ll see how that changes over the next few weeks against some stingy opposition. 

19 – Saints (2-1)

I’m giving the Saints a rare pass for blowing a 17-point fourth quarter lead due to the unfortunate shoulder injury suffered by Derek Carr that’s going to keep him out for a while. Up to that point, this team looked very convincing, and I was ready to give them a massive apology. But they completely collapsed down the stretch, and Jameis Winston didn’t exactly have the best relief appearance.

Still, I feel good about Jameis’ ability to lead this team in Carr’s absence. That just happened to be a tough circumstance to be thrown into. This defense is still elite, and Alvin Kamara is finally back to give the skill position group — which has been shockingly good — a huge boost. I get the feeling the Saints are going to be just fine.  

20 – Patriots (1-2) 3

There’s really not much I can say about the Patriots this week. That was simply the typical post-Brady win over the Jets — terrible offense in terrible conditions with a late defensive or special teams play to secure the win. It’s becoming too predictable at this point, honestly.

Despite this being their only win, it was by far the least convincing performance New England has put together so far this year. But like I said, that’s how their games against the Jets go these days. This weekend’s matchup with Dallas will be a much better benchmark for them.

21 – Buccaneers (2-1) 7

Monday night’s performance was everything that I feared the Buccaneers were capable of thanks to their subpar quarterback play.

Yes, Baker Mayfield had a great opening two games, but they were against two bottom 10 passing defenses. The concerning part of that statistic is that the Eagles have a worse secondary than the Vikings do, statistically. The difference is that, between a nonexistent run game and a defensive disasterclass, the entire game fell on the shoulders of Baker, who is simply not capable of leading a team to victory on his own.

I don’t think many Bucs games will look like Monday night’s, but we should definitely be wary of such a performance moving forward. 

22 – Titans (1-2) 7

I seriously considered making the Titans this week’s Team of Shame, but they get a bit of a pass thanks to going against one of the NFL’s best defenses. Still, that was terrible. They had 94 total yards of offense — ninety four! They couldn’t even get to triple digits! And they didn’t even turn the ball over in the process!

Tennessee just got completely outclassed on both sides of the ball. That’s an early contender for worst performance of the year, but it’s being overshadowed by a horrible game from a certain orange-wearing team this week. Regardless, the Titans are being decked big time, and it’s going to take a lot of convincing for me to bring them back up. 

23 – Vikings (0-3) 1

Regression to the mean. 11-0 in one-score games in 2022. 0-3 in such games in 2023. Starting to sound like a broken record.

You can make the argument that the Vikings deserved to win this game, but I would not listen to such an argument. They lost in the exact same way that has plagued both of their other losses this year: the defense gets torn apart while redzone turnovers ruin prime scoring opportunities that would have won the game. It’s like every Minnesota game this year has been a copy-and-pasted version of the others with a few tweaks here and there. It’s actually stupefying.

Taking all of this into account,, it’s safe to say that we can stick a fork in the 2023 Vikings. Making the playoffs after starting 0-3 is virtually impossible. At this point, they should shift their sights to April’s draft.  

24 – Cardinals (1-2) 6

The Cardinals have been frisky all year long, and it finally paid off in their first win of the season in a massive upset over the Cowboys. Good for them. It was awesome to see their offense ball out, especially against arguably the best defense in the NFL, while their own defense put together a phenomenal performance.

It’s just as I said before the season began: this is a team in a new era that is going to be fighting week in and week out. With a roster that’s way more talented than we thought featuring a defense with a ton of young playmakers, that’s going to translate to a good amount of wins. 

25 – Colts (2-1) 3

For the second consecutive year, the Colts have won a Week 3 game against an elite AFC team that they had absolutely business beating. This one is different from last year’s win over Kansas City, though, as Indy was on the road in Baltimore and came all the way back to win in overtime with a backup QB after he nearly single-handedly lost the game by Orlovsky-ing out of the endzone late in the fourth quarter.

The Colts are like the Cardinals in the sense that they’re now coached by a former Eagles coordinator who is clearly doing a great job of implementing a new culture. This team wants to win, and even without their star young quarterback and running back, that has been apparent in the last couple of weeks. And like the Cardinals, you have to imagine that’ll translate to wins. 

26 – Texans (1-2) 5

In a stunning turn of events, C.J. Stroud is pretty amazing at football. Who could have seen that coming?

The stud rookie quarterback has set the record for most passing yards without an interception through his first three games, and he has done so by utilizing his young weapons like Tank Dell and Nico Collins — throwing the ball with tremendous accuracy and anticipation. Some of the stuff that C.J. is doing is well beyond his years, and reminds me of the flashes that Justin Herbert showed in his 2020 rookie campaign.

With a defense that’s also suddenly playing above expectation levels, I think Houston is going to be in great shape, especially in the long-term. 

27 – Raiders (1-2) 1

Sunday night was the ultimate Jimmy Garoppolo game. He’ll make some nice passes and distribute the ball effectively, but when the going gets tough, he turns into a pumpkin. It obviously doesn’t help when your offensive line might as well not suit up and your running game doesn’t exist.

But that’s obviously not the biggest takeaway from the loss. That would be Josh McDaniels’ incompetence, which is something that I’ve been preaching ever since I developed the ability to speak. He is simply an inept, incapable head coach that will lose you more games than he wins you. That’s really all there is to it. 

28 – Giants (1-2) 3

What can I even say about the Giants at this point? They’re impossible to watch and one of the NFL’s biggest disappointments. I don’t even feel like thinking about them, let alone talk about them. But I do relish in them being terrible. 

29 – Panthers (0-3)

Is there a team more boring than the Panthers right now? They have one of the worst skill position groups in the league, and even when Bryce Young plays, there’s no point in watching. There’s nothing he can do behind that horrendous offensive line. The defense is supposed to be great, but injuries have completely derailed them, and now they’re giving up points in bunches.

You’d think there’s nowhere to go but up from here, but I think it’s actually going to get worse before it gets better. It’s okay Carolina, at least you guys have your first round pick this year… oh wait. 

30 – Jets (1-2) 6

I really don’t feel like talking about the Jets while Zach Wilson continues to start for them. Can we please just move on? For all of our sakes?

31 – Broncos (0-3) 4

In a week littered with potential candidates for the Team of Shame, the Broncos stand out above the rest.

After Sean Payton — who the team traded a first round pick for — went out and said this team had the worst head coaching stint in NFL history, all he has done is run Denver into the dirt with a historically bad 0-3 start that includes Sunday’s 50-point thrashing where they gave up the most points the NFL has seen since the Nixon administration.

At this point, you just wonder how much longer the franchise sticks with him and Russ. They certainly feel stuck in quicksand. And I have no sympathy for them. 

32 – Bears (0-3)

It has never been more over.


All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 3 Picks

Some fun matchups and a Super Bowl rematch highlight a Week 3 slate that hopefully treats me better than the first two have.

Cover photo taken from Sporting News.

Last Week: 9-7

Season Total: 18-14

49ers 27-17 Giants

Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video

I’d like to think the Giants can keep it close in this game, but we all know that’s not happening.

If their offense gets off to another slow start, which is a likely outcome against San Francisco’s defense, they’ll simply be in too big of a hole to overcome. I don’t see New York being able to keep up on either side of the ball, especially on the road. Their defense would have to keep them in it, which is entirely possible. But on a short week, I think the 49ers will simply be too much across the board for the Giants to remain competitive.

Browns 20-17 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

In a game which figures to be a defensive slugfest, I’ll take the home team.

Despite how awful the Browns looked on Monday night, they still put together some nice drives and put up good numbers on a great Steelers defense. If Cleveland can contain a Titans offense which hasn’t played great through two games, I think they should be able to win easily. But Deshaun Watson and that offense will never make things easy.

There will be plenty of turnovers to go around in this game, and I think the Browns are ever so slightly better on both sides of the ball to take more advantage oft hat.

Falcons 23-20 Lions

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is easily my most-anticipated game of the week. It’s going to be so much fun.

These are two of the best and brightest young, burgeoning teams in the NFL, and I’d be shocked if this game wasn’t — at the very least — competitive. But more than that, I think it’s going to be a blast.

I wanted to lean towards the Lions at home, but their injury concerns are troubling. It doesn’t look like David Montgomery is going to play, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is banged up. That could mean a healthy dose of Jahmyr Gibbs, which could be extremely explosive for the offense, but I haven’t seen enough out of him in that scheme to fully believe it’s going to happen.

Detroit’s defense also remains a huge concern, and they’ll have their hands full with Bijan Robinson and that Falcons offense. Atlanta’s defense also offers plenty more to like with their elite secondary play.

Against a banged up Lions offense, I think the Falcons have what it takes on both sides of the ball to come away with a huge road win and get off to a most unlikely 3-0 start.

Packers 20-16 Saints

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

After the way they closed things out in Atlanta, I think the Packers will be looking to make a statement in this game. They want to prove that they’re not the team that laid down and died last week. Unfortunately for them, it’s going to be tough. The Saints boast one of the best defenses in the league — one that hasn’t given up more than 20 points in 10 consecutive games. They’re not going to make it easy for Jordan Love and the offense to operate.

My concern with New Orleans, however, is their offense. They may be 2-0, but I see virtually nothing to like on that side of the ball. Tony Jones may have proven that he can be a solid back in relief of Alvin Kamara, and Chris Olave and Michael Thomas are plenty for any secondary to handle, but they have simply underperformed. I’ll give them a bit of a pass considering the caliber of defenses they’ve played, but the Packers are certainly not a pushover on that side of the ball. They have the talent and playmakers to make things difficult for Derek Carr and company once again. And I believe that will be the difference in this game. 

Dolphins 33-19 Broncos

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Broncos closed out their Week 2 game against the Commanders by giving up 32 points while scoring just six (not counting the Hail Mary). Now they go on the road to play the best, most explosive offense in football.

Need I say more?

Vikings 27-24 Chargers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This has a real chance to be the funniest game ever. Both of these teams’ seasons are essentially cooked if they don’t win this game. It’s going to be some high-level football, but you can always count on these two franchises to make it hilarious.

I really wasn’t sure which way to lean here. Both of these teams have shown plenty to like through two games and could both easily be 2-0 instead of 0-2 if the chips fell their way. Alas, they both come into this game needing wins to stay alive.

I’m taking the Vikings for a couple of reasons. For starters, they are the home team, and although I hate using that rationale, I think it matters here. The Chargers have to come out and play a 1 p.m. game for the second consecutive week, which surely isn’t easy. But on top of that, I think Minnesota probably feels better about themselves than Los Angeles does. The Chargers lost their grip on both of their games and choked away two wins while the Vikings simply didn’t have enough time to complete comeback attempts. I think they’re going to go out and slice and dice this weak LA secondary. Their own defense will certainly have its struggles, but I just get the sense that they’ll have one or two plays in them to come away with a much-needed win.

Patriots 17-13 Jets

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

I will almost never pick the Jets to win a game while Zach Wilson continues to start for them.

I will certainly not do it against Bill Belichick and the Patriots, who have won this matchup 22 of the last 24 times and 14 times in a row.

Bills 23-20 Commanders

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Let me lead with this: I think the fact that we’re getting 6.5 points is preposterous, but I would be truly shocked if we won this game.

Yes, the vibes are at an all time high, but we have beaten two very bad football teams. Now the Bills are coming to town. It will be a raucous environment once again featuring over 175 alums, but the game itself will be a struggle.

mBoth of these defenses should dominate, and points will be a commodity. If that’s the case, you’d have to think Josh Allen and that Buffalo offense have the advantage. But I think this will play out very similarly to their opener against the Jets. Allen could throw a flurry of interceptions or be sacked time and time again, which would bode well for Washington. But I’m going to put my faith in him for once and say that he has learned from his mistakes. Those turnovers are going to happen, but I think the Bills will respond better to them than they did in Week 1, and I think that will put them over the top to give the Commanders their first loss of the season. 

Yes, I would love to see Sam Howell and the offense put together another masterful performance. But they’re facing a Buffalo defense that has given up two offensive touchdowns all season. I’m trying to be realistic here.

Jaguars 30-20 Texans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

Like the Packers, I think the Jaguars will be looking to make a statement on Sunday. They were horrible offensively against Kansas City, but now they face one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Houston hasn’t been terrible on that side of the ball, but they’re susceptible to giving up points in bunches — which is exactly how the Jags beat the Colts in Week 1. I see a very similar game happening here.

It won’t be the prettiest thing in the world, and Jacksonville should be weary of a Texans offense that looks like it might be starting to find its stride. But they really have no excuse to lose. 

Ravens 24-10 Colts

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

It doesn’t seem like Anthony Richardson will suit up on Sunday for the Colts. They didn’t have much of a shot to begin with. They certainly don’t have a shot now.

Seahawks 24-14 Panthers

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, CBS

It doesn’t seem like Bryce Young will suit up on Sunday for the Panthers. They didn’t have much of a shot to begin with. They certainly don’t have a shot now.

Chiefs 27-10 Bears

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

The only intriguing part of this matchup is what the margin of victory for the Chiefs is going to be.

The Bears have quickly become the most embarrassing, dysfunctional franchise in the NFL, and they are reeling harder than I’ve ever seen a team do so.

There’s a very small chance they parlay that into a great showing in Kansas City. There’s a much bigger chance that they lay their third dud in a row and lose their 13th consecutive game.

Cowboys 30-17 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

Like the game above, the only question here is how much Dallas will win this game by. The Cardinals have been competitive, but the Cowboys are by far the best team they will have played. Even at home, I don’t think they’ll keep this one very close. Although it will be interesting to see how the Cowboys secondary looks without Trevon Diggs. Should be something to keep an eye on. 

Raiders 20-17 Steelers

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

If these teams’ performances last week were any indication, this might be a truly unwatchable mess. So glad we have it on Sunday Night Football!

I’m just going to pick the Raiders because they’ve shown me more to like offensively. Las Vegas’ defense is pretty awful, but we all know the Steelers won’t be able to take full advantage of that. Their offense has simply been a disaster. Granted, they have played two great defenses, but I simply don’t believe in the scheme. They’re going to need huge performances out of guys like Najee Harris, and I do not see that happening against anybody.

Eagles 26-20 Buccaneers

Monday, 7:15 PM EST, ABC

This should be a fun Monday nighter.

The Buccaneers have looked much better on both sides of the ball than I have anticipated. Against an Eagles team that hasn’t quite looked like itself on either side of the ball this year, I think Tampa has everything it takes to keep this one close, if not pull out an upset at home. I’m just concerned that the lights might be a bit too bright for them in this spot.

The Eagles are also coming off a very long rest period having played last Thursday night. They’ve had a lot of time to regroup and hopefully improve their secondary play, but considering how good Baker and the Bucs have looked, I wouldn’t be surprised if they struggle mightily once again. But I think they’ll make enough plays up front against a below average Tampa offensive line to ensure a victory. 

Bengals 26-23 Rams

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

Every time I thought about this matchup as this week has gone on, I was never going to pick the Bengals, regardless of whether or not Joe Burrow suits up. But I switched my pick for a simple reason: Cincinnati needs this win infinitely more than the Rams do.

A loss in this game very much sticks a fork in the Bengals. Since 1979, six teams have made the playoffs after starting 0-3 — none since the Texans in 2018. With a beat-up Burrow, those chances feel even more slim. But they’re at home in a huge primetime spot against a team that is frisky, but they have no business losing to.

There’s also a revenge factor after losing to the Rams in Super Bowl LVI. Perhaps most importantly, Cincy has no excuse to lose in those gorgeous all-white alternates. I think they’re simply going to rise above their station and put together an inspired performance that saves their season. Then we’ll see where they go with some more tough games on tap and a very delicate injury situation under center. 


All stats taken from ESPN.

Post-Week 2 Power Rankings

Through two scintillating weeks of play, we’re starting to get a better idea of where every team in the NFL stands — the good, the bad, the ugly, and the very ugly.

Cover photo taken from San Diego Union-Tribune.

1 – 49ers (2-0)

I don’t know how you’re supposed to stop this team. The Rams put together a masterful offensive gameplan and still essentially lost by multiple scores. Even with a lackluster Brock Purdy performance, the offense continues to hum their way to 30-point outings. Christian McCaffrey has scored in 11 straight games. Deebo Samuel is getting back involved in the run game.

Until I see them even remotely slow down, the 49ers are going to live in this #1 spot. Considering their upcoming schedule, they should get nice and cozy.

2 – Cowboys (2-0)

Once again, I seriously considered putting the Cowboys at the top of this list. Their defense is just so incredible, and Micah Parsons is on an unstoppable tear. The offense is thriving in every facet, which is something I wasn’t expecting against the caliber of defenses they’ve played. The Giants aren’t great, but to cut up the Jets the way they did was eye-opening.

History leads me to believe that the wheels are bound to come off, but this might just be the Cowboys. team to flip the script.

3 – Chiefs (1-1)

In the least shocking development ever, the Chiefs are totally fine! That tends to happen when you get Travis Kelce and Chris Jones back. They both made their usual impacts in their season debuts, just as I predicted.

Oh, and Kansas City’s next six games are against teams with a combined 1-11 record. Hope you didn’t make the mistake of writing these guys off.

4 – Eagles (2-0)

While Philly continues to dazzle offensively — despite some strange playcalling — and dominate up front, their secondary is a real concern. If it wasn’t for a flurry of turnovers — including some lucky ones — there’s a real chance that they could have lost to the Vikings on Thursday. I suppose you could make the argument that they’ve given up a ton of garbage time yards in the last two games, which is fair.

We’ll see how the pass defense looks when the going gets tough.

5 – Dolphins (2-0)

At this point, 5 feels too low for the Dolphins. They have arguably been the most impressive team in the league through two games.

Their defense still concerns me a bit, but they played much better than I expected them to on Sunday night. Again, it might not even matter when their offense is as insane as it is. Mike McDaniel’s schemes combined with the execution of Tua Tagovailoa has this offense looking like the single best in the league, and I don’t know how anyone is supposed to stop them. I thought the Patriots had a shot, but they weren’t even close. While there are some tough defenses ahead on paper, I’ve seen nothing to make me believe that this offense won’t stop decimating opponents while the team keeps racking up wins.

By all accounts, the AFC East — and maybe even the 1 seed — is theirs to lose. 

6 – Ravens (2-0) 4

I’ll never know how they do it. Year in, year out, the Ravens rack up injuries like no other team and still find ways to win.

I have to give a ton of props to Lamar Jackson, who was infinitely better against the Bengals than he was against the Texans. He looked like his usual self, which involved some incredible throws. Zay Flowers is already proving himself as the WR1 in that offense, and the running game didn’t fall off at all despite the absence of J.K. Dobbins. The defense also continues to look like one of the scariest in the NFL, and although I recognize that they’ve played Houston and a Cincinnati offense with Joe Burrow on one leg, I have no doubts that they’ll continue to play at an elite level.

As the only 2-0 team in a division with three other teams with plenty of questions to answer, Baltimore figures to get out ahead of the pack in the coming weeks. 

7 – Bills (1-1) 6

The Bills are the beneficiary of a lot of teams that were above them last week turning into pumpkins this week. They completely met my expectations as they predictably tore apart a Raiders team that somehow looks worse than I anticipated. But I’ll give credit where credit is due — Josh Allen had one of his patented elite September performances, and the defense looked amazing.

Still, I will always proceed with caution with this team. I’m going to have to actually see it against real teams to believe it. 

8 – Jaguars (1-1) 2

I didn’t want to give the Jaguars the benefit of the doubt, but I’m going to… for now.

They looked absolutely lost on offense, but they were also playing an elite defense that just got its best player back. The defense gave up a ton of yards, but they did force timely turnovers to keep them in the game. There’s just nothing you can do when your star quarterback goes 0-for-7 in the redzone and your offense doesn’t get in the endzone. Week 1 was an indicator of what this offense can be at its peak, Week 2 was proof that maybe they’re not ready for primetime yet.

But they have plenty of time to prove me wrong. 

9 – Seahawks (1-1) 6

The Seahawks seemed to return to form in a wild way on Sunday, excelling offensively and making the necessary defensive plays to come away with a win. It was very reminiscent of what we saw for so much of last season. And when they play like that, they will be very difficult to beat. That combined with the apparent fact that their Week 1 loss doesn’t look as bad as it did in the moment makes me feel comfortable inserting them into the top 10.

As long as they stay healthy, they will continue to rack up wins against a pretty soft upcoming schedule. 

10 – Falcons (2-0) 7

The Falcons in the top 10. Something I never thought I’d do. But they have earned it, and they have really, really impressed me.

Sunday’s comeback win was a truly inspiring one as the defense played incredibly down the stretch and the offense found ways to win. Bijan Robinson is already one of the best running backs in football, and Drake London is really starting to emerge as a true WR1. I still have my reservations about Desmond Ridder, and I have no idea what this team is doing with Kyle Pitts, who has eight targets in two games. But I love Robinson and London, I love their defense, I love their culture, and I think they are getting ready to make some real noise. 

11 – Packers (1-1) 4

The Packers played a very strange game on Sunday. For three quarters, they were absolutely lights out. Jordan Love was tearing it up once again and the offense was churning out yards and points despite not having Aaron Jones or Christian Watson.

Then, all of a sudden, they just stopped. They straight up stopped playing offense. Up 11 in the fourth quarter, they refused to move the chains, and the wheels eventually fell off the defense, which makes sense considering they kept on being put back on the field.

I think it was a strange ending to an otherwise impressive performance, and one that shouldn’t repeat itself any time soon, especially with the two key offensive pieces returning. But it was definitely concerning. 

12 – Lions (1-1) 4

I don’t want to say the Lions got too ahead of themselves, but it appears that might’ve been the case considering how they played on Sunday.

It wasn’t a bad performance by any means, but it was definitely a lackluster considering how they looked in Week 1 and all of last season at home. Jared Goff finally ended his crystal clean play with a backbreaking pick six, Jahmyr Gibbs couldn’t quite get going, and David Montgomery got injured. The defense seemed to return to 2022 form as well as they got carved up by the same team that dropped 48 on them last season.

These are the reasons I told you all to err on the side of caution with the Lions. I need to see them churn out great performances more consistently. So far in 2023, I’m not seeing much of that. 

13 – Commanders (2-0) 7

I don’t even know where to begin.

2-0 for the first time since I was 10 years old. Sam Howell is 3-0 as a starter and just played a game I never thought I’d see out of him. Terry McLaurin is top 10. Both Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson looked amazing. Eric Bieniemy might just be a godsend. Chase Young is back. The defense — which leads the league in sacks and pressures — was absolutely incredible (other than an abysmal start and a wonky ending, of course).

This team has never given me so much of a reason to be excited. Not for several years, at least. I’m still not going to get my hopes up for the sake of my own sanity and emotional well-being, but I’ll be damned. I’m this close to doing it. 

14 – Buccaneers (2-0) 7

It may have been against two 0-2 teams, but Baker Mayfield and this Bucs offense are cooking. I see a regression in their future, but for now, I’m going to give them props.

Baker has looked excellent through two games, which makes it hard to believe the offseason quarterback “competition” was remotely close. Him and Mike Evans already have an incredible rapport. The offensive line is looking better, and Rachaad White actually had a nice outing.

But again, the defense continues to stand out to me. While the Bears are pretty abysmal, the Vikings are clearly no pushover on offense, which makes that performance even more impressive.

Again, I don’t know how long Tampa can keep this up, and this division might be better than we gave them credit for. But I really like what they have going on right now. 

15 – Titans (1-1) 10

This is a huge jump, but more than anything, it’s an apology. I was far too harsh to this team last week for no reason. This is me making amends.

Their wild comeback to beat the Chargers was a classic Titans win. It wasn’t pretty by any means, but they just found a way to win. I understand things might have gone differently if Austin Ekeler had played for LA, but I’m not going to knock Tennessee because of that. I was impressed with what they did on Sunday, and while I still don’t really believe on them, it’s a good sign that they’re still going to fight tooth and nail week in and week out. That will translate to plenty of wins. 

16 – Chargers (0-2) 7

It’s only Week 3, and the Chargers’ season is already on the line. Thanks to two brutal fourth quarters, this team is 0-2, and now every single game is a must-win for them. It’s a bit hard to put any faith in this team in a must-win scenario. But they could easily be 2-0. With Austin Ekeler back in the lineup, you’d have to think they find a way to win a game.

But that’s not what this franchise does. They find ways to lose games instead. And one more essentially ends their year. 

17 – Bengals (0-2) 6

Speaking of teams who are one loss away from their season being cooked, the Bengals are staring down a very long, treacherous barrel right now. And realistically, they have no one to blame but themselves.

I don’t necessarily think Joe Burrow was rushed back from his calf strain, but he definitely returned a bit too soon, as he has been completely ineffective through two games and is now looking at missing time after re-aggravating it on Sunday. Cincinnati doesn’t exactly have many breaks in their schedule that allows that to be easy. It certainly doesn’t help that the defense isn’t playing nearly as well as expected.

This team is just so disappointing and lackluster on both sides of the ball right now. In the last four seasons, they’re the only team to make the postseason after starting 0-2, which they did last year. With Burrow either active and a shell of himself or not active at all, the Bengals are going to have another steep uphill climb to the playoffs.

18 – Rams (1-1) 4

I still think I’m being pretty mean to the Rams. They’ve surprised me more than any other team through two games.

They’ve been very good offensively thanks to the incredible emergence of Puka Nacua and Kyren Williams, and Matt Stafford continues to make me look foolish. Perhaps the most shocking thing about this team is that their defense is actually solid as well. I think the Rams have what it takes to be a very good, competitive team. I’m not going to rush to call them a top 10 squad like some people in the media are, but they certainly don’t appear to be nearly as bad as I anticipated. Their two performances so far this season give me reason to believe they can float around .500. 

19 – Saints (2-0) 4

I’m being cautiously optimistic with the Saints, but I must say that I like what I’ve seen through two games. They haven’t been the prettiest wins, but they’ve been solid ones.

I still think Derek Carr is simply not a good player, but he doesn’t have to be for this offense to succeed. They just need to go on a few scoring drives here and there while their defense does the rest. That side of the ball has been fantastic so far this year thanks to their ageless wonders up front and their continued elite secondary play led by Marshon Lattimore.

The Saints clearly have their winning formula. It’s just a matter of sticking to it. 

20 – Steelers (1-1) 1

Pittsburgh’s defense, which won them the game on Monday night, needs no introduction. I could talk about T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith all day, but that’s not how I want to spend this time.

I instead want to continue to implore the Steelers to fire Matt Canada and figure out what the hell they’re doing on offense. Because I don’t know if I can stomach any more of the nonsense they are putting on the field. Not only is it impossible to watch, but it’s honestly embarrassing. And I’m a lifelong Steelers hater. I can’t imagine what it’s like being a fan of a team with this offense. George Pickens and Jaylen Warren are great players, but Najee Harris looks worse by the week, and the scheme shows us nothing to like with Kenny Pickett. The pieces are clearly there, but this offense is going nowhere fast as it stands. That means the team is likely going nowhere either.

The Steelers are lucky that their defense is as amazing as it is. Teams don’t put up -7 total yards of offense in a fourth quarter and still pull off a comeback victory very often. 

21 – Browns (1-1) 5

Congratulations, Browns! You are the Week 2 Team of Shame! It was going to be the Cardinals, but you swooped in and stole it at the last moment! Hope you enjoy all these years of paying Deshaun Watson hundreds of millions to look like one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL! 

*note: I want to mention that Nick Chubb’s injury was horrible and I feel absolutely terrible for him and the Browns fanbase. Nobody deserves that, least of all a guy as elite and likable as Chubb. I don’t know what a recovery timetable looks like for him, but I’m praying for him and always rooting for him.

22 – Vikings (0-2)

For as long as it continues to apply, I’m going to keep saying it: regression to the mean. 11-0 in one-score games in 2022. 0-2 in such contests in 2023. That’s really all that needs to be said.

The Vikings realistically could have won on Thursday if it wasn’t for a wave of wonky turnovers, but part of that is on them. This is a team that’s going to put up big numbers and feel like they should be far better than they actually are, but that’s not going to translate to a lot of wins. They have to be more focused on not beating themselves than beating the other team. Doesn’t seem like a recipe for success.

One more loss and the season is effectively over in Minnesota. Luckily for them, they have their AFC mirror image coming to town for what should be an absolutely hilarious matchup on Sunday. I can’t wait to see it. 

23 – Patriots (0-2) 5

The Patriots are 2-0 in the moral victories department. Maybe they can replace their dynasty of Super Bowls with one of moral victories.

Maybe if they didn’t get off to such awful starts, they’d be able to rack up some actual wins. But they’ve faced 16 and 14-point deficits to start each game this season. When your offense operates like it does under Mac Jones, you’re not going to win games falling behind like that. I don’t know why it takes this defense so long to adjust, but once they do, they actually play great football. It’s just strange that it takes them so long. It doesn’t help when the offense is as turnover happy as it has been, especially early in games to put themselves in such holes.

These all feel like things that could improve and/or balance themselves out as the season progresses. But as it stands, the Patriots are in trouble. The time to figure this out is running out quickly.

24 – Jets (1-1) 12

The Jets are back to being the Jets. I wasn’t expecting it to happen so early in the year, but here we are.

I’ll keep this brief so I don’t sound like a broken record. Zach Wilson is the worst quarterback in the NFL. Starter, backup, practice squad, it doesn’t matter. He is not an NFL player. I don’t understand this team’s commitment to remaining steadfastly at his side and insisting that he’s “their guy.” He’s no one’s guy. He’s an abhorrent football player. The sooner this team makes a move for a veteran quarterback to right the ship, the better.

But you just get the feeling that’s not going to happen. Who knows, maybe I’ll have to throw the Jets in the Caleb Williams Sweepstakes. Imagine telling that to someone three weeks ago.

25 – Giants (1-1) 4

You are so lucky. So, so lucky.

I was so ready to tear into the Giants this week, but I’ll give credit where credit is due. Pulling off the biggest comeback in franchise history on the road with a nearly flawless half of football is no easy task, even if it was against one of the worst teams in the league. That’s a win that this team needed desperately after starting their season in a 60-0 scoring hole, which grows to 98-7 dating back to last season’s playoffs. Brian Daboll clearly worked some magic at halftime for the Giants to come out firing on all cylinders thanks to Daniel Jones playing the best half of his career.

Still, I don’t remotely buy this team. Saquon Barkley being out for a few weeks with an ankle sprain is going to expose a lot of problems with this offense, even if Jalin Hyatt looked really nice on Sunday. This defense is just terrible, and with San Francisco coming up, it could be another ugly outing on national television for the team that everyone implored me was better than the Commanders. 

26 – Raiders (1-1) 2

The Raiders are who we thought they were. They might actually be worse.

I’m mainly concerned with how unfathomably terrible their run game has been. How do you have the third worst rushing offense in the league with the defending rushing champ in the backfield? It certainly doesn’t help that you have a pumpkin at QB and both of your top two WRs have gotten knocked out of back-to-back games. I wish I could say that I still like this defense, but Sunday was a clear return to form for them.

I think we’re going to see a lot more Raiders performances like that than the one we saw in Denver to open the year. 

27 – Broncos (0-2) 1

The Sean Payton era is off to a rocking start as the Broncos have lost back-to-back games at home with a loss to a bad Raiders team and a blown 18-point lead second-half embarrassment at the hands of the Commanders. Who could have seen this coming?

I guess the sky isn’t completely falling in Denver, considering how well Russell Wilson has been playing, at least on paper. But I can’t make heads or tails of this team. I never can. I mainly can’t wrap my head around this defense, which got absolutely torched on Sunday.

But it doesn’t matter. Like I said last week, these are the same old Broncos. They may be finding new ways to do it, but you can keep on counting on them to lose.

28 – Colts (1-1) 1

The good news is that Anthony Richardson seems to be pretty good at football. The bad news is that Anthony Richardson is hurt.

I hope he doesn’t miss too much time, if any at all, because he has been shockingly fun to watch. The offense didn’t seem to miss a beat in his absence, but they were also playing the Texans, so I’ll take that with a grain of salt.

With or without Richardson, this isn’t a great team, but at the very least, they’re fun. And who doesn’t love a fun bad team?

29 – Panthers (0-2) 1

The Panthers could feasibly be lower on this list. This season is off to the worst possible start for them, and it doesn’t look like it’s getting better any time soon.

The offense is a complete dumpster fire with Bryce Young showing us barely anything to like through two games. The skill position additions are largely nonexistent, either due to a lack of talent or a head-scratching scheme. Yes, the defense offers lots to like, but they have folded at the biggest moments in each game thus far. And they’re not a good enough unit to make up for the offensive shortcomings.

Buckle up, Carolina. It’s going to be a long year. 

30 – Cardinals (0-2)

The Cardinals were going to be this week’s Team of Shame before the Browns stole that mantle at the buzzer. But that doesn’t mean this team is excused from being torn apart.

Blowing a 21-point second half lead is simply inexcusable at any level of football. It’s even worse when you do it to a team as bad as the Giants on your home turf. I was still impressed with their ability to build such a big lead, and I still think this is a competitive team that isn’t as bad as they seem, but it’s losses like that which prove to everyone that you’re not worth taking seriously.

But we all know the truth: Arizona definitely views losses as wins at this point. 

31 – Texans (0-2)

You know, at least C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins lit up the box score. Other than that, I have nothing remotely positive to say about the Texans. They should probably be at the bottom of this list. Regardless, they won’t move from this basement any time soon. 

32 – Bears (0-2)

I’m running out of things to say. I just don’t get it anymore. It truly pains me to say it, but I don’t know how much more of Justin Fields we’re going to see before it becomes apparent that he simply isn’t an NFL QB. That’s truly heartbreaking for me, but it’s just the truth. I can’t even blame this on the team around him. For at least this week, this is on him.

And he needs to turn it around. Fast. 


All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 2 Picks

Week 2 has a tough act to follow after a thrilling opening slate, but with some very enticing matchups on tap, we should be in for another very fun weekend.

Cover photo taken from New York Post.

Last Week: 9-7

Season Total: 9-7

Eagles 30-20 Vikings

Thursday, 8:15 PM EST, Prime Video

The Eagles thrashing the Vikings in Philadelphia is starting to become a yearly tradition.

While I think there’s a nonzero chance that Minnesota can hang in this game for a bit, I don’t see a path to victory for them. Philly’s offense is simply too stacked for the Vikes’ paper-thin secondary to stop for a full sixty minutes. And the Eagles defense is just as good. Even though they let up a lot of passing yards last week, I’m expecting a better game here, even if they’re facing a good passing offense. I think Justin Jefferson and company will do enough to put up some solid numbers, but it won’t be enough to win a game against this good of a team.

Packers 23-20 Falcons

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

I was shockingly torn over this game. If it was in Lambeau, I’d easily be able to pick the Packers. But this being a tough first road test for Jordan Love made me think about it for a bit. But once I remembered who the other quarterback in this contest is, it became pretty easy. 

We saw how good the Green Bay defense was last week in Chicago, and I’m expecting another great game out of them against Desmond Ridder, who is easily worse than Justin Fields. It’ll be interesting to see how Bijan Robinson and Atlanta’s run game perform in a tougher test for them. I think they can do enough to keep things close for a bit. Bijan is one of the biggest nightmare matchups in the league, after all.

But the Packers simply have more talent on both sides of the ball to lose this game. Like I said, it’s a tough road test for them, and I think they might struggle offensively for a bit against a Falcons secondary that excelled last week. But when the going gets tough, I think they’ll have the better execution and make the necessary plays to come out on top and improve to 2-0.

Bills 26-16 Raiders

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Bills should be licking their chops. This is a perfect bounce-back game for them.

Don’t get me wrong, I was pleasantly surprised with what I saw from the Raiders last week. But this is just a terrible matchup for them. They really struggled running the ball last week, and although Buffalo got absolutely gashed by the Jets on the ground on Monday, I think their defense should have an improved performance against a worse offensive line. The Bills were also able to generate consistent pressure, so they should get after Jimmy Garoppolo. Jakobi Meyers probably won’t be suiting up for Las Vegas, so unless Jimmy G and Davante Adams go nuclear, I think this offense will be stagnant. 

The Bills offense should realistically have a great game, but I never know what to expect out of Josh Allen at this point. He’s either going to put up video game numbers or hand the ball to the defense on a silver platter. I’ll say there’s a bit of both in this game. But he doesn’t need to be a superhero to overcome a much less fearsome defense than the one he faced on Monday night. 

Bengals 27-20 Ravens

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

I don’t feel comfortable being this confident in the Bengals when it has become increasingly obvious that Zac Taylor has no idea how to coach in the first few weeks of the season. But I just have a hunch that there’s no way Cincinnati plays as poorly as they did last week in Cleveland. They’re back home and ready to make amends. 

On top of that, the Ravens are already limping. Four starters are down, including two on the offensive line. They could barely move the ball on the Texans for crying out loud. You’d have to imagine they’ll struggle in the run game again. And the Bengals’ secondary isn’t easily exploited. I just feel like that defense is in for a big game.

With better conditions, Cincinnati’s offense should return to form. They are facing a very good defensive front, but Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase have a history of absolutely torching Baltimore defensive backs. So I’ll also say the Bengals offense comes out and cooks as well.

I want to proceed with caution considering how close this game was in the playoffs last season when the Ravens were also dealing with a ton of injuries. But that was the playoffs, where everyone is fighting for their lives. In the regular season, the Ravens have gotten toasted by Burrow time and time again. I don’t see anything to assuage me of the notion that it’s not going to happen one more time. 

Lions 30-27 Seahawks

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This matchup was an absolute thriller last year in Detroit with the Seahawks outlasting the Lions, 48-45. While I’m not expecting nearly as many points as that, I still think this will be a very fun shootout between two great offenses.

I’ll start with Seattle, who should have no business looking as poor as they did a week ago. I trust in their talent and coaching to have gone back to the drawing board and put together a much better performance. I can’t say with certainty that they’re facing a worse defense, considering I thought nothing of the Rams defense before they held the Seahawks to just 13 points at home. The Lions defense was the difference in their win over the Chiefs, so I’m not completely ruling out the possibility that Seattle struggles again. I just find it unlikely. 

Still, I like the Lions more in this one on both sides of the ball. They’re at home, where Jared Goff absolutely thrives. The offense will look better than it did in Kansas City, and if Jahmyr Gibbs gets more involved, then we could see an explosion from Detroit. You can already count on Amon-Ra St. Brown getting plenty of action, even against a seemingly great Seahawks secondary. That unit is going to have to regain my respect after getting cooked by Puka Nacua and Tutu Atwell. There’s a real chance they get toasted again and the Lions win comfortably. 

But I’m going to give the Seahawks the benefit of the doubt for one more week and say they keep it close. I just don’t can’t pick them in confidence after seeing how vastly different these two teams looked last week. 

Chargers 20-17 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Titans are in for an encore of their Week 1 game against the Saints. Being at home this time around, the chances of them winning are actually pretty solid. But I think it’ll be the same outcome for them. 

Tennessee’s defensive front was excellent last week, but their secondary looked like one of the worst in the league. That plays right into the hands of Justin Herbert and the Chargers. Their running game thrived last week, but Austin Ekeler is nursing an injury. Even if he suits up, it’ll be up to Herbert to air it out all over the field. He had a quiet opener, but against a vastly worse secondary, I think he’s in for a great game. But the Titans aren’t the kind of team that gives up a ton of points, so this offense won’t necessarily look as explosive as it did last week. 

The Titans should be in for a better offensive performance considering they’re going up against a defense that gave up the most yards in the league last week. If by some miracle they can throw the ball effectively, they can certainly win this game. I just have no faith in that happening. So I’ll say they hang in there all game long, riding some defensive stops and chunk plays on the ground before eventually committing a turnover or two that loses the game in the clutch. 

Buccaneers 22-17 Bears

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

I couldn’t decide whether or not this one is going to be a rock fight or a blowout. I don’t really think it matters, though. The Buccaneers should win no matter what.

I have lost any and all faith I had in the Bears to be a good team, but they can still be competitive like they were last year. I think they can certainly be competitive this week, but this is a defense that made Justin Fields’ life miserable in their matchup last year. We could very well see a repeat performance in this one. Tampa Bay’s biggest defensive weakness is in their secondary, but that doesn’t really matter against a Chicago team that doesn’t exactly have the best passing offense. The Bears will have to run the ball effectively to win, and that doesn’t seem likely against a very stout front that allowed the least rushing yards in the league last week. 

I don’t have much faith in the Bucs offense either, but they won’t have to do too much to move the ball on a Bears defense that was simply atrocious in Week 1. Unless Baker Mayfield turns into a complete pumpkin, which is always on the table, I think Tampa should go on enough scoring drives to put a requisite amount of points on the board and let their defense do the rest to get off to a surprising 2-0 start. 

Chiefs 27-24 Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

This is easily my most anticipated game of the week. The rationale is fairly obvious — these are two of the best teams in the NFL led by two of the best quarterbacks in the league who had a fantastic Divisional Round matchup back in January.

Trevor Lawrence is still chasing his first win against Patrick Mahomes. This is easily his best shot. But it still won’t be easy. The Chiefs finally have Chris Jones back after ending his holdout with a new one-year deal, and Travis Kelce will likely be returning from injury on the other side of the ball. But the Jags are still plenty capable of winning this game. We saw how deadly their offense can be now that Calvin Ridley has entered the fold. However, Kansas City’s defense will be a much tougher test than Indianapolis’, especially with Jones back on the interior. This will be a great litmus test for what this Jaguars offense is truly made of. 

At the end of the day, I think Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense will overpower the Jaguars young defense as they have year after year. They should look infinitely better than they did in the opener with Kelce back, and after the mini-bye coming off a Thursday nighter, Andy Reid should dial up a great game

This is where the Jags can make a name for themselves and prove themselves as a true Super Bowl contender. I simply have to see it to believe it. 

Texans 24-21 Colts

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

I’m actually excited to see how this game plays out. Both rookie quarterbacks in this game had solid debuts and should look better in this one considering how much tougher their Week 1 opponents were. I’m not too sure who is going to look like the superior signal-caller, but I’m going to roll with the Texans to win for a couple reasons.

For starters, I think C.J. Stroud is simply better than Anthony Richardson. But I don’t think that’s going to be the difference in this game. The difference on offense is going to be the talent around the rookies. The Texans don’t have the best weapons in the world, but a ton of different people got involved last week, and Dameon Pierce is certainly a better starting back than Deon Jackson. On the flip side, Michael Pittman had a fantastic game for Indy last week, but I don’t think he alone can carry the Colts to a win. 

I also think the Texans have a slightly better defense, especially in the back end. Guys like Derek Stingley and Jalen Pitre will make things tough for Richardson. And up front, Will Anderson will be an absolute menace coming off the edge against a poor offensive line. I don’t have a lot of faith in a Colts secondary that got diced up last week, and I think Stroud can have a very nice performance. I just like what Houston has on both sides of the ball more.

49ers 30-16 Rams

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

Was Week 1 a mirage for the Rams? We’re about to find out. 

If Los Angeles wins this game, I’ll be fully bought in. Them beating the consensus best team in the NFL — whose fanbase is guaranteed to invade the stadium — without Cooper Kupp as nearly double-digit home underdogs would be truly remarkable, even moreso when you consider how terrible Kyle Shanahan makes Sean McVay look whenever they match up. 

Unfortunately for the Rams, I don’t see a universe where they win this game. San Francisco is simply too good on both sides of the ball. They have the most stacked roster in the NFL, and they have owned Los Angeles in recent years. I think their defense will bring the Rams offense back to earth, and their offense will once again do what they have to do to win comfortably. 

Maybe LA hangs around for a while in this game as divisional matchups typically tend to go. But at the end of the day, the Niners should win and cover with ease. 

Giants 23-16 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 PM EST, FOX

Desperation is a funny thing. It can bring the absolute best or worst out of a team. In this case, you’d have to imagine the Giants are desperate to prove that they’re not the dumpster fire of a team we saw last Sunday night. If New York loses this game, their season is effectively over. More than that, they’ll have an infinite amount of questions to answer. A 40-0 home defeat followed by a loss to the consensus worst team in the NFL? Complete and utter disaster.

Luckily for the Giants, their chances of losing this game are pretty low. It’s entirely possible, but I don’t see it happening. I will reiterate that I was impressed with Arizona’s effort last week, especially defensively. Their front had a very nice game while New York’s offensive line got tossed around all night long. So I wouldn’t count out the Giants struggling on offense for most, if not all of this game. But when it comes down to it, they simply have the better talent on both sides of the ball. Their path to victory will be very similar to the Commanders’ last week: struggle for a bit, but make the key plays in the biggest moments to ensure a victory. I’ll put my faith in Daniel Jones and the offense to do that. 

Cowboys 20-13 Jets

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

With Aaron Rodgers being out for the season and the Cowboys coming off one of the most dominant victories in NFL history, everyone is ready to declare this game as a complete wash. Not me. That’s not how this league works.

If the Jets were going to lay down and die in this game, they probably would have done so on Monday night as well. But they didn’t. They continued to play inspired football and win the damn game. Their offense was stuck in quicksand, but the defense and special teams did what they needed to do. That’s how games like that are won. The culture in that locker room is outstanding, and that defense is a bonafide elite unit. I see no reason to believe that they won’t have another good performance where they make things tough on the opposing offense. 

The problem for the Jets is that their offense is led by Zach Wilson, and that offense is going up against perhaps the scariest defense in the league. I don’t think Dallas will be nearly as dominant on that side of the ball, but against another very stagnant offense, it’s possible that they once again completely dictate the game. 

I just see this as a defensive slugfest between two of the best units in all of football. So I think a 9.5-point spread is a bit unwarranted. But at the end of the day, the Cowboys are the better team on both sides of the ball, and at home, they have no business losing this game. Just don’t be surprised if it’s much closer than you anticipate. 

Broncos 13-10 Commanders

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

Speaking of defensive slugfests, I strongly advise any offensive enthusiasts to watch literally anything other than this football game. It’s not going to be pretty. 

Last week, the Broncos scored 16 points at home against the Raiders while the Commanders scored 20 at home against the Cardinals. Neither offense looked particularly good outside of a couple of nice scoring drives despite not going up against very great defenses. Denver has an extremely washed up Russell Wilson under center while Washington’s very raw Sam Howell gets his third career start. However, both teams have outstanding defenses of their own that are typically the reason they’re in any game to begin with. Put this all together and you have the makings of what might be the lowest-scoring game of the entire season. 

In a game like this, you usually take the better defense. I actually think that’s ours. But we literally never win in Denver. We haven’t done so since 2001. It’s a very tough place to play, and I don’t know if this team has what it takes to notch the first Washington victory in the mile high city since I was two months old. So I’ll say a late field goal and forced turnover from the Broncos notches them a victory to send both teams to early .500 records.  

Patriots 24-23 Dolphins

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

I was pretty torn over this game. Both of these teams gave me plenty to like and plenty to dislike last week. The outcomes of each of their games kind of overshadows some of the bigger takeaways. Miami’s offensive explosion clouds their defensive struggles while New England’s horrible start completely dwarfs their comeback attempt in which the passing game was cooking. So, at the very least, this will be a very close game.

I’m taking the Patriots for a couple of reasons. It’s hard to go into Foxboro and beat New England in a primetime setting, especially in a divisional matchup. The Patriots did win this game at home last year, after all (yes, I know Tua wasn’t playing, but still). I liked what I saw out of the Pats defense against a prolific passing offense last week, although the pouring rain might have had something to do with that. But most importantly, Mac Jones was cooking against a great Eagles secondary. Who’s to say that he won’t have a great game against a Miami defense that thoroughly struggled last week? Even if he takes a step back, Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott figure to have much better games against a run defense that gave up over 200 yards on the ground in Week 1. 

The Dolphins obviously boast the better offense, but I think this will be a tougher test for them, and I’d be genuinely floored if Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill can even sniff the type of game they had last week. I just feel like Bill Belichick is going to put together a great defensive gameplan, taking what he learned from last week’s loss and applying it to a matchup that he knows very well. Maybe if this game was in Miami I’d take the Dolphins, but as it stands, I just like the Patriots more here. 

Saints 22-16 Panthers

Monday, 7:15 PM EST, ESPN

Bryce Young’s home debut should be fun to watch, but it’s clear to see that the Panthers still have a lot to figure out. That offense had plenty of struggles last week against Atlanta. Now they have to face a better defense that could make things a lot more difficult for them. Young will have to show up and show out if Carolina wants to hang around in this game. I believe in his abilities, but I still think it’s too early for that. This offense needs a lot more time to come together.

Carolina has a nice defense of their own, and they put together two nice performances against New Orleans last year, but I think this will be different. The Saints have a true weapon in Chris Olave, who is already an infinitely bigger part of this offense than he was a year ago, and you can count on Derek Carr to sling it all over the place. Even if I’m not the biggest fan of Carr, I think he can do enough to lead this offense to a winning performance. If Desmond Ridder and the Falcons could do it, I think Carr and the Saints can too. 

Steelers 16-13 Browns

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ABC

See: Washington-Denver. But make it AFC North style.

I’m fascinated to see if either of these teams is who we saw in Week 1. I personally don’t believe the Steelers are that bad, and while I think the Browns are solid, I don’t know if they’re that good. 

While I believe the Steelers have the better defense, the loss of Cam Hayward on the interior definitely hurts. They could have some struggles stopping Nick Chubb and Cleveland’s prolific running game. But you can count on T.J. Watt to completely wreck the game off the edge, and the secondary figures to have a bounce-back performance against a much worse passing offense than the one they played in Week 1. 

This is simply going to be an offensive struggle for both sides. That’s how the AFC North operates in a primetime setting. And I’m not going to pick against the better coach and the better defense at home, even if Vegas is doing so. 


All stats taken from ESPN.

Post-Week 1 Power Rankings

An incredibly fun, upset-littered opening week of the year has made the Power Rankings even harder to construct than they already are to start a season. Here’s my first crack at it in 2023.

Cover photo taken from AS USA.

1 – 49ers (1-0)

San Francisco was probably the best team in the league entering Week 1. Their performance in Pittsburgh validated that sentiment. They went on the road and made a seemingly solid Steelers team look like they didn’t belong on the same field as them. Pittsburgh never gets embarrassed like that, especially at home.

Brock Purdy looked fantastic just six months removed from his UCL surgery, Christian McCaffrey was dominant as always, Brandon Aiyuk looked like a true WR1, and the defense was just mesmerizing. No one in the world is beating the 49ers when they play like they did on Sunday. 

2 – Cowboys (1-0)

Dallas didn’t just have the most dominant performance of Week 1. They had one of the most dominant performances I’ve ever seen. I seriously considered putting them at the top spot this week.

I expected them to go into East Rutherford and look significantly better than the Giants, but I never could have expected the type of game they had, especially defensively. I had very high hopes for that unit, but to pitch a road shutout in a divisional game and dominate a seemingly good offensive line the way they did was stunning. Seven sacks, two interceptions — including a pick six — a blocked field goal for a touchdown, and five forced fumbles is the type of statline you put up when you play your younger sibling in Madden for the first time.

And it wasn’t just the defense — the offense was able to move the ball up and down on a pretty solid Giants defense. Tony Pollard thrived in his first game as the RB1, and it didn’t matter at all that the passing game wasn’t very effective due to the pouring rain. The Cowboys dominated in the trenches on both sides of the ball. I don’t know if it will look like that every week, but I think we can get used to seeing it. 

3 – Chiefs (0-1)

Let’s all pump the brakes. The Chiefs are going to be just fine. God forbid they lose a game by one point without arguably the best tight end of all time and a top three defensive tackle in football!

You know what the funniest part of this whole narrative is? Kansas City would have won if Kadarius Toney made literally any of the catches he dropped. The first one would have prevented a pick six, the second would have set up a score, and the third would have set up the winning field goal. For the Chiefs to be largely in control in that game without Travis Kelce and Chris Jones tells me everything I need to know about them. They’re a very good football team. And once those two get back, it’ll be curtains for the league.

A lot is being made of the lack of WR talent on the team, which is fair. But once Kelce is back, it’ll look a lot like it did last year — defenses will be so consumed with Kelce that everyone else is going to have space to operate.

And I was thoroughly impressed with the Chiefs defense. The young guys like McDuffie, Karlaftis, and Bolton are absolutely hooping. With Jones back, they’ll also be back to being a very, very good unit.

This team is going to be more than fine. Just wait a bit. 

4 – Eagles (1-0)

I’m giving most teams that played in the elements the benefit of the doubt. But I honestly wasn’t very impressed with the Eagles on Sunday.

Their offense only scored one touchdown, and it was after a fumble set them up at the 26-yard line. Their patented run game only generated 97 yards on the ground as they were outgained by 132 yards of total offense by a team that’s significantly worse on that side of the ball. I understand pouring rain doesn’t exactly enhance an offense, but the Eagles looked much better in those conditions last year against Jacksonville than they did on Sunday in Foxboro.

The defense didn’t have the best game on paper, but there was a lot to like with their performance. Darius Slay returned an interception 70 yards for a score, Jalen Carter was impossible to stop in his debut, and Jordan Davis forced a fumble. I don’t know how or why there were so many coverage breakdowns that let Mac Jones cut them up for 316 yards and 3 touchdowns, but I get the impression that these are just some growing pains that come with a new defensive scheme. They’ll probably be just fine.  

5 – Dolphins (1-0)

We all know Tua Tagovailoa is a solid quarterback. We all know that Tyreek Hill is one of the best receivers in football and perhaps the single most dynamic player in the league. But I don’t think any of us could have predicted that.

Tua and Tyreek’s offensive explosion on Sunday in Los Angeles was simply stunning. I was mesmerized from start to finish. Tua played what has to be the best game of his career — including making hands down the best throw of his career, the 4th quarter deep shot on the run to Hill — against a very solid Chargers defense. He was pinpoint with his accuracy, he made good decisions, and he put up one of the best Week 1 performances ever. It helps when you’re throwing the ball to Tyreek Hill, who simply never slows down. He embarrassed LA’s defense all day long with his once-in-a-lifetime blend of speed and ball skills. It might’ve been the most impressive game he has played as well.

Despite the offensive explosion, Miami’s defense left a lot to be desired. They gave up 433 yards of offense including a whopping 234 on the ground, allowing the Chargers to gash them for 5.9 yards per carry. But, when they needed it most, the defense shored up, especially up front. This is a unit that figures to get better with time as the new pieces continue to gel under Vic Fangio. Once that happens, this team is going to be terrifying. 

6 – Jaguars (1-0)

It wasn’t pretty, but how many road divisional games are?

I was very confident in picking the Jaguars last Thursday, but as time went on, I got more and more skeptical. I always thought they’d win, but a struggle seemed likely. It was certainly a struggle, but a very weird one.

The wacky live ball fumble returned for a touchdown and a few other nice plays from the Colts made things difficult, but in the end, the Jags looked great in all of the ways I expected them to. Calvin Ridley burst onto the scene with a fantastic opening game in a Jacksonville uniform, Travis Etienne had a solid outing, and Trevor Lawrence was absolutely pinpoint with the football.

The defense didn’t have the best day in the world, but I certainly liked what I saw from Travon Walker, who could be in for a special sophomore campaign. The Jaguars needed to get this weird one out of the way ahead of their Week 2 matchup with Kansas City. Now that they have, they should be in for a torrid stretch of football.

7 – Packers (1-0)

I know it’s the Bears, but… I told you so?

It has only been one game against the worst team in the league, so I want to proceed with caution. But at this rate, I’ve nailed all of my takes about the Packers thus far. Their defense is still great. Jordan Love is a fantastic talent that will only get better. All of their young receivers are dogs. They are going to continue to run this division.

Sure, it wasn’t a perfect performance by any means. But the way they turned it on in the second half was truly something to behold. This team has the talent and the coaching to have a great regular season, just like I predicted.

8 – Lions (1-0)

Kudos to the Lions for proving me wrong so far. I won’t get into the reasons why the win doesn’t mean as much as most people think it does because I already did that (see: No. 3). I’ll use this space to talk about what I liked with the Lions on Thursday.

I have to start with Jared Goff, who not only looked very comfortable, but very effective. He made some fantastic throws, especially over the middle, and I was very pleasantly surprised with how poised he looked in the pocket. And this was with two of his receivers — Marvin Jones Jr. and Josh Reynolds — being extremely ineffective. Obviously it helps when you’re throwing to Amon-Ra St. Brown, who looked incredible and could be in for his best season yet. He also got some lifts from his new RB duo of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs — who clearly is the flashier back and should be used more, but might be being saved for later this season, who knows.

Defensively, I thought the newcomers really splashed. Jack Campbell looked effective in both the run and pass defense, C.J. Gardner-Johnson had a few key PBUs, and Brian Branch had the game-changing pick six that essentially won the game for Detroit.

Everything is really coming together for this Lions team right now, and I think they’re only going to continue trending upwards. I’m ready to eat crow.

9 – Chargers (0-1)

New season, same old Chargers.

Offense puts up over 400 yards? Defense is worth over a half billion dollars in contract money and has so-called superstars all over the place and is facing an offensive line without it’s elite starting left tackle? That’s cool, they’re going to give up over 500 yards, including 466 through the air with 211 going to one Tyreek Hill. Run game is absolutely feasting? Doesn’t matter, the passing game can’t follow suit.

Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like Sunday was a total disaster for LA. The team looked pretty good for the most part against one of the best teams in the league. But that was a performance that they need to put in the rear view mirror, especially defensively.

I think the only thing they should feel good about is the fact that they have Austin Ekeler. In every other aspect, they need to go back to the drawing board. 

10 – Ravens (1-0)

How foolish of us to believe that the injury bug wouldn’t live rent-free in Baltimore this season. Some things never change.

Despite a blowout win on Sunday, the Ravens probably feel worse now than they did at this time last week. J.K. Dobbins suffered his third consecutive season-ending injury with a torn Achilles after being tackled from a weird angle, Marcus Williams could miss extended time with a torn pec, and both Ronnie Stanley and Tyler Linderbaum left the game due to lower leg injuries. I think it’s safe to say that without their starting running back and potentially two star offensive linemen, this running game could struggle. And without one of the leaders of the defensive backfield, the Ravens secondary could be in for some more tough times.

On top of all this, Lamar Jackson looked straight up terrible against a bad Texans team. He was careless with the football, inaccurate with his passes, and ineffective on the ground.

But it’s not all doom and gloom in the Charm City. Zay Flowers looked electric in his NFL debut, and their front seven is still elite. Those are about the only two positives I have for this team right now. 

11 – Bengals (0-1)

I don’t have many words for the Bengals this week. There’s just nothing I can say. This is their annual disasterclass in Cleveland. I’m not going to overreact like I’m sure many will. I’m just going to acknowledge this yearly occurrence and I’m going to move forward. 

12 – Jets (1-0)

I don’t think I have ever seen such a bittersweet few hours for a team like the Jets had on Monday night.

The Aaron Rodgers era lasted four plays. It’s next-level heartbreak for a franchise that has endured it for far too long. I’m devastated for those fans that created one of the most incredible environments I’ve seen in an NFL game in a long time.

But through all that, the Jets came out and played their asses off. It was an incredibly inspiring performance, predominantly defensively. They backed up all the hype on that side of the ball with an amazing showing — dominating at every level to the tune of 16 points allowed and 4 turnovers generated. The secondary had Josh Allen seeing ghosts as Jordan Whitehead picked him off three times. The front looked like one of the best in football. And we can never forget the special teams winning it in overtime with Xavier Gipson’s punt return touchdown.

But now we must look to the future. Unfortunately for New York, that’s another season of Zach Wilson, barring a likely move for a quarterback. Garrett Wilson — who made one of the best catches I’ve ever seen — Breece Hall, and Dalvin Cook all looked great on Monday night, but Wilson proved that he’s still the same old bust. I think the Jets should definitely search for an alternative; I just have no idea what that alternative would be.

This performance signified what these Jets are capable of: winning a Super Bowl. But they’ll never do that with Wilson. They might not do it at all without Rodgers. They might not even make the playoffs. That is sports cruelty at its finest. 

13 – Bills (0-1)

I’m really never wrong.

Josh Allen’s turnovers have been a problem for so long now, and I’ve been talking about how that’s a massive problem since last year. It’s a miracle that it took this performance to people to realize it. He’s as careless as any quarterback in the NFL — which includes the likes of Zach Wilson, who he just lost to. He makes terrible decisions both throwing and running the ball, and he actively holds his team back. Spoiler alert: that means the Bills are going nowhere fast with his shenanigans. People love to place the blame on the lack of a run game or a bad offensive line, which isn’t exactly unwarranted. But because Allen makes some flashy throws and hurdles over a defender every once in a while we ignore the fact that he’s just as big of a problem as any on this Buffalo team.

With a distinct lack of offensive talent and clear defensive struggles on the way, I think the Bills could firmly be in a position to take the step back that I thought they would. 

14 – Rams (1-0)

I truly never could have seen that coming.

I said this team was the worst in the league. I said they’d suffer the worst defeat of the week. I have been eviscerating them for months. I said Matthew Stafford was cooked. For them to go out and simply dominate the way they did makes me seem really, really silly.

The Rams haven’t looked that good on either side of the ball since the Super Bowl. I honestly don’t know how we got here. Stafford looked like his Super Bowl self, Puka Nacua of all people stepped up as the Cooper Kupp replacement, Kyren Williams had himself a day, and the defense absolutely locked up one of the best offenses in football.

I have no idea if this is who the Rams are or if this is just a fluke. But they deserve my respect this week. Let’s just hope my preseason prediction doesn’t end up as the single worst take of my career. 

15 – Seahawks (0-1)

Here’s a new Power Rankings addition for the 2023 season: every week, I will make one team my Shamed Team of the Week and simply not talk about them because of how ashamed I am of them.

Week 1’s honor goes to none other than the Seattle Seahawks, who were embarrassed at home by the team I said was the worst in football and didn’t have its best offensive player. Congrats on being the first winners of this award, Seattle!

16 – Browns (1-0)

The Browns are such a weird team. For 16 games of the year, they look incompetent. But for that one home game against the Bengals, they pull out all the stops. Their defense turns into the ’85 Bears while their offense does what they need to do for a blowout win. The fact that this keeps happening is just weird.

Sunday’s win marks the ninth win in the last 11 games in Cleveland against the Bengals, including the last four against Joe Burrow. Like the Rams, I don’t know if this is who the Browns actually are, or if this is just a one game thing. But also like the Rams, I’m going to put some resect on them for now. 

17 – Falcons (1-0)

Solid showing, Atlanta. It was as formulaic as it gets for you guys. And that’s a pretty solid formula.

The Falcons looked exactly how we expected them to look, if not better. That certainly increases my confidence in this team. The running game thrived with Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, and Robinson made incredible plays in the passing game. The defense also looked drastically improved with some solid plays made up front and newcomer Jessie Bates snagging two interceptions.

But those were the expected improvements. Everyone was waiting to see what Desmond Ridder would look like, and while most people expected a step in the right direction, I was vindicated on my steadfast take that he is simply not good. There was a time where he had four completions for zero yards. Zero! You can’t even blame the scheme for that. And it’s definitely not like this offense isn’t talented. There are teams that would love to have Drake London, Kyle Pitts, or Bijan Robinson. Ridder has all three at his disposal! He’s just not a starting quarterback, let alone a franchise quarterback.

The Falcons have their guys everywhere else, which could take them places this season. But they need to address the quarterback position ASAP.

18 – Patriots (0-1)

As far as moral victories go, that was the best win of the week.

New England should feel great about their defense performance against one of the league’s top offense, as well as their own passing offense’s numbers against one of 2022’s best secondaries. Mac Jones played what was probably his best game since his rookie season with over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. He did throw a game-changing pick six, but it was off his receiver’s hands while rain poured down, so I’m giving him a very slight pass.

But I think the Patriots probably feel as good as possible considering the fact that they lost the game. I think there’s some very big positives to take away from Sunday. And with Buffalo reeling and New York losing its star quarterback, this division could be wide open. Don’t count out these Patriots. 

19 – Steelers (0-1)

The Steelers very nearly got the award that the Seahawks got, but then I remembered that Pittsburgh lost to the team I said was the best in the NFL while Seattle lost to the team I said was the worst in the NFL. So Mike Tomlin’s boys are off the hook in that regard. They are not off the hook in any other regard, however. Because that was really, really embarrassing.

The Steelers never lay duds like that at home, especially not with tons of hype and expectation surrounding them. They’re supposed to be the team that plays up to their opponents. They’re not the team that lays down and dies for sixty minutes, including a nearly 30-minute stretch where they could only muster one yard of offense. One yard! I don’t care whose defense you’re up against, that’s simply inexcusable. I’ve said it a million times — I don’t know how or why Matt Canada is still on this staff. The offense has plenty of young talent that could be so much more than they currently are, but they’ll never get there under Canada. It doesn’t help that Diontae Johnson ripped his hamstring in two on Sunday and is likely going to miss extended time.

Here are the positives for the Steelers: T.J. Watt is a superhuman coming off the edge and Minkah Fitzpatrick is still the best safety in the NFL. But once you look at the rest of the defense, the negatives creep back in. Cam Hayward is going to miss extended time with a groin injury. Patrick Peterson looked every bit like a 33-year old cornerback on his way out of the league. And the rest of the secondary clearly has the same problems that have plagued them for so long.

Perhaps we were a bit premature in declaring the Steelers’ ability to be anything but mid for the millionth straight year. 

20 – Commanders (1-0)

A win is a win. It wasn’t pretty by any means — in fact it was rather ugly — but it’s a win. And for the fans of this city and everyone else involved that showed up and showed out on Sunday, that feels really, really good.

Of course I have my concerns. The offensive line is just about as putrid as expected. Sam Howell clearly still has some things to work on. The run game wasn’t great. The receivers need to get more involved. Ball security is a real issue — Antonio Gibson should honestly be RB3 on the depth chart at this point. But when the going got tough, the offense pulled themselves up and made every play they needed to in order to come away with a win, and a lot of that was on Howell’s shoulders. His poise and his confidence never got rattled despite the struggles and getting headhunted by the Cardinals defense. That is something that I absolutely love to see.

But what really won us that game was the defense, which we should all come to expect at this point. The front was absolutely dominant. Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen completely gobbled up the interior. Montez Sweat was far and away the best player on the field and truly won the game with the fourth quarter forced fumble. The secondary held up for the most part with Darrick Forrest and Kam Curl continuing to prove themselves as one of the best safety duos in the league. And Emmanuel Forbes poetically made the game-winning PBU to usher in the new era of Washington football with a 1-0 start in front of a sold out home crowd.

Like I said, that feels really good. 

21 – Buccaneers (1-0)

One thing about Baker Mayfield: that dude is going to compete his tail off, no matter what. There’s not many built like him in this league. It’s honestly inspiring to watch some of the stuff he does. It almost makes up for his lack of ability as a quarterback. But when you’re playing the Vikings defense, you can get away with those deficiencies.

In the second half, the Bucs went on drives of 15, 10, and 10 plays — the last of which iced the game. That’s incredible for a team who looked inept at offense with Tom Brady at the helm the last time we saw them. I was also very impressed with the defensive effort from Tampa Bay. I kind of wrote that unit off, but they did their thing against a pretty good offense. They let up a lot of yards and chunk plays, but when the stops needed to be made, they got them, and Christian Izien’s redzone interception of Kirk Cousins was really the difference in the game. In a division with young quarterbacks and the very bad Derek Carr, I think this defense can rise to the occasion and be the reason the team wins games. We’ll see if these types of efforts can continue. 

22 – Vikings (0-1)

I told you so. Regression to the mean. The Vikings were 11-0 in one-score games last year. They’re 0-1 in such contests to start 2023. That’s really all that needs to be said.

This team got extremely lucky in so many key spots last year. That luck won’t be with them throughout this season. Their flaws will be exposed. Their defense will lose them games like they did on Sunday. The offense is bound to make mistakes like Kirk Cousins’ redzone interception. Justin Jefferson will look very sad on the sideline despite putting up monster numbers. This is who the Vikings are. And there’s no more masquerade. 

23 – Saints (1-0)

That was about as unimpressive a win as I’ve ever seen. Probably because they didn’t deserve to win. The Titans should have and would have won if the referees didn’t blow a scoop-and-score dead, but such is life in the NFL.

Still, I feel worse about the Saints now than I did last week, largely because Derek Carr looked pretty awful for the most part. A lot of that will get overshadowed by guys like Chris Olave making plays and the passing game putting up numbers, but man. All the problems he had down the stretch in Vegas are already showing in New Orleans. I know 300 yards is nothing to scoff at, but the tape certainly isn’t inspiring. And neither is the offensive line.

But if the Saints are going to do this in every game this season, I still like their chances. The defense looked pretty good, albeit against perhaps the worst starting QB in the NFL at this point. Their new kicker Blake Grupe is clearly ready. And they shored up across the board when they needed to. I guess that’s all you can ask for.

24 – Raiders (1-0)

Jimmy Garoppolo is bring his winning ways to the desert. Okay, maybe not, but 1-0 with a road win over a divisional opponent is a good start.

Jimmy didn’t look half bad, though. He was accurate other than a tough interception in the endzone, had a strangely great repertoire with Jakobi Meyers, and made two really nice touchdown throws. The defense also played a very nice game, but I’m taking that with a grain of salt considering they were going up against the mighty Broncos offense. And I’m also going not going to overreact to a poor rushing performance from Josh Jacobs considering the quality of defense he was going up against.

At the end of the day, I was pleasantly surprised with what I saw. I hope Meyers — who is in concussion protocol after getting absolutely crunched by Justin Simmons — is okay, because if Sunday was any indication, the Raiders could have a sneaky good WR duo with him and Davante Adams. 

25 – Titans (0-1)

For the sake of anyone and everyone who watches the Titans, can we please move on from Ryan Tannehill? He’s 35 years old, his best years are long behind him, and this offense is going absolutely nowhere with him under center. You have not one, but two young QBs who could greatly benefit from getting the reps. Just give the offense to them instead. Because they’re absolutely unwatchable as it currently stands.

I will say that this is exactly what I expected from Tennessee: a dreadful offense with a solid defense. Their front had a solid game with four sacks and great run defense, but the secondary got torched. If that problem persists and the offense doesn’t wake the hell up, the Titans could end up being even worse than I imagined. 

26 – Broncos (0-1)

Here’s the Broncos’ week summed up perfectly: Russell Wilson looked vastly improved and still only threw for 177 yards on a drab 5.2 yards per completion as the offense put up just 16 points — with just a single field goal coming in the second half — and lost to the Raiders by a point. You can change the head coach, you can talk all you want, but at the end of the day, these are clearly the same Denver Broncos.

The good news is that the defense is still great. But nothing they do can make up for the offensive shortcomings. They’re the reason that the Broncos were in that game late, but they couldn’t get the stops they needed to prevent the Raiders from icing the game away late in the fourth quarter. There’s simply no reason to believe that anyone involved in this operation is capable of turning this disaster around. The Denver Broncos are in football purgatory. 

27 – Colts (0-1)

All things considered, that went pretty well.

The Colts didn’t have the world’s best opener in the world, but I think they have to like what they saw. Anthony Richardson had himself a nice game, looking sharp while notching a rushing and passing touchdown. I think Colts fans everywhere would have liked to see him protect himself a bit more, but that’s what you’re going to get with Richardson. Michael Pittman played a fantastic game, which helped out the young quarterback. But running game was atrocious as they only picked up 2.5 yards per carry and Deon Jackson ran for 14 yards on 13 carries in his first game at RB1 in Jonathan Taylor’s absence. Nobody is going to win football games with a running game that poor.

The defense wasn’t great either as they got cut up all game long. They had one real good play, but it was on the wacky non-dead ball play that the Jaguars essentially gifted them. That side of the ball figures to continue its struggles as well.

But, it’s like I keep saying: the most important thing is Richardson’s development. I think there’s a lot of positives to take away from his performance on Sunday.

28 – Panthers (0-1)

I’m very disappointed in the Panthers. They truly have everything they need to be a solid team, but they looked completely discombobulated on Sunday.

I understand that there’s a lot of new pieces and moving parts on this offense and that the offensive line is still coming together, but man. That was really bad. I think if Bryce Young didn’t throw those interceptions, the Panthers could have had a real shot to win the game. Their defense balled out, only holding the Falcons to 221 yards of offense and completely shutting down the Falcons passing game — which is admittedly abhorrent. But when you’re -3 in the turnover battle, you’re simply not going to win games.

I’m expecting a lot more growing pains on both sides of the ball in Carolina.  

29 – Giants (0-1)

Good lord. I don’t even know what to say. I don’t even know if the Giants have deserved being talked about this week. I guess I’ll keep this brief.

That was simply one of the most embarrassing, lifeless performances I have ever seen in any sport at any level. And that’s coming from someone who saw the Giants come into my team’s building and beat us 40-0. At least we were in the middle of a lost season and starting Mark damn Sanchez.

New York has no excuses. They talked so much about how they deserve to be respected after last year’s complete fugazi season and how Daniel Jones is actually good and worth the money. All of that got completely and expeditiously flushed on Sunday night. Jones was the worst quarterback in football this week, the offensive line looked absolutely dreadful, the offense as a whole still lacked any semblance of a pulse, and the defense might as well have not shown up. 

It’s going to be a long, steep uphill climb to gaining anyone’s respect back. 

30 – Cardinals (0-1)

The Cardinals completely met my expectations on Sunday. The only area where they surprised me was their ability to wreak havoc in the backfield, as they racked up six sacks including a strip sack returned for a touchdown right before halftime. But I don’t know how much that means when you consider how awful the Commanders offensive line is.

Their own offense looked pretty terrible, but we all saw that coming. Josh Dobbs is good enough to keep this thing from going off the rails, but that unit isn’t going anywhere.

My biggest takeaway from Week 1 for the Cardinals is that my take that they’ll be competitive enough to not be the worst team in the league has been vindicated. Jonathan Gannon is building a team that isn’t going to go down easy. Whether thats via actually good defense or dirty play and headhunting remains to be seen.

31 – Texans (0-1)

The Texans looked about as awful as expected on Sunday. I considered putting them last, but at least they met expectations. Some teams are supposed to look competent and end up playing like the worst team in football.

Houston didn’t score a single touchdown on Sunday, being one of three teams to bear that shame. But at least they have the excuse of playing one of the best defenses in football. For what it’s worth, C.J. Stroud was actually the better quarterback in the game, at least statistically. He had more completions and yards than Lamar Jackson while having less turnovers. On top of that, nine different players recorded a catch — 10 if you include Stroud catching his first career completion off of a deflection.

The Texans defense really made Lamar struggle thanks to the performances of young guys like Will Anderson Jr and Christian Harris, who each notched a sack. That’s certainly a positive to take away from this game. They definitely have some burgeoning talent on both sides of the ball.

32 – Bears (0-1)

So much for the hype.

The Bears proved to all of us that they are still the sorry little franchise that they’ve been this whole time. No amount of preseason media narratives or splash acquisitions are going to change that. They were absolutely dreadful on both sides of the ball at home against a team with a bunch of moving parts without its WR1. There is zero excuse for that.

I am still not going to give up on Justin Fields, but man. We have to see it sooner or later. I don’t think Chicago’s struggles on Sunday were entirely his fault seeing as though he was running for his life for the entire game, but he certainly didn’t play well. And that figures to be a trend moving forward. It’s like a positive feedback loop — the offensive line will continue to get decimated meaning that Fields will continue to look bad, and the cycle isn’t stopping any time soon.

Someone please save him.


All stats taken from ESPN.

Week 1 Picks

The NFL is finally back with a loaded Week 1 schedule that should kick off the 2023 season with a bang. Here’s how I see the opening slate playing out.

Cover photo taken from NBC Los Angeles.

2022 Season Total: 181-100-2

Chiefs 34-20 Lions

Thursday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

Please allow me to present you with some numbers.

Patrick Mahomes has never lost (5-0) in Week 1. Here are his stats in those five games: 1,542 yards, 18 touchdowns, 0 interceptions, and a 136.9 passer rating. Seems pretty good. Considering he’s going up against last year’s third-worst passing defense, I think he will once again feast en route to a victory.

I will admit that the uncertainty around Travis Kelce’s availability in this game is a bit concerning after he hyperextended his knee in practice on Tuesday. As much as I’d like say “it doesn’t matter, it’s Mahomes,” it definitely matters. But even if Kelce misses this game, I’m not picking against #15.

I’m on the record as not being as high on the Lions as most others, but I’m definitely excited to see what they can do in this game. I think their offense will cook for a little bit, and I can’t wait to see what the rookies Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta have, but I don’t think they have what it takes to keep up with the Chiefs, especially with Detroit’s own defense bound to get gashed all night long.

At the very least, this should be an entertaining opener. But there’s zero doubt whatsoever about the outcome here.

Falcons 23-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This is the first installment of the NFC South’s imminent Battles of Mid in 2023, but we have plenty of reasons to tune in to this game — namely the rookie debuts of Atlanta’s Bijan Robinson and Carolina’s Bryce Young. I think both of them will put up solid performances, but this game really boils down to everyone else. 

Is Atlanta’s offense going to look as good as we think it can? Is Carolina’s offensive line going to hold up? Will the Falcons secondary perform like the improved unit it is on paper? Will the Panthers pass rush make life hell for Desmond Ridder? Will the Falcons be able to run the ball on a stout Panthers front? Will we get something nearly as entertaining as these teams’ 2022 Week 8 matchup?

The answer to all of those questions is simply, I don’t know. This game could go any which way. I’m giving the edge to the Falcons because I am a bigger fan of their roster from top to bottom, even if they’re worse at the QB position. But it wouldn’t shock me at all if Bryce Young wills his team to victory in his debut.

Bengals 24-21 Browns

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

I was this close to picking the Browns to win this game, but I just couldn’t do it. My main reason for picking them in the first place was that Joe Burrow has never won a game in Cleveland (0-3) and I’m not sure what he’ll look like coming off his preseason calf injury.

But at this point, I know better than to doubt the Bengals. They’re so much better than the Browns, and even in a tough divisional game, they really have no excuse to not win. I thought back to how Cleveland looked significantly better than Cincinnati in that Monday nighter last year, but then I remembered that Ja’Marr Chase didn’t play in that game, and I’m assuaged of any notion that the Bengals will lose once again. 

I do think it’ll be close from start to finish, and I recognize that Browns +2.5 is one of the most tempting bets of the week. But in the end, one of these teams is simply better than the other. So I’ll roll with them.

Jaguars 27-16 Colts

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The Jaguars are one of the best teams in the AFC. The Colts are one of the worst teams in the AFC. 

This one is pretty simple.

I will say that I’m excited to see what Anthony Richardson can do in his debut for Indy, but I also recognize that he’ll be without his star RB in Jonathan Taylor and will likely struggle against a very solid defense. So I’m not going to get my hopes up too high for him. I’m much more excited to see how Jacksonville’s offense looks — especially the new Trevor Lawrence to Calvin Ridley connection. We might see a lot of fireworks from the Jags in this game, and they should win very comfortably.

Vikings 26-23 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

It doesn’t really feel like it on the surface, but this game feels sneaky good, mainly because I feel like we’re going to see a lot of offense. Neither of these defenses are good, and while the Vikings offense is significantly better than Tampa’s, Minnesota’s defense is bad enough to make any offense look elite. So don’t be surprised if Baker Mayfield and the Bucs come out and look actually competent. But please don’t expect that to be the norm. 

I’m still going to take the Vikings to win this game because their offense is simply going to be too much down the stretch. Also, those throwbacks are too nice to lose in. Seeing Justin Jefferson make plays in the uniform that Randy Moss and Cris Carter wore is going to be awesome.

Saints 19-16 Titans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Well, this is boring. 

The only enticing aspect of this game is seeing how the Saints look with Derek Carr starting his first game under center. There’s a chance he lights it up, slinging it left and right to Chris Olave and Michael Thomas. 

But I think he most likely outcome of this game is a slugfest where both teams try desperately to run the ball but can’t get it going. So, it’ll come down to whoever has the better passing offense. That is obviously going to be New Orleans. It might not be the most prolific aerial assault we’ve ever seen, but it’s certainly better than whatever the hell the Titans are doing. Carr and the Saints offense will simply make more plays down the stretch to win it late. 

49ers 23-17 Steelers

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

This might just be the best game of the week. I’m very high on both of these teams this year and I’m expecting them to both come out and play a great opener.

Both offenses should look solid as the Steelers enter year two of the Kenny Pickett era with their core of young playmakers and the 49ers get Brock Purdy back after his unceremonious exit last January. With the sheer amount of offensive talent across the board on both sides of the ball, I think there could be more points than expected. 

But I really think this matchup boils down to whoever makes more plays defensively. It feels natural to assume that both offenses will put together enough drives to put up points, but this is the type of game that gets won on a strip sack or a late interception. And when it comes to defenses, there’s none that I’m going to take over the 49ers.

Commanders 24-15 Cardinals

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, FOX

The fresh start of football in the nation’s capital gets underway in front of a raucous, sold out FedEx Field crowd against the worst team in the NFL starting Josh Dobbs at quarterback.

If we lose this game, you might never hear from me ever again.

Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think we’ll come out and look like world beaters by any metric. This team isn’t exactly built like that. I’m expecting a performance more similar to the 2022 Texans game. It’ll be largely boring, but dominant. The defense should absolutely feast up front, the secondary will make plays, and the offense will do their jobs. 

I would love to see Sam Howell light up a Cardinals defense that should, by all means, get carved up by any team in the league. But I’m not expecting him to come out and play perfectly. As long as he does what he has to do and puts this team in a position to win the game, this will be a success. 

Ravens 27-13 Texans

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST, CBS

The Ravens are one of the best teams in the AFC. The Texans are one of the worst teams in the AFC. 

This one is pretty simple. Déjà vu anyone?

I will still be locked in on this game for two reasons. My primary interest is seeing how C.J. Stroud looks in his NFL debut. I’m not expecting anything crazy from him considering the complete and utter lack of talent surrounding him and the fact that he’s going up against an elite Ravens defense, but I just want to see more positives than negatives. And then there’s the matter of the new-look Baltimore offense, which has been hyped up to no end. If the hype is real, they should absolutely dismantle this Houston defense. We’ll see how it plays out for them.

Packers 23-20 Bears

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

Nothing says Week 1 like Packers-Bears. 

I’m actually very excited to watch this game. I’m obviously very high on both Jordan Love and Justin Fields, although I think one of them is in a much better situation right now. All of the storylines in this game revolve around those two young signal-callers. How is Love going to look now that he’s the franchise QB in Green Bay? How is Fields going to look now that he has D.J. Moore to throw to? Are the Packers going to look better than they were under Aaron Rodgers last year? Are the Bears still going to look like the worst team in the NFL?

I don’t know if any of these are going to happen. But this game figures to be a close one. It’s an opening game rivalry between two young QBs who are bound to make some mistakes. It really just comes down to whoever makes less of them. And as much as I love Justin, I think I actually trust Jordan more at this point. It helps that he has a much better surrounding cast. 

I just think Green Bay’s talent on both sides completely trumps Chicago’s, and that’ll end up being the difference down the stretch. 

Broncos 20-17 Raiders

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

This game is going to be a total dumpster fire. Let’s just hope it’s a watchable one. 

I’m picking the Broncos here because, at the very least, they have the better coach in this game. They might have the better quarterback. They certainly have the better defense. I’d say they have a home-field advantage, but that meant nothing for them last year. The Raiders won in Denver last year for crying out loud! 

But that was then, and this is now. This feels like the kind of game that the Broncos win on the back of a few turnovers or key defensive plays down the stretch. I just don’t trust the Raiders on either side of the ball to do anything to actually win a football game. 

Eagles 26-20 Patriots

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

This will be a tougher test for the defending NFC champs than a lot of people expect. I wouldn’t even be surprised if the Patriots manage to come out on top. They certainly have the defense to keep the Eagles in check, and Bill Belichick always brings his A-game against mobile QBs.

But Jalen Hurts is more than just a mobile QB. He’s one of the best at his position in the league for a reason. He can certainly hurt you on the ground, but he can sling it all over the yard with the best of them. Mac Jones, on the other hand, can’t do either. And that’ll be the difference in this game. 

Both defenses should ball out for a while, but when it’s time for the offenses to step up, I think the Patriots will struggle while the Birds are able to fly high and simply make more plays to earn a hard-fought victory.

Chargers 27-24 Dolphins

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, CBS

This matchup has simply turned into a yearly reminder of how much better of a quarterback Justin Herbert is than Tua Tagovailoa. While I don’t think that’s going to be the whole story on Saturday evening, it’s certainly going to be the difference.

These rosters are both stacked from top to bottom and always match up well with one another. In a matchup like that, there are two differentiating factors. The first one is typically the better QB, which is obviously Herbert. The second is the better defense, which I definitely think is Miami’s. But sometimes the better QB overcomes the better defense — see: Super Bowl LVII. I think that’s exactly what’s going to happen yet again in this game. 

There should be fantasy points galore, but when it boils down to it, the Chargers have the better player throwing the football, and he will lead them to victory.

Seahawks 30-14 Rams

Sunday, 4:25 PM EST, FOX

Alright, let’s do this one last time.

The Seahawks are one of the best teams in the NFC. The Rams are one of the worst teams in the NFC. 

This one is pretty simple.

With no Cooper Kupp for the Rams, they won’t have a semblance of an offensive identity. They’ll just force feed Cam Akers carries and hope that works against a very stout Seattle front. The Seahawks, on the other hand, should make minced meat of LA’s atrocious secondary with their trio of exceptional wide receivers. Geno Smith should have a field day, as should the playmakers on Seattle’s defense, and this one should be the biggest blowout of the week.

Cowboys 24-16 Giants

Sunday, 8:20 PM EST, NBC

Death. Taxes. Cowboys-Giants on Sunday Night Football to open the season.

Last year’s matchups between these two rivals proved how much better Dallas is than New York. That’ll be the case once again on Sunday night.

The Cowboys are significantly better on offense and improved on defense to the point where I don’t even know if this one will be close. New York’s defense could keep the team in it for a bit, but the wheels have to come off eventually. There’s a real chance this is a complete blowout. But with this being a divisional game and the Cowboys going on the road, I’ll give the Giants the benefit of the doubt to keep things close for a bit. Still, there’s no doubt in my mind that Dallas is the better team that should win comfortably in the end. 

Bills 23-16 Jets

Monday, 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

I think it’s fair to say that I’m a bonafide hater of the 2023 New York Jets. But even if I wasn’t, I still don’t think I’d pick them to win this game.

The Jets definitely match up well with the Bills — they won this game last year in East Rutherford and only lost by 8 in Buffalo. You’d think with a reloaded offense with Aaron Rodgers at the helm instead of Zach Wilson or Mike White or whoever, the Jets should be the better team. 

But they’re not. I’m sorry, they’re just not. They are plenty talented, but games are not won on paper. 

There’s no evidence to suggest that Aaron Rodgers won’t look just as bad against the Bills as he did on Sunday Night Football last year in Buffalo. Even with Von Miller being out, the Bills defense is still plenty good enough to shut down a Jets offense with maybe three real playmakers. I’m sorry for not saying it’s likely that Garrett Wilson is going to catch 15 passes for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns. It’s much more likely that the Jets offense struggles in their first game after being smushed together like a bunch of puzzle pieces that don’t fit.

The Bills, on the other hand, know exactly who they are on offense, and Josh Allen always lights up the scoreboard when it’s warm out. I think he’s going to vastly outplay Aaron Rodgers and the Bills offense will make far more plays to help their team come out on top.

I’m not saying it’s going to be a blowout — although that wouldn’t surprise me — but I genuinely don’t see an avenue for a Jets win here unless Allen turns into a pumpkin. New York’s defense is good enough to make that happen, but their offense isn’t good enough to capitalize on it. At least not yet.

All stats taken from ESPN.

2023 NFL Awards Predictions

I give my picks for the 2023 NFL award winners, from some chalk selections to some surprising ones.

Cover photo taken from NY Post.

Most Valuable Player: Patrick Mahomes

Every single season that Patrick Mahomes plays in this league, I will pick him to win MVP. To suggest anything else is foolish.

And let’s be real, even if someone else ends up having a surge that wins them an MVP like Jalen Hurts almost had last year, we all know Mahomes is the best player in football. He’s the best player I’ve ever seen, and the best quarterback to ever throw a pass on an NFL field.

He’s entering his second year with a lot of the new weapons he was throwing to in 2022, he still has Travis Kelce, and Andy Reid is still dialing up the plays. There’s no reason why he shouldn’t have just as good of a season as he did last year — where he threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns and broke the single-season record for total yards — if not a better one.

Considering that the Chiefs will likely once again be the 1 seed in the AFC, and there really isn’t any other choice for MVP.

Offensive Player of the Year: Ja’Marr Chase

I don’t have it on the record, but my predictions for Justin Jefferson in 2022 were perfect. I told everyone I knew with a No. 1 overall pick in fantasy to take him because he was going to post insane numbers and win the OPOY award. Nobody listened, of course.

I was right, of course.

This year, my crystal ball points me to none other than his former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase, who might just be my favorite player in the NFL. If you still haven’t drafted yet, I’d ask you what you’re doing, but then I’d tell you to take him if you have the No. 1 pick. Chase has had an incredible start to his career with an incredible rookie year in 2021 and a 2022 season that saw him catch 87 passes for 1,046 yards and 9 touchdowns despite missing five games due to injury.

He has proven himself as one of the top receivers in the league, and his repertoire with Joe Burrow makes them one of the deadliest duos we’ve seen. If Chase stays healthy this season, he’ll have his best year ever. Even in an offense littered with playmakers, Chase stands out as the top weapon. In his third year — just like Jefferson was last year — I think he’ll put together the best season of any receiver in the league.

Defensive Player of the Year: Nick Bosa

In my opinion, Nick Bosa is the best defensive player in the league and the second best player in football. What he has done in his four years in the NFL thus far — 43 sacks in 51 games — is nothing short of remarkable, especially considering he missed almost all of 2020 with an ACL tear. It all culminated in an 18.5-sack DPOY campaign in 2022 and a fresh $170 million bag, making him the highest paid non-quarterback in NFL history. So why not make it back-to-back?

Bosa isn’t going to slow down just because he got paid. After all, he is the star edge rusher on the best defense in football. I don’t see him slowing down at all. In fact, I think it’s very possible that he could make a run for Michael Strahan/T.J. Watt’s single-season record of 22.5 sacks. There are some very talented pass-rushers in this league — Watt, Micah Parsons, Myles Garrett to name a few — but Bosa stands out above the rest, and I think we’re in for his best season yet.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Biased pick? Maybe. But I’m not going to apologize.

I went into the draft saying that JSN was the best non-QB on the board, and I still believe that was the case. Although he hurt his wrist in the preseason, he doesn’t look like he’s going to miss any time. And although Seattle has two other great receivers in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, I think the Ohio State product is going to rise to the top as Geno Smith’s favorite target in this prolific offense, making catches left and right with his precise route-running and using his shiftiness after the catch to rack up yards.

I just think JSN fits this offense like a glove and provides the type of skillset that will make him extremely deadly. 1,000+ yards is certainly on the table, and although there will be some other offensive rookies with great numbers like Bijan Robinson and Jordan Addison, it’s hard to believe doing that on a playoff team wouldn’t lock up the award.

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Will Anderson Jr.

I honestly had no idea where to go with this pick. I feel good about a lot of defensive rookies this year — Joey Porter Jr., Devon Witherspoon, Emmanuel Forbes, Christian Gonzalez, Jalen Carter, and so many others. But I settled on Will Anderson because I think he’s in a situation where he can thrive more than anyone else.

He’s the guy off the edge for Houston, and he was hand-picked by new head coach Demeco Ryans because he knew that Anderson could be molded into one of the premier pass rushers in the NFL. Under the tutelage of Ryans, I think the former Alabama star is going to wreak havoc, especially in a division littered with terrible offensive lines. He has a real chance to get upwards of 15 sacks, which should easily land him this award.

Comeback Player of the Year: Damar Hamlin

This is a pretty simple calculus. The first snap Damar Hamlin plays in 2023 will win him this award.

After collapsing on the field in Week 17 of last year against the Bengals and nearly losing his life, Hamlin made the 53-man roster in Buffalo and is going to return to the field for the start of this year. That’s just incredible. The entire sports world rallied behind Hamlin when he first went down, and it’s going to be quite the sight when he goes in for his first snap. His ability to recover and bounce back from such a scary incident is really inspiring.

I personally don’t know if I’d ever play football again if something like that happened to me. But Damar Hamlin is coming back, and that fact alone should win him this award.

Coach of the Year: Doug Pederson

As I said yesterday, I think the Jaguars are going to take a massive leap in year two under Doug Pederson. They’re my AFC 3 seed, and I think they can make a real push at both the 1 seed and even the Super Bowl. Those are things I have never said about the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Pederson’s first season was a resounding success as the Jags won the division and a playoff game before being bounced by the eventual-champs in Kansas City. With an improved offense behind Trevor Lawrence, who is only getting better, and a defense that’s continuing to develop, the Jags will be at the forefront of NFL discussions all year long.

If they beat some of the top teams on their schedule and finish in front of teams like Cincinnati, Baltimore, Buffalo, or the New York Jets in the standings, then Pederson should have this on lock.

2023 NFC Preview and Predictions

The NFC is still the more top-heavy of the two conferences, but I think that it will be much improved in 2023, featuring some teams that are bound to surge or resurge, and some that are going to crash.

Cover photo taken from Sports Illustrated.

NFC East

1st: Philadelphia Eagles (13-4)

We begin with the defending conference champions, who most keen observers had being a great team last year, but not many had in the Super Bowl. I thought they lacked the experience to be a contender, but they were simply so dominant across the board that it didn’t matter. A lot of people have pointed to their subpar schedule of opposing QBs in 2022 — which included Josh Johnson after Brock Purdy was knocked out of the NFC Championship Game against the 49ers — but we all know the Eagles were still the class of the conference. After giving Jalen Hurts the extremely well-deserved bag and once again nailing the offseason, the Birds appear to be in prime position to make amends and chase after that elusive second Lombardi Trophy.

The offense, which was top three in yards and scoring a year ago, is somehow even better thanks to the addition of D’Andre Swift from Detroit via a draft day trade. All of the key skill position players are back, and the offensive line is once again ready to be one of the best in football. The only “key” loss was Miles Sanders to Carolina, but the offensive scheme in Philly should be able to make Swift just as effective as Sanders was out of the backfield. OC Shane Steichen departed for Indianapolis, but his replacement Brian Johnson knows this offense in and out. They will still be just as efficient and prolific as they were a year ago when Jalen Hurts nearly won MVP and A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith each caught 80+ passes for 1,100+ yards.

I expect the Eagles defense to take a step back defensively with the loss of DC Jonathan Gannon combined with a first-place schedule. But there’s still ballers all over the place that will make this an elite unit. First round DT Jalen Carter — who many believed was the best player in the class, but fell to the No. 9 selection due to off-the-field issues at Georgia — joins an already loaded defensive front which feasted all year long in 2022. Last year’s third round steal Nakobe Dean will take over for Kyzir White and T.J. Edwards in the middle and should feast. The secondary got a lift by bringing back James Bradberry, but other than him and Darius Slay, there isn’t a lot to like in the defensive backfield. I think Kelee Ringo and Eli Ricks could develop into stars, but they don’t figure to see. the field much in their rookie seasons. They showed just how much they struggled against real QBs in the Super Bowl when Patrick Mahomes diced them up. After all, it was a defensive holding on Bradberry –which was 100% the right call — that lost them the game. Against much tougher opposition, I think that unit could hold the Birds back a bit in 2023.

Still, the Eagles have the talent across the board and the culture under Nick Sirianni to thrive. Hurts is continuing to blossom into one of the premier quarterbacks in the NFL, both sides of the ball are stacked, and we know what they are capable of. They’re a surefire contender.

2nd: Dallas Cowboys (11-6)

It’s very difficult for me to say this, but the Cowboys might be the best team in the entire NFC… and even the entire league. They had a great offseason coming off another solid regular season that ended in a disappointing playoff loss to the 49ers. Some might say that this is just a repeat of last year which doesn’t inspire much confidence in a team that hasn’t done so in damn near three decades. And that’s totally fair. But I just get the feeling that this is the year it comes together for the Cowboys.

I’ve been a Dak Prescott pessimist — even a hater — for a long time now. He led the league in interceptions last year with 15 despite missing five games. That’s pretty impressive. But he’s still a capable starter. And if he doesn’t make it work with this offense, then I just don’t know what to do with him. Brandin Cooks joins CeeDee Lamb — one of my favorite players in football — and Michael Gallup to form one of the best WR trios in the sport. Ezekiel Elliott is finally gone and Tony Pollard is now the RB1, where he can thrive as one of the premier pass-catching backs in football. And of course the offensive line needs no introduction. I worry about the tight end position after Dalton Schultz hopped across the state to join the Texans, but the young guys like Jake Ferguson and Luke Schoonmaker figure to fill his role very well. They were drafted high by a typically good drafting organization for a reason.

But it’ll be the defense that takes Dallas to the next level in 2023. They selected Michigan DT Mazi Smith to beef up their interior alongside Osa Odighizuwa while Demarcus Lawrence and Micah Parsons wreak havoc off the edges. The middle of the defense is questionable, but the secondary is now loaded thanks to the acquisition of Stephon Gilmore from Indianapolis. I’ve really liked what I’ve seen from Trevon Diggs lately as he learns to actually be a corner and not just a ballhawk. Combine those two with guys like Jourdan Lewis and Malik Hooker, and this defense will do what it does best — force turnovers. In a division and a conference with some pretty solid passing offenses, that can and will put them over the top.

But the problem with Dallas is and always has been Mike McCarthy. He’s just such an inept in-game coach, which goes disastrously when combined with Dak’s in-game ineptitude that usually rears its ugly head when the going gets tough. I think those two will always be what holds this team back in its biggest moments.

3rd: Washington Commanders (7-10)

To put it simply, the Commanders will never be anything more than a 7 to 8-win team under Ron Rivera. I said the same thing last season when I also predicted a 7-10 record, and they went 8-8-1. Under Rivera, Washington has won 7, 7, and 8 games, and I don’t see much to assuage me of the notion that nothing is going to change. We are never going to be good enough to contend, and we are never going to be bad enough to get a franchise-changing player in the draft. We will just be… mid. And this purgartory-esque cycle will only continue as long as Rivera is the head coach.

Let’s get the obvious stuff out of the way. The energy around this team has never been higher thanks to the new ownership, which I’m very thankful for. I think it will be truly awesome to see the fanbase show up and show out this season as we enter a new era of football in the District.

We all know how great this defense is, and I think the selection of CB Emmanuel Forbes Jr. in the first round was a tremendous pick as he gives the secondary a playmaker that was previously lacking. Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne will continue to be the best defensive interior duo in football while Montez Sweat and Chase Young figure to ball out off the edges in contract seasons — we’ll see how healthy Chase stays. The linebacking core is… not great, which has been the case for Rivera’s entire tenure. You’d think a former linebacker would figure this out by now. Unless Jamin Davis finally develops into the guy this staff saw in him when they selected him in the first round, he and Cody Barton figure to hold the unit as a whole back. But there’s only so much they can or can’t do. Every other unit is stacked, and this should be an elite defense once again.

Then there’s the issue of the offense, which figures to take a leap under new OC Eric Bieniemy — a two-time Super Bowl champion with Kansas City. The wide receiver trio is well-respected with Terry McLaurin being the guy and finally getting the bag this offseason, Jahan Dotson being a widely-recognized stud who is only going to get better, and Curtis Samuel continuing to be a Swiss Army knife. The backs are also solid with Brian Robinson Jr. being the workhorse and Antonio Gibson catching passes out of the backfield. The offensive line is rather terrible and a massive concern that has rather suspiciously not been remotely addressed in recent years. Acquiring Andrew Wylie — who was one of the worst right tackles in all of football in 2022 — is not exactly a marquee move. But all eyes are on the man under center. Sam Howell enters the fray at QB after a wild ride since his sophomore year at North Carolina. We all know he’s had a great camp and preseason, but I really still need to see it to believe it. It’s one thing to make plays in practice and against backups. It’s another thing to do it in the regular season against stout competition. I have faith in Sam, and I really hope he works out. But with a certain USC QB looming in the 2024 draft, I also wouldn’t mind if this offense led us down the gutter.

4th: New York Giants (6-11)

The 2023 New York Football Giants are like James Harden at the top of the key — guaranteed to take a step back.

I do want to proceed with caution here. I picked the Giants to go 2-15 and finish with the No. 1 overall pick in 2022. They ended up with a 9-7-1 record en route winning a road playoff game against a 13-4 Vikings team. Brian Daboll’s first season was a resounding success and he was named AP Coach of the Year. But I’m here to tell you that I do not care.

For starters, I still don’t buy Daniel Jones. Yes, he had a good season last year. But how good do we really think he is? He threw 15 touchdowns in 16 games. Yes, he was tremendous on the ground, but I have a feeling that defenses will actually know how to stop him this year. It definitely helps to have Saquon Barkley back, but can the running ability of a QB and RB make up for the complete lack of weapons at WR? Because something about a receiving trio of Darius Slayton, Isaiah Hodgins, and Parris Campbell doesn’t move me. Hodgins had a very nice year in 2022, but Campbell is too injury-prone and Slayton is too inconsistent for me to be impressed. Unless rookie Jalin Hyatt learns that there’s more to the position than running fast in a straight line, I don’t see this passing offense being threatening. And I think the run game could definitely hit some snags, especially if Barkley can’t stay healthy like he was able to last year.

The good news for New York is that the defense is still really good. The front seven is absolutely loaded with guys like Leonard Williams, Dexter Lawrence, Azeez Ojulari, Bobby Okereke, and Kayvon Thibodeaux. That unit alone will carry them to the top half of all defenses in football. But man, I have some reservations about this secondary. Xavier McKinney had a nice 2022 and Adoree Jackson saw a mini-resurgence, but the Giants will be inserting two rookies at corner with first rounder Deonte Banks — who I loved out of Maryland — and sixth rounder Tre Hawkins. I just can’t get behind these guys.

Maybe they prove me wrong again. Maybe Daboll coaches his ass off yet again and the Giants sneak in once more. But I think the rest of the NFC should be much improved, and I think this team is simply going to take a very natural step back.

NFC North

1st: Green Bay Packers (12-5)

Have I learned my lesson? Absolutely not. Do I care? Absolutely not. The Packers are coming back in 2023, and they’re coming with a vengeance.

My love for Jordan Love is well-documented, and I believe he’s going to lead Green Bay back to where they want to be. I genuinely believe this team has upgraded at QB by getting rid of Aaron Rodgers and finally handing the keys to the franchise to the young star. He’s had three years to sit and learn and should absolutely thrive in this offense. He has the talent to make every throw, and I believe he will do just that. It helps that the offensive skill position players are young and talented as well. When your veteran in that regard is Aaron Jones, you’re in a good spot. Jones will be able to do his usual work and then some thanks to the emergence of young WRs like Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs along rookies like Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks. I wish they took Jordan Addison or Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the draft, but they decided to spread the wealth by spending three later picks on pass-catchers, including TE Luke Musgrave out of Iowa, who could also prove to be a huge receiving threat. The Packers have finally invested in the WR group, and I think it’s going to pay dividends for them.

I still think this defense is great. I absolutely despise DC Joe Barry, but this unit had times last year where they reminded you what they’re capable of. There are simply playmakers all across the board from Kenny Clark to De’Vondre Campbell to Rashan Gary to Jaire Alexander. If the young guys like Devonte Wyatt and Quay Walker can splash, this can be one of the best front sevens in football. I do worry about the secondary outside of Alexander, but I feel good about every other area of this team.

With an easier schedule than last year and everything seemingly trending upwards, I think Love is going to prove himself in a huge way and lead the Packers back to the playoffs, where they can certainly do more damage.

2nd: Minnesota Vikings (9-8)

The 2023 Vikings can be summarized in four succinct words: regression to the mean.

In 2022, Minnesota went 11-0 in one-score games. That’s unheard of. They won every game decided by eight points or less while going 2-4 in games decided by more than eight points. The former is simply not sustainable. That’s a once-in-a-lifetime statistic. By subtracting less than half of those one-score wins, I arrived at this record. There’s a chance they’re even worse than this.

So why am I still picking them to finish second — above the fan-favorite Lions — and sneak into the playoffs? Well, I think they can win shootouts against almost any other team in the league. And they’ll probably be in a lot of shootouts, because their offense is fantastic whereas their defense is anything but. While the offense boasts the eternally-underrated Kirk Cousins, arguably the best WR in football in Justin Jefferson, a rookie bound to break out in Jordan Addison, and a new RB1 in Alexander Mattison, the defense isn’t much to look at. There are some solid players — Harrison Phillips, Danielle Hunter, Marcus Davenport, Harrison Smith, and Byron Murphy to name a few. But those don’t exactly equate to an elite defense. Everyone is expecting this bottom-five defense from 2022 to be great all of a sudden because the Vikings hired Brian Flores as their DC. I’d be shocked if he can even turn them into a top-15 defense. That’s a tall task for anyone, even a supposed defensive genius like him.

Combine the defensive shortcomings with a first-place schedule — the sixth-hardest in the league by SOS — and the Vikings are simply a fringe wild card team. But they could just be straight up bad. They could be terrible.

3rd: Detroit Lions (7-10)

I’m not going to apologize for this. I’m not going to fall head-over-heels for this team that hasn’t accomplished anything yet. I understand this division isn’t the strongest on paper. I understand the Lions ended last season on a tear. I understand their culture is one of the best in the league. I genuinely hope the Lions have a great season — they deserve it more than any other team in football.

The one guarantee I have for this Detroit team is that their offense will continue to be prolific. D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams might be gone, but Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are very solid replacements. Gibbs could end up being the the next Alvin Kamara if he turns into the player the Lions had in mind when selecting him with the No. 12 pick. They seemingly have their T.J. Hockenson in Sam LaPorta who was selected in the second round out of Iowa — Hockenson’s alma mater. The offensive line is arguably the best in football. They have one of the best and most dependable receivers in the league in Amon-Ra St. Brown, who is only getting better with every passing season. And once speedster Jameson Williams returns from a gambling suspension, they figure to form one of the better duos in football. As long as QB Jared Goff doesn’t turn into a pumpkin — which I don’t think will happen, but he tends to do when the going gets tough or when he has to play outside — this will once again be one of the top offenses in football.

But this defense is still just one giant question mark. The front seven only really has Aidan Hutchinson, Charles Harris, and Alex Anzalone. Jack Campbell was a really weird selection in the first round when the secondary should’ve been addressed instead. Detroit did rework that area by adding Emmanuel Moseley, Cameron Sutton, and C.J. Gardner-Johnson to the fold and drafting Brian Branch in the second round, which I thought was a great pick. But it just feels like a weird amalgamation of pieces that are going to take too long to gel.

We could see a situation similar to 2022 where the Lions struggle for a bit — especially defensively — before turning it up down the stretch. To me, that’s not good enough to make the playoffs.

4th: Chicago Bears (6-11)

I think I’m being a bit generous to the Bears here. Six wins would be a huge accomplishment with a roster this terrible.

The biggest problem remains the offensive line, which was somewhat addressed through the draft where Chicago selected Darnell Wright in the first round to be their franchise right tackle. But that means Justin Fields’ blindside is still in a bad spot, as is the rest of the line. I love Justin and always have, but he’ll still be running for his life. That obviously isn’t always a bad thing, as he had one of the most prolific rushing seasons of all time last year. But it will hinder the passing game. The Bears did finally get him a proper WR1 by trading for D.J. Moore, who will definitely help elevate him as a passer. But the rest of the offense is just so… meh. I feel like Justin can only carry them for so long before the wheels fall off

The defense is also still terrible, but the Bears placed a heavy emphasis on it by selecting five defenders in the draft, including four to fill the box. They also beefed up at linebacker by signing T.J. Edwards and Tremaine Edmunds — necessary additions after trading away Roquan Smith. But the secondary still leaves a lot to be desired, even if the safety combination of Eddie Jackson and Jaquan Brisker is a good one.

This is still an ongoing rebuild, and I think this team is taking the right steps. But it’ll be a while longer until they get where they want to go. The important thing is continuing to develop Justin Fields and protect him by surrounding him with weapons and a competent offensive line. They still have some work to do there.

NFC South

1st: New Orleans Saints (9-8)

In a division full of mid, the Saints stand out as the best team. But this was not an easy choice by any means. They have given me plenty of reasons to believe they won’t even be good.

For starters, I still think their coaching staff is absolutely dreadful. Dennis Allen is simply not a real head coach in my eyes, and Pete Carmichael is one of the worst offensive coordinators in the league. It does help that the offense has the talent to be good. The addition of Derek Carr at QB is an interesting one given his recent declines, but perhaps he sees a mini-revival in the Big Easy. But Chris Olave has proven to be worth the trade-up, and the RB room should stay afloat while Alvin Kamara serves his suspension with the additions of Jamaal Williams in free agency and Kendre Miller in the draft. If — and this is the biggest if in the world at this point — Michael Thomas is healthy, they can be a great offense. But all signs point towards them being middle of the pack.

The good news for the Saints is that the defense should still be great. Jordan Cameron and Demario Davis are still kicking it up front, and I really like their secondary. I think in a division filled with very mediocre offenses, this defense can help separate them from the rest of the pack. That’ll be good enough to win this division, but almost certainly not good enough to do much else.

2nd: Atlanta Falcons (6-11)

The Falcons are the trendy pick to win this division, and that’s warranted. They are finally free from the shackles of Marcus Mariota, selected one of the most dynamic RB prospects in recent memory in Bijan Robinson with the No. 7 pick, and have all the pieces they need to see a breakout on both sides of the ball.

This was one of the top rushing offenses in the league last year — a natural result of running the ball more than any other team in football with one of the best offensive lines in the league — and now they boast a stacked running back room that is guaranteed to do a ton of damage. But I don’t buy into any passing attack in Atlanta. I don’t believe in Desmond Ridder at all, and even if he ends up being good, he’s only throwing to Drake London and Kyle Pitts. Seriously, name me who the WR2 is on this team. Mack Hollins? Khadarel Hodge? It doesn’t matter. This will be another run-heavy season for the Falcons, which took them nowhere last year. Even with someone as talented as Bijan Robinson, that figures to happen once again in 2023.

I will say I like what the Falcons are building on defense. I liked the acquisitions of Jeff Okudah and Jessie Bates to continue building a solid secondary around A.J. Terrell. And they’ve bolstered the defensive line with guys like Calais Campbell, David Onyemata, and Bud Dupree. But the linebacking core might be the worst in the league, and I have a feeling that this defense will get gashed up the middle.

Even though the Falcons have the easiest strength of schedule in the league, this team simply isn’t going to the playoffs, no matter how many narratives are pushed in the media.

3rd: Carolina Panthers (6-11)

The Panthers rebuild has gotten the biggest possible boost thanks to the team trading all the way up to the No. 1 pick in the draft and selecting Bryce Young to be their franchise QB.

I think they might have given up a bit too much considering they are rebuilding, but there’s no doubt that Young is a fantastic centerpiece for any franchise to have. He’s going to be a great player in this league for many years to come. Carolina has done a good job of surrounding their new franchise player with solid talent by adding Adam Thielen, DJ Chark, Hayden Hurst, and Miles Sanders in free agency while selecting Jonathan Mingo in the second round. The offensive line is still iffy, but there’s time for Ikem Ekwonu to develop into their rock at left tackle. With Frank Reich at the helm, I’m confident that this offense will be good, and could be great in a few years.

The Panthers also made some solid additions on defense by adding Justin Houston and Frankie Luvu at linebacker as well as Vonn Bell and Xavier Woods at safety. They have a bonafide CB1 in Jaycee Horn, star LB in Brian Burns, and very good DT in Derrick Brown. And Shaq Thompson is still doing his thing up there too. This defense was one of the worst in football last year. If their newcomers can splash, then I think they can turn it around.

So, with seemingly so much positivity, why the poor record? Well, it’s still early for all of these pieces to come together, and although Bryce Young is fantastic, he’s just a rookie. I think it’ll still be a year or two before this team contends for a division championship. But I see them as the new Jaguars of the last couple years. With a star top-overall selection at QB and a resurging culture, they’ll be just fine.

4th: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-12)

The Bucs are starting Baker Mayfield at quarterback, so this really doesn’t need much of an explanation. You’re not going anywhere if that guy is lining up under center. It’s that simple. 

But there’s plenty else to dislike with the Buccaneers. The wheels absolutely fell off down the stretch last year thanks to injuries, so maybe they return to being average across the board. But I just don’t buy into this team — and certainly not this coaching staff — with Tom Brady gone. The offensive line is dreadful even if Tristan Wirfs is one of the best tackles in the league. Mike Evans should still produce, but Chris Godwin can’t stay healthy, and their WR3 is… who exactly? And while I like Rachaad White, I’m not sure how much I like their run game. Even last year with Leonard Fournette, it was absolutely putrid — the worst in the league. This offense will likely be terrible. 

While the defense still boasts a ton of talent, it feels like their best days are behind them. The front seven has key guys like Vita Vea, Shaq Barrett, and Devin White, and I think Calijah Kancey and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka could develop into solid edge rushers. But the secondary still leaves a lot to be desired. When your CB1 is Jamel Dean, you’re probably not a good unit. Even if it’ll be hard to run on the Bucs, teams will definitely be able to throw all over them, and I think that’ll be their undoing in close games. 

Tampa is diving head-first into a rebuild and it shows. Their best bet is to just tank this season and pray you get a top QB in April’s draft. 

NFC West

1st: San Francisco 49ers (14-3)

It’s not a hot take to say that the 49ers are the best team in the NFC, nor is it to say they’re the best team in the league. This is the best roster in the NFL from top to bottom and it’s probably not close. Last season ended so unceremoniously that you’d have to imagine these guys come out with a vengeance and light up the regular season from start to finish.

I don’t really want to talk about Trey Lance — especially considering how things went the last time I did — so I’ll keep the QB situation brief. The Niners are trusting Brock Purdy to continue to be the guy despite only starting a few games last year and having his UCL obliterated in the NFC Championship Game. I think it’s fair considering he has never lost a game, but this better work. To give up what they did for Lance just to ship him away after four starts is just insane. Luckily for them, I think Purdy is more than capable of being a competent starter, which is all this team needs to go places. The rest of the offense is an embarrassment of riches that need no introduction. The best tackle in football (maybe ever?) in Trent Williams, the ultimate Swiss Army knives of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel, a fantastic WR2 in Brandon Aiyuk, and one of the premier tight ends of the last several years in George Kittle pretty much ensure that this offense is going to thrive no matter who lines up under center. 

Then there’s the defense, which was the best in football last year and obviously will be once again. It helps when you have the best defensive player in the sport in Nick Bosa. Surely they figure out how to give him a blank check, right? They beefed up the interior by adding Javon Hargrave from Philly. They have the best LB in the league in Fred Warner and a very solid player in Dre Greenlaw beside him. I definitely have my concerns about the secondary outside of Talanoa Hufanga, who has blossomed into one of the league’s best safeties, and it doesn’t help that Demeco Ryans isn’t here anymore to make up for any shortcomings. But I loved the Steve Wilks hire, and I don’t think this defense will take a step back under him.

This is the best team in the NFL on paper and anything short of a Super Bowl berth should be considered a failure. If they can avoid the injury bug — especially at QB — they will be playing a football game in Las Vegas on February 11th, 2024.

2nd: Seattle Seahawks (10-7)

I never thought I’d say this, but I think I’m being a bit too mean to the Seahawks. This is one of my favorite teams in football this year. You have no idea how much it pains me to say that. 

After trading away Russell Wilson, Seattle’s front office proved that they pulled the ultimate fleece as Russ turned into a pumpkin and the Seahawks soared into the playoffs thanks to a resurgent Geno Smith — who won Comeback Player of the Year — and young playmakers all over the place on both sides of the ball. Now, those young guys have more experience, and Geno is back on a huge deal. The offense could be even better now that Jaxon Smith-Njigba — who I thought was the best non-QB in the draft — completes perhaps the best WR trio in football alongside DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Zach Charbonnet was selected with their second round pick to form a thumping one-two punch at RB alongside Kenneth Walker. 

On the other side of the ball, it’s clear what the Seahawks are doing: rebuilding the Legion of Boom. Riq Woolen (still getting used to that name change) and Coby Bryant were absolute studs as rookies — which anyone who saw them play in college saw from a mile away. Quandre Diggs continues to be the most underrated safety in the league. And who knows, maybe Jamal Adams remembers how to play football. On top of all this, they add the No. 5 overall pick Devon Witherspoon — who was selected with the pick so generously provided to them by the Broncos — to the mix, who is a freakish, long corner that complements Woolen perfectly. The front seven isn’t as good, but guys like Jordyn Brooks and Boye Mafe have come along brilliantly, and they added Dre’mont Jones for a pass rushing lift in free agency. I think this defense has a chance to not just be one of the best in the NFC, but the entire league. Of course, it’ll be hard to top their NFC West counterparts above them in this prediction, but they have all the potential in the world.

The combination of the youth movement with Geno Smith — who has truly overcome the odds and proven himself as a high-quality starting QB — and the incredible coaching of Pete Carroll has me very excited for what this Seahawks team can do. It’s a fairly easy schedule, and even though perhaps the best team in the league is in their division, this will be a playoff team. And no one will want to see them once they get there.

3rd: Arizona Cardinals (4-13)

This is where the NFC West goes from amazing to absolutely unwatchable garbage that I don’t want any part of. 

You might be shocked to see me put the Cardinals anywhere but last, but I have a good reason for it. Signs are pointing towards Kyler Murray returning for the end of the season, and with Jonathan Gannon trying to build a new culture in Arizona, this team is going to fight down the stretch to throw away a generational QB prospect just like the Jets did in 2021. I honestly think that’s a perfect comparison. They’ll suck for the entire season then go on a meaningless run at the death to watch Caleb Williams fall into another team’s hands (more on that later).

But that’s the whole story of this Cardinals team. We’re only watching to see how bad they can be. Will they have the first overall pick? The first two picks in the draft courtesy of the Houston Texans? Is this the end of Kyler Murray in a Cardinals uniform? These are all in the realm of possibility. But it’s too predictable. The team that finishes with the worst record in the league is hardly ever the one we think it’s going to be. Plus, I think the Cards have enough good players to not be the worst team in the league. They’ll be basement dwellers for sure, but they still have guys like James Conner, Hollywood Brown, and Zach Ertz. The offensive line is… kind of starting to come together with the addition of Paris Johnson Jr. No one has any idea what they’re going to do at QB until Kyler returns, but like I said, it won’t matter. Once he gets back, this team will play themselves squarely out of the opportunity to save their franchise with Caleb Williams. And honestly? It’ll be really funny.

4th: Los Angeles Rams (3-14)

Here it is. Perhaps my boldest take of the season. The Los Angeles Rams — who are one season removed from a Super Bowl victory and boast one of the best QBs of our generation, one of the best WRs in the league, and perhaps the best defensive player of all time — are going to finish with the worst record in the NFL. And none of those three players will be in Los Angeles this time next year.

Just hear me out. Last year, the Rams were dreadful for a plethora of reasons. The injury bug bit them all over as Matt Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and countless others went down due to injury. They had one of the worst offensive lines in the league, an anemic offense, and a defense severely lacking in anything other than playmaking ability from Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Here we are at the start of the 2023 season and Matt Stafford is still nagged by his elbow, Cooper Kupp has hamstring issues, the offensive line wasn’t addressed in any way other than taking a guard in the draft, Aaron Donald wants to stop playing the sport, and Jalen Ramsey is gone. On top of all this, the Rams didn’t improve in any areas — they made no splashes in free agency and their draft was really puzzling. Therefore, I’m going to assume that the exact issues that plagued them last year will rear their ugly heads again in 2023, but it’ll be so much worse. And that puts them squarely in the running for the No. 1 pick in the draft.

Sean McVay is a smart guy who needs a reason to keep coaching this team. He knows that if he gets Caleb Williams, it could be curtains for the league. And what’s a better story than the Heisman winner staying in Hollywood and bringing the Rams back to relevance? I think it makes too much sense, and I’m shocked more people aren’t thinking like me.

Then there’s the issue of those aforementioned three key players leaving. I think Matt Stafford is almost done in this league. I think the injuries are starting to catch up to him, and even if he can play, there’s no way he stays in LA in this scenario. He’s not going to be a backup. He’ll go somewhere to die like Matt Ryan in Indianapolis or Philip Rivers in Indianapolis… is Matt Stafford going to Indianapolis? Probably not. Cooper Kupp is undoubtedly a commodity at WR and one of the game’s best playmakers, but if the Rams want to acquire the draft capital necessary to get this rebuild going, they’re going to deal him. They can get a very good return for him, even with the injury problems. And with Aaron Donald, I simply don’t see a world where he ends this season on the Rams. He’ll either be traded or retire. Take it to the bank.

All of this culminates in the Rams going from the absolute pinnacle of the sport to its dumpster. But luckily for them, Caleb Williams will drag them out with swiftness. Could you imagine winning the Super Bowl and landing that caliber of a QB in a two-year span? I’m jealous.

Playoff Picture

1 – San Francisco 49ers (14-3)

2 – Philadelphia Eagles (13-4)

3 – Green Bay Packers (12-5)

4 – New Orleans Saints (9-8)

5 – Dallas Cowboys (11-6)

6 – Seattle Seahawks (10-7)

7 – Minnesota Vikings (9-8)

Wild Card Weekend

Eagles over Vikings: As I said above, the Vikings are going to sneak into the playoffs by the skin of their teeth and get immediately blasted. This trip to Philly in January could end in a very, very embarrassing loss for them as they likely move on from Kirk Cousins and try to move into a new era that, hopefully for them, is more fruitful than this one was.

Seahawks over Packers: This is really hard for me. I really love what both of these teams are doing. I think the Packers have a very bright future with Jordan Love, but this might be too tall of a task in his first playoff game, even at home. Lambeau has ironically been Green Bay’s house of horrors in the playoffs lately. I think the Seahawks win a thriller to move on.

Cowboys over Saints: Yeah, this one won’t be close. Next!

Divisional Round

49ers over Seahawks: This would truly be a hell of a game. I think the Seahawks can match up with their division rivals, and we’ve seen time and time again how the three-match in the playoffs can be so close. But we saw this matchup in the Wild Card last year, and San Francisco dominated. With the Niners coming off a bye here, it’s just impossible to pick against them, no matter how much I like the Seahawks.

Eagles over Cowboys: I really do think this is a tossup. Last year showed that the Cowboys match up so well with the Eagles, and I think Dallas had a better offseason. It’s just too difficult for me to place my faith in them in the playoffs, especially considering how the last two have gone for them. It would admittedly be very funny if Mike McCarthy shenanigans get them eliminated for the third straight year.

NFC Championship Game

49ers over Eagles: Revenge. It’s that simple. The 49ers are going to be out for blood in 2023 after how their season ended in Philadelphia in January, and there’s nobody who they want to beat more than the Eagles themselves. Despite the fact that the Birds can go toe-to-toe with the Niners, I think winning this game in the Bay just isn’t happening for them. The 49ers have been waiting for so long to finally win another Super Bowl, and I get the feeling that this team has the best chance of any in the last several years. They get their revenge against the Eagles and get to Las Vegas, where a certain unstoppable force will await them on the biggest stage yet again. But I’ll get into that tomorrow.

All stats taken from ESPN.