Tag: Monday Night Football

Cover photo taken from NBC Bay Area.

Last Week: 11-4

Season Total: 71-36-1

Vikings 23-20 Chargers

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

Both defenses haven’t been at their best. Both quarterbacks haven’t been at their best. Both head coaches are trustworthy, but — let’s be honest — haven’t been at their best. What the heck is going to happen?

Honestly, I don’t know. But underdogs have been trusty in primetime, and I think if Carson Wentz can protect the ball — big ask, I know — I like the Vikings offense to move the ball on this LA defense. If Brian Flores can bounce back, I think that’ll be enough for Minnesota to escape with a win.

Falcons 27-19 Dolphins

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

I have no idea who will start or end this game at quarterback for the Falcons, but I also know that it won’t matter. Either one of Michael Penix Jr. or Kirk Cousins should and will win this game for Atlanta.

And I have no idea who will be let in the building on Monday morning in Miami.

Bengals 22-13 Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

News flash Aaron Glenn: we all know Tyrod Taylor is starting. And we all know how that’ll end.

Flacco-Chase buddy ball for the win.

Patriots 20-17 Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

The only reason this feels like a trap game for the Patriots is because this is by far the best defense they’ll have played so far this season. You can argue it’s the only competent one, but I won’t stoop that low. Point being, this is a test for Drake Maye and that offense to prove that they can do it against anyone.

They won’t need to do too much assuming that the Browns offense is its usual self. If New England’s defense can stop Quinshon Judkins, they’ll be fine.

Eagles 24-20 Giants

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

I know we’re just 2.5 weeks removed from the Giants beating the Eagles, but I don’t know if New York can do it again, especially being on the road this time.

AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley being banged up gives me pause, but they should be fine, and this Eagles offense just put together a masterclass that gives them positive momentum rolling into this one. I know Jaxson Dart will be able to move the ball against Philly’s defense because I’ve already seen it once. But I just don’t know if they can complete the sweep.

Bills 27-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Even if Andy Dalton starts for Carolina, they’re going to give Buffalo a challenge. This is an elite rushing team against a Bills D that has struggled against the run. And that passing game has found its groove, even if it was with Bryce Young and not the Red Rifle.

In any case, the Bills can’t lose this game. They haven’t won in a month, they had a bye week to get ready, and they need to lock in ASAP. I know this is a potential look-ahead spot with the Chiefs on deck next week, but they should have this one.

Ravens 26-23 Bears

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Lamar Jackson should be back in this game, and that should be enough for Baltimore to win. But he’ll need to be Superman on a bad hammy, and that scares me a little.

This Bears team is no slouch as long as Caleb Williams isn’t turning the ball over. He is in no way the reason why they’re winning, but he can be the reason they lose. If he stays under control and gets a good game out of his running backs, Chicago’s playmaking defense might be able to do enough to put them over the top.

But I simply can’t pick Caleb over Lamar regardless of these polar opposite defensive units.

49ers 21-17 Texans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

I can’t faithfully pick Houston to beat anyone with the state of their offensive line. It’s genuinely unfathomable to be as bad as they are up front. The young Niners defense is going to make life hell for CJ Stroud, and I will be in shambles watching it.

Maybe the Texans defense can make some plays to keep them around like they did on Monday night. But can the offense do anything with that? My guess is no.

Buccaneers 26-19 Saints

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

The Bucs might be beat up and coming off a short week, but they’ve still got the bodies to beat a very bad Saints team, though anything goes in this rivalry.

It’d be a hell of a win for New Orleans, who isn’t playing awful ball, but ain’t great either. Expect a big Baker bounce back.

Broncos 27-24 Cowboys

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

I originally thought this was an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object, but the Broncos defense showed a concerning number of cracks last week. I’ll choose to believe that was a bad game, but it’s not getting easier against Dallas’ world-beating offense.

The fact of the matter is I still don’t trust the Cowboys defense. They’re not playing practice squad WRs this week like they were against Washington — they’re going to need to revert to their zone scheme, which Bo Nix should be able to dice up. And Denver should be able to run the ball, which has been a weakness for them in recent weeks. That should be enough to get the job done at home.

Colts 31-13 Titans

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

Next!

Steelers 23-20 Packers

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

I’ll be honest with you guys. I have zero read on this game whatsoever.

I don’t like either defense — Pittsburgh’s is straight up bad while Green Bay’s doesn’t make enough splash plays for how talented they are. Both quarterbacks are playing well, but I know either of them can make a mistake at any given moment.

Honestly, I’m just riding with the Steelers because I believe in the Aaron Rodgers revenge game. We saw how he performed against the Jets, and while that team is significantly worse than the Packers, I think he’ll get up for this one because he’s a psycho with a point to prove. In any case, it’s going to be absolute cinema.

Chiefs 45-10 Commanders

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Let’s get this one over with.

Reinforcements might be coming on offense, and changes might happen on defense. But it won’t matter. We’re onto Seattle.

Cover photo taken from NFL.com.

Last Week: 11-4

Season Total: 60-32-1

Bengals 20-17 Steelers

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

Why not?

Short week, divisional matchup means shenanigans are inbound.

Rams 23-16 Jaguars

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Network

Oh look, we decided to send a good game overseas for once. The Brits should enjoy this one, though their “hometown” Jaguars will need to get their run game back in check to win it. And I don’t know if they can.

Even without Puka Nacua, this Rams offense will do enough, and LA’s defense will do the rest.

Bears 24-19 Saints

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Do the Saints have what it takes to win this game? Sure. But can they put it together to do so? Seems unlikely.

Chicago isn’t playing at a super high level, but they’re playing well enough to beat bad teams. And that’ll play against New Orleans.

Browns 6-3 Dolphins

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Heavy rain and — checks notes — 50-60 mph wind gusts? Yeah, give me the under.

You want a prediction bolder than this abysmal score? Dillon Gabriel gets benched for Shedeur Sanders, who leads the Browns to victory. Have fun watching ESPN on Monday morning, cause I won’t.

Patriots 26-13 Titans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Mike Vrabel probably has a few tricks up his sleeve for this well-timed revenge game. “See what happens when you let me go for no reason?”

Chiefs 28-10 Raiders

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Next.

Vikings 19-16 Eagles

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Ah, yes. The Carson Wentz revenge game. A few years late, guys.

The fact of the matter is that this game doesn’t come down to Wentz, even against a bad Eagles secondary. It comes down to Minnesota’s defense. Already strong, coming off a bye, playing an anemic offense with no semblance of an identity… yeah, Brian Flores is going to have a field day.

Jets 23-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

They’ve gotta get one eventually, man.

The Jets bottled up the Broncos’ run game last week, so we’ll see if Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard go wild on the ground. But the Panthers’ defense isn’t very good, and while New York’s offense is horrible, maybe they can do just enough to win.

Maybe.

Broncos 20-12 Giants

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Two great defenses against two bad offenses. Who wins? The better offense? I’d say no.

Give me the better defense in Denver, particularly against a rookie quarterback who we’ve seen get flustered when things start going wrong.

Colts 27-24 Chargers

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

I’ve been torn on this one, but I’ll stick with the team that’s been far more trustworthy on both sides of the ball.

Both teams have proven that they can pull out a close one, but the Colts have at least been more consistent. This one would go a long way to improve their public perception, since I’m apparently the only person who respects them.

Cowboys 34-31 Commanders

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

Sigh. I guess this is it.

Washington might be without Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel in this game with Noah Brown already on IR. You’re looking at a starting WR group of Luke McCaffrey, Jaylin Lane and Chris Moore for the Commanders. Jayden Daniels can make it work with anyone, especially against this Dallas defense, but come on.

The Cowboys are trending in the opposite direction on the injury front. CeeDee Lamb, Kevontae Turpin and Tyler Booker should be back in this game to boost an offense that’s already getting crazy contributions out of George Pickens and Jake Ferguson. And Dak Prescott — who is already playing at a ridiculously high level — is 11-2 against Washington in his career.

It feels like the Cowboys are catching this Commanders team at a good time. We are beat up as hell and our defense can’t stop a nosebleed. Dallas’ nonexistent defense will give up points and yards to Jayden and company — regardless of who’s out there — but I think Dak will do just a tad bit more. And I will be sent further into the abyss.

Cardinals 24-23 Packers

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

Again, why not? The Cardinals have been completely stifled by last-second loss after last-second loss. Regardless of who suits up at quarterback — I lowkey think Jacoby Brissett is the better option in any case — I feel like Arizona finds a way to win this one.

The Packers just haven’t been very impressive since… I don’t know, the season opener? I keep waiting for them to be the amazing team we saw in early September, and it’s just not happening. Maybe this is where it comes back to bite.

Falcons 26-20 49ers

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

As I said earlier in the week, San Francisco’s injury situation is becoming untenable.

The loss of Fred Warner will be heavily felt against this offense, and I think we’re in for another massive Bijan Robinson game. Plus, Atlanta’s emerging defense can certainly make some plays against a shorthanded but admittedly well-coached Niners offense.

Lions 30-27 Buccaneers

Monday, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

First to 30 wins? Feels like the case with the state of both secondaries.

We know the Buccaneers will score because they can clearly do it with anyone playing with Baker Mayfield, especially against a beat up Lions defense. And we know Detroit can score because of their offensive firepower going up against a bad Tampa defensive backfield.

So, just give me the Lions considering they tend to not lose these home primetime games. In the regular season, at least. Though, Baker tends to cause them problems.

Seahawks 23-14 Texans

Monday, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN

I hate this matchup for the Texans. This offensive line is going to be in for a world of pain against a Seattle front that just racked up seven sacks against Jacksonville. Asking them to keep CJ Stroud upright is like pulling teeth at this point. We can only hope for the best.

Houston’s defense will keep them around for a while, but the Seahawks offense will do their thing eventually to pull away and win this one by a decent margin.

Cover photo taken from The Sporting News.

Last Week: 9-5

Season Total: 49-28-1

Eagles 20-17 Giants

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

I’m probably putting too much faith in the old adage of divisional games being close and whatnot, but I feel like New York’s defense can make this close, at least for a little bit.

But, I don’t have any faith in the Giants offense led by Jaxson Dart against a pretty solid Eagles defense. It doesn’t really matter what Philly’s offense looks like because they won’t have to do too much — a theme that’s becoming pretty repetitive.

Broncos 22-16 Jets

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Network

Ah, yes. Another terrible team overseas. Sorry, Brits.

The Jets have to come out with some life in this game. They’ve been off to such horrible starts against the Bucs, Dolphins and Cowboys that have dug them in holes that they can only statpad out of. Maybe, just maybe, this is a game where they can have some life.

But, I won’t put my faith in that. This game screams a strong Broncos first half with a futile New York comeback attempt late in the game. At least Justin Fields will keep getting those fantasy points in!

Steelers 20-12 Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

No, thank you.

Browns might be a trendy upset pick here, but Mike Tomlin his extremely successful off byes and against rookie quarterbacks. Don’t overthink this one.

Chargers 24-21 Dolphins

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Anyone remember the good old days where these fanbases would argue over who got the better quarterback in the 2020 draft? Yeah, me neither.

This is a spot where the Chargers need to get right. Miami couldn’t have popped up at a better time for them, because I don’t think the Dolphins have the bodies on defense to disrupt that makeshift offensive line like the Giants and Commanders did. This has to be where Justin Herbert looks like himself again, especially with no Omarion Hampton in the lineup.

I still think the Dolphins can keep up on offense, but we all know they’re not going to be able to get it done in the end.

Patriots 23-17 Saints

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Feels like a classic spot where the Patriots could come back down after Sunday night’s emotional upset in Buffalo. But is New Orleans really the team to do that against? Probably not.

I do like the Saints to stick around in this game, largely because Spencer Rattler is playing some solid ball and the defense has a knack for turnovers right now. But I don’t know if they can take down a team that’s above their caliber.

Rams 38-17 Ravens

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Next.

Colts 29-17 Cardinals

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Kyler Murray likely won’t be suiting up for the Cardinals on Sunday. That’s good news for Marvin Harrison Jr., but probably bad news for the team at large.

Combine that with how incandescent the Colts have been, and this one probably shouldn’t be close.

Seahawks 23-20 Jaguars

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Talk about a banger that wasn’t remotely viewed as one six weeks ago. Dare I say this is the best non-primetime game of the week!

I was pretty torn on this one. Both defenses are awesome, both offenses are playing well. Seattle is taking a pretty long road trip and Jacksonville has been an electric environment. But the Jags themselves just went to San Francisco and won. It can really go either way.

In the end, I lean Seattle because I simply trust Sam Darnold more than I do Trevor Lawrence. He’s playing at an incredibly high level and has been better at avoiding mistakes, despite that late interception against Tampa last week. If it comes down to whichever QB makes the big throw to win it at the death, I’ll take him.

Cowboys 30-27 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

I’m probably overestimating the Panthers’ ability to hang around in this game, but I honestly think this game looks like a closer version of Dallas’ win over the Jets last week. The Cowboys will get off to a hot start then give up some points late, especially because the Panthers get off to very slow starts before ratcheting up in the second half like they did against Miami and Arizona.

In any case, I’d appreciate a Carolina victory here, but I’m in no way expecting one. Not with the way Dak Prescott is playing, and certainly not with how the Cowboys are running the ball. Maybe we’re in for a Rico Dowdle revenge game, who knows.

Raiders 22-19 Titans

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

Do I have to? Fine.

I guess I’ll take the Raiders at home. Tennessee’s comeback last week masks the fact that they’re still a disaster, no matter how good Cam Ward looks on tape (which is pretty damn good, by the way). Don’t get me wrong, Vegas isn’t much better, but maybe Ashton Jeanty goes off and Geno Smith stops throwing the ball to the wrong team.

Either way, I don’t really care. And I don’t think you do, either.

Buccaneers 26-23 49ers

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

Here’s a battle of teams that overcome numerous injuries to find their way to 4-1 and atop their divisions. What gives when they meet head to head?

It’s probably going to be Mac Jones under center again for the 49ers, which is by no means a bad thing. We’ve seen numerous times this season how effective he is; honestly, he’s been better for them than Brock Purdy has. Despite the players they’ll be without on both sides of the ball, San Francisco can’t be easily dismissed by anyone.

But, I’ll still take Tampa Bay at home. That offense is playing at a ridiculous level with Baker Mayfield at the helm, and they keep on finding ways to win. I think their secondary will need to step up and make a play or two down the stretch, allowing Baker and co. to do the rest.

Packers 34-14 Bengals

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

Next, again!

Chiefs 27-24 Lions

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

What a brilliant Sunday nighter this is going to be. Points, points, points!

The Lions are clearly a better team than the Chiefs are right now. I don’t think anyone is disputing that. But, this is still Kansas City, and this is still Patrick Mahomes. I think you’re going to see a lot of folks pick KC here because they simply need it more — their backs are against the wall, they desperately need to stay afloat at .500 and they don’t lose games like this at home.

But, the Lions don’t care about any of that. Hell, the last time they went to Kansas City, they pulled off the upset to show the league that they were no joke (with the great help of one Kadarius Toney). And we all know that their offense can run over anyone in the league. If that emerging defense can make a play or two like Jacksonville did last week, it should be enough for Detroit to win.

I just think Mahomes and co. play a solid, clean game and get the job done in the end, even without Rashee Rice, and maybe without Xavier Worthy again.

Bills 24-20 Falcons

Monday, 7:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

I think the Bills are in a great spot to bounce back from Sunday night’s stinker regardless of what Atlanta team we see on Monday night. But that’s the problem — the Falcons have been so Jekyll and Hyde this season that I feel like I can’t pick them to beat anyone above their proverbial pay-grade.

Maybe Bijan Robinson comes out and runs all over Buffalo like Derrick Henry did in Week 1. Maybe Michael Penix Jr. looks like his Week 4 self and not his Week 3 self. Maybe the defense looks like their Week 2 self and not their Week 4 self. Are you confused yet? That’s just the Falcons for you.

So, I’ll take the consistent team that I can trust — the one that’s due to make things right after last week.

Commanders 31-17 Bears

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC

No Hail Mary will be necessary for this one. We are going to roll.

I could write a dissertation about this matchup, this baby rivalry, these quarterbacks, that head coach and particularly that Bears fanbase. And that wouldn’t even include what happened on October 27, 2024.

Instead, I’ll keep it to Monday night. A battle between the NFL’s top rushing offense and its 31st-ranked rushing defense. A battle between the best QB in the 2024 draft class — one who’s back to his usual elite self — and the third-best QB from that class on his best day. A battle between two defenses that are finding their groove in different ways. It’s going to be a blast.

In the end, the Bears are not going to be able to contain this rushing attack. Jayden Daniels won’t have to be Superman because Bill and Deebo and the rest of the offense will have their way. And to be clear, I think Caleb Williams could have a solid game against this secondary that has its shortcomings. But I think our defensive line will get after him and stifle their nonexistent rushing attack. And he can’t win this game on his own.

I’ll be there — just as I was there for that fateful moment last October — and I cannot freaking wait.

Cover photo taken from NFL.

Last Week: 11-4-1

Season Total: 40-23-1

Rams 24-10 49ers

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

The 49ers are decimated by injuries and the Rams are humming. This is a simple calculus.

If San Francisco finds a way to win this game on the road without Brock Purdy, Brandon Aiyuk, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings and George Kittle, I’ll just throw my hands up and concede defeat.

Vikings 13-10 Browns

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Network

First to 10 points wins.

With the way these two defenses are playing, the submarined total of 35.5 makes total sense. I guess I’ll take the “trusty” vet in Carson Wentz over the rookie making his first start in Dillon Gabriel. Plus, the Vikings have been overseas for two weeks now, which should be an advantage.

Either way, we owe the UK an apology for sending this game their way.

Colts 27-17 Raiders

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Considering the trajectory of these two squads, this game shouldn’t be close. But, because I’m picking the Colts in survivor, it’ll find a way to be.

Regardless, I won’t predict that to be the case. The Raiders are a mess right now and this is a great spot for Indy to bounce back after last week’s tough loss on the west coast.

Saints 22-19 Giants

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Saints aren’t going 0-17. They’ve got to find a win somewhere.

Before the season started, I said this would be one of only two wins for them, so I’ll stick to my guns.

Cowboys 27-24 Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

For some reason that I can’t quite pinpoint, I really wanted to pick the Jets to win this game. Like the Saints, they’ve got to find a win somewhere, right? Why shouldn’t it come against the worst defense in the NFL?

Well, I just don’t trust New York’s offense right now. The Cowboys have essentially proven that they can win any shootout with the way their offense is playing, so at least I can trust them in that regard.

Eagles 20-16 Broncos

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

As I’ve repeated, I’m going to continue to pick the Eagles until they lose, because they will always find a way to win.

Plus, Bo Nix doesn’t really move me, even against a susceptible Philly defense. Denver’s defense should keep them in this one, but I don’t know if the Broncos offense can make the plays necessary to put them over the top.

Panthers 26-21 Dolphins

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Do I have to pick a winner here? Fine, I guess.

Give me the Panthers for no reason other than vibes. I can see Bryce Young putting together his bi-monthly solid game, and I can particularly see Tetairoa McMillan finally having his breakout game for Carolina. Don’t get me wrong, I also see the potentially more likely outcome of the Dolphins shredding Carolina’s dreadful defense, but I’ll choose the glass-half-full option with the home team.

Texans 24-16 Ravens

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

So, the Ravens are screwed. Here’s a list of players that could miss this game for Baltimore: Lamar Jackson, Ronnie Stanley, Tyler Linderbaum, Kyle Hamilton, Nate Wiggins, Roquan Smith, Marlon Humphrey (this one might be a good thing) and Chidobe Awuzie. That’s insane. It’s never a good sign when your injury report mirrors a Costco receipt.

Hence, I’ll take the Texans, since there’s no way this shorthanded Baltimore squad can beat that defense without Lamar. And while Houston’s offense isn’t anything amazing, you and I can move the ball against the Ravens defense at full strength. Now that they’re missing all their best players, it’ll be brutal.

Cardinals 25-12 Titans

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Every passing week with the Titans, we should be telling ourselves, “This should be Brian Callahan’s last game as head coach.”

We’ll see if that actually comes to fruition on Sunday.

Seahawks 24-20 Buccaneers

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Ah, yes. The throwback uniform matchup of the century. The former Panthers outcast quarterback bowl. The “Ohio State is WRU” battle of the year. So on and so forth.

This game should be a banger, but I get the feeling that it won’t be. And that’s largely due to the injuries that Tampa Bay continues to deal with. Baker Mayfield has missed some practice time and Bucky Irving might miss his first game of the year all while the offensive line continues being a patchwork one and the WR corps remains on the mend.

Meanwhile, Seattle is on a completely upward trajectory. Considering their home field advantage, the way their defense is dominating games and how brilliant Sam Darnold and JSN have been, the Seahawks are an easy pick for me here.

Commanders 30-27 Chargers

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

This one’s going to come back to bite me, but so be it. This is the difference that Jayden Daniels makes.

No, Terry McLaurin nor Noah Brown are playing in this game. No, our defense can’t stop a traffic cone. But No. 5 is the great eraser. And he’s back.

It’s not just that, though. The Chargers being without Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt with an already abysmal interior offensive line gives me confidence that our defensive line can get some movement up front, both limiting Omarion Hampton and making Justin Herbert uncomfortable. That will need to happen, because I have little to no faith in our secondary against Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkey. And while I like LA’s defense, they haven’t faced a Daniels-like quarterback just yet.

This game is going to be played on ice skates. And I trust Jayden to get the job done in his homecoming to SoCal.

Lions 38-10 Bengals

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

This is going to be a bloodbath so vicious that it should be censored on television.

Bills 23-14 Patriots

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

This is quite the measuring stick game for the Patriots, and undoubtedly the biggest game of Drake Maye’s young career. With the eyes of the nation looking at New England, it’s a real chance to make a statement.

But, it’s not going to happen. The Bills don’t lose at home, and they don’t lose to the Patriots anymore. Plus, how can Buffalo falter in those icy white uniforms?

Chiefs 23-20 Jaguars

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Like the Patriots, this is a heck of a measuring stick game for the Jaguars. They’ve started hot, but they also haven’t really played anyone crazy quite yet. This will be a great test for them at home.

With the way Jacksonville’s defense is playing, it’s admittedly hard to pick against them. But the Chiefs feel like they’re back, and I think they have what it takes to beat that strong Jags D now that Xavier Worthy is back. But, if Liam Coen’s fiesty bunch finds a way to pull this out, don’t color me surprised.

Cover photo taken from NBC4.

Last Week: 8-8

Season Total: 29-19

Seahawks 23-20 Cardinals

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

The Cardinals might be the better-dressed team in this game, but the Seahawks are the better football team.

The way Seattle is humming on both sides of the ball gives me plenty of faith that they’ll get this done on the road. I just feel more comfortable with them than Arizona, whose identity-less offense might be in for a long night against a defense that’s punching above its weight and only getting healthier.

Vikings 16-13 Steelers

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Network

Ah yes, I love waking up to Aaron Rodgers and Carson Wentz hoops in Dublin, Ireland. Nothing like it!

Simply put, in an international game where anything goes, I’ll take the team with the defense that I trust. That’s Minnesota; low bar against the Steelers unit, but Brian Flores is coaching his tail off right now, and Wentz will make it work on the other side of the ball. I don’t really like what Pittsburgh has on across the board.

Falcons 20-17 Commanders

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

This is subject to change, but I’m writing this with the assumption that neither Jayden Daniels nor Terry McLaurin will play in this game for the Commanders. Even with the polar opposite performances these squads had a week ago, that’s a pretty big deal for Washington.

Marcus Mariota is obviously a tremendous backup, but playing without your top two WRs, your best blocking tight end and your starting right guard against a very talented defense is not a recipe for success. Yes, we have some guys on offense that can step up and make plays, and they’ll have to for us to pull this out. And yes, our defense is hooping. But this really feels like a spot where the Falcons get right after last week’s debacle in a lower-scoring affair.

Bills 31-13 Saints

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Next!

Lions 24-10 Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Let’s hope this week’s survivor pick (Detroit) winds up being less stressful than last week’s (Tampa Bay).

The Browns defense is awesome, but the Lions are on a crazy roll right now. No one should want to be in their way.

Patriots 26-20 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Realistically, the Patriots should win this game comfortably. They’ve been more consistent, they have better QB play and they should be getting Christian Gonzalez back on defense. But, New England hasn’t been able to stay out of its own way this season, which will always leave the door open for any team to beat them.

Luckily for the Pats, I don’t think the Panthers pose too much of a threat. Last week was more of an aberration than anything else, and the score doesn’t totally reflect the way things went for their offense. Maybe this will be the game Bryce Young looks legit. But I doubt it.

Chargers 23-13 Giants

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

This is a suboptimal spot for Jaxson Dart to make his NFL debut under center for the Giants. Not only are the Chargers a damn good team, but New York might be without Malik Nabers after he got rocked on SNF.

I don’t think this is the time that Brian Daboll wanted to trot out his first-round QB, but they didn’t have a choice. Unfortunately, I don’t think Dart has what it takes to do this in his first game. The Chargers defense likely sees food right now.

Eagles 27-24 Buccaneers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

The universe couldn’t have chosen a funnier time for these teams to face off. Each of them has gotten to 3-0 by the skin of their teeth and we have questions about both, but it sets up for a hell of a contest on Sunday.

More than anything, I’m expecting points in this game. These offenses are crazy good even with Tampa Bay dealing with injury upon injury on that side of the ball. I actually trust the Bucs defense more than the Eagles’ at this point, but we know what Philly’s is capable of at any given moment.

In any case, I’m going to continue to pick the Eagles until they lose because they’re simply going to keep on pulling these out for as long as they can. That’s the story of this team through the first three weeks, and while I can’t wait for it to end, I’m going to ride the coattails for as long as they’re there.

Texans 23-17 Titans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Someone’s gotta win. Something’s gotta give.

If the Titans won this game, I wouldn’t be remotely surprised. The Texans offense is so dreadful that anyone can beat them simply by putting enough points on the board. But, that Houston defense is still legit, and I think that’s going to make things even more difficult on Cam Ward and this Tennessee offense. They’ll put up a fight, but I don’t know that they have what it takes to get it done in the end.

Rams 23-20 Colts

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

A month ago, I did not expect this game to be appointment television, but here are. Dare I say: it’s the best game of the late window! Because at least both of these teams are playing at a high level and not relying on their brands and reputations for respect.

More than anything, I’m interested to see if the Rams are capable of doing something that nobody has through three weeks: slow down Daniel Jones and the Colts offense. If we see the LA defense that showed up for two quarters and change in Philadelphia last week, then they should be able to contain Jones, Jonathan Taylor and company. If not, this could turn into a shootout very quickly, because the Rams secondary could be susceptible to a big play or two from this incandescent Indianapolis offense.

I think it’ll be a blend of both. Each offense will get their game off, each defense will make a play or two. It boils down to me simply trusting the Rams a little more in this situation. I feel like we’re all waiting for the Colts to return to Earth. Maybe that won’t happen at all, but this does feel like the spot where they get their first loss.

49ers 19-16 Jaguars

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

It’s so hard to get a read on this game with the state of the 49ers roster. Injuries everywhere have us doubting whether they could be without their starting QB and top three WRs. That’s just insane.

I do think Brock Purdy will return to action here, but I don’t know about Ricky Pearsall or Jauan Jennings. But still, I trust the Niners more at home, even against a Jags D that’s playing some good ball right now. I think Purdy and Christian McCaffrey will do just enough on offense, and the young San Francisco defense will continue to make some plays to eke out a win that looks eerily similar to the one last week.

And if the 49ers sit at 4-0 after everything they’ve had to deal with, it’ll be astounding.

Chiefs 24-20 Ravens

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

I just don’t know, man. What’s the read on this game?

The Ravens are the better team. But the Chiefs are the Chiefs. Though, Kansas City isn’t really their usual self right now. However, they’re getting Xavier Worthy back, which will drastically change their offensive outlook against a so-so Baltimore defense. And Derrick Henry has a fumbling issue. But surely that can’t continue. And Lamar Jackson is amazing, but the Ravens haven’t been able to win these games. But the Chiefs haven’t been able to run the ball. Although, Baltimore can’t really stop the run. But they can’t be 1-3, right? But the Chiefs can’t either, right?!

I’m literally being pulled in a million different directions. So, I’m just going with the gut feel and taking the Chiefs because I have no other ideas.

Bears 26-23 Raiders

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

This could feasibly be the highest-scoring game of Week 4 considering how neither of these pass defenses inspire a lot of confidence. If anything, it’ll be a passing extravaganza with both of these rushing offenses being complete non-factors through three weeks.

I’m begrudgingly leaning Chicago here because momentum is on their side. For what it’s worth, they’ve been a more consistent offense than Vegas, and Caleb Williams is coming off his best game as a pro. I think he and his buddy Rome Odunze can parlay that into another big game here against a Raiders team that’s a bit lost and confused at the moment.

Packers 31-14 Cowboys

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Micah Parsons revenge game storyline completely shrouds the fact that this game should not be remotely close. The Cowboys defense is a complete disaster, they just lost their best player on offense in CeeDee Lamb and the Packers are going to play pissed off after their loss last week.

Don’t get me wrong, Dak Prescott is playing good ball right now, and Dallas’ run game is really good. But will that offense be able to keep up with Green Bay, who could score every time they touch the ball, without Cedarian? I like George Pickens and Jalen Tolbert, but come on now. Not against that Packers defense.

Jets 22-19 Dolphins

Monday, 7:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Someone’s gotta win. No one’s gonna watch.

I originally picked the Jets, but then I thought about it. And I just don’t know if the Dolphins are going to get the requisite QB play to get this one done. Tua played well against New England, but that’s sandwiched in between two really bad games. If the solid Tua shows up, Miami should win. If not… we know what happens. And I’m just banking on the latter since it unfortunately feels like the new norm for him. And if Mike McDaniel gets fired on Tuesday because of it, I’m going to feel awful.

Broncos 23-18 Bengals

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC

I probably would have picked the Broncos to win this game even if Joe Burrow were playing for the Bengals. It has nothing to do with Bo Nix and everything to do with the state of both of these defenses.

Honestly, I think it’ll be the run games that make the difference in this one. I think Denver should be able to run it all over Cincy with JK Dobbins and RJ Harvey while Chase Brown continues to get completely smothered in the backfield on the other side. That’ll open things up enough for the Broncos offense to do what they’ve got to do. And while I don’t think Jake Browning will put up the disasterclass he did last week, I still don’t believe it’ll be pretty against another elite defense.

Cover photo taken from NFL.

Last Week: 10-6

Season Total: 21-11

Bills 30-13 Dolphins

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

No more trusting the Dolphins for me. I’ve learned my lesson in that regard.

It’s not like they stood a chance in this game anyways. A road trip to one of the best teams in the league whose offense is playing ablaze right now isn’t exactly conducive to winning. Real chance the Bills have this one wrapped up by halftime.

Packers 20-10 Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Both of these defenses have been pretty awesome this season. Neither of these offenses have, though. The Packers pass the eye test on that side of the ball, but it hasn’t translated to a ton of points. They tend to take their foot off the gas with a lead, and I don’t blame them considering how the defense looks. I’m expecting that to be the case on Sunday in Cleveland.

To be honest with y’all, the only thing I remotely care about in this game is Quinshon Judkins’ performance for the Browns, since I think he can be a league winner in fantasy. Don’t let me down!

Titans 23-20 Colts

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

What the hell, why not.

There’s approximately zero reason to take the Titans here, and the strategy of taking the home dog in a divisional game continues to bite me in the behind. But, a broken clock is right twice a day!

Besides, the Titans have to win a game at some point. I know Cam Ward’s numbers are quite bad and I know this Tennessee team has nothing to hang their hats on. Plus, the Colts are the story of the young NFL season and have one of the best offenses in the league.

You only live once, I guess.

Bengals 27-24 Vikings

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

I don’t think CBS had a Jake Browning vs. Carson Wentz QB matchup in mind when they decided to send Jim Nantz and Tony Romo to call this game at the beginning of the season. But, here we are.

Honestly, I had no idea which way to go here. I think both of these backups are capable — hell, any QB can make it work in Kevin O’Connell’s offense, right? — but I don’t like either offensive line right now. In that vein, I’ve seen more out of Cincinnati’s pass rush through two games than Minnesota’s. Shemar Stewart has been an impactful player, and Trey Hendrickson has been an absolute dog. I think that’s the difference in crunch time on Sunday.

Never thought I’d see the day where I picked Cincinnati because of their defense.

Steelers 26-23 Patriots

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

I don’t really trust either of these teams right now. Yes, the Patriots won last week, but it took quite a lot to do that against a horrendous defense and a team that’s falling apart at the seams. And the Steelers were just totally discombobulated against the Seahawks. It makes this one tricky.

I’m taking Pittsburgh because, at the very least, they’ve shown some semblance of balance. Their defense has left a lot to be desired, as has New England’s, but I feel like their offense can make the plays they need to win. The Patriots’ run game is nonexistent, but I feel like they can get going here.

Honestly, this one can go any which way. I wanted to take the Pats at home, but they’re going to have to prove it to me.

Rams 23-17 Eagles

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Ah, yes. What should’ve happened back in January before Mother Nature got in the way.

Let’s be honest. The Eagles are going to find some way to pull this win out of their behinds because we’re not allowed to have nice things. I’m interested to see how the officials deal with the tush push after last week’s outrage, if at all. It’d also be nice to see if Philly’s offense decides to show up for once. It won’t be easy against the NFL’s leader in dropback EPA/play on defense.

Honestly, I just trust the Rams more right now. Their defense is punching above their weight and the offense is starting to get it going. The run game has been sneaky effective, which could prove to be the difference against this Eagles front.

More than anything, I need this to be the spot where the Eagles cease to get away with it. I’m hoping and praying that comes to fruition.

Buccaneers 23-15 Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Pros: watching Tyrod Taylor play football.

Cons: it’s for the Jets again.

The Buccaneers’ offensive line woes are cause for concern against anyone, but in their home opener in those crispy throwbacks, they’ve got to win this one, especially against a backup quarterback. I still think Baker Mayfield is going to have to do his thing to keep this pirate ship afloat, but this one will be easier than the last two weeks.

Commanders 21-18 Raiders

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

It honestly doesn’t matter who starts at QB for Washington in this game. I’m confident in a hobbled Jayden Daniels, and I’m more than comfortable with Marcus Mariota. (For the record, I think it’ll be the latter.)

This comes down to me being extremely turned off by what I saw out of the Raiders last week. And I know Pete Carroll has an outstanding east coast record, but this is a team that played at 10 p.m. ET on a Monday traveling across the country to take on a Commanders squad that played on TNF last week. There isn’t a bigger possible rest and travel disadvantage.

I’d like to see our defense return to form while the offense does what they have to do to win. We could really, really use it.

Falcons 22-10 Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Consider what we’ve seen from the Falcons defense through two weeks against hobbled offensive lines. Now consider what we’ve seen from the Panthers offense with how awful their line is.

Next!

Texans 24-17 Jaguars

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Texans simply have to have this one. It’s not exactly a kitchen sink game, but this has to be the week the offense figures it out.

Houston’s offensive line gives me a ton of pause, but it’s not like the Jags front is anything crazy, though their secondary is playing better than expected. If Jacksonville can keep up their offensive success against this elite Texans defense, it could put them over the top. But I’m just sticking with my gut on this one.

Chargers 20-17 Broncos

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

This feels like a game the Broncos win. I really wanted to pick them considering their offense’s return to form in Week 2; plus, the defense will be just fine after a bit of an aberration in Indy.

I just trust Justin Herbert more than Bo Nix right now. Can you blame me? One has been arguably the best QB in the NFL through two weeks and the other is off to a Jekyll and Hyde start in 2025. In a game dominated by defenses, sometimes you have to put your faith in the better signal-caller. Right now, that’s unquestionably Herbert.

Seahawks 26-14 Saints

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Yeah, I’m just not talking about this one. I don’t even know if it’s worth it for NFL Redzone to flip to this game. When they do, it’ll probably be supplanted by a bunch more Wingstop commercials. Sigh.

Cowboys 27-20 Bears

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

This is my most anticipated game of the week because of just how gnarly the ramifications could be, particularly for Chicago.

The fact of the matter is this: it’s now or never for the Bears offense. If Caleb Williams and co. can’t get it together against this Dallas defense, I don’t know if or when it’ll ever happen. And I seriously think that if it’s another week of inaccuracy, bad timing and being overwhelmed from Caleb Williams, that Chicago will turn to Tyson Bagent in a week or two. Yes, he got that extension because he’s a good backup, but that’s certainly not the only reason.

I don’t think that the Bears will look totally incompetent — the Cowboys secondary will make sure of that — but I also don’t think they’ll do what the Giants did a week ago. Their inability to run the ball means it’s all on Caleb’s shoulders, and I don’t think that’s a recipe for success.

In any case, I’ve seen enough from Dallas offensively to put my faith in them to go on the road and beat a team that has given up 73 points in the last five quarters. And then it’ll be really, really uncomfortable times in Chicago.

49ers 24-21 Cardinals

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

I don’t think a game between two 2-0 teams can be any less enticing than this one, especially within the division. But I just can’t bring myself to care.

Maybe it’s because the 49ers are so beat up. Maybe it’s the Cardinals refusing to look truly impressive on offense. Who knows?

I do think Arizona’s got a nice defense. But, so do the Niners, and that unit has helped them clinch both wins this season. And I really hate to choose between Mac Jones and Kyler Murray. But Macaroni looked solid in his first start under Kyle Shanahan, and in their home opener, I think that’ll be enough to help San Francisco get over the top and somehow get to 3-0 despite being so shorthanded.

Chiefs 23-20 Giants

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

To put it plainly, I don’t have the stones to pick the Giants to win this game outright, but New York +6.5 is my favorite bet of the week.

It’s just impossible to trust the Chiefs right now. Even if they get Xavier Worthy back, who knows what the offense looks like? Will they actually be able to run the ball against the league’s worst run D? And while I’d like to believe in their defense, they haven’t been able to make the plays necessary to stay in games in the fourth quarter.

I did say before that we’ll never see the Giants have an offensive explosion like they did last week again this season. I still believe that. But I don’t think they’ll need to do all that to be in this game.

This is a stoppable force meeting a moveable object. Which side gets the advantage? Probably the more desperate one. The Chiefs cannot afford to be 0-3. The thought of them in that position is hard to comprehend. But, it’ll take their best game of the season to avoid it.

Ravens 31-27 Lions

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Now this… this is a Monday Night Football game right here. Get ready for fireworks, points, drama and a damn good time.

There’s honestly not much I can say about this game that can’t just be inferred from looking at these logos, these lineups, these offenses. This is going to be like a tamer version of Bills-Ravens in Week 1 — or a crazier version! None of us would mind that.

I’m riding the Ravens at home here because it’s going to be an unreal environment in a Baltimore blackout. The Lions are more than capable of winning this one on the road — they were incredible away from home last year — and the Ravens have lost in spots like this before, but I’m not betting against them considering how their offense is playing through two weeks.

Cover photo taken from Opta Analyst.

Last Week: 11-5

Season Total: 11-5

Packers 24-20 Commanders

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

This one was circled as a loss even before the season began. Back in May, I was sitting in a car shop waiting for some repairs when I saw that we’d be going to Lambeau Field on a short week to play a team I already thought was pretty good and thought, yup, “That’s a loss.” Then the Packers got Micah Parsons, and I’m even more sure of it.

A lot of people might see this as reverse psychology or whatever, but it’s not. I know when to yield to a team that’s better. That being said, this is a hell of an opportunity to go out there and make a statement. I know Jayden Daniels is ready to shine in primetime, and I hope that our defensive line can replicate their Week 1 performance against a beat up Packers OL. I just have to pick Green Bay here because of circumstance.

Bengals 27-22 Jaguars

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Considering the nature of these two defenses — though they both played well a week ago — I’m expecting a good amount of points in this one. And who do you trust in a shootout? Usually the better offense in case they have the ball last. Or the better defense that can step up and make a necessary stop.

In either case, I’m sticking with the home team. Cincinnati is way too talented to struggle like they did against Cleveland in Week 1. This ain’t the Browns defense, and it isn’t an AFC North slugfest. So I’m expecting a performance that’s more par for the course in orange and black. But don’t sleep on the Jags offense to make some noise.

Cowboys 23-10 Giants

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Kind of gross? I mean, the Cowboys did look pretty good in the opener in Philly. The run game was moving, Dak Prescott looked very comfortable and the defense exceeded expectations. Back at home against a lifeless Giants team that can’t move the ball, I’m expecting a nice and easy win for Dallas.

The only thing that really interests me in this contest is whether or not we see a quarterback not named Russell Wilson take some snaps for New York.

Lions 24-17 Bears

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Oh, brother. What does Ben Johnson have in store for his revenge game? What is Caleb Williams going to look like after a horrendous start to the season? Are the Lions going to figure out what’s happening on their offense? So many questions!

In a spot like this, I really don’t know who to trust. But then I look at the Lions’ offensive personnel, and I say, “Yeah, I’ll take those guys.” Because at least I’ve seen what they’re capable of, even when the architect of that is now on the opposing sideline. I haven’t seen anything I like out of the Johnson-Williams tandem. Maybe this is the game they show me something. But I’ll believe it when I see it.

Rams 23-13 Titans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

This one could be ugly for the Titans considering how well the Rams defense played last week. I’d like to think that Tennessee can only go up from how poorly coached they were and how awful their offensive skill position players were last week in Denver. But my faith isn’t very high. Poor Cam Ward.

The Rams are dealing with some injuries up front, which could create problems. But if they could survive against Houston’s ferocious defense last week, I think they’ll be just fine against Tennessee.

Dolphins 23-20 Patriots

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Call me crazy. This is a great spot to buy low on the Dolphins. At home, divisional matchup, early season in south Florida. It just feels like it makes sense.

Now, it could also make sense for Miami to continue the dysfunction and come out looking absolutely horrendous. I’m never ruling out that possibility. The Patriots weren’t bad by any means last week, but I worry about their offense in terms of getting consistent production out of the passing game. The Dolphins still feel like the team with the better chance to make the game-changing play on offense.

49ers 16-10 Saints

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Ah, yes. Mac Jones vs. Spencer Rattler. Appointment television, I tell you.

I wanted to pick the Saints here; if there was ever a time to do so, it’s now. But I actually think Macaroni is the type of QB that Kyle Shanahan can win with, especially against a depleted New Orleans secondary. Besides, if Christian McCaffrey can make a play or two, that’s all the Niners need. We know the Saints aren’t going to do anything worth a damn on offense.

Bills 27-17 Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Can the Jets replicate what we saw last week against Pittsburgh? It’s entirely possible. I’d like to think that Justin Fields can play more like that and less like what we’ve seen at his previous stops.

But, it’s far more likely that the Bills come out and hoop like they always do against their divisional foes. Though the Jets have always been the thorn in their side in the AFC East, this doesn’t feel like a spot where they lose. I worry about the emotional aftermath following last week’s thriller on SNF, but they’re too sound across the board to drop this game.

It might be closer than I imagine, but I can’t bring myself to pick against Buffalo.

Steelers 24-16 Seahawks

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Before last week, I may have had this pick flipped. But what the Steelers passing game showed me was very promising. Is it sustainable? Who knows. But I think they can keep it up for one more week against an absolutely putrid Seahawks secondary.

Besides, this is the DK Metcalf revenge game. I’m expecting some big numbers from him in his home debut. I’d also like to see Pittsburgh’s run game take a jump, but it probably won’t matter with Seattle’s defensive backfield being so porous.

Ravens 27-10 Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

I hate to discount the power of an AFC North game, but there’s a reason why the Ravens are 11.5-point favorites in this game. This is still probably the best team in the NFL, and while the Browns defense is plenty good, the offense leaves a lot to be desired.

In any case, I don’t see a world where the Ravens start 0-2. Famous last words circa 2024, I know. But surely things are different this time… right?

Colts 16-13 Broncos

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

I’m a real sicko who can’t wait for this game because both of these teams fascinated me so much last week. These were the top two teams in defensive EPA/play in Week 1 — Denver was particularly insane due to the ineptitude of Tennessee’s offense — but the Broncos were 28th in offensive EPA/play while the Colts were 6th. In that same vein, Daniel Jones was seventh in EPA+CPOE while Bo Nix was 21st with three turnovers.

Do these trends continue on Sunday afternoon in Indy? It’s hard to know. I feel like I should trust the Broncos more here, but I’m just so turned off by what I saw against Tennessee. I do think both defenses will show up and show out in this game, leaving the end result up to which QB goofs up in the end. And based on what I saw in Week 1, I think that’ll be Bo Nix. What a time to be alive!

Cardinals 30-17 Panthers

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

I don’t know that I can pick the Panthers to beat anyone with how bad their defense is, let alone how inept their offense looked a week ago. So, just give me the Cardinals at home, and let’s move on.

Chiefs 20-17 Eagles

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

Am I worried about the Chiefs’ lack of WRs, subpar pass rush and alarming defensive performance last week? Yes I am. Was I impressed with the Eagles in their opener after a vanishing act by their WRs and a less-than-desirable night from their defense? No I was not. Something’s gotta give.

I just feel like this isn’t a spot where the Chiefs are going to lose. It’s hard to picture this team at 0-2, and you’d gotta think they want to make up for what happened in New Orleans back in February. That’s how it was for the Eagles in this matchup back in 2023 having lost Super Bowl LVII earlier in the calendar year.

Please don’t let me down again, Kansas City.

Vikings 23-16 Falcons

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Another SNF banger. This one fascinates me. What does Michael Penix Jr. have for an encore against another diabolical defensive mind? How does JJ McCarthy follow up his MNF heroics from a week ago? I can’t wait to find out.

I’d like to think that the Vikings defense will make the difference in this game. Penix had a test last week against Todd Bowles, but Brian Flores is a whole ‘nother beast. Minnesota is going to throw stuff at him that he’s never seen before. I think he and this Falcons offense are equipped to handle it, but I do think some cracks will show. And I think the Vikes offense will do just enough against an admittedly improved Falcons defense to get the job done.

Texans 23-20 Buccaneers

Monday, 7 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN

Surely, surely, this is the week the Texans offense figures it out. This isn’t a very vaunted secondary lining up across from these talented wide receivers, and we saw how good the run game could be last week. If CJ Stroud just has enough time to throw, I think Houston should put up some points.

I think the Buccaneers are equipped to handle Houston’s defense, but their patchwork offensive line against the Texans’ insane front seven gives me pause. I don’t think I can pick a team to win when there’s seemingly that big of a mismatch in the trenches, even if their offense has itself figured out while Houston’s doesn’t.

Raiders 27-24 Chargers

Monday, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN

You know I like a home dog in a divisional game (because that strategy worked out so well last week, right?).

I think the Chargers are much better than the Raiders are, and Brock Bowers potentially being out definitely scares me. But I still think Vegas has the juice on offense to make this a game. Expect some big plays from the rookie duo of Ashton Jeanty and Dont’e Thornton.

While I think LA will still get their game off, I just have a feeling that the Raiders will make a couple of plays late and steal a home-opening win. It’s this week’s ultimate vibes play.