2021 AFC Preview and Predictions

After over 6 long months of waiting, football is finally back. Christmas wishes it was as exciting as this. As promised, before the preseason kicks off, I’ll be previewing both conferences, starting here with the AFC. Here, I’ll give a short preview of every team in the conference, and how I think they’ll perform. Hopefully injuries and other extraneous factors don’t come back to make me look stupid here, but at least I’ll have an excuse if they do. With that being said, let’s get into it!

AFC East

1st: Buffalo Bills (15-2)

In my opinion, this is the best team in the AFC. It almost doesn’t make sense, seeing as though there are some gaping holes in this roster, such as a nonexistent run game and a below average pass rush. But that didn’t stop them last year, as they were easily the NFL’s hottest team in the last 10 or so weeks. They were shut down in the AFC Championship Game by the Chiefs, but that was to be expected for a team that hadn’t been in that big of a spot in literal decades. Now, everyone is back, led by star QB Josh Allen, who is poised to prove that last season was no fluke. The Bills clearly have that faith in him, as he just signed a 6-year extension worth over $250 million. While I really like Allen, I thought that was a bit much, but he’ll have every opportunity to silence all the doubters again this year. As long as him and superstar WR Stefon Diggs are clicking on all cylinders again, this team will breeze through their ridiculously easy schedule. This is my 1 seed, and barring something drastic, I think that Buffalo will clinch that first round bye with their eyes closed.

2nd: New England Patriots (11-6)

Whether you like it or not, the Patriots will be back this year. To me, it doesn’t matter who starts at QB. Cam Newton will get the job done; it’s simply too hard to assume that he’ll be so bad again in his second year in this system. It’s even harder to fathom a Bill Belichick team miss the playoffs for a second consecutive year. If the reins do get passed to rookie Mac Jones at some point, then I believe in his ability to game-manage this team to the postseason. He’s old enough, and had plenty of experience in college. New England underwent a compete overhaul this offseason, and improved at many lacking positions. The passing game will be rejuvenated with the likes of Nelson Agholor at WR as well as Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry at TE. Their RB room isn’t the best, but the Patriots have proven to us plenty of times in the past that it doesn’t need to be for them to win games. Their defense obviously speaks for itself, being one of the better units in football, especially in the secondary. The Patriots just have the right pieces to be a solid wild card team, but not much more. But hey, that’s still plenty better than last year.

3rd: Miami Dolphins (10-7)

This year’s Dolphins team might be even weirder than last year’s. I truly think this is the best roster, from top to bottom, in this division. Heck, it’s one of the best in the whole league. I think Miami is a classic case of a sad truth we find far too often in this league: amazing team with the only lacking position being the most important one. I still cannot put my faith in QB Tua Tagovailoa. Maybe his rookie year was so shaky because he was a rookie. Sure. Surely he’ll be better now that he’s the only guy worth starting in that QB room. Fine. But something is simply holding me back from accepting that. I would truly love to see Tua figure it out and succeed, and if he does, then this team’s ceiling is remarkably high. Every other position is nothing short of stacked, especially on defense. Star CB Xavien Howard finally came to a compromise with the front office and got the extension he wanted, and the Dolphins are infinitely better off for it. Listen, this team didn’t have solid QB play all year last year and still won 10 games. That’s why I’m giving them that this year as well. If Tua does just enough in the right amount of games, then this is a guaranteed playoff team. But, the way I see it, they’ll be just on the outside looking in.

4th: New York Jets (2-15)

I mean… what can I say about this team. They are HORRIBLE. All caps, bold, italicized, all the above. Put it on a damn Times Square billboard. For what it’s worth, I don’t think the Jets had the worst offseason ever. But… it wasn’t very good either. The problem started last season when they needlessly threw away the #1 overall pick. So, with their shiny #2 pick, they took… Zach Wilson. Their QB of the future is the more than unproven white boy wonder out of BYU, and I couldn’t feel any worse about it. I didn’t do any draft coverage, but anyone that knows me knows how I felt about Wilson during the draft process. I felt he was the 5th best QB available, but alas, he went 2nd overall, and now has to lead this dumpster fire of a team. I did like their other first round move, trading up for OL Alijah Vera-Tucker out of USC. Along with the addition of Morgan Moses and the return of Mekhi Becton, this team’s best unit is easily its offensive line. Not like that matters when there are barely any other players of note at any other position. This team is putrid with a capital p and a capital u, and nothing will change that. 2 wins might be a generous estimate. Yeesh.

AFC North

1st: Baltimore Ravens (14-3)

The Ravens are inevitable. This is easily one of the league’s best teams from top to bottom. There are no two ways about any of it. I’m not sure what the problem was with this team last year, but whatever it was, I’m more than confident that it won’t be a factor this season. Could it have been their passing game? Well, they splashed a bit to upgrade that position, drafting WR Rashod Bateman out of Minnesota in the 1st round as well as signing Sammy Watkins. Superstar QB Lamar Jackson will have a plethora of options for seemingly the first time in his young career, and I can’t wait to see it. He’s easily one of the most explosive players in football, and with a team as stacked is this, the sky isn’t even a limit. It’s the floor. The defense is back and ready to wreak havoc once again, led by stars at every position. It was a poor offense that stopped this team from getting to an AFC title game last year, and I truly think that with a much improved offense this year, they can finally get over the hump. With that being said… I don’t think they will. More on that later.

2nd: Cleveland Browns (12-5)

Now this… this is interesting. I feel something with this team. I don’t really get it, but I feel it. If you know me, or even read my content last year, you know that I am typically very, VERY hard on the Browns. I gave them no respect last year at any point in time, but they continued to shut me up en route to being a few plays away from a potential AFCCG appearance. That same team is back and even better this season, and I have higher hopes for Cleveland than I’ve ever had before. While I still think QB is this team’s weakest position, Baker Mayfield did undeniably take massive strides forward last year and established himself as a proper, solid starting QB. And that was after star WR Odell Beckham Jr. was lost for the year with a torn ACL. It wouldn’t be asinine to say that the OBJ era in Cleveland has been a failure, but I still have hope that Baker and Odell can make things work with one another. And if they do, the AFC better watch out. Mayfield already has great connections with the various other weapons on offense, and the incredible backfield of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt needs no introduction. The Browns defense, which was a nice surprise last year, underwent a lot of turnover this offseason, but I still really like the unit as a whole. This roster is just really, really solid, and like I said before, I have a really strange but strong feeling about this team. You might be shocked how strong that feeling is.

3rd: Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8)

One word comes to my mind when I think about the Steelers: meh. This is just the most meh team in football. This is pretty much just last year’s team looking to run back more mediocrity. I’ll give Pittsburgh credit, they did address their gaping hole in the backfield by drafting RB Najee Harris, Alabama’s finest statistical back ever, with their first round pick. But, Harris is 23 and coming off 4 years of hard work at Alabama. I really like him, and hope he succeeds, but with that kind of milage on you, I’m not sure what kind of impact you can make right out of the gate in the NFL. The rest of the Steelers offense is the same old same old, and it inspires no confidence whatsoever. Ben Roethlisberger is back once again, and if I have to hear one more time about how much “different” he is after a long offseason of work, I will rip out my ears with my own hands. Ben has tricked you all for long enough, and it’s hilarious how many people fall for it. Yes, if you look at the stats alone, then I suppose he does his job just fine. But every year, when the calendars flip to October and November, he becomes the living embodiment of his nick-namesake. Even with WR Juju Smith-Schuster back, I just don’t see this offense doing much of anything. That’s a shame, because this defense is still stacked across the board. But if the end of last year was any indication, maybe that’s not the case anymore. I just don’t know how this team will be anything but average. We’ll have to wait and see.

4th: Cincinnati Bengals (5-12)

I am so, so, SO mad at this team. They really had one job. Just one. Okay, maybe they had a lot of jobs to fill a lot of holes on this team, but one area was lacking in particular: the offensive line. It’s the reason Joe Burrow was the most sacked QB in football before that same offensive line let his leg get folded in on itself, ending his rookie season months in advance. So, how do we address this issue Cincinnati? Surely you pick the generational LT prospect who has fallen into your laps with the #5 pick! But no, let’s roll with Jamarr Chase because he was Burrow’s favorite receiver in college. Don’t get me wrong, Chase is an amazing talent that will have a great career in this league, but one question remains. Will he even get out of his break before Joe Burrow is on the ground in the backfield? This offensive line is still absolutely abysmal, and it wont do Burrow any favors coming off last year’s horrible injury. I understand drafting Penei Sewell wouldn’t have magically made all those problems disappear, but it would have been a huge step in the right direction. This team already has very good WRs in Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, so they didn’t even need Chase necessarily. But, this was the decision they made, and they have to live with it. In any case, the Bengals would not have been very good this year. The defense isn’t much to look at, and the offense will be sputtering thanks to a line that can’t stop a nosebleed. We can only hope that Joe Burrow lives to see the full season.

AFC South

1st: Tennessee Titans (11-6)

Let me just start by saying this division will get eaten alive this year. It is going to be so ugly. The only hope outside of the Titans was Indianapolis, but I’ll get into their problems when it’s their time. Tennessee is the only team really worth a damn in the AFC South, but they’d be a playoff team in any division. They have all the offensive fire power in the world, led by last year’s Offensive Player of the Year, RB Derrick Henry. Trading for WR Julio Jones to go alongside fellow superstar A.J. Brown will make QB Ryan Tannehill’s life even nicer this year. This team does have many problems though, especially on the defensive end. Last year, the Titans had no pass rush whatsoever, and their secondary got abused on a weekly basis. Unfortunately for them, they did almost nothing to remedy either of those problems. They did draft CB Caleb Farley in the 1st round, but he has a nagging injury problem that caused him to slip in the draft and could very well hold him back in the pros. Other than that, there’s no one of note on that side of the football. I do think this team can win a lot of track meets, but that’s not a winning formula in this league, especially when you’re up against the elite defenses of the AFC. Tennessee has the benefit of being in arguably the worst division in football, but I think they’ll be a one-and-done team in January.

2nd: Indianapolis Colts (4-13)

Before you say anything, I’d like to establish from the jump that I have no earthly idea how to evaluate this team right now. As of today, both OG Quenton Nelson and newly acquired QB Carson Wentz are out for 5-12 weeks (I get the feeling it’ll be closer to 12 than 5) with foot injuries. So, that’s your starting QB and your best player out for, let’s face it, at least the first month of the season. Even if Wentz comes back early in the year, he will have missed training camp in its entirety, and he just feels like the type of guy who needs all those reps. Anyone would with their new team. So, the harsh reality for the Colts right now is that it’ll either be the second year man Jacob Eason out of UW or rookie Sam Ehlinger running the show for an indefinite period of time. That inspires little to no confidence. Indy obviously still has its blindingly bright spots, such as RB Jonathan Taylor, who looked like a bonafide stud in his rookie season in 2020. It helps when you’re running behind arguably the best offensive line in football, even without Quenton Nelson, although his absence will be felt. The defense is still as stacked as ever, headlined by names like DeForest Buckner and Darius Leonard. But without a QB and your generational offensive lineman, it just feels like this team will be headed for an early nosedive that could very well span the whole season. If everyone comes back in time, I don’t think this is a 4 win team. But if I’m evaluating them based on where they stand right now, then they are.

3rd: Jacksonville Jaguars (4-13)

The Jaguars might be the most exciting team on the come-up in the NFL right now. Feels like a fever dream. This is a completely different team after perhaps the biggest offseason in franchise history. Bringing in Urban Meyer, one of the greatest college football coaches of all time, to coach this football team is a very interesting move. If it goes well, then it’ll be heralded as genius, but if it doesn’t… that’ll be an interesting time in the media. Luckily for Meyer, the Jags were gifted the #1 pick in this year’s draft, and thus were gifted QB Trevor Lawrence out of Clemson, one of the best quarterback prospects we’ve ever seen. You know the deal with Lawrence by now. If he is even a fraction of the messiah that people have been making him out to be since he was 18 years old, then this team has a very good future ahead. Lawrence will have his college buddy behind him, as Jacksonville took RB Travis Etienne with their other first round selection this April. Pairing him with James Robinson, who was one of the more pleasant surprises of last year’s rookie crop, makes for one of the more dynamic RB duos in the NFL. The defense still has all of its nice young pieces as well, although there seems to be a rift between the front office and last year’s first round pick, CB C.J. Henderson. In any case, this team has all the makings of a future playoff team. This will be the “figure it out” year for them, but I have very high hopes for the Jags in the upcoming years.

4th: Houston Texans (1-16)

There are genuinely no words to describe the Texans, both as a franchise and as a football team. This is easily the worst of both of those things in this league. Even after firing HC/GM Bill O’Brien after his boneheaded decisions, everything this team has done has been mind-boggling. I could get into all of the awful front office decisions, but one story loomed all too large over Houston this offseason: Deshaun Watson. The young star QB was everyone’s favorite player to root for, and we couldn’t help but feel bad for him being on this dumpster fire of a team. This offseason turned that all upside down, as over 20 women came forward to accuse Watson of sexual misconduct. While nothing has come out of all of those accusations, it leaves such a sour taste in everyone’s mouths. Now that camp is underway, whether or not Watson practices is a coinflip, and nobody can get a reading on what the hell is going on. In the event that Watson doesn’t end up playing this year, which is what I think will happen, this team has approximately nothing to prove to me that they’re capable of winning even a single game. Even if Watson does play, he won’t be able to carry them to more than just a few wins. Just look at last year, when he had a fairly good season, but the team still finished 4-12. The only reason I’m giving this team a single win is because I truly believe it’s next to impossible to go 0-17. But if any team can prove me wrong, I promise you it’s this one.

AFC West

1st: Kansas City Chiefs (13-4)

It’s the Chiefs. It’s Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Tyrann Mathieu, Chris Jones, do I need to go on? Yes, this team got absolutely smothered in the Super Bowl. Yes, their offensive line was shambolic. Yes, their defense could not stop a nosebleed against the Bucs. But that was then, and this is now. The aforementioned offensive line was easily this team’s biggest issue, but they went out and patched it up with some great moves. Trading for all-pro Orlando Brown and drafting star C Creed Humphrey out of Oklahoma, among several other moves, has this offensive line rejuvenated. Mahomes can only hope that he won’t be running for his life for 60 minutes every Sunday like last year. The defense is still a bit of a weak spot, especially now that they’ll be without DE Frank Clark, who was recently arrested. But no team in football is more suited to win a track meet than the Chiefs. As long as #15 is throwing the football to #10 and #87, this team will be fine. I don’t think they’ll be the most dominant team in the conference, and I even think they’ll struggle a bit within the division, but they will be just fine for the most part. If there’s anything I am sure of among all these predictions, it is that.

2nd: Los Angeles Chargers (11-6)

There aren’t many teams in football that I’m more excited to watch this year than the Chargers. This team had a phenomenal offseason after ending last year on 4 consecutive wins. There are upward trends everywhere with this team, and while it’s hard to ever put faith in them, that definitely inspires a ton of confidence. This team should have won a lot more than just 7 games last season, but when Anthony Lynn is your head coach, you can kiss any sensible late-game decision making out the window. Now, former Rams DC Brandon Staley runs the show, and I personally love the hire. That unit was elite under him, and this team has plenty of defensive studs, such as Joey Bosa, Derwin James, and Kenneth Murray, to potentially establish another stellar D in Los Angeles. QB Justin Herbert needs no introduction after last year’s stellar rookie campaign in which he shattered all of the rookie passing records en route to winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. It helps when you’re throwing the ball to the likes of star WR Keenan Allen, who catches literally everything. Herbert also has the benefit of a brand new offensive line, highlighted by OT Rashawn Slater, the team’s first round pick this year, and newly acquired all-pro C Corey Linsley. There are simply too many reasons to feel good about this team, and I have the utmost faith in them to reach the playoffs this year. I truly believe that if they don’t, it’s a complete failure.

3rd: Las Vegas Raiders (8-9)

This team is so strange. I feel like that has been the case for so long, and certainly has been the case for all of Jon Gruden’s tenure as head coach thus far. There is certainly a great deal of talent across the board on this roster, but it has never translated into something worthwhile. They have still yet to make the playoffs under Gruden, and it’s hard to foresee them doing it this year. Like I said, there are great pieces in Vegas; QB Derek Carr has been a solid starter for his entire career, Josh Jacobs is a stud out of the backfield, and Darren Waller has established himself as one of the best tight ends in all of football. The defense isn’t exactly great, but there are definitely some bright spots, such as Clelin Ferrell and the newly-acquired Casey Heyward. But it’s so hard to see the Raiders as anything but a middle-of-the-pack team in the AFC. It feels like this is the case way too often, and I get the feeling that after another season of complete mediocrity, we could see come changes coming in Vegas.

4th: Denver Broncos (6-11)

Sometimes I feel like this team has no direction. It’s always one step forward, at least two steps back. This is genuinely a really good roster, but again, the biggest lack is the most important position. It has been two years now, and Drew Lock has still not established himself as a starting QB in this league. Sure, he shows flashes every now and then, but in between those flashes is nothing short of backup QB play. It’s not like he has no weapons offensively, as pieces like RB Melvin Gordon and WRs Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton are very good to have. Denver also has a great defense, as always, and it will keep them in almost any game. They even beefed up their secondary by taking DB Patrick Surtain II out of Alabama with their first round selection. But as long as this team doesn’t have serviceable QB play, they will not be going anywhere. I don’t have any faith in Drew Lock, and I can definitely see his time in Denver coming to a close this year.

Playoff Picture

1 – Bills (15-2)

2 – Ravens (14-3)

3 – Chiefs (13-4)

4 – Titans (11-6)

5 – Browns (12-5)

6 – Patriots (11-6)

7 – Chargers (11-6)

I feel very strongly about all of these teams making the playoffs this season. The only other team I think could sneak their way in is Miami, but again, I simply lack the faith in Tua Tagovailoa to get it done. With that being said, I’ll give my very brief playoff predictions based on this seeding:

Wild Card Weekend

In the 2v7 game, I’d easily take the Ravens to take down the Chargers. It would be the 1st ever playoff game for Justin Herbert against a far more experienced team in Baltimore, and being on the road wouldn’t help that at all.

The 3v6 game would be a revival of the Chiefs-Patriots rivalry, but without Tom Brady, it would likely be a Kansas City blowout. They have just been so good in the playoffs, and I don’t believe that Cam Newton or Mac Jones has what it takes to win a postseason game at Arrowhead.

The 4v5 game appears to be a rather ugly game on paper, but I think it could be a very fun shootout in Tennessee. In a game like that, I’d trust the better defense to win, and that is quite easily the Browns. There would be a lot of points scored, but when it comes down to needing a stop, I believe Cleveland could lock it up and move on. I certainly don’t believe the Titans can.

Divisional Round

The 1 seed Bills would get a matchup with the 5 seed Browns in a classic, old-school AFC playoff showdown. I told you earlier that you might be surprised with just how much faith I have in Cleveland, so don’t be too shocked when I say I’d pick them in this game. I think last year’s AFCCG set the blueprint on how to shut down the Bills in the playoffs: just make Josh Allen throw the ball every play. That is likely what will happen anyways, thanks to Buffalo’s nonexistent running game. On the other hand, Cleveland can run it all day long, and I think that run game, along with their defense, will get them to a title game.

The other divisional round game would be another matchup for the Chiefs with a nemesis, this time in the Ravens. While I would easily pick Baltimore strictly on paper, nobody has had Lamar Jackson’s number quite like the Chiefs. They have simply shut him down in every matchup with him, and I don’t think this would be any different, especially considering how well prepared Andy Reid is in the postseason.

AFC Championship Game

My prediction for this year’s title game is a rematch of last year’s divisional, where the Chiefs eeked out a win against the Browns after Patrick Mahomes was knocked out with a concussion. I can imagine Cleveland will be eager to get revenge, and considering my predicted trajectory for them, they’ll have all the momentum in the world on their side. In the playoffs, there are 2 major factors that I consider when deciding a winner: defense and run game. You know who dominates both of those factors in this matchup? The Browns. That’s right. I’m picking the Cleveland Browns to go to Super Bowl LVI. I just feel so strongly about them in so many aspects. Their roster is very deep, and if last year was any indication, this team has not even scratched the surface of their potential. I don’t know if they would dominate the Chiefs like Tampa Bay did in last year’s Super Bowl, but I certainly think they can defeat them, even on the road.

So, who will the Browns play in the Super Bowl? I’ll reveal that tomorrow with my NFC Preview, so stay tuned for that. As always, thanks for your time, and I’ll see you guys tomorrow.

We’re Back!

Football is finally back, and that means I’m back too. It has been a while, but I am beyond excited to get back to writing articles and producing content for you guys. With the preseason getting underway, things are going to be a bit all over the place, but when the regular season begins, I’ll be back to my normal schedule: Week Reviews on Tuesdays, Power Rankings on Wednesdays, and Picks on Thursdays. For the preseason, I’m planning on putting out season previews for the AFC and NFC, as well as recaps for WFT games, so be on the lookout for those this week!

More importantly, I’m thrilled to announce that I’ll be making content on Youtube this season as well! You can expect to see most things I write on here to be on that page in a spoken context, but there will also be plenty of content that you wouldn’t otherwise get on this site. It’ll be a lot more flexible, and I’m really excited to record and publish myself in front of the camera. The aforementioned preseason content will be the first of many things on that channel, so check it out below!

It’s going to be a great season, and I can’t wait to get started putting out more content for you guys. As always, any and all feedback is appreciated, and so are shares of course. See you all soon!

Super Bowl LV Preview and Prediction

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will face off against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV on Sunday night in one of the most anticipated, star-studded championship games of all time. (h/t The Action Network)

It’s finally here. It has been exactly 150 days, and after 21 long weeks of football, pandemic craziness, wild finishes, incredible games, and the most unpredictable season ever, only two teams remain. It is officially Super Bowl Sunday. Tonight, the Kansas City Chiefs will look to repeat as champions as they take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV in Tampa, Florida. And boy, is it going to be a doozy.

There’s not a lot I can tell you about this game that hasn’t already been said before. All the storylines write themselves. The Kid vs. The GOAT. The NFL’s potential next dynasty vs. the man who orchestrated its greatest one. KC looking to go back-to-back for the first time since the man playing QB across from them did it 16 years ago. The Bucs becoming the first team to ever play a Super Bowl in their home stadium, led by a 43-year old QB in his first season with the team. Oh, and it’s his 10th appearance in this game. So yeah, nothing major.

The road has been fairly straightforward for the defending champs. The Chiefs steamrolled through the AFC this year, going 14-2 (with their starters resting in the second loss) and making formidable playoff teams look silly. Much of their roster from last year’s Super Bowl squad is still here, obviously headlined by QB Patrick Mahomes, who is already making a name for himself in the GOAT conversation in just his 3rd full year as a starter. This is already his 2nd Super Bowl after reaching 3 straight AFC Championship Games. The kid is just 25 and hasn’t even played a road playoff game yet. He is starting to cement an all-time legacy, and he hasn’t even scratched the surface of his career. Mahomes threw for 4,740 yards and 38 touchdowns to just 6 interceptions and finished 3rd in MVP voting. It helps when you have two of the best offensive weapons in the league in WR Tyreek Hill, the fastest man in pro football, and TE Travis Kelce, who is having perhaps the best season that a tight end has ever had with 105 catches, 1,416 yards (2nd amongst ALL receivers), and 11 TDs. Not to mention having HC Andy Reid, one of the greatest offensive minds of all time, dialing up the most creative plays you’ll ever see. They can hurt you in so many different ways offensively, but I personally think this defense doesn’t get enough credit. They excel in every level, led by Chris Jones and Frank Clark up front, who absolutely dominate guards on a weekly basis. Their secondary is even better than last year’s led once again by S Tyrann Matthieu, with other key pieces like CBs Bashaud Breeland and rookie L’Jarius Sneed making huge plays all over the second level. Even outside all of these huge names, the Chiefs are stacked with talent, and it’s the reason they were the best team in the league all season long.

Image result for patrick mahomes tyreek hill and travis kelce
Kansas City’s three-headed monster of Mahomes, Kelce, and Hill has yet to be stopped this season. (h/t Jeff Roberson, AP Photo)

It’s been a much more tumultuous road for the Buccaneers to get here. They were 7-5 heading into their bye week with all sorts of questions about their chemistry and whether or not they’d even make the playoffs, but they have not lost a game since then and are playing incredible football. In his first season with the team, QB Tom Brady has somehow shattered expectations, having one of his best seasons yet at age 43 with 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns. This is his 10th appearance in the Super Bowl, and he’ll be looking for his 7th ring. I know, it doesn’t even sound real. Like his counterpart in this game, Brady is also surrounded by some of the NFL’s best talents. From star WRs in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to a stellar 1-2 punch at RB in Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette and one of the best offensive lines in football, Brady has gotten tons of help, and it has paid dividends in a huge way. But the reason this team has the chance to play for a Lombardi is their defense. It’s a unit that has stepped up and made a name for themselves in the playoffs. Their front seven is absolutely loaded, from veteran talents like DE Jason Pierre-Paul and DT Ndamukong Suh to some emerging young studs like DE Shaq Barrett, DT Vita Vea, and LB Devin White, who has been an absolute force. Tampa’s secondary is full of young playmakers like CB Sean Murphy-Bunting and S Antoine Winfield Jr. That vaunted defense smothered the elite offenses of New Orleans and Green Bay in impressive fashion en route to get to this point. When you win 3 straight road playoff games, you can always point to a strong defense as a leading factor in each win. Just look at the NFC Championship Game two weeks ago, where Brady threw 3 second half interceptions, but the defense only allowed 6 points off of them. It’s an elite unit that needs to play its best ball in their toughest challenge yet if they want to win it all.

Image result for buccaneers nfc championship
QB Tom Brady has been stellar in pursuit of his 7th Super Bowl title. (h/t Matt Ludtke, AP Photo)

Oh, and did I mention that these teams already played each other this year? Back on November 29th, the Chiefs held off a late rally to beat the Bucs 27-24 in Tampa. They got off to a huge lead thanks to 269 yards and 3 TDs from Tyreek Hill, with 203 yards and 2 TDs coming in the first quarter alone. That game was great, and I’m sure it has given both coaches plenty of material to work with as they try to come up with a gameplan for tonight. It’s the first rematch of a regular season game in a Super Bowl since 2011, when the Giants beat the Patriots after beating them in the regular season as well (as if we need another parallel involving Tom Brady). In any case, it’s always hard to beat a team twice, especially when the second game is the biggest of them all.

Image
Tyreek Hill torched Tampa in Week 12 in a historic performance. (h/t Mark LoMoglio, AP Photo)

Both of these teams match up so well with each other that it’s almost scary. However, there can only be one winner. I’ve put a great deal of thought into this in the last 2 weeks, and I still had such a hard time making this pick. It’s easily the most even Super Bowl on paper that I’ve ever seen, and it can easily go either way. With that being said, here’s my pick for Super Bowl LV:

Chiefs 31-26 Buccaneers

Sunday, 6:30 PM, CBS

At the end of the day, in a game like this and a situation like this, you just have to go with your gut. And my gut tells me the Chiefs will win this game. I could give you a plethora of reasons about matchups or schemes or play-calling or even superstition. But I won’t. Like I said earlier, this could easily go both ways. But everything in me is pointing towards Kansas City. It is so, so hard to pick against Tom Brady, but it’s equally as hard, if not harder, to pick against Patrick Mahomes. All he has done is win and win, but at the same time, the one man who has stopped him was Tom Brady. Not to mention that the Buccaneers don’t have to worry about travel or hotels or any of that jazz. For them, it’s another day of work down the road. It’s just such a difficult pick to make. For me, it all boils down to this: who do I trust when it matters the most? There is no doubt that Tom Brady is the most clutch player ever, but what about the people around him? Only 5 other players on his team have Super Bowl experience. The Chiefs have over 30. This is almost the exact same team that won it all last year. All of these guys have been here and done that. Experience matters so much in the Super Bowl, and the Chiefs have it in abundance. This is going to be air-tight throughout, but I see Mahomes and company pulling away late to secure their second consecutive title. You already know Tom Brady will not go down without a fight, but I just don’t think it will be enough. As I said above, the Bucs defense will be the key to winning this game. I just can’t see them stopping the unstoppable force that is the Kansas City Chiefs.

No matter what happens tonight, I know that this game is going to be spectacular. All the makings of a classic are right in front of us, and I really hope that’s what we get. Not to mention a performance by The Weeknd in the middle of everything? We really are spoiled. I cannot wait to watch it all unfold. I hope you all enjoy the game.

I want to end things by thanking you guys so much for your support throughout this season. No matter if you clicked on one article or every single one week in and week out, I can’t say enough how much I appreciate you. It has been such a blast writing about football in this incredible season, and it was also an honor. I’ll still be here, writing about other things, but I think it’s safe to say you won’t be getting me on a weekly basis for a while. I hope you stick around for the future, and I can’t wait to bring you guys more content.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Championship Weekend Picks

The Buccaneers take on the Packers and the Bills face off against the Chiefs on a star-studded Championship Sunday to determine who will play in Super Bowl LV. (h/t New York Times)

Welcome to the proverbial Final Four. Championship Sunday is finally upon us, and we might have gotten the best possible matchups in recent memory. Quarterback-wise, I don’t think that’s deniable. But all around, these four teams have been amazing, and these games have all the hype in the world behind them. We can only hope and pray that they live up to it. I cannot wait to see each of these games, and I personally think that any possible Super Bowl LV matchup we get after today will be spectacular. In any case, these championship games should be incredible. I went 2-2 in the Divisional Round, bringing my season total to 156-77-1. With just 3 games left this season, let’s get into today’s picks:

Packers 31-20 Buccaneers

Sunday, 3:05 PM, FOX

Of the two championship games, this one feels the easiest to pick. I’ve been very high on Tampa all season long, but this task might be a little too tall for them. There is no denying that they deserve to be here, especially after dominating the Saints in the second half of their Divisional Round game last week. Their reward for that is facing the best team in the NFL right now. Green Bay is playing incredible football, and they really have been all season long. They’ve largely been in the shadow of the Chiefs, but right now, I don’t think anyone would argue that they’re the better team. While the Packers did lose to this Bucs team early in the season, that was a very long time ago, and both of these teams have had completely different trajectories to get to this rematch. Tampa has been very up and down, but they are extremely hot at the right time. QB Tom Brady has been playing very well, and while he didn’t have the flashiest performance against New Orleans, he is making all the plays to win his team games. However, no QB is playing better than the #12 on the other side of the field. Aaron Rodgers is playing perhaps the best football of his life, and is a lock to win this year’s MVP. He had an amazing game against the Rams vaunted defense last week, and is showing no signs of slowing down. The Bucs have a nice D of their own, but it will take a miracle to stop Rodgers and the plethora of offensive weapons, namely WR Davante Adams. The two have been the single most dynamic duo we have seen in a long time in the NFL, and I fully expect another big performance. I think the Bucs can keep this game close for a while, but they’re bound to just run out of gas at some point. Green Bay’s defense will make some plays to shut down Brady and company and put their offense in a position to win it. The Packers will pull away late thanks to some Aaron Rodgers heroics and book their ticket to Super Bowl LV.

Chiefs 27-23 Bills

Sunday, 6:40 PM, CBS

This one is a little harder to pick. I think this game is going to be special, as these two teams have clearly been the best 2 teams in the AFC for the better part of the season. Like the NFC title game, this is a rematch from earlier in the season, where the Chiefs ran all over the Bills in a bad weather game for an easy win. But Buffalo is an entirely different team now, and has been one of the hottest teams in football for over a month now. That was, until the playoffs. They struggled to beat the 7 seed Colts in the Wild Card game, and needed some defensive heroics and missed kicks to beat the Ravens last week. I do think they absolutely deserved to win both of those games, but it hasn’t exactly been easy. It certainly wasn’t easy for the Chiefs last week either, as QB Patrick Mahomes had to leave the game due to a concussion, and backup Chad Henne had to go and win it late. Mahomes is cleared and ready to go for this game, and should be close to full strength. In the time he played last week, he looked great, leading the offense to scoring drive after scoring drive, and really shaking off the rust from late in the regular season. Now, they’re getting RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire back from injury, and will be at full strength for this huge game. If you know me, you know how much I value running games in the postseason, and that’s one of the main reasons I’m picking the Chiefs in this game. The Bills cannot run the football. I think they’ve given up on it completely. They just rely on QB Josh Allen to make every throw, which has worked for them so far, especially when he’s throwing to WR Stefon Diggs, but the brakes have to come off at some point. Kansas City is simply more sound in every single area, both offensively and defensively. I also think they’re just more prepared for this moment, as this is their 3rd straight AFC Championship Game, whereas this is the Bills’ first in 27 years. I think Buffalo will fight their tails off in this game, and certainly give the Chiefs a run for their money. But without a running game being on the road in the biggest game in decades, I just can’t put my faith in them to step up and win it. I think the Chiefs defense will make the key plays late to send this team to its second consecutive Super Bowl.

Divisional Round Picks

Legendary QBs Tom Brady and Drew Brees will face off for perhaps the final time in their storied careers on Sunday as the Buccaneers head to New Orleans to take on the Saints. (h/t Butch Dill, AP)

Just a quarter of the NFL remains fighting for a championship, and the 8 teams we have left are some good ones. Wild Card Round separated the measly, middle of the road teams from the great ones, and it has set up some great matchups this weekend. We’re going to continue to learn a lot about these teams, and with so much on the line, anything can happen. These are some of the best matchups that I can remember in a long time for this round, and I’m having such a hard time picking these games. I can’t wait to see it all go down. I went 4-2 in Wild Card Weekend, bringing my season total to 154-75-1. Let’s get into this week’s picks:

Packers 27-23 Rams

To put it plainly, the Rams can run the ball and they can suffocate you on defense. That’s enough to compete in any playoff game. It was their formula to beat Seattle last week and get to this point, thanks to some subpar QB play from an injured Jared Goff. While I think they can excel at executing that gameplan, it might be a little bit difficult to overcome the challenge that is the Green Bay Packers. They got last week off and are very well-rested coming into this game, and have the advantage of the frozen tundra on their side as a SoCal team rides into town. But all weather and home-field and superstition aside, when you simply compare these teams side by side, the advantage has to go to the Packers. LA’s defense is incredible, but so is Green Bay’s offense. QB Aaron Rodgers has been in this situation so many times before, and he won’t be phased by the challenge. I think it will be very, very close throughout, but I just don’t see the Rams offense being able to keep up with the Packers’, and it will be their downfall.

Ravens 23-21 Bills

This is easily the toughest game to pick this week. How could it not be? These teams match up almost perfectly with one another, and it makes this matchup impossible to break down and predict. Both of these teams played some great football last week to get here, and they won their games by playing their style of football. The Bills took the top off of the Colts defense all game long, and the Ravens ran circles around the Titans while suffocating them with their elite defense. If you ask me, Baltimore absolutely has the better roster, and the better identity offensively. Just like I said above with the Rams, if you can run the ball and play defense in January, I like you to win some games. The Ravens have also been here before, as much of this roster was here last year for the heartbreaking loss in this very round. The Bills are still new to this, and although QB Josh Allen has bloomed into quite the young talent, I don’t know how much faith I can put in him to win this big of a game. These are two of the hottest teams in football, but only one of them can continue the streak and head to the AFC Championship Game. I think it will be Baltimore. Experience plays a huge factor in a game like this, and they have it in bunches. It wouldn’t shock me at all if this game goes the other way, but my gut is telling me to pick the Ravens, so that’s what I’m going to stick with.

Chiefs 38-31 Browns

This is probably the wackiest matchup of the weekend for a multitude of reasons. For one, it’s the Browns playing football this late into the season, something that we haven’t seen in decades. Second of all, the spread on this game is HUGE. Even after dismantling the Steelers last week, the Browns are 10-point dogs in this game. Yes, the Chiefs have been the best team in football all year long and are coming off 2 weeks of rest, but that just seems crazy to me. Now, I do think the Chiefs will win this game, but it won’t be easy. They somewhat stumbled into the playoffs, as they didn’t play their sharpest football in the month of December. I do think the weeks off will benefit them, and HC Andy Reid is notoriously great after byes. The Browns are a great team and deserve to be here, but this challenge might be a bit too big for them. I think they can hang around for a while and score a lot of points, but to overcome the modern-day Goliath of Kansas City will be difficult. In a spot like this, you have to put your faith in QB Patrick Mahomes and the bunch, who have already been here and done that. Take the over in this one, but also take the Chiefs. Maybe not against the spread.

Saints 30-24 Buccaneers

The final game of the weekend is the third matchup this season between the Saints and the Bucs. In each of the first 2, New Orleans dismissed Tampa out of hand, winning both games convincingly, especially the second one. Intuition would tell you that, by now, the Bucs have to have come up with some way to be competitive in this game. I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt on that one and say that they will be. But I’m not sure I liked what I saw out of them last week. While the Saints used a dominant defense to blow out the Bears, the Buccaneers struggled against a Washington team starting a backup QB, and needed everything to go their way to come out with a win. Now, they face one of the most loaded rosters in the league that’s already dominated them twice. While I think this game will be the closest of the three this season, I cannot pick against the Saints. This team has been far too dominant on both sides of the ball to be easily picked against. I do think the Buccaneers are playing their best football of the season, but I just don’t think it’s enough. That seems to be the case with so many of these games. While it’s very difficult to bet against Tom Brady in the playoffs, this is a situation that warrants it.

2021 National Championship Preview and Prediction

#1 Alabama, led by Heisman-winning WR Devonta Smith, takes on QB Justin Fields and #3 Ohio State in the highly-anticipated national championship in Miami on Monday night. (h/t CBS Sports)

We finally made it. After months and months of ups and downs all over college football, only one game remains to be played. Monday night’s national championship features arguably the sport’s two most iconic programs as #1 Alabama and #3 Ohio State will fight for a title. Both of these teams have taken very different paths to get here, but their seasons unfolded fairly similarly. These are the last two unbeaten teams left in college football, and it only feels right that this is the matchup for the title. The Crimson Tide and the Buckeyes separated themselves from the rest of the country this season, and this matchup should be a blast.

In the College Football Playoff Semifinal games, both Alabama and Ohio State disposed of their opponents fairly easily. The Tide dispatched #4 Notre Dame in a very predictable outcome, and the Bucks dismantled #2 Clemson in every phase despite being big underdogs for a major upset to put the rest of the nation on notice. Ohio State QB Justin Fields was an absolute star on New Year’s Day, throwing for 6 touchdowns against the Tigers despite taking a brutal hit early in the game.

Everything since the semis has been a dream for Alabama, as they practically swept the national award scene, including an unprecedented Heisman Trophy for WR Devonta Smith, the first receiver to win the award since 1991. Smith has had a legendary season, catching 105 passes for 1,641 yards and 20 receiving touchdowns. The man throwing him the football, QB Mac Jones, was also a finalist for the Heisman, and for good reason. Jones threw for over 4,000 yards and 36 touchdowns thanks to some truly incredible play. He finally got his chance to prove his worth, and he has exceeded all expectations. The third head of the Tide monster offensive attack is RB Najee Harris, who has broken seemingly every Alabama record for a runningback in his time in Tuscaloosa. This year, Harris ran for 1387 yards and a whopping 24 touchdowns to cement himself as one of the best RBs in Alabama, and maybe even college football, history. This offense has been the story of the season all year long, and while their defense has been a bit suspect at times, this three-headed monster makes up for it all. But Alabama will have their hands full with the men on the other side of the field in scarlet and gray.

Ohio State has taken a very bumpy road to get to Miami, but they absolutely deserve to be in this spot. After hearing nothing but doubt after playing a 6-game season and being matched up with the mighty Clemson Tigers, the Buckeyes shut the world up and put everyone on notice with a massive 49-28 win in the Sugar Bowl 10 days ago. Now, they get one last shot to prove themselves. QB Justin Fields leads the charge, and while his regular season was very inconsistent at times, he is getting very hot at the perfect time. After throwing the aforementioned 6 TDs in his last game, with several of them being on tight, perfect passes, Fields quite literally has the hot hand. But he’s not the only story on offense. RB Trey Sermon has emerged as an elite threat out of the backfield, both running and receiving the ball. Sermon has 636 yards rushing in his last 3 games, seemingly channeling his inner 2014-15 Ezekiel Elliott for Ohio State. The offensive line has been dominating the trenches game after game, and if Sermon can get going on Monday night, it can do wonders for the passing game. WRs like Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson already get involved all the time, but if both the run and pass game are clicking, then this Ohio State offense is almost impossible to stop. Like Alabama, the Buckeyes defense can be a bit head-scratching at times, but in their last few games, they have been very sound. The secondary is a major question, but the front seven has been ferocious in getting after QBs and disrupting the run game. If the defense can do enough to affect Alabama’s potent offensive attack, then Ohio State’s offense will be put in a position to win this game. That is exactly what they need to happen.

I honestly think these teams match up perfectly with one another. Their offenses are built to bail out any mistakes their defenses might make, but their defenses still have enough talent to make plays to help their team win the game. It’s going to be an incredible sight to see. With that being said, it’s time to make my pick for this game.

Ohio State 42-38 Alabama

Monday, 8:00, ESPN

Before you start screaming about bias or anything like that, please allow me to explain myself. This is such a hard pick for me to make. Like I said before, I think these teams match up perfectly with one another. However, I think there are certain things that can help Ohio State separate themselves throughout this game. The biggest of those things is the defense. While it has been porous at times, it has also stepped up when it has needed to in the biggest moments of the season. That is an undeniable fact. Whether it has been turnovers, stops, or momentum shifts, this unit has done its job in the most important spots. They will likely be up to the challenge of stopping what might be the best offense in college football history, and I think they can make enough plays to put Fields and company in a position to go and win the game. If Justin Fields can play as lights out as he did in the Sugar Bowl, then there will be no stopping him. Another factor, which I don’t think is as important or even significant, is fatigue. I saw some people mention that Ohio State was more energized to beat Clemson because they had played 5 less games, which might be true, but is probably just another sorry excuses from the sore losers down in South Carolina. There is no doubt that Alabama’s offense will do big things in this game, as they always do. But that defense has looked very suspect all season long, especially when facing elite offenses. This is the best offense they will have played all season long, and I don’t know if they’ll be ready for it. I can totally see Ohio State dominating in the trenches and opening big lanes for their running game to flourish all night long. In any case, I can guarantee that points will be abundant in this game. The over is a charity for all my betting folks out there.

It would not shock me at all if Alabama wins this game. I mean, of course it wouldn’t. They’ve been the best team in football for almost the whole season, and they’re 8-point favorites in this game. They have the best offense in America led by the Heisman winner at WR. They have elite NFL talent all over the field. But so does Ohio State. And this team is playing some of the most inspired football I have ever seen before. This group has fought so hard to be in this position, and now that they’re here, I have no doubt in my mind that they will take full advantage of it. Justin Fields will leave Columbus as a Buckeye legend by bringing the 9th title to town.

I’m already as nervous as I’ve ever been for a football game in my life, but I’m more excited than anything else. This game will be extremely fun no matter what happens, and I’m just glad that I’ll be able to see it unfold. At the end of the day, it has been a great season, and I’m just happy to be here. There is nothing on this planet like college football. I hope you guys enjoy this game. I’ll see you on the other side.

All stats taken from ESPN.

Wild Card Round Picks

The 5 seed Buccaneers travel to DC to take on the 4 seed Washington Football Team in one of the more interesting matchups of Wild Card Weekend. (h/t ClutchPoints)

Welcome to the playoffs. It has been a long, tumultuous journey to get here, but we finally made it. This is a historic weekend in more ways than one, but the most notable thing is the addition of the 7 seeds, giving us 3 games on both Saturday and Sunday. It should be a blast, and I’m excited to see it all unfold. Wild Card Weekend has plenty of interesting matchups and some very intriguing storylines, and anything can happen in the postseason. I went 13-3 in Week 17, bringing my season total to 150-73-1. Not a bad way to end the regular season. Let’s get into my picks for the first round of the playoffs:

Bills 27-20 Colts

Saturday, 1:05 PM, CBS

There isn’t a lot of doubt in anyone’s mind that the Bills are the hottest team in football heading into this postseason. They’ve won 9 of their last 10, with the only loss being on a miracle Hail Mary, and are playing out of their minds offensively as of late. QB Josh Allen is a true MVP contender, and while he might not win it, he has surely made his mark in this league. For these reasons, the Bills seem like the lock here. But the Colts have been one of the quieter good teams in this league in 2020. Their defense has been stellar all year long, and their offense has finally found their groove now that rookie RB Jonathan Taylor has emerged as a true RB1, and he is a great one. Run game and defense are the ways to win playoff games in my eyes, and I think the Colts are the better team here in those areas. But still, I just don’t know if this group is ready to beat a team as good as Buffalo. I think it will be very close, and defense will decide this game. I simply have to put my faith in the team that has looked so great recently. Being hot at the right time is so important, and no one is hotter than the Buffalo Bills.

Seahawks 20-17 Rams

Saturday, 4:40 PM, FOX

This game is an absolute enigma for me. Both of these teams are so wacky and weird and inconsistent that it almost feels like both teams are going to lose. These teams met just 2 weeks ago in Seattle, and while that game was close throughout, the Seahawks separated and were able to win convincingly in the end. However, this is the playoffs, and the 3rd meeting between these teams this year. Anything can happen. The Rams will likely have to turn to backup QB John Wolford once again with Jared Goff still dealing with thumb issues. Wolford wasn’t great last week in the win over Arizona, but I don’t think he needs to be. LA’s defense will win or lose them the game. It won’t be much of a challenge for that unit, as Seattle’s offense has been absolutely sputtering lately, and they simply cannot get anything going. Their defense has stepped up in a massive way, making the second half of their season a complete flip of the first. If Goff was playing in this game, I think I would take the Rams. I just can’t put my faith in a backup QB with almost no NFL experience. The Seahawks will win, but it will likely be their last of the year. Whoever wins this game is getting blasted next week.

Buccaneers 24-20 Washington

Saturday, 8:15 PM, NBC

This is another fairly wacky matchup as the 7-9 NFC East champion WFT hosts a playoff game against Tom Brady and the Bucs. Washington didn’t get the most convincing win in the world last week to get here, but they did it, and now they get a Tampa team that has been nothing short of explosive in the last month or so. Brady and the bunch are on absolute fire, and they haven’t even been fully healthy. Now they are, and it is a dangerous sight for the NFL. Washington will have their hands full, but at least they can put plenty of faith in their defense, which has been playing like the league’s best in the second half of this season. Rookie DE Chase Young has already solidified himself as one of the best defensive players in football, and the entire front seven has been wreaking havoc on QBs all year long. The Washington offense, however, is a very different story. It’s a unit that has dealt with a ton of shuffling and mediocrity all year long, but whenever Alex Smith is starting at QB, this team finds ways to win games. However, Smith has been dealing with a calf injury for the last few weeks, and it is clearly affecting him on the field. Washington will likely be rotating QBs on Saturday night with Taylor Heinicke getting in on the action. He looked good in his only playing time this year, but in the playoffs, things will be a lot more challenging. I can’t trust Washington to win this game with all the uncertainty at QB, but there is no shame in that. It’s Tom Brady after all. This has been a great year for the WFT, all things considered, and the future is blindingly bright in the nation’s capital. This isn’t the year, but watch out for this team in the future.

Ravens 34-24 Titans

Sunday, 1:05 PM, ESPN

One of the better matchups of the weekend is a rematch of one of the bigger upsets in recent playoff memory from last year’s divisional round. The Wild Card Titans got the better of the 1 seed Ravens in that game, but now the script is much different. It’s Tennessee who will be hosting this game after stumbling their way into a division title. Despite being the lower seed and the road team, Baltimore has undoubtedly been the better team as of late, winning their last 5 games in emphatic fashion. Their offense is in a real groove right now, especially on the ground. QB Lamar Jackson needs no introduction, but rookie RB J.K. Dobbins has emerged as a bonafide RB1 in their offense, and it has taken it to new heights. The Titans have a star-studded offense of their own, as QB Ryan Tannehill has had a spectacular season in his first full year as the starter. RB Derrick Henry…. well, he’s King Henry for a reason. Henry absolutely plowed his way through defenses this year, becoming the 8th player in NFL history to rush for over 2,000 yards in a season. It was a great year for the man who will likely take home the Offensive Player of the Year award. It will be a stout challenge for the Titans, as Baltimore’s defense is still as strong as it has ever been. They have been making life hell for offenses in the second half of their season, but this is their tallest task yet. As for Tennessee’s defense… not so much. This might be the worst defensive unit in all of football, as they cannot get any pressure on QBs and their secondary has gotten ripped apart all season long. The passing offense of the Ravens isn’t one to be scared of, but you better bring your A-game against a team that good. I simply don’t trust the Titans defense at all, and with no defense in the playoffs, you cannot go anywhere. Yes, Tennessee beat Baltimore earlier in the year, but it will be extremely hard to do that again given the way these teams are playing right now. I expect a huge game for the Ravens on the ground, and this group inspired by avenging last year’s team (and even Week 11’s team) will get the job done.

Saints 30-20 Bears

Sunday, 4:40 PM, CBS

This is perhaps the most lopsided affair of the weekend, and for good reason. The Saints have been one of the NFL’s best teams all season long, and they have what is probably the best roster in the NFL from top to bottom. No matter who is playing at QB, this offense just churns out yards and points. A major reason for that is the incredible play of RB Alvin Kamara, who has lived in the endzone this year. Luckily for New Orleans, Kamara will be back this week after missing their Week 17 game due to COVID-19 protocols. He will be much needed against a Bears defense that has been playing very well. It has been the tale of 3 seasons for Chicago this year: the great start, the awful losing streak, and the late resurgence. This team has won 3 of 4 to get into the dance, thanks to some great, rejuvenated offensive play, and the aforementioned play of the defense. However, on both sides of the ball, I just think they’ll be overwhelmed. New Orleans’ defense is playing at an elite level, and that offense will finally be fully healthy. The Saints haven’t even played their best football yet, and it’s January. If they can hit that stride in the playoffs, then this team has a real shot at a title.

Steelers 28-19 Browns

Sunday, 8:15 PM, NBC

The final game of Wild Card Weekend is the 3rd matchup between Pittsburgh and Cleveland this season, and the 2nd in the last 2 weeks. These teams met just a week ago, with the Browns edging out a win in a very close game despite the Steelers playing mostly backups. That rest was much needed for Pittsburgh, as the last month or so has been nothing short of disastrous for them. After an 11-0 start, things have fallen apart, and they now stumble into the playoffs sitting at 12-4. However, I have a sneaky feeling about them. I just trust in their playoff experience compared to the Browns, who haven’t been here in 18 years and have the least postseason experience on their roster of all 14 playoff teams. It doesn’t help that Cleveland will be without HC Kevin Stefanski, who tested positive for COVID-19 earlier this week and won’t be with the team for this game. It will be a very tough test regardless for the Browns offense, which has been a good unit all year long, but has struggled mightily in 2 matchups with the Steelers. Even without players like S Minkah Fitzpatrick and DE T.J. Watt last week, Pittsburgh almost won, and their defense did a good job of containing the Browns. For me, that performance last week is the biggest indicator in how this game will go. I understand that the Steelers cannot run the ball to save their lives, and that this one-dimensional offense can only do so much. But combining all of the factors I’ve mentioned, this one is just going to slip away from Cleveland. It’s a shame for them, considering how awesome it is to finally see them back in the playoffs, but I just don’t see them pulling this out. It will take a great performance out of QB Baker Mayfield, and if you know me, you know I don’t expect that at all.

Post-Week 17 Power Rankings

QB Josh Allen and his Bills have been perhaps the hottest team in the league in recent weeks and are on fire heading into the postseason. (h/t John Munson, AP)

The 2020 NFL regular season has come and gone in the blink of an eye, and it’s finally time for the playoffs. There are so many great teams playing January football, and while there are some who have seemingly separated themselves from the pack, it still feels like anyone’s time to shine. This season was an absolute blast filled with all sorts of drama and adversity, and I will always have very fond memories of it. This is my final Power Rankings of the season, as my next one will likely be in the offseason, either after the Super Bowl or before/after the NFL Draft. With that being said, for the final time this season, let’s stack up the teams 1-32:

1 – Chiefs (14-2)

2 – Packers (13-3)

3 – Bills (13-3)

4 – Saints (12-4)

5 – Ravens (11-5)

6 – Colts (11-5) 1

7 – Buccaneers (11-5) 1

8 – Titans (11-5) 2

9 – Seahawks (12-4)

10 – Steelers (12-4) 2

11 – Browns (11-5) 1

12 – Rams (10-6) 1

13 – Washington (7-9) 3

14 – Bears (8-8)

15 – Dolphins (10-6) 4

16 – Chargers (7-9) 2

17 – Cardinals (8-8) 2

18 – Vikings (7-9) 1

19 – Giants (6-10) 3

20 – Patriots (7-9) 1

21 – Raiders (8-8) 1

22 – Cowboys (6-10) 3

23 – Broncos (5-11)

24 – 49ers (6-10)

25 – Falcons (4-12) 1

26 – Panthers (5-11) 1

27 – Lions (5-11)

28 – Texans (4-12) 2

29 – Bengals (4-11-1)

30 – Eagles (4-11-1) 2

31 – Jets (2-14)

32 – Jaguars (1-15)

Week 17 Picks

The Washington Football Team heads to Philly in a win-and-in game for the NFC East title on Sunday night. (h/t ClutchPoints)

Here we go. This is it! Week 17 is finally upon us, and it is filled with wild scenarios all over the NFL. Anything can happen in this crazy week, and although 2020 is over, I’m sure we’re not yet out of chaos in this NFL season. Divisions will be clinched, playoff spots will be snatched, and hearts will be broken. It is going to be wild and it is going to be a blast. I went a measly 8-8 in Week 16, bringing my season total to 137-70-1. It was a rough week, but I have a feeling that this week will be much better. For the last time this regular season, let’s get into this week’s picks:

Bills 27-21 Dolphins

The Dolphins will be fighting for their lives in frigid Orchard Park, and I just don’t have faith in them to pull it out. This team has been very resilient in the back half of the season, but their play under rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa has not been inspiring lately. Tua has struggled a good deal, including being benched in their last game. Even if he has more problems, Ryan Fitzpatrick can’t save the day, as he’ll miss this game due to COVID protocols. The Bills are simply the far better team, and they’ll put a stamp on this stellar regular season with a win over their division rival. If Tua can pull off the upset, it’d be a sight to see, but I just don’t see it happening.

Ravens 35-17 Bengals

Not much to talk about here. The Bengals have been very competitive recently, but they haven’t exactly been playing great teams (yes, the Steelers aren’t great). The Ravens have been stellar in the last month or so, and they aren’t showing any signs of slowing. They will dominate this game and return to the playoffs, looking to avenge the sins of last year’s team.

Browns 26-20 Steelers

Cleveland has absolutely no excuse to lose this game. The Steelers are sitting everyone and their mothers for this game, either due to the playoffs or COVID, and the Browns are relatively healthy, although they’re dealing with COVID problems of their own. They’ll still be much closer to full strength, and they have to win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, barring other results across the AFC. This is their moment to prove all of their doubters wrong and return to the postseason. The franchise cannot afford to lose this game. Want us to take you seriously? Win this game.

Vikings 30-20 Lions

Week 17 games with no playoff impact are so boring. The Vikings already ran through the Lions once this season, and I expect it to happen again. Lions QB Matt Stafford is playing through a ton of injuries this week, and while I know he’ll be able to keep this game competitive, I just see Minnesota pulling away late. I don’t have any faith in their defense, but the Vikes’ offense is good enough to win this game on their own.

Patriots 20-17 Jets

Neither of these teams have much to play for other than pride and bragging rights, so I see this being a fairly close game, much like their 1st meeting in 2020. The Patriots are still the better team, although I think the Jets are more competitive. It might be a “who has the ball last” type of game, but I’ll stick with the superior coaching staff here. Adam Gase will go out with a loss, but at the expense of 2 wins and losing out on Trevor Lawrence. It’s ok, Jets fans. Justin Fields will be just fine.

Cowboys 28-24 Giants

This game, which was supposed to mean nothing, all of a sudden means everything to these teams. If the WFT loses on Sunday night, the winner of this game wins the division. It’s such an intriguing matchup, because I feel like these teams match up great with one another. It’s a great offense against a great defense on one side of the ball, and an awful offense against an awful defense on the other side. Cowboys QB Andy Dalton was able to lead his team to victory in the first matchup between these teams, and I can definitely see it happening again. The Cowboys have been playing significantly better than the Giants have in the last few weeks, and they have much more momentum going into this game. The Giants defense, which has been so good this season, has really struggled lately, and I think Dallas’ offense will do just enough to push through and win this game. Again, if Washington does their job, this game becomes obsolete. But if not, then this might be the most intriguing matchup of the day.

Buccaneers 34-24 Falcons

This is the 2nd matchup in 3 weeks between these teams, and it’ll likely go the same way as the first time around. I don’t see the Falcons getting out to a huge lead and then blowing it, but I easily see them losing. The Bucs can secure the 5 seed and a date with the NFC East champ with a win, and I’m sure they would love to have that. I expect another huge game for Tom Brady against an awful Atlanta defense. If the GOAT stays this hot going into the postseason, the NFC better watch out.

Packers 29-26 Bears

Green Bay vs. Chicago in a huge Week 17 matchup with imperative impacts on the playoffs. What’s better than this? The Bears can win their way into the wild card with a win (or some help from the Rams), and the Packers can secure the 1 seed and a first-round bye with a victory of their own. The stakes in this game are huge, and neither team can afford a loss (depending on other outcomes). In a huge moment like this, I obviously have to trust Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, but I think this game will be very, very close. The Bears are playing their best football of the season, and QB Mitchell Trubisky has been on fire. This team will be remarkably fired up to play their biggest rival, but I don’t think it’ll be enough. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Bears win this game, but I don’t have it in me to pick them. I would love to see this team in the playoffs, but if this holds up, they’re going to need some help out west.

Broncos 31-27 Raiders

Las Vegas has legitimately been one of the worst teams in the NFL in the last month thanks to one of the league’s worst defenses. The Broncos haven’t exactly been great either, but they have certainly been competitive. You can clearly tell while watching the Raiders that everyone has given up, and I don’t see them winning this game because of that. They might be able to stay competitive, but Denver is the better team in this game in my eyes. They’ll be able to close out their season with a win and carry some momentum going into a seemingly bright future.

Colts 27-20 Jaguars

While I think there is no chance the Jaguars win this game, I think it’ll be closer than people expect. HC Doug Marrone is on his way out of town, and since the Jags have clinched the #1 overall pick in the draft, I can see this team playing with nothing to lose. That could be dangerous in a division game against a team that Jacksonville has already beaten this season. That being said, the Colts are clearly the far better team here, and with their season on the line, there is no way they lose. They’re fighting for their playoff and division lives, and while I think this will be a close one throughout, they’ll make enough plays late to pull it out like they have so many times this season.

Chargers 28-21 Chiefs

Kansas City has already clinched the #1 seed in the AFC, so they’ll be sending out the B-team on Sunday. The Chargers have been an inspired group lately, as they’ve won 3 games in a row in very nice fashion. I think, albeit against a bunch of backups, they’ll come out with that same edge and get a nice win to close out a disappointing, but promising 2020 campaign. LA already almost beat the Chiefs when they were at full strength, so a win here wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest. Like with the Broncos, I think it’d be a nice bit of momentum to carry into the future, which will be very bright for the Bolts. Meanwhile, KC’s starters get 2 full weeks of rest going into the playoffs, which will be huge for them.

Cardinals 23-20 Rams

This might be the biggest game of the week. In terms of the NFC Wild Card race, this is the biggest game of the year. The winner of this game secures their spot in the postseason, and the loser will likely get sent packing (depending on other outcomes). The Cardinals undoubtedly have the edge as of right now, as the Rams will be without starting QB Jared Goff and will instead be starting John Wolford for the first time ever. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is a bit banged up, but he’ll still play with his team’s season on the line. For that reason, I have to take the Cardinals in this game. I can’t put blind faith into a QB making his first career start with other key offensive weapons missing. The Rams are a game up on the Cards, so they can afford to drop this game, but they’ll need some help to get into the playoffs. If they can’t get the job here, they’ll need to scoreboard watch heavily.

Seahawks 24-17 49ers

Seattle is still in play for the 1 seed despite having a very rough second half of the season, and they’ll need to win this game and get a load of help to get it. While I don’t see it happening, I do see them coming out of this game with a win. The 49ers have been one of the NFL’s strangest teams this year, putting up monster performances one week and dumpster fires the next week. They were able to stifle the Cardinals last week somehow, and while they’ll be carrying the momentum from that game, I don’t see it happening against Russ and the Seahawks. It has the chance to be close, and while I don’t like the Seattle offense nearly as much as I did earlier in the season, their defense has been stellar in recent weeks and will be able to win the game late.

Saints 24-17 Panthers

This one is a bit strange. There are key missing pieces on both sides in this game, including star RBs Alvin Kamara and Christian McCaffrey. The Saints are extremely depleted at several positions, RB most of all, but they’re still the better team in this game, so I’ll roll with them. They’re also still in play for the 1 seed, and I feel like that’ll be in the back of their minds as motivation to come out and win this game. The Panthers have been competitive this season, and while they’ve been good, it hasn’t been good enough. It’ll be another disappointing loss to go along with several others this year. The Saints will likely not get the 1 seed, but they’ll be able to carry some good momentum into the playoffs, and hopefully be healthier for those games.

Titans 30-27 Texans

While I don’t see any scenarios where the Texans win this game, I see this game being a shootout. The first game between these two games was one of the shootouts of the year, and this game has all the makings of another one. For one, both of these defenses are God awful, allowing QBs all day to throw, generating no pass rush, and giving up huge plays all game long. Both of these offenses have a lot of firepower, and they can put up points in a jiffy. Both star QBs will have a lot of time and be very comfortable, so this is sure to be an offensive game. I’ll take the Titans because they’re obviously a much better team, and they have something to play for. Just take the over.

Washington 24-15 Eagles

Well, here we are. The final game of the 2020 regular season. It’s been quite a ride. Of course this ultimate game involves the Washington Football Team, and the NFC East in general. This division in primetime in Week 17 is truly a tradition unlike any other. The Eagles are seemingly sitting their entire team for this game for whatever reason. Perhaps the tank is truly on in Philadelphia. Regardless, Washington has no excuse to lose this game. This is truly a turning point game in the franchise for its future, and it is a must-win at all costs. Not only due to the fact that they’re playing the Eagles B-team, but also because this is the first season for this team that truly feels different. The name change, the GM change, the coaching changes, all the adversity at QB, all the ups and downs of off-the-field antics. It all comes down to this. Win this game, and you’re in the playoffs as the NFC East champion. It’s that simple. QB Alex Smith is finally returning to the lineup to make his first start since Week 14. It’s much needed for a team that has had all sorts of QB problems in his absence. He’ll surely make a difference, and it’s one of the main reasons I’m picking the WFT here. That, and the fact that the Eagles are going to be so depleted all across the field. It truly wouldn’t surprise me if Washington still somehow found a way to bottle this and lose as they have in so many big moments in the past. But I have faith in this group to get the job done and make the playoffs. If it doesn’t happen, it will be an all-time disappointment in DC sports history.

2021 College Football Playoff Picks

#2 Clemson and #3 Ohio State will meet in a rematch of last year’s semifinal game at the Sugar Bowl on Friday night. (h/t Christian Petersen, Getty Images)

Happy 2021. After the most tumultuous season in college football history, filled with all sorts of adversity, cancellations, postponements, and general chaos, the College Football Playoff is finally upon us. The field of 4 has been set for a couple of weeks now, and it’s finally time to play the games. People are still debating about the teams that got in and who got left out, but there is no doubt in my mind that these 4 teams are the ones who deserve to be here the most. Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Notre Dame all had great seasons, and it should be very fun to see them all compete for a national championship. Without any further ado, let’s predict what will happen in the Rose Bowl and the Sugar Bowl, and who will advance to the national championship game.

Alabama 42-28 Notre Dame

Rose Bowl Game – Friday, 4:00 PM, ESPN

This one is seemingly obvious, but I really don’t think Notre Dame has been getting a fair shake from both fans and the media. Yes, the Irish were absolutely wiped by Clemson in the ACC Championship Game, but they still had a great season and absolutely deserve to be in the Playoff. Alabama is quite a daunting challenge, but something in me is convinced that the Irish can keep this game close. I just don’t see them having back-to-back lifeless performances, even against a team as powerful as the Tide.

While I think Notre Dame can hang around for a while, there is no doubt in my mind that Alabama will pull away and come out of this game with the win. The talent gap is simply too massive, which was already apparent with Notre Dame’s performance against Clemson in their last game. Alabama’s three-headed monster of QB Mac Jones, RB Najee Harris, and WR Devonta Smith is simply too much for anyone to overcome. Their remarkable performances in the SEC Championship Game against Florida were just a microcosm of their incredible seasons, and one of Jones or Smith will win a very deserved Heisman. The offense of the Tide is too much for any defense to overcome, even though I do think the Irish D is not bad at all. Them getting completely gashed by Clemson’s offense has simply sucked out all faith I have in them to put their offense in a position to win the game.

As I said before, I still expect Notre Dame to put up a much better fight in this game than they did against Clemson, and that is almost entirely due to the fact that Alabama’s defense looked absolutely invisible in the SEC Championship Game. Florida absolutely ripped them apart to the tune of 46 points on 462 total yards, and if it wasn’t for a fluke fumble on an INT, the Gators could have very well pulled off the upset. Bama’s offense more than made up for the shortcomings of their defense, but you cannot expect to play that way defensively if you want to win a national championship. If the Irish can exploit that defense and get their offense rolling, then it could make for some interesting developments in Arlington.

With all this being said, it’s still just too hard to see the Irish even coming close to pulling off the upset. There’s a reason they’re the biggest underdogs in CFP history coming into this game. For whatever reason, I’m giving them the benefit of the doubt to stick around for a while, but I can totally see this game getting out of hand very quickly. In any case, it should be easy for Alabama to get this win under their belt with another huge offensive performance and advance to the national championship game.

Clemson 30-27 Ohio State

Allstate Sugar Bowl – Friday, 8:00 PM, ESPN

This is the big one. The third playoff matchup in three years between these two college football Goliaths. Of the two semifinals, this is undoubtedly the more interesting matchup for obvious reasons. It has been just over a year since Clemson ended Ohio State’s season in heartbreaking fashion in last year’s semifinal game at the Fiesta Bowl, and after a long offseason, it’s safe to say that neither the fans nor the Buckeyes themselves have forgotten about what happened. Many OSU fans still think about the first meeting between these teams in the CFP back in 2016, when the Tigers blanked the Bucks 31-0. It’s safe to say that Clemson has given Ohio State plenty of reason to hate them. Clemson HC Dabo Swinney has also given the Bucks plenty of bulletin board material, continuously criticizing them for only playing 6 games and even ranking them at 11th overall in his latest Coaches Poll ballot. There’s plenty of bad blood between these programs, and it’s safe to say that both teams will be very fired up heading into this game in New Orleans on Friday night.

Clemson has been here so many times that this is practically just another game for them. This is the 6th straight trip to the Playoff for the Tigers coming off of their 6th straight ACC championship. Of those 6 trips, this is now the 3rd time that they’ll face off with Ohio State in the semis, with all 3 being the 2v3 games. In fact, every time the Tigers haven’t been the #1 seed, they’ve had to face off with the Buckeyes. Ever since their lone loss to Notre Dame in early November, this team has been on fire, and they are easily playing their best football of the season right now. They put on a virtuoso on both sides of the football in the ACC Championship Game against the Irish, and they honestly look unstoppable. QB Trevor Lawrence, who is likely playing his final games in a Clemson uniform, still looks nothing short of generational in every game, and it will be a very tall task for the Buckeyes to stop him, which they’ve already struggled with before.

It’s been a bumpy road for Ohio State, who saw 3 of their 8 regular season games cancelled due to COVID-19 and needed help from the powers that be in the Big Ten to even compete for a conference title. They did, and they edged Northwestern thanks to an incredible running offense to win their 4th straight conference championship. Almost nobody is giving them a chance to win this game, which isn’t completely asinine given the way the Tigers have looked lately vs. the weird way that QB Justin Fields and the Ohio State offense has struggled. The Buckeyes defense has also been a bit of a question mark, giving up a lot of big plays, but they’ve only given up 10.5 PPG in their last 2 games, which inspires a decent amount of faith. Moreover, this is a playoff game, and I have no doubt that HC Ryan Day will do everything he can to get his team ready to compete and play a great game all across the board.

Fields’ struggles are undoubtedly an area of concern for this Buckeyes offense. His turnover problem has been egregiously bad, with every interception thrown being absolutely inexcusable. Now, Fields has to face off with a Tigers defense that picked him off twice in last year’s semifinal game. It’s a big ask for Fields, which is why the run game will be absolutely imperative. That run game has found new life with the late emergence of graduate transfer RB Trey Sermon, who set a program record with an unprecedented 331 yards rushing and 2 touchdowns on 29 carries in the B1G title game. If Sermon, and fellow RB Master Teague III, can continue to put up huge numbers, it will help the passing offense tremendously by allowing Fields to operate with a bit of a cushion, where he has proven to be so dangerous. However, if Ohio State’s potent run game gets shut down by Clemson’s impressive front seven, then it could be a long day for the Bucks offense. This is 100% the biggest area in the game, and it’s where it will be either won or lost by one of these teams.

I certainly think this game will be close throughout, with it being a back-and-forth affair seeing both teams do incredible things. Both of these teams have so much talent on both sides of the football, and this game has all the ingredients to be even better than last year’s classic. It really wouldn’t shock me if this game goes either way. In a huge spot like this, I have to roll with the team that’s proven themselves time and time again, and that’s the Clemson Tigers. They have just been so dominant, and they’ve already shown what they can do in the CFP. I think Ohio State will give them a hell of a run on the back of their offense, but a combination of their defensive struggles and the talent of Clemson’s offense will be their downfall. Trevor Lawrence has been here before, and I expect him to lead his team to victory in the end once again. Again, it wouldn’t shock me as much as other people to see Ohio State come out of here with a win, and I would absolutely love to see it, but I just don’t have it in me to pick against Clemson. In any case, this game should be an absolute blast, and while I’m extremely nervous, I cannot wait to see it unfold in NOLA.

All stats taken from ESPN.